Moderators: jsumali2, richierich, ua900, PanAm_DC10, hOMSaR
Newbiepilot wrote:There is enough feed for an 830am departure ATL-LHR. I think it would be a good option. There are a number of people who do not like red eye flights or rushing to the airport after work.
Regarding comparisons to ORD, Chicago has more demand to London than Atlanta (1.1M vs 650K). That helps sustain demand since the daytime flights are heavily based on O/D.
Miami may be more likely to get a daytime flight than Atlanta since Miami to London demand is almost 1M passengers per year. Although visas are an issue, there is a lot of feed for an 8am MIA-LHR flight from Latin America
Newbiepilot wrote:There is enough feed for an 830am departure ATL-LHR. I think it would be a good option. There are a number of people who do not like red eye flights or rushing to the airport after work.
Regarding comparisons to ORD, Chicago has more demand to London than Atlanta (1.1M vs 650K). That helps sustain demand since the daytime flights are heavily based on O/D.
Miami may be more likely to get a daytime flight than Atlanta since Miami to London demand is almost 1M passengers per year. Although visas are an issue, there is a lot of feed for an 8am MIA-LHR flight from Latin America
MalevTU134 wrote:Newbiepilot wrote:There is enough feed for an 830am departure ATL-LHR. I think it would be a good option. There are a number of people who do not like red eye flights or rushing to the airport after work.
Regarding comparisons to ORD, Chicago has more demand to London than Atlanta (1.1M vs 650K). That helps sustain demand since the daytime flights are heavily based on O/D.
Miami may be more likely to get a daytime flight than Atlanta since Miami to London demand is almost 1M passengers per year. Although visas are an issue, there is a lot of feed for an 8am MIA-LHR flight from Latin America
Is there? That flight would arrive into London at 10 or 11pm, so no onward connections would be possible. And London is not a huge destination in Europe from Latin America, especially as the UK (and Ireland) demands that passport holders from several Latin American countries get a visa, unlike the Schengen countries.
Newbiepilot wrote:MalevTU134 wrote:Newbiepilot wrote:There is enough feed for an 830am departure ATL-LHR. I think it would be a good option. There are a number of people who do not like red eye flights or rushing to the airport after work.
Regarding comparisons to ORD, Chicago has more demand to London than Atlanta (1.1M vs 650K). That helps sustain demand since the daytime flights are heavily based on O/D.
Miami may be more likely to get a daytime flight than Atlanta since Miami to London demand is almost 1M passengers per year. Although visas are an issue, there is a lot of feed for an 8am MIA-LHR flight from Latin America
Is there? That flight would arrive into London at 10 or 11pm, so no onward connections would be possible. And London is not a huge destination in Europe from Latin America, especially as the UK (and Ireland) demands that passport holders from several Latin American countries get a visa, unlike the Schengen countries.
London doesn’t have a whole lot of nonstop flights to Latin America. Perhaps I exaggerated. Traffic goes through Madrid, Lisbon, and other cities including New York and Miami. Perhaps it isn’t a lot, but there is probably some feed available through either ATL or MIA. Both ATL and MIA have a number of inbound red eye flights. Visas and immigration can be a deterrent for transiting the US, but many high yielding passengers going to the UK also have US visas or are outbound from London.
RJNUT wrote:They have not ever run a daylight flight from ATL-LHR.
I have used AA's 9am out of ORD-LHR but connected inward from MCI which departed 610am ,so I had to get up at 3am, so it really put me in same "jet lag" condition as overnight flight.
bagoldex wrote:Newbiepilot wrote:There is enough feed for an 830am departure ATL-LHR. I think it would be a good option. There are a number of people who do not like red eye flights or rushing to the airport after work.
Regarding comparisons to ORD, Chicago has more demand to London than Atlanta (1.1M vs 650K). That helps sustain demand since the daytime flights are heavily based on O/D.
Miami may be more likely to get a daytime flight than Atlanta since Miami to London demand is almost 1M passengers per year. Although visas are an issue, there is a lot of feed for an 8am MIA-LHR flight from Latin America
Those numbers represent both local and connecting traffic. Daytime flights only really work on routes with large amounts of local premium traffic hence New York, Boston, DC and Chicago. Miami would fit the bill in that regard but it's probably too long of a flight to be viable as a daylight flight(undesirably early departure or late arrival). Atlanta and Philadelphia aren't quite in the same league.
knope2001 wrote:RJNUT wrote:They have not ever run a daylight flight from ATL-LHR.
I have used AA's 9am out of ORD-LHR but connected inward from MCI which departed 610am ,so I had to get up at 3am, so it really put me in same "jet lag" condition as overnight flight.
Interesting -- to me the daylight was perfect since although I did have a long travel day it was bed time when we got to London. Woke up the next day with no jet lag at all. Perhaps a YMMV situation...
GSP psgr wrote:Delta's striking as the only one of the US3 not to run a daylight flight to LHR from one of their big trunk hubs as AA (ORD) and UA (IAD & EWR) do. This got me wondering if Delta has ever run such a flight from the most powerful hub in North America? Such a flight would open up a lot of 1 stop markets, particularly in the in the South, that do not currently enjoy access to an LHR daylight flight. The timings could clearly work: something like:
DLXXX ATL-LHR 0930 2230 763
DLXXX LHR-ATL 0730 1230 763
Then again, the last such additional daylight flight, AA's PHL-LHR daylight with a 757 was a complete and utter flop. Despite being the big gorilla at ORD, UA has declined trying to compete with AA on a daylight ORD-LHR service (although it started one just before 9/11, which was quickly axed). Also, a daylight LHR is a service that might make more sense as a DTW flight given that it could utilize a 752 instead of a 763 from ATL.
RJNUT wrote:They have not ever run a daylight flight from ATL-LHR.
I have used AA's 9am out of ORD-LHR but connected inward from MCI which departed 610am ,so I had to get up at 3am, so it really put me in same "jet lag" condition as overnight flight.
GSP psgr wrote:bagoldex wrote:Newbiepilot wrote:There is enough feed for an 830am departure ATL-LHR. I think it would be a good option. There are a number of people who do not like red eye flights or rushing to the airport after work.
Regarding comparisons to ORD, Chicago has more demand to London than Atlanta (1.1M vs 650K). That helps sustain demand since the daytime flights are heavily based on O/D.
Miami may be more likely to get a daytime flight than Atlanta since Miami to London demand is almost 1M passengers per year. Although visas are an issue, there is a lot of feed for an 8am MIA-LHR flight from Latin America
Those numbers represent both local and connecting traffic. Daytime flights only really work on routes with large amounts of local premium traffic hence New York, Boston, DC and Chicago. Miami would fit the bill in that regard but it's probably too long of a flight to be viable as a daylight flight(undesirably early departure or late arrival). Atlanta and Philadelphia aren't quite in the same league.
While I agree that ATL isn't in the same league as a BOS, WAS, or ORD in terms of LHR demand, in the case of a daylight ATL-LHR, it's somewhat compensated for in that it would fulfill a network need for Delta-providing an option for a daylight service from a trunk hub. It's similar to PMUA's IAD-LHR in that regard. Without connections, I would tend to think at best it was a marginal route. But as the UA network's option for a daylight LHR, it worked.
Tristar787 wrote:And that 8am JFK-LHR on a VS A346 does well. There are many pax connecting from that flight to VS’ LHR-LOS and LHR-DEL flights as they both depart late evening. DL can at least share in the revenue on the JFK-LHR portion of those connecting itineraries.
shaneam12 wrote:Tristar787 wrote:And that 8am JFK-LHR on a VS A346 does well. There are many pax connecting from that flight to VS’ LHR-LOS and LHR-DEL flights as they both depart late evening. DL can at least share in the revenue on the JFK-LHR portion of those connecting itineraries.
Yeah this flight is actually pretty useful for Delta's network. All of the redeyes from the west coast can connect at JFK for the continuation towards London and the rest of Europe. Morning flights can work if you get slots and have an adequate amount of connecting passengers.
lhrsfosyd wrote:Red eyes ATL-LON and LON-ATL might have more than a chance than day-time ATL-LHR.Atlanta won't be able to support a day flight to London. The flight is too long, not enough O&D and not enough transfer traffic at either end. The only other city in North America that could possibly have a day flight to London is Philadelphia with late evening departure by BA from London and morning return similar to BA239/BA238 or BA183/BA178.
georgiaame wrote:Many, many moons have passed, I once took a BA morning flight from JFK into LHR. Worst case of jet lag I've ever had. Left at a great hour, easy flight, landed in London I swear in the middle of the night, wide awake - probably around 10 or 11PM locally, couldn't sleep, wound up having to wake up at 2AM my time to catch a flight into Italy. Never, ever again! Could be wrong, but I suspect both passengers and crew would have the same reaction I had back in the '70s. It really sounds like a reasonable, great idea, but it sure didn't work for me.
2travel2know2 wrote:lhrsfosyd wrote:Red eyes ATL-LON and LON-ATL might have more than a chance than day-time ATL-LHR.Atlanta won't be able to support a day flight to London. The flight is too long, not enough O&D and not enough transfer traffic at either end. The only other city in North America that could possibly have a day flight to London is Philadelphia with late evening departure by BA from London and morning return similar to BA239/BA238 or BA183/BA178.
That's if DL ATL has plenty of late evening arrivals around 2400 and early morning departures around 0600. Be reminded that LON-ATL red-eyes won't be able to operate out of LHR or perhaps even out of LGW because curfew.
IMHO, PHL-LHR - be AA or BA - will happen soon, even if only a couple of days per week summer time only.
usdcaguy wrote:The problem with a daylight ATL-LHR flight is that it wouldn't catch enough connecting traffic from passengers originating from cities over about an hour from ATL. If you look at flights arriving into ATL before 0830, you will notice that, with the exception of redeyes, most all of them come from places that are within the southeastern part of the US (JAX/AVL/CHS/CLT/TYS, etc.) Those flights are generally the RON sections that DL runs out of ATL after 10p the previous night. I think to make a determination whether the flight would get enough flow, you'd have to pull data and see where passengers to LON are originating and add those up to see if the potential connecting mix would be similar to that of the afternoon/evening flights. My guess is that it would be relatively weak. That said, ATL-originating traffic may be growing, and the popularity of the daylight flights is clear, so there may still be some salience to the idea.
N649DL wrote:Fun fact: Years ago, I want to say 2009ish DL did run an evening ATL-LGW flight alongside the LHR flight shortly after they were allowed to operate it. It operated MCO-ATL-LGW and was on a 763.
GSP psgr wrote:While I agree that ATL isn't in the same league as a BOS, WAS, or ORD in terms of LHR demand, in the case of a daylight ATL-LHR, it's somewhat compensated for in that it would fulfill a network need for Delta-providing an option for a daylight service from a trunk hub. It's similar to PMUA's IAD-LHR in that regard. Without connections, I would tend to think at best it was a marginal route. But as the UA network's option for a daylight LHR, it worked.
knope2001 wrote:As much as I am an advocate of daytime eastbound TATL I wonder if there's a fundamental problem on demand side
MalevTU134 wrote:As somebody who used to be involved in TATL route planning for a major US airline for several years, my comment is one of incredulity. It's like a.net is trying to reinvent the wheel. I mean, don't you guys think DL knows all this and has the information available at the push of a button? PDEWs, yields, operational costs, aircraft rotation availabilities, ditto for crew, available connections, PAX surveys, and a lot more...
As always, the answer to these questions here on a.net (why doesn't airline YY fly from XXX to YYY, or daytime or with an A380 or whatever) is that it sees more potential in using its limited resources on another route or at other hours. It doesn't even need to be that the conclusion is that it wouldn't be profitable, just that using those resources to operate another route is even more profitable. So, to do the exercises done by a few posters here (of possible connections, arrival times et cetera) is futile when you have no clue what other options the airline has for using those same resources.
Sorry to be such a bore...
UALFAson wrote:MalevTU134 wrote:As somebody who used to be involved in TATL route planning for a major US airline for several years, my comment is one of incredulity. It's like a.net is trying to reinvent the wheel. I mean, don't you guys think DL knows all this and has the information available at the push of a button? PDEWs, yields, operational costs, aircraft rotation availabilities, ditto for crew, available connections, PAX surveys, and a lot more...
As always, the answer to these questions here on a.net (why doesn't airline YY fly from XXX to YYY, or daytime or with an A380 or whatever) is that it sees more potential in using its limited resources on another route or at other hours. It doesn't even need to be that the conclusion is that it wouldn't be profitable, just that using those resources to operate another route is even more profitable. So, to do the exercises done by a few posters here (of possible connections, arrival times et cetera) is futile when you have no clue what other options the airline has for using those same resources.
Sorry to be such a bore...
While I get what you are saying, I think there is a difference between starting a thread with "Let's have a discussion about the pros and cons of offering XX flight at YY time on ZZ equipment" versus "Hey, I've got a brilliant idea for a route that those stupid route planners must have never thought of!" I see this thread as more of the former.
Not everyone on here has worked as a professional international route planner at a major U.S. airline like you have. I don't see what the problem is with speculating or having a fact-based discussion about the industry that may actually teach people something. I can understand why you maybe feel defensive when these types of questions are asked, but please either play along and/or share your professional experience, or ignore threads like these and let the conversation be had without you. Thanks.
georgiaame wrote:Many, many moons have passed, I once took a BA morning flight from JFK into LHR. Worst case of jet lag I've ever had. Left at a great hour, easy flight, landed in London I swear in the middle of the night, wide awake - probably around 10 or 11PM locally, couldn't sleep, wound up having to wake up at 2AM my time to catch a flight into Italy. Never, ever again! Could be wrong, but I suspect both passengers and crew would have the same reaction I had back in the '70s. It really sounds like a reasonable, great idea, but it sure didn't work for me.
Tristar787 wrote:And that 8am JFK-LHR on a VS A346 does well. There are many pax connecting from that flight to VS’ LHR-LOS and LHR-DEL flights as they both depart late evening. DL can at least share in the revenue on the JFK-LHR portion of those connecting itineraries.
lhrsfosyd wrote:Atlanta won't be able to support a day flight to London. The flight is too long, not enough O&D and not enough transfer traffic at either end. The only other city in North America that could possibly have a day flight to London is Philadelphia with late evening departure by BA from London and morning return similar to BA239/BA238 or BA183/BA178.
Samrnpage wrote:I am sure the CEOs of all the airlines in question would have asked this question themselves and researched and came up with the idea that its best not doing it.
MIflyer12 wrote:lhrsfosyd wrote:Atlanta won't be able to support a day flight to London. The flight is too long, not enough O&D and not enough transfer traffic at either end. The only other city in North America that could possibly have a day flight to London is Philadelphia with late evening departure by BA from London and morning return similar to BA239/BA238 or BA183/BA178.
PHL, huh? PHL is not exactly an O&D powerhouse. It gets, what, 60% of ATL's O&D?
acentauri wrote:MIflyer12 wrote:lhrsfosyd wrote:Atlanta won't be able to support a day flight to London. The flight is too long, not enough O&D and not enough transfer traffic at either end. The only other city in North America that could possibly have a day flight to London is Philadelphia with late evening departure by BA from London and morning return similar to BA239/BA238 or BA183/BA178.
PHL, huh? PHL is not exactly an O&D powerhouse. It gets, what, 60% of ATL's O&D?
Show me the data that PHL has 60% of ATL's annual O&D to LHR - the general topic of this thread.