qf002 wrote:RyanairGuru wrote:In short I think it is likely that the A380 will take over at least one current 747 route for the short-medium term until either more 787s or the Sunrise aircraft enter the fleet.
Yes, there is no way QF can rely solely on incoming 787s to replace the 744 fleet. It’s not a coincidence that the A380 refurb program is due to finish up right around the time that the last 744s are due to exit.
That’s assuming the 744s do indeed exit by late-2020. We will have to wait and see.
The 789's on order are all to be delivered in the 2019/2020 financial year so I would say within the next few months we will see a few more options converted into orders for delivery 2020/2021. Once the A380 refurbs are done there will be a spare A380, most of the 747 routes would require 2 to operate a service except for SYD-HKG. If they were to use A330's to HND/NRT they could always either upgrade another SIN flight, make the second SYD flight into A388 as well, the third SYD flight was seasonal and not daily but if that were to be a more permenant thing perhaps merge the 2 flights into 1 A388 and you would have 1 or 2 A330's at your disposal. The other alternative is to upgrade BNE-SIN to A388 but that may be a bit overkill. Personally I wouldnt want to see the A330 off PER-SIN, it would be an open invitation to SQ if they reverted to 738's, between SQ and TR they have up to 6 daily widebodies to PER so I dont necessarily think its in QF's best interest to go back to 738's