DobboDobbo wrote:by738 wrote:8herveg wrote:
Interesting. I wonder what the new destinations will be. I think we could see a return to SFO and also SEA, MRU, MBJ, MIA, ANU (all ex TCX destinations from MAN), DEL and BOM (filling in 9W gap) and perhaps JNB and/or CPT?
But perhaps some of the problems at TCX were that some of these long hauls were profit draining loss makers. Have we any evidence to the contrary? and thus why would VS want to start or revisit said routes?
To try and give my thoughts on all the above questions.
I don’t believe there is any data in the public domain regarding the profitability (or not) of TCX’s long haul operations. It has been speculated that it was profitable on the basis that the airline was put up for sale as a profitable part of the business to raise capital (I believe this was the line widely circulated in the press around 8/9 months ago).
Either way, I don’t believe anyone can reasonably expect VS to backfill TCX’s lost capacity on a 1:1 basis - certainly not for S20. However, they have made some pretty ambitious statements as to their intentions, including the use of DL, so let’s see if they walk the walk on that.
In the immediate term, for winter 19/20, I anticipate additional capacity on MCO, JFK and the Caribbean (this has been confirmed by VS). In the slightly less short term, for summer 20, I’m also expecting a strengthening of the likes of LAX, LAS and perhaps a new route to somewhere like MIA or SFO. I’d not rule out another link to a DL hub so perhaps one of another BOS, or SEA/DTW is in play.
Thereafter it is difficult to say, but I suspect they will want to link MAN with BOM and DEL (perhaps other eastbound destinations) and a seasonal service to either JNB or CPT is intriguing.
The scope of ambition with connect airways and what they might bring for VS and their JV partners is inevitably going to play a part in what is and isn’t possible, so hopefully that will clear up shortly.
IMHO the Delta help could well be simply handing Atlanta back and the return of DL64/5: That’s a pretty easy thing to do and indeed precedent has been set for this already, when Delta operated a brief service in was it 18 months or so ago when Virgin were short of aircraft (broken Boeing/Rolls Royce issues)