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beerbus wrote:An interesting addition, maybe these replace the reduced A350 order?
Someone83 wrote:beerbus wrote:An interesting addition, maybe these replace the reduced A350 order?
There was no cancellation of A350s at the same time to match these. So it then is maybe a new and additional order and not a conversion
coronado wrote:I am theorizing this will be a std weight fleet with a transcontinental lie flat set up up front to present a consistent wide body fleet on JFK-LAS, SFO, SEA, ATL-LAX, SFO, SEA and perhaps a new routings such as SEA-IAD and provide a demonstrably superior product to AA, UA and JB. During the peak summer months they can operate some of the seasonal summer extra frequencies to Europe.
TTailedTiger wrote:Is Delta planning some kind of expansion or are these to replace the 772ER?
mjoelnir wrote:TTailedTiger wrote:Is Delta planning some kind of expansion or are these to replace the 772ER?
I assume they will start with replacing their oldest wide bodies, PW engined 767-300 and 300ER and than start replacing old 767-300 with GE engines.
mjoelnir wrote:TTailedTiger wrote:Is Delta planning some kind of expansion or are these to replace the 772ER?
I assume they will start with replacing their oldest wide bodies, PW engined 767-300 and 300ER and than start replacing old 767-300 with GE engines.
TTailedTiger wrote:mjoelnir wrote:TTailedTiger wrote:Is Delta planning some kind of expansion or are these to replace the 772ER?
I assume they will start with replacing their oldest wide bodies, PW engined 767-300 and 300ER and than start replacing old 767-300 with GE engines.
I'm guessing there will be a hiring freeze or lots of pilot retirements. There's no way you can replace a 763ER with an A330 on a one for one basis. Way too much capacity. Some routes will be cut for sure.
mjoelnir wrote:TTailedTiger wrote:mjoelnir wrote:
I assume they will start with replacing their oldest wide bodies, PW engined 767-300 and 300ER and than start replacing old 767-300 with GE engines.
I'm guessing there will be a hiring freeze or lots of pilot retirements. There's no way you can replace a 763ER with an A330 on a one for one basis. Way too much capacity. Some routes will be cut for sure.
At least regarding fuel burn, you save money flying an A330-800 or -900 instead of an old 767-300ER in regards to fuel burn per trip. Perhaps a factor with rising fuel prices.
TTailedTiger wrote:mjoelnir wrote:TTailedTiger wrote:
I'm guessing there will be a hiring freeze or lots of pilot retirements. There's no way you can replace a 763ER with an A330 on a one for one basis. Way too much capacity. Some routes will be cut for sure.
At least regarding fuel burn, you save money flying an A330-800 or -900 instead of an old 767-300ER in regards to fuel burn per trip. Perhaps a factor with rising fuel prices.
Flying around a half empty plane won't work. Some A330 flights get downguaged to 767's in winter. If what you say is true then that wouldn't happen and they would just fly empty seats for the better fuel burn. That's not how it works.
TTailedTiger wrote:mjoelnir wrote:TTailedTiger wrote:Is Delta planning some kind of expansion or are these to replace the 772ER?
I assume they will start with replacing their oldest wide bodies, PW engined 767-300 and 300ER and than start replacing old 767-300 with GE engines.
I'm guessing there will be a hiring freeze or lots of pilot retirements. There's no way you can replace a 763ER with an A330 on a one for one basis. Way too much capacity. Some routes will be cut for sure.
eamondzhang wrote:TTailedTiger wrote:mjoelnir wrote:
At least regarding fuel burn, you save money flying an A330-800 or -900 instead of an old 767-300ER in regards to fuel burn per trip. Perhaps a factor with rising fuel prices.
Flying around a half empty plane won't work. Some A330 flights get downguaged to 767's in winter. If what you say is true then that wouldn't happen and they would just fly empty seats for the better fuel burn. That's not how it works.
And what exact plane do you purpose to replace 767-300ER with? 787-8? Is that what you're trying to persuade? Sorry, but 787-8 is also in A330-800's capacity territory which DL can grab within months without too much trouble.
There is absolutely nothing to stop Delta from using A330neo, or even A350-900 to replace 767s as they see fit. No one writes on a book that says you have to replace 767-300ER with something that has a very similar capacity.
Michael
TTailedTiger wrote:Is Delta planning some kind of expansion or are these to replace the 772ER?
TTailedTiger wrote:mjoelnir wrote:TTailedTiger wrote:
I'm guessing there will be a hiring freeze or lots of pilot retirements. There's no way you can replace a 763ER with an A330 on a one for one basis. Way too much capacity. Some routes will be cut for sure.
At least regarding fuel burn, you save money flying an A330-800 or -900 instead of an old 767-300ER in regards to fuel burn per trip. Perhaps a factor with rising fuel prices.
Flying around a half empty plane won't work. Some A330 flights get downguaged to 767's in winter. If what you say is true then that wouldn't happen and they would just fly empty seats for the better fuel burn. That's not how it works.
727200 wrote:Since the plane is such a slow seller, ,probably got a real good deal on them.
TTailedTiger wrote:Is Delta planning some kind of expansion or are these to replace the 772ER?
deltal1011man wrote:I'd be shocked crapless is this isn't a replacement for the 10 359s that were deferred. Hope I am wrong but i wouldn't bet on this being a completely new order.coronado wrote:I am theorizing this will be a std weight fleet with a transcontinental lie flat set up up front to present a consistent wide body fleet on JFK-LAS, SFO, SEA, ATL-LAX, SFO, SEA and perhaps a new routings such as SEA-IAD and provide a demonstrably superior product to AA, UA and JB. During the peak summer months they can operate some of the seasonal summer extra frequencies to Europe.
there is virtually no chance of that happening or of any US carrier buying a brand new widebody for domestic flying.
coronado wrote:I am theorizing this will be a std weight fleet with a transcontinental lie flat set up up front to present a consistent wide body fleet on JFK-LAS, SFO, SEA, ATL-LAX, SFO, SEA and perhaps a new routings such as SEA-IAD and provide a demonstrably superior product to AA, UA and JB. During the peak summer months they can operate some of the seasonal summer extra frequencies to Europe.
TTailedTiger wrote:mjoelnir wrote:TTailedTiger wrote:Is Delta planning some kind of expansion or are these to replace the 772ER?
I assume they will start with replacing their oldest wide bodies, PW engined 767-300 and 300ER and than start replacing old 767-300 with GE engines.
I'm guessing there will be a hiring freeze or lots of pilot retirements. There's no way you can replace a 763ER with an A330 on a one for one basis. Way too much capacity. Some routes will be cut for sure.
AsiaTravel wrote:Well, so far this year, passenger numbers to North America from CDG are growing by 8%, so, assuming this evolution remains in 2019, that would make a 16.64 % increase in two years 25.97% in three. The low J 767 has a total of 226 passengers, the 339 will have 281, a 24% increase in seat count between the two. Conclusion of my irrefutable facts, the 339 is a perfect replacement for the 767s in three years time and even better it has lower cost.
Prove me, and my grossly exaggerated numbers wrong, I'm waiting.
gsg013 wrote:The more and more I think about it the more I see that the 787-8 could work for DL to replace some of the 767.. The other wild card is whether DL continues the strategy of Widebody aircraft on transcons... I really hope so but I could see some of the transcon flying going to a bird like the 797 when they come around.
gsg013 wrote:The more and more I think about it the more I see that the 787-8 could work for DL to replace some of the 767.. The other wild card is whether DL continues the strategy of Widebody aircraft on transcons... I really hope so but I could see some of the transcon flying going to a bird like the 797 when they come around.
NateGreat wrote:Yes, the 777-200ER will need replacement in the coming years (at least 10 years). But, why is Delta giving the aircraft a major overhaul if “the airline is in such a rush to retire them”? If that were the case, then the A332/A333 should have been the ones to get Delta One Suites, Premium Select, possible new Economy Seats, and LED Mood Lighting. The Boeing 777 fleet has plenty of life left in them.
coronado wrote:That will be an impressive A330 fleet in a few years, 35 neos plus 39 in the current fleet for a total of 74!
TTailedTiger wrote:gsg013 wrote:The more and more I think about it the more I see that the 787-8 could work for DL to replace some of the 767.. The other wild card is whether DL continues the strategy of Widebody aircraft on transcons... I really hope so but I could see some of the transcon flying going to a bird like the 797 when they come around.
While the 797 would be nice I just can't see it. Delta lives and breathes by Techops contracts and Boeing and GE aren't as willing to give up that kind of potential maintenance revenue. They're not as desperate as Pratt&Whitney. I don't think we will see any new Boeing aircraft at Delta for many years to come. Airbus did a great job securing Delta as an Airbus only customer.
mjoelnir wrote:The 359s that were deferred start coming in 2021 or 2022. Not long enough away to be a 777-200ER replacement which is probably closer to 2025 or so.NateGreat wrote:Yes, the 777-200ER will need replacement in the coming years (at least 10 years). But, why is Delta giving the aircraft a major overhaul if “the airline is in such a rush to retire them”? If that were the case, then the A332/A333 should have been the ones to get Delta One Suites, Premium Select, possible new Economy Seats, and LED Mood Lighting. The Boeing 777 fleet has plenty of life left in them.
I think that is why the 10 A350 were deferred, flying the 777-200ER longer and replace than with A350-900.
mjoelnir wrote:gsg013 wrote:The more and more I think about it the more I see that the 787-8 could work for DL to replace some of the 767.. The other wild card is whether DL continues the strategy of Widebody aircraft on transcons... I really hope so but I could see some of the transcon flying going to a bird like the 797 when they come around.
Why the 787-8, when it would make more sense to add more A330-900 or even -800 when you need a smaller frame.
DiamondFlyer wrote:IIRC around half of the list or so has to be out the door by 2025.TTailedTiger wrote:mjoelnir wrote:
I assume they will start with replacing their oldest wide bodies, PW engined 767-300 and 300ER and than start replacing old 767-300 with GE engines.
I'm guessing there will be a hiring freeze or lots of pilot retirements. There's no way you can replace a 763ER with an A330 on a one for one basis. Way too much capacity. Some routes will be cut for sure.
A pilot hiring freeze? Are you kidding? DL retires 500+ pilots a year for the next decade, with some years approaching 900 a year. Even an economic crash would be unlikely to stop hiring long term at any of the US3 at this point.
NateGreat wrote:If Delta really wants to go for a smaller widebody in the next few years, I think they should order the 797.
gsg013 wrote:The more and more I think about it the more I see that the 787-8 could work for DL to replace some of the 767.. The other wild card is whether DL continues the strategy of Widebody aircraft on transcons... I really hope so but I could see some of the transcon flying going to a bird like the 797 when they come around.
mjoelnir wrote:TTailedTiger wrote:mjoelnir wrote:
At least regarding fuel burn, you save money flying an A330-800 or -900 instead of an old 767-300ER in regards to fuel burn per trip. Perhaps a factor with rising fuel prices.
Flying around a half empty plane won't work. Some A330 flights get downguaged to 767's in winter. If what you say is true then that wouldn't happen and they would just fly empty seats for the better fuel burn. That's not how it works.
As it is Delts has both 767 and A330ceo. The A330ceo has a better fuel burn per seat than the 767. The A330neo coming in does change the fuel burn comparison drastically. The A330neo will beat the A330ceo by around 15% per seat and the difference to the 767-300ER will be above 20%. It is about the same step as going from an 757-200 to a 737MAX or A321neo in fuel burn.
Furthermore there are about 35 767-300/300ER with PW engines getting on in years, the youngest more than 20 and the oldest about 29. There are a few old GE powered 767-300ER in between. All the younger ones are GE powered including the 767-400ER. But all 767 are older than the oldest A330ceo.
TTailedTiger wrote:Off-topic but does Delta have enough current narrowbody aircraft on order to replace the 738 and A320? The 738 isn't getting any cabin updates so I assume it's days are numbered. They have the A220, 100 A320neo and 100 A320neo options. The A220 and A321ceo will replace MD-88 and MD-90 so it seems they have enough aircraft on order to renew the narrowbody fleet.
FlightLevel360 wrote:Why take less A350s? The A330-900 clearly does not have the range to fly many of Delta's pacific long haul routes except for the ones from Seattle.
trex8 wrote:NateGreat wrote:If Delta really wants to go for a smaller widebody in the next few years, I think they should order the 797.
Define next few years, 797 not likely to EIS before 2025 at earliest (if you believe Boeing and maybe 2 years later if you believe other aviation pundits). You need something in any number sooner than that you need to look at whats being produced today, or a derivative of whats presently available..
seabosdca wrote:Let's add a bit of reality to this thread.
1) I can't imagine this is a replacement for 359s. Delta will have a use for every 359 on order even if the current order does not replace any 777s. What I do suspect this might be is an opportunistic deal that allowed Delta to defer 359s with less penalty and Airbus to add a few badly needed 339 orders.
2) The 333 and 339 both have significantly lower fuel burn per seat than the 763, but they don't have lower absolute fuel burn or trip cost. If they did, we would see the 330 fleet continue to be used at maximum capacity during the winter, with quite a few 767s parked. Instead we see some slack in both the 330 and 763 fleets. Even the 787, which has a fuel burn advantage over either generation of 330, can't quite match 763 trip cost.
3) If there is any widebody flying substantial numbers of domestic transcons in the future, it will be a 797. The A330 is great, but it's too much airplane for those missions. You'll see A330s or other international widebodies flying domestically in the same situations you do today: for positioning or on specific trips with very high premium demand.
mjoelnir wrote:The 797 is a Boeings fan boy's dream, still an absolut paper aeroplane.
The No. 2 U.S. carrier wants to be one of the first to fly a potential new mid-sized jetliner from Boeing, said Delta Chief Executive Officer Ed Bastian.
That’s a vote of confidence from one of the most influential aircraft buyers as Boeing decides whether to build the plane, dubbed the 797 by analysts.
“You’re going to see us participate in Boeing’s middle-of-the-market campaign,” Bastian said. “I hope that we’re going to be a launch customer on that program as well.”
TTailedTiger wrote:Off-topic but does Delta have enough current narrowbody aircraft on order to replace the 738 and A320? The 738 isn't getting any cabin updates so I assume it's days are numbered.
aemoreira1981 wrote:FlightLevel360 wrote:Why take less A350s? The A330-900 clearly does not have the range to fly many of Delta's pacific long haul routes except for the ones from Seattle.
Delta may be deferring for the 251t version, which would have roughly the same range as the Boeing 777-200ER.