I’m sure they could support it, but I thought the same about DEN-MDT, and yet it’s getting cut. I think a lot will depend on the day of the week and timing. Flights at another close by airport (thinking ORF or IAD) are available non-stop or in ORF with WN quite a few easy one-stops.
It just seems that they are getting all these new planes and just starting and stopping routes on a whim. I guess they are making money but eventually it will come back to haunt them as when they come back around for the third or fourth time there reputation is shot at that point... done rant.
There are a few airports in separate U.S. metro areas that are closer to each other than ORF and RIC that will still have nonstop service to DEN on F9 in Summer 2020, including the following:
ORD and MKE
AUS and SAT
CLT and GSP
MSN and MKE
Here are the driving distances between the above city pairs and ORF-RIC:
ORD-MKE - 73.2 mi
AUS-SAT - 76.9 mi
CLT-GSP - 84.2 mi
MSN-MKE - 83.0 mi
ORF-RIC - 85.5 mi
RIC is far enough from ORF to support nonstop service to DEN on F9 since F9 already serves DEN nonstop from destinations such as GSP and MSN that are closer to other airports served by F9 (by driving distance) than RIC is.
The PDEW of RIC-DEN is also almost as big as the PDEW of ORF-RIC as the PDEW of RIC-DEN in Q2 2019 was 126 passengers/day and the PDEW of ORF-DEN was 150 passengers/day. However, UA carried fewer O&D passengers on ORF-DEN than on RIC-DEN in Q2 2019 as the PDEW of RIC-DEN on UA in Q2 2019 was 79 passengers/day compared to a PDEW of 58 passengers/day on ORF-DEN on UA in Q2 2019.
RIC would also be a new market for F9 as opposed to a reentry into a market previously served by F9.
Thanks for the informative post. I don’t doubt RIC could support the service, I was just saying if it is a lousy schedule and timing, there’s a chance RIC customers would stick with WN 1 Stops or United. While there are people that will take the lowest fare no matter what, when traveling as a family timing does make a difference.
RIC is probably more well positioned than MDT is, with BWI having so many options on WN, UA, NK and just this past summer F9 was doing 4x weekly.
I would have thought there would be a better chance to steal customers here in MDT on F9 rather then going head to head with multiple daily non stops on other airlines at BWI. There is a ton of bleed from here.
Even MDT-MCO going to just 2 weekly and nothing else just doesn’t make sense to me. As MCO tends to be the preferred Orlando airport, how does G4 make MDT-SFB work daily most of the year?
It’s one thing to be a cheerleader for your home airport with any service you get, there are some I scratch my head about that aren’t worth starting, but I still firmly believe with proper timing and frequency a route like MDT-DEN should be able to sustain itself.