keesje wrote:brindabella wrote:morrisond wrote:That is why it makes sense for NMA to be 7W and then you can reuse Fuselage/Nose/Systems on NSA with different Wingbox/wing/gear/tail. A lot of the work will be done on NMA and you can then optimize NMA before building NSA at 60 per month.
There is not enough time before MAX orders dry up to do a clean sheet 8W NMA and then a clean sheet 6W NSA.
As NMA would probably arrive 2026-2027 under this approach - NSA following 2029-2030 brings it into the time frame when new engines would be available.
I am intrigued - what signs do you see that such might be on the horizon? MAX orders seem, if anything, to be accelerating.
The issue is, that when you would see orders stalling, margin deteriorating, some cancellations and your backlog is shrinking, you are working to fully understand the market & discussing a new aircraft with 2 dozen interested customers, you are probably 3-4 year too late..
You didn’t answer his question.
- Orders aren’t stalling (737MAX outsold the A320neo last year)
- Margins aren’t deteriorating. They appear to be getting better based on financial reports
- Backlog is growing, not shrinking
Nothing you said indicates it is on the horizon.