First of all I am going to repeat what has been said and say it's silly to be discussing this when the flight has only operated 5 times. It's also silly to be going off of a seat map.
However, I highly doubt that CLT-MUC can support two carriers. IAD-MUC barely supports two carriers (I believe that LH's flight doesn't operate daily in the off season, I could be wrong), and IAD-MUC is a much larger market and IAD is a *A hub.
IMHO, I believe that AA will be the one to fail. LH has been on the route for 15 years now, and has likely developed the necessary corporate contracts essential to keep the route going. IIRC, the route is sustained by the German (and German-owned companies) POS. I highly doubt that Siemens or BMW or any of the other German firms that utilize the LH service will now jump ship to AA. I've also been under the impression that J makes the flight, everything else in YCL is just gravy.
This is just my personal experience and doesn't represent the routes financials or day to day operations, but when I have utilized the LH flight, the back of the bus seemed to be packed with Indian VFR, and a good number of folks from Eastern Europe. Case in point: when I flew the route in March 2017, we were extremely late leaving from CLT, and the crew announced prior to departure that several connections weren't going to be made (a good number of the pax on board seemed to be connecting to the SQ flight, in fact). Anyway, there were bad thunderstorms at CLT, and we taxied out for departure only to hold for about 90 minutes due to weather, and we had to go back to the gate to refuel. When we went back to the gate, a girl from a couple of rows back asked to call her family in NC to tell her what happened. After the call, she had told me that I was the only one she could find that had a US cell phone...everyone else had a overseas device and I guess they didn't want to use an international charge on her.
It'll be interesting to see how LH's service does on the A350, which is an increase of 38 seats.
To be fair, you can't really compare LH + AA on CLT-MUC to US+ BA on CLT-LON and US+LH on CLT-FRA. First, I'm not entirely sure that US and LH ever operated concurrently on the route together, and CLT was simply a tech-stop on FRA-CLT-IAH where they also accepted passengers. I don't think LH ever operated CLT-FRA without a second USA terminating leg. It's unfair to compare it to US/BA as well, as the airline industry was suffering from the aftermath of 9/11 at the time. BA switched the CLT-LGW nonstop to CLT-BWI-LHR, which likely killed the route, in addition to the overall economic downturn.
Last edited by USAirALB
on Thu Apr 04, 2019 6:47 am, edited 1 time in total.
RJ85, F70, E135, E140, E145, E70, E75, E90, CR2, CR7, CR9, 717, 732, 733, 734, 735, 73G, 738, 739, 744ER, 752, 753, 762, 772, 77E, 77W, 789, 319, 320, 321, 332, 333, 343, 359, 388