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trav777 wrote:Both flight legs show that Lion Air pilots appear to be trained to attempt to continue to destination on a plane that is trying to kill them. We have, using your math, a 100% sample on that.
GEUltraFan9XGTF wrote:This thread become an endless loop of the same arguments with Airbus fanboys questioning the airworthiness of the Max with a sample size of n=2.
GEUltraFan9XGTF wrote:With these statements, trav777 has "won" this thread:
"Sorry but if you actually believe a sample size of n=2 is large enough to base a statistical probability estimate off of, then you're....uninformed. And I'm being polite here.
These were Lion Air "pilots". "Flying" a jet that should have returned to base on the previous leg. This plane should not have been in the air at all. Nothing is wrong with MCAS, the lack of redundancy in the AoA sensor chain is the defect here."
Both flight legs show that Lion Air pilots appear to be trained to attempt to continue to destination on a plane that is trying to kill them. We have, using your math, a 100% sample on that."
This thread become an endless loop of the same arguments with Airbus fanboys questioning the airworthiness of the Max with a sample size of n=2. It should be locked until the CVR is found.
rheinwaldner wrote:GEUltraFan9XGTF wrote:This thread become an endless loop of the same arguments with Airbus fanboys questioning the airworthiness of the Max with a sample size of n=2.
Where is the airworthiness of the Max questioned?
GEUltraFan9XGTF wrote:This thread become an endless loop of the same arguments with Airbus fanboys questioning the airworthiness of the Max with a sample size of n=2. It should be locked until the CVR is found.
salttee wrote:GEUltraFan9XGTF wrote:This thread become an endless loop of the same arguments with Airbus fanboys questioning the airworthiness of the Max with a sample size of n=2. It should be locked until the CVR is found.
I agree the thread should be locked until something new turns up. The only reason I returned to the thread last week was to push back at what I saw as an endless stream of posts that seemed as if they were from Lion Air's public relations department.
PlanesNTrains wrote:As has been pointed out, the direction this thread is going is in a circle.Lock the thread because you don’t like what direction it’s going?
PlanesNTrains wrote:I have added my "two cents", and then the Lion air faction added their "two cents" then I again added my "two cents" and they again added their "two cents" and so it goes, as it has gone for the last month and more: long before I re-joined the thread..Why is that the go-to solution for some posters vs just moving along or adding your 2 cents?
GEUltraFan9XGTF wrote:This thread become an endless loop of the same arguments with Airbus fanboys questioning the airworthiness of the Max with a sample size of n=2.
bob75013 wrote:
Albert Einstein once made a statement that pretty well describes this situation:
Insanity: doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results
salttee wrote:PlanesNTrains wrote:As has been pointed out, the direction this thread is going is in a circle.Lock the thread because you don’t like what direction it’s going?PlanesNTrains wrote:I have added my "two cents", and then the Lion air faction added their "two cents" then I again added my "two cents" and they again added their "two cents" and so it goes, as it has gone for the last month and more: long before I re-joined the thread..Why is that the go-to solution for some posters vs just moving along or adding your 2 cents?
Then I added another two cents that this is going nowhere; I said that I go along with GEUltraFan's view:GEUltraFan9XGTF wrote:This thread become an endless loop of the same arguments with Airbus fanboys questioning the airworthiness of the Max with a sample size of n=2.
Then you added your snarky two cents.
I guess this is progress, at least it's broken the chain of circular argument.
PlanesNTrains wrote:It’s progress if we’re not trying to shut down the dialogue.
FWIW, I appreciate the back and forth that you are having with others because it challenges everybody to articulate better or more thoroughly or to otherwise make their case. While it might seem redundant to you, plenty of people are following this thread and find that process educational. You certainly can just stop posting but to suggest locking the thread just sounds like someone trying to control the discussion.
GEUltraFan9XGTF wrote:With these statement, trav777 has "won" this thread:
Sorry but if you actually believe a sample size of n=2 is large enough to base a statistical probability estimate off of
.....................
This thread becoming an endless loop of the same arguments, (.......) should be locked until the CVR is found.
oschkosch wrote:So is Boeing still contemplating a software mod/update for the 737Max? If nothing is "broken", why is an update necessary?
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SEPilot wrote:oschkosch wrote:So is Boeing still contemplating a software mod/update for the 737Max? If nothing is "broken", why is an update necessary?
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This illustrates a very destructive attitude that has impeded many safety improvements, and one that I had hoped aviation had gotten beyond. And that is if the safety of some device is questioned and the manufacturer changes it, it is an admission of guilt that it was in fact dangerous. The result is that many manufacturers become afraid to change anything once a safety question has arisen, even when they can see a way to improve it. And this impedes safety improvements.
rheinwaldner wrote:trav777 wrote:If the plane is going haywire and you do something and it goes straight and level, YOU DON'T TOUCH A THING AFTER THAT and you return to the runway. I cannot even fathom a professional pilot in a jet that is trying to push you into the ground and you go flaps 1 and it levels out and you....disengage flaps!??!?
The nerves that you are demonstrating do not convince me, that you would have noticed the unknown causality between the flaps position and the trim movements. You are aware that several system from time to time do move these trim wheels, perfectly legitimate and meaningful? A spinning trim wheel is not an indication of a trim runaway. There is no obvious evidence available, whether any particular trim wheel movement was triggered by a disturbed or a working system.
Again, in a situation overwhelmed by a flood of different error messages they flew manually, a lot of things happened at the same time, trimming manually they had dozens of time trimmed away the somewhat built up forces on the control column (maybe not even by conscious actions, so the fact that the applied trim was always upwards and always repeated in steady cycles maybe went unnoticed). As speculated here earlier, they could have attempted to make a turn, and during turns you dont trim. And, bang, the two cycles the disturbed MCAS needed to become a deadly monster passed unopposed...
Considering that, IMO any pilot who now steps up and claims, that he would have survived like the first crew, shows nothing than arrogance.
SEPilot wrote:oschkosch wrote:So is Boeing still contemplating a software mod/update for the 737Max? If nothing is "broken", why is an update necessary?
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This illustrates a very destructive attitude that has impeded many safety improvements, and one that I had hoped aviation had gotten beyond. And that is if the safety of some device is questioned and the manufacturer changes it, it is an admission of guilt that it was in fact dangerous. The result is that many manufacturers become afraid to change anything once a safety question has arisen, even when they can see a way to improve it. And this impedes safety improvements.
trav777 wrote:These pilots were focused on finding a way to get that plane to its destination
PixelFlight wrote:Please use factual argumentation.
PlanesNTrains wrote:SEPilot wrote:oschkosch wrote:So is Boeing still contemplating a software mod/update for the 737Max? If nothing is "broken", why is an update necessary?
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This illustrates a very destructive attitude that has impeded many safety improvements, and one that I had hoped aviation had gotten beyond. And that is if the safety of some device is questioned and the manufacturer changes it, it is an admission of guilt that it was in fact dangerous. The result is that many manufacturers become afraid to change anything once a safety question has arisen, even when they can see a way to improve it. And this impedes safety improvements.
trav777 wrote:can chime in here with legal experience- product liability is strict liability in many cases.
Like people have to make use of your product in a way VERY far outside of the expected, normal use for you not to be liable for a defect that occasions an injury.
In this case, yes Lion Air's response to the defect is the issue, just as AF447...my god what were those pilots doing? the young guy should have been relieved, I mean so many issues with that aircraft, the least of which was lack of sensor feedback from one control stick to the other...neither pilot knew the other was trying to fly. But still, the product defect is with Thales and Airbus on that one. In this one sure it will be joint and several liability between Boeing and Lion. There's no way IMO Boeing avoids product liability for this and they will try to subrogate the AoA sensor company. Everyone is going to have to pay. It's only about % shares at this point.
IMO the 330's behavior in AF447 was unconscionably bad (as was the piloting of AF). I'm not sure the MAX is as egregious (nor Lion's pilots) but I agree 100% that one component's failure should not precipitate a frame loss with all souls aboard regardless of mediocre piloting.
neutronstar73 wrote:PlanesNTrains wrote:SEPilot wrote:This illustrates a very destructive attitude that has impeded many safety improvements, and one that I had hoped aviation had gotten beyond. And that is if the safety of some device is questioned and the manufacturer changes it, it is an admission of guilt that it was in fact dangerous. The result is that many manufacturers become afraid to change anything once a safety question has arisen, even when they can see a way to improve it. And this impedes safety improvements.
Improvements being the key word. Why does something need to be “broken” for it to be improved upon?
In fairness, if the general implication was that ‘If the design was fine as-is, why would they be looking to make changes?’, then ya, likely it isn’t “fine” or they’d just leave it alone.[/quote
You you haven't a clue about continuous improvement, do you? I know, that was a rhetorical question, as I know the answer.
And, I suggest you look up "subsequent remedial measures".....and how a manufacturer who makes modifications to something that MAY have been the cause of an accident ISN'T admission that the part IS the reason for an accident. in fact, you can't hold a manufacturer liable for something if the subsequently fix something in the interest of increased safety.
trav777 wrote:Most pilots would have returned to base after the first failure of the system.
trav777 wrote:A US pilot wouldn't fly with a busted AoA sensor upon which several autopilot systems depend.
trav777 wrote:Your agenda is transparent- to blame Boeing. We can all see that.
trav777 wrote:You resort to things like a n=2 sample size to base a statistical estimate on. This is absurd.
trav777 wrote:What the FDR showed in this crash was that the engagement of flaps STOPPED the nose down trim.
trav777 wrote:Why didn't the PREVIOUS pilots do the same thing? Why was everyone's first goal to fly to destination when the appropriate course of action was to get this plane back on earth?
The previous pilots didn't loudly sound a warning about a FATAL defect in that plane's electronics after surviving a failure event that could've killed them.
trav777 wrote:How did this plane go 5000 down in a few seconds; they let it go into a vertical dive. After successfully getting it to go straight and level via engagement of flaps. Why didn't someone put the flaps back out?
trav777 wrote:These pilots were focused on finding a way to get that plane to its destination instead of flying and flying safely.
FlyXLsa wrote:PixelFlight wrote:Please use factual argumentation.
Complete and total lack of Situation Awareness.
Inability to manually FLY (control) an otherwise sound airplane.
There's a reason we don't read about more accidents in big jets with TWO good engines and primary flight controls FREE AND CORRECT?
Airmanship.
FlyXLsa wrote:Complete and total lack of Situation Awareness.
FlyXLsa wrote:Inability to manually FLY (control) an otherwise sound airplane.
FlyXLsa wrote:There's a reason we don't read about more accidents in big jets with TWO good engines and primary flight controls FREE AND CORRECT?
SomebodyInTLS wrote:sgrow787 wrote:rheinwaldner wrote:Note: even if maintenance would have done their job, the AoA sensing system could fall into this failure mode by just e.g. a bird strike.
Many have been stating here for awhile this (MCAS) was a non-redundant design that could fail with one bad AOA sensor. How did we come to that conclusion?
Seriously? We didn't "come to that conclusion", the emergency AD and various diagrams posted early in this thread show unequivocally that that is how the system is designed.
FlyXLsa wrote:par13del wrote:In a strange way, yes, because they are being trained to do exactly what the book says.it's too much to expect multi-thousand hour ATP's to fly pitch and power... REALLY?
salttee wrote:Is it going too far to say that these two didn't know how to fly a plane but had just memorized myriad procedures to operate a piece of complex machinery?
SimpleFlying wrote:I don't know if it is true or not. But it is said they have found the FDR.
https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/asia/lion-air-indonesia-finds-cockpit-voice-recorder-of-crashed-jet-11119706
SimpleFlying wrote:SimpleFlying wrote:I don't know if it is true or not. But it is said they have found the FDR.
https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/asia/lion-air-indonesia-finds-cockpit-voice-recorder-of-crashed-jet-11119706
Sorry, I meant CVR not FDR.
asuflyer wrote:Reuters is reporting that Indonesian navy vessels have found the CVR
PlanesNTrains wrote:Thank God. Now we can all move on with our lives and stop predicting cover-ups. Well, hopefully....
PlanesNTrains wrote:Thank God. Now we can all move on with our lives and stop predicting cover-ups. Well, hopefully....
MSPNWA wrote:PlanesNTrains wrote:Thank God. Now we can all move on with our lives and stop predicting cover-ups. Well, hopefully....
Unfortunately we'll never be able to fully trust this investigation the way it's been handled.
MSPNWA wrote:PlanesNTrains wrote:Thank God. Now we can all move on with our lives and stop predicting cover-ups. Well, hopefully....
Unfortunately we'll never be able to fully trust this investigation the way it's been handled.
trav777 wrote:After successfully getting it to go straight and level via engagement of flaps. Why didn't someone put the flaps back out?
par13del wrote:In a strange way, yes, because they are being trained to do exactly what the book says.
MSPNWA wrote:Unfortunately we'll never be able to fully trust this investigation the way it's been handled.
SEPilot wrote:oschkosch wrote:So is Boeing still contemplating a software mod/update for the 737Max? If nothing is "broken", why is an update necessary?
Gesendet von meinem SM-G950F mit Tapatalk
This illustrates a very destructive attitude that has impeded many safety improvements, and one that I had hoped aviation had gotten beyond. And that is if the safety of some device is questioned and the manufacturer changes it, it is an admission of guilt that it was in fact dangerous. The result is that many manufacturers become afraid to change anything once a safety question has arisen, even when they can see a way to improve it. And this impedes safety improvements.
sgrow787 wrote:Does anyone know if there is encryption on the data in these black boxes (to prevent tampering)? Eg, in PGP encryption, Boeing would have a private key hardcoded into the black box to encrypt the data, and a public key would be given to the airlines or investigation board to decrypt.