I hope Avelo lasts long enough for me to try them in a month or so.
I'm sure they will. Even if they do fail (which I do doubt, with the talent at the airline) they raised much more than Breeze has and lease deals on 738s are great right now. Again, if they do fail, they will be around for more than just a year.
I do believe snagging the BUR slots was a great choice, but at the same time, I didn't expect such a big ramp-up of routes that had a fair amount of indirect competition, (BUR-AZA) nor did I expect them to be on such thin routes (PSC, OGD, etc) - at least, not so early in the operation.
I am sure they will grow into their operation, but they have always said - BUR was purely opportunistic - the real deal is way out east. Having a presence at BUR is a great long-term strategy as the LA Basin keeps expanding. It's already very convenient anyway. I owe the rough start purely to the fact that A) We are still in a pandemic and B) travel levels in the west are way depressed compared to SE, Midwest, etc.
Again, I think BUR is a great long-term play. Doesn't matter if things aren't turning out well at all in the short run since they have the summer season to fall back on... and they'll be announcing their first East Coast base this month. I look forward to seeing Avelo make an imprint in the market, especially out west, where there is little LCC/ULCC presence.