SESGDL wrote:lightsaber wrote:SESGDL wrote:
I don't imagine the 717s will start to go until after the 88s/90s are completely gone, so I think it'll be at least 2022-2023 before the 717s start being retired in mass. I agree however that the 717s are next on the chopping block after the other T-tails, along with the oldest 320s and 757s. DL already has enough aircraft on order to replace a good portion (nearly all A320s and 757s, MD-80s and MD-90s and roughly half of the 717s) of the narrowbody fleet.
I think the 717s will go after the MD-88s, but earlier than you think. The A220 and E2-195 are hungry for more orders. The 717s were leased when:
1. Available cheap (recall, WN subsidizes the leases).
2. New aircraft were pricey.
3. RR promised much longer overhaul intervals on the BR700. I doubt they were able to develop this PIP with all the other work.
I think the 717s could be gone by 2023.
I would agree with that but see no way that DL could possibly take 150 A220s in 4 years, Bombardier simply can’t produce them that quick.
I believe that it is possible. Embraer could make a 100 E2 a year and would happily surge for a DL order. I assume deliveries in 2021 -2025... Yea, redoing the math, the 717 survives a little longer unless Embraer wins an order