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PlanesNTrains wrote:747Whale wrote:THS214 wrote:
That is a Airliners.net myth but not the way pilots work. For example when ATC says go around, pilots say on the radio "go around" and then do what needs for go around.
Actually, it's exactly how it works. Aviate. Navigate. Communicate.
In that order.
So you can’t do more than one of those at the same time?
[Waiting to get my head ripped off from the expert]
CanesFan wrote:Uncommanded thrust reverser activation perhaps?
drerx7 wrote:GalaxyFlyer wrote:musman9853 wrote:
only reason i can think of that makes sense is that they knew they were doomed and didnt want to hurt anyone on the ground.
More likely the turn was to avoid weather, which is what they wanted from ATC.
GF
Doubtful. That turn is sudden and intentional... not ATC instructed. This looks like a turn to avoid casualties on the ground.
jetmechanicdave wrote:CanesFan wrote:Uncommanded thrust reverser activation perhaps?
Defiantly not. In the way T/R deployment is done...No
AirstairFear wrote:kabq737 wrote:It is also worth noting that as an all amazon flight it would be very hard for anything but common goods to be on this flight.
Depends on your definition of "very hard". How hard is it for a low-wage Amazon employee to slip a device into a shipment that he knows is bound for an aircraft? Keep in mind these are the caliber of employees that have been occasionally caught pocketing items and shipping empty boxes to the customers instead. If they can get away with that, surely they can get away with swapping items of similar weight.
Also consider what happens when a 3rd party FBA seller has items in an Amazon warehouse that need to be repositioned. (Amazon has no clue what's really in these boxes.) So far I have found just a single article behind a paywall that supposedly says that Amazon Air doesn't airlift 3rd party products, but I refuse to believe that it can never ever happen. Knowing a bit about how Amazon's processes work, or sometimes don't work, as the case may be.
log0008 wrote:Visual representation of the final minutes of FR24 data, thanks to EDDTSpotter on twitter.
LONGisland89 wrote:drerx7 wrote:GalaxyFlyer wrote:
More likely the turn was to avoid weather, which is what they wanted from ATC.
GF
Doubtful. That turn is sudden and intentional... not ATC instructed. This looks like a turn to avoid casualties on the ground.
Um what? They were at 9,000 when they started the left turn. This looks like a turn to avoid weather. Have you listened to the ATC audio? They wanted to go to the West.
musman9853 wrote:KICT wrote:That left turn is bizarre.
only reason i can think of that makes sense is that they knew they were doomed and didnt want to hurt anyone on the ground.
georgiabill wrote:Could a cargo movement affected the center of gravity enough to cause this accident?
Redwood839 wrote:AirstairFear wrote:kabq737 wrote:It is also worth noting that as an all amazon flight it would be very hard for anything but common goods to be on this flight.
Depends on your definition of "very hard". How hard is it for a low-wage Amazon employee to slip a device into a shipment that he knows is bound for an aircraft? Keep in mind these are the caliber of employees that have been occasionally caught pocketing items and shipping empty boxes to the customers instead. If they can get away with that, surely they can get away with swapping items of similar weight.
Also consider what happens when a 3rd party FBA seller has items in an Amazon warehouse that need to be repositioned. (Amazon has no clue what's really in these boxes.) So far I have found just a single article behind a paywall that supposedly says that Amazon Air doesn't airlift 3rd party products, but I refuse to believe that it can never ever happen. Knowing a bit about how Amazon's processes work, or sometimes don't work, as the case may be.
You see to know a bit of the process so I'll chime in.
Little. An FC employee won't know it's heading to the plane at all, they don't know how it's being transported. After it's been packed it moves down the conveyor and at the end it's when it get's it's label, even then, it still doesn't say how it's being transported to any employee who sees it as in transit to the dock. The label would say the sort center it would go through and the destination center. I.E - LAS6 (Vegas), ONT (Ontario). Can a manager see it, sure, someone in logistics too. Access is severely restricted.
Switching of items is known, yes. But it would have to be something within a very low spec to be able to move through. The tolerance is VERY low for package weight if the scales are calibrated.
In regards to FBA items being transported, yes, it can happen. They can easily be relabelled to be Amazon stock by accident.
I will say, it's a bit far stretched to think that a warehouse employee would cause something like this because of their "caliber". It's completely possible, I'm not saying it's not, it's just a bit too far. There's so many things that would have to be done for this to happen, but whatever Prime Air has in place.
FYI - ex Operations Manager FC (6 years). Was there before Air and after it came along.
prebennorholm wrote:musman9853 wrote:KICT wrote:That left turn is bizarre.
only reason i can think of that makes sense is that they knew they were doomed and didnt want to hurt anyone on the ground.
Yes, that's possible. But with the little we know I hate guess. Anyway I will just mention that the left turn could as well be consistent with a major structual failure on the plane.
I am afraid that the recorders may be very hard to find. Just last week I happened to visit a similar crash site here in Denmark. A Lancaster bomber on its way back home was in 1943 shot down by a German fighter and came down in a steep angle in a similar shallow lake or swamp. Only small bits and pieces were found.
Of the 8 crews the war records tell that "one unidentified torso" was recovered, guesses are that the extra thick and warm leather jacket of the tail gunner contained some human remains.
Fifty years ago the area was drained with channels and pumps and made into grain fields, and the crater and immediate surroundings was made into a proper war grave.
If remains should be recovered (which of course won't happen), then a pretty large area would need to be escavated maybe fifty feet down and filtered. And nothing identifiable would be found except four broken engine blocks and the most sturdy parts of the landing gear.
GEUltraFan9XGTF wrote:What about a sudden cockpit intrusion? A flock of geese through the windows? Rapid decompression?
My guess is #1 mechanical, #2 environmental, (combination of the two).......#3 suicide/intentional deployment of the TR......#4 act of terror or sabotage.
RIP to the crew and peace be with the families.
flyer737sw wrote:What about potential damage due to large hail? A large cumulonimbus cloud can eject hail laterally miles from the cell.
flyer737sw wrote:What about potential damage due to large hail? A large cumulonimbus cloud can eject hail laterally miles from the cell.
GEUltraFan9XGTF wrote:What about a sudden cockpit intrusion? A flock of geese through the windows? Rapid decompression?
My guess is #1 mechanical, #2 environmental, (combination of the two).......#3 suicide/intentional deployment of the TR......#4 act of terror or sabotage.
RIP to the crew and peace be with the families.
aemoreira1981 wrote:georgiabill wrote:Could a cargo movement affected the center of gravity enough to cause this accident?
It could, but on an aircraft hauling package cargo for Amazon only, I doubt that could be the case. That would be more likely on an aircraft hauling heavier goods, such as a 747 or 777 freighter. Remember, a 767-300ER has an MTOW of only about 187t...whereas a 777F is 348t and more on the 747F.
OB1504 wrote:ubeema wrote:OB1504 wrote:Oh my god. I drove past that airplane this morning and saw it getting fueled for the accident flight. I can’t believe it’s destroyed now.
And can you believe more importantly 3 people lost their life! These people have colleagues that happen to be in forums such as this one.
Calm down. That's not how I meant it and you know it.PlanesNTrains wrote:747Whale wrote:
Actually, it's exactly how it works. Aviate. Navigate. Communicate.
In that order.
So you can’t do more than one of those at the same time?
[Waiting to get my head ripped off from the expert]
In a loss of control situation? No. If you can't aviate, you're sure as hell not able to communicate.
GEUltraFan9XGTF wrote:What about a sudden cockpit intrusion? A flock of geese through the windows? Rapid decompression?
My guess is #1 mechanical, #2 environmental, (combination of the two).......#3 suicide/intentional deployment of the TR......#4 act of terror or sabotage.
RIP to the crew and peace be with the families.
G500Captain wrote:PlanesNTrains wrote:747Whale wrote:
Actually, it's exactly how it works. Aviate. Navigate. Communicate.
In that order.
So you can’t do more than one of those at the same time?
[Waiting to get my head ripped off from the expert]
Unfortuenately, not. As a corporate jet pilot, and having experienced my fair share of inflight emergencies and simulator experiences, the very first thought is to fix the airplane. From the early reports the plane was already low level (7000’ish) and in a severe nose low attitude. Calling ATC in those situations is very low on ones priority list.
PS I hope I didn’t rip your head off, I was really trying to be nice about it. To me, any question is a fair question.
usflyguy wrote:That's a very small oil/fuel slick... did they have a malfunction and run out of fuel?
SuseJ772 wrote:prebennorholm wrote:musman9853 wrote:
only reason i can think of that makes sense is that they knew they were doomed and didnt want to hurt anyone on the ground.
Yes, that's possible. But with the little we know I hate guess. Anyway I will just mention that the left turn could as well be consistent with a major structual failure on the plane.
I am afraid that the recorders may be very hard to find. Just last week I happened to visit a similar crash site here in Denmark. A Lancaster bomber on its way back home was in 1943 shot down by a German fighter and came down in a steep angle in a similar shallow lake or swamp. Only small bits and pieces were found.
Of the 8 crews the war records tell that "one unidentified torso" was recovered, guesses are that the extra thick and warm leather jacket of the tail gunner contained some human remains.
Fifty years ago the area was drained with channels and pumps and made into grain fields, and the crater and immediate surroundings was made into a proper war grave.
If remains should be recovered (which of course won't happen), then a pretty large area would need to be escavated maybe fifty feet down and filtered. And nothing identifiable would be found except four broken engine blocks and the most sturdy parts of the landing gear.
There are reports they already found the recorders.
AirstairFear wrote:kabq737 wrote:It is also worth noting that as an all amazon flight it would be very hard for anything but common goods to be on this flight.
Depends on your definition of "very hard". How hard is it for a low-wage Amazon employee to slip a device into a shipment that he knows is bound for an aircraft? Keep in mind these are the caliber of employees that have been occasionally caught pocketing items and shipping empty boxes to the customers instead. If they can get away with that, surely they can get away with swapping items of similar weight.
Also consider what happens when a 3rd party FBA seller has items in an Amazon warehouse that need to be repositioned. (Amazon has no clue what's really in these boxes.) So far I have found just a single article behind a paywall that supposedly says that Amazon Air doesn't airlift 3rd party products, but I refuse to believe that it can never ever happen. Knowing a bit about how Amazon's processes work, or sometimes don't work, as the case may be.
CanesFan wrote:jetmechanicdave wrote:CanesFan wrote:Uncommanded thrust reverser activation perhaps?
Defiantly not. In the way T/R deployment is done...No
I was just thinking of the Lauda Air crash back in the 90's.
usflyguy wrote:That's a very small oil/fuel slick... did they have a malfunction and run out of fuel?
LAXLHR wrote:KLASM83 wrote:Miami wrote:
Does it matter what type of flight it was? Lives were lost.
A death is a death is a death, no matter what the haul.
Okay okay, lets not beat that poster up. I'm sure he means "at least" as in, if it was a passenger plane the death toll would be much higher!! Of course one life lost is one life too many. It's very sad.
SaveFerris wrote:In the case of the National crash it was a result of a 15ish ton MRAP breaking free of its straps and rolling to the aft area of the cargo hold.
SaveFerris wrote:GEUltraFan9XGTF wrote:What about a sudden cockpit intrusion? A flock of geese through the windows? Rapid decompression?
My guess is #1 mechanical, #2 environmental, (combination of the two).......#3 suicide/intentional deployment of the TR......#4 act of terror or sabotage.
RIP to the crew and peace be with the families.
If by “cockpit instrusion” you mean someone gaining access to the flight deck you could rule that out. The way the freighter is designed there is no flight deck door as there is no cabin. You walk in the L1 door and the whole flight deck area is open. Unfortunately we can’t rule out nefarious actions by crew members but there would be no “instrusion” as the jumpseater would have been up in the flight deck the entire time. Rapid decompression can be ruled as well as the airplane was so low, even if a door blew out the cabin would only climb to 7000ish feet, the crew wouldn’t even need to be on oxygen.
usflyguy wrote:That's a very small oil/fuel slick... did they have a malfunction and run out of fuel?
dtwpilot225 wrote:We need to be better right now as aviation enthusiests and as compassionate human beings.
No one knows what happened. Airplanes don’t just nose over and dive for no reason. The ntsb will tell us what happen, until then I really feel terrible for the families of atlas air
wjcandee wrote:There are so many (and so few) things that could have gone this catastrophically wrong, from the predictable to the extraordinarily-unlikely, that I think we're gonna find that guessing at what it might have been is going to be pretty-useless. Could be anything from a major mechanical failure to a cascading series of events initiated by distracting conversation with the jumpseater.
You have an experienced crew in a generally-well-maintained aircraft flown by a significant Part 121 airline flying in conditions seen every day. Nobody is going to be able to do more than throw darts at a dartboard until NTSB reads out the CVR and FDR, which they apparently already have.
jensona6 wrote:What if it's a case regarding the Elevator Hardover? This was based on the views of Egyptian Authorities on MS990 crash which again involved a Boeing 767-300ER
twinotter wrote:floridaflyboy wrote:You can write this off as an emotional post. Whatever. But I think there is a small minority in this thread who have their priorities massively wrong.
You're not wrong, and your post is rational. There is a subset of users here who love airplanes (not aviation, airplanes) pathologically. One poster even said his first thought after 9/11 was to think of the airplane. IMO, that indicates a mental illness.