How is the bilateral Air Service Agreement between UAE and Turkey? Is there any available slot for any Turkish and/or UAE carrier to use for ESB DXB?
You have to consider 7 emirates of UAE independently when ASA is concerned, though Dubai Emirate is the dominant figure. As I wrote here before: Once Turkish Trade Consulate to UAE told me during a meeting that UAE offered Turkey to have open skies in exchange for lifting the visa formality for Turkish Citizens to enter UAE. Obviously Turkey refused it.
Current ASA allows the following between Dubai Emirate and Turkey (please correct me if necessary):
DXB-SAW 7w (perhaps 3w)
SAW-DXB 7w (perhaps 3w)
If Turkey accepts improvement of ASA for flights to ADB, AYT, ESB even ADA and TXB, I’m sure Emirates/Fly Dubai will start flights in a short period of time to all of these cities. Obviously TK is against this and will not approve any additional flight until it is absolutely necessary for them.
I don’t see ESB-DXB flight happening soon unless there is a political decision by the government like QR case, which is very unlikely in current political situation.
The future is in the skies.