LJ wrote:SCQ83 wrote:I wonder if the routes that Transavia announced yesterday to be cancelled from AMS (Helsinki, Katowice, Reus, Sofia, Tirana) will be the first to be tried in LEY.
Highly unlikely, the first flights will probably be charter destinations like Palma, Malaga and Antalya. It would make more sense to fly to destinations where people from nearby Almere and Leleystad want to fly to.
Quite likely that both things at the same time happen. This is Ryanair 101 out of neighbouring airports like Barcelona (main) and Girona (secondary), Frankfurt and Hahn, Düsseldorf and Weeze, etc. It makes a lot sense moving destinations like TIA to Lelystad.
For instance in GRO they keep destinations with traffic to the area (e.g. Brussels - also TUI and Brussels Airlines serve BRU-GRO -) coupled with some secondary destinations which are not served from Barcelona (like Thessaloniki or Pescara). So if someone from Pescara wants to go to Barcelona, they have only one non-stop "nearby" choice (GRO). It is a captive market and Ryanair knows it.
Tirana is a perfect example. AMS-TIA on Transavia is the only Netherlands-Albania link. If they move it to LEY, the users (I reckon VFR and some tourism) have no other choice than taking LEY-TIA unless they change somewhere else (AMS-XXX-TIA) likely at a higher cost and time. Flights for VFR also tend to capture regional traffic, so probably from some Albanian living in, let's say, Nijmegen, driving to LEY is even preferable than to AMS (smaller airport, probably much cheaper parking, etc.).
In a way it is not different than the new Rotterdam-Perugia route. Someone from Amsterdam heading for the area might find easier to take a train/car to RTM and fly directly rather than just taking a AMS-FCO flight and taking ground transportation there.
A mix of main beach destinations like AGP, PMI and "captive" markets like TIA would make the most sense.