Over in the BOS thread, i did some work on the BOS routes, but given the Massport connection, I also pulled ORH for the Oct 18 T-100's
file is here: https://drive.google.com/open?id=1eJs9_ ... uEEOwapoBd
Report - How it works.
Due to the large number of combinations of airlines/routes, i've tried to narrow down things a little to break it up a bit. So here goes...
Flights, Seats, Pax, Avg Seats per Flight % Seats % Pax and Load %
(note for % Seats and % Pax), the calculation is within its block
BOS-AUS, there are 3 carriers on the route, B6, DL and WN, so for their % Seats counts, it's 32.69% for B6, 34.21% for DL, 33.10% for WN, which adds up to 100% of the seats on the route.
As AUS is the only route in the Texas category, the BOS-AUS total is 100% of seats in that category, if you look at Houston (HOU and IAH), then 73% of seats go to IAH and 27% to HOU), Texas is then part of the bigger category of the Southwest, so you are up against Dallas and Houston, so it's 15% of the seats to the overall region. It will make more sense as you read it.
Texas BOS-AUS B6 31 4,662 4,253 150 32.69% 33.12%
DL 31 4,879 4,190 157 34.21% 32.63%
WN 31 4,721 4,398 152 33.10% 34.25%
BOS-AUS Total 93 14,262 12,841 153 100.00% 100.00%
Texas Total 93 14,262 12,841 153 15.16% 15.35%
Grand Total 582 94,053 83,678 162 100.00% 100.00%
Tab 3 shows the ORH data Information standalone
Here's the analysis....ORH-FLL (B6)
Overall it's held up ok during the year, 46,614 pax recorded on 57,500 seats for a Load of 81.07%. Stats are skewed to Inbound by about 5.6% and 1,600 pax (83.85% vs 78.28%), best month - March with an overall of 88.16%, worst was September with 67%ORH-JFK (B6)
Given that B6 have really set this up as a frame utilization route with the RON at ORH, we have no way of knowing what the true expectations of the route are, well the numbers are in and while it's not awesome, October just provided the best month so far. 14,674 pax on 34,000 seats for 43.16% YTD since the route began, October managed 49.19% with 3,050 pax on 6,200 seats, Heavy slant to Outbound as you might expect with an over 9% skew and over 8,000 pax leaving ORH. back to October and both directions had their best months. 55.58% Outbound and 42.81% inbound , worst month was August was a paltry 37% average, it's going to take a few more positive numbers to see if this is going in the right directions as Oct could be a one-off, but there might just be life in this one, might..ORH-MCO (B6)
Overall it's held up ok during the year like FLL, 46,001 pax recorded on 57,940 seats for a Load of 79.39%. Inbound and Outbound are actually somewhat evenly matched suggesting mostly O&D on this one, 1% skew to Inbound (79.91 vs 78,87), and loads over the year a little more consistent than FLL despite the slightly lower number of pax, best month - July with an overall of 85.10%, worst was September with 71.26%ORH-PHL (B6)
The new kid on the block, we only have 1 month of data available, running the 50 seaters, AA managed a respectable 62.51% overall and 67.20% outbound number in the first month for a total 3,157 pax on 5,050 seats recorded.
Last year the 2 B6 routes (MCO and FLL), by end of Oct had brought in 88,777 pax total, the equivalent for 2018 brought in 92,615, so about a 4.3% increase over last year, some of which would have definitely been an impact from the hurricanes.
In total for 2018, I am recording (without diverts, rectrix etc), 110,446 on the 4 routes, which is a 24.4% increase, when you add in the 3,157 from PHL and 14,674 from JFK.. based on rough calc averages , my guess is ORH will end up with around 135-140K pax by the end of the year, for 2019, bit of a wild card, because later in the year DTW gets thrown in the mix too, but a conservative guess right now puts this year at 185k. how close we will get, who knows...
That feeling when you sit at the end of a runway, brakes are released and the raw power takes over. Now that is a thing of beauty and it never gets old.