Will YVR operate this summer? Perhaps as a 789 service? Potential for it to be extended to a year round service?
I believe it’s only scheduled in DEC19 JAN 20 rather than June July this year. The current 789s probably don’t have enough Y seats for YVR, I’d say it will get a 744 this year atleast. The 789s have more important routes and I agree SYD-SFO makes the most sense for the next route.
I still wonder if there is another lower J confit coming for the likes of SFO, YVR, SCL, JNB? I still feel a couple of these routes could also be good A359 routes for slightly higher volume. A mix of ULR 350 and standard would being nice commonality for flexible missions.
I used to think that one would be useful, say 30J21Y210Y (ish) but I think the higher premium config suits the push toward frequency.
Ie. Take SCL. Currently 4pw 58J 36W 270Y or 232J 144W 1080Y.
Compared to daily premium 789 ; 294J 196W 1162Y
Provides a slight increase in Y capacity and opens up more premium seats which would become more attractive to corporates with a daily schedule. Dropping to say 30J would result in a decrease in capacity to SCL in this scenario.
JNB is a slightly different story but I think would still benefit from a higher premium config when combined eith a 3-4pw 330 from PER.
Ie current 6pw 348J 216W 1620Y
7pw 789 is 294J 196W 1162Y
3pw 332(27J,224Y) from PER 81J 672Y
Total 375J 196W 1834Y
Again a modest increase in capacity but provides more options for growth.
The 388 may play a role in peak periods to provide additional capacity.
I do agree that SYD-SFO would seem to be the next destination for the 789 with a premium 789. The loss in capacity would be countered by an increase on MEL-SFO to daily or perhaps a new SYD/BNE-ORD or even both. The PM departure ties in to a likely SFO--SYD-PER-CDG type operation being on the cards.