Moderators: jsumali2, richierich, ua900, PanAm_DC10, hOMSaR
CPHFF wrote:1 200 flights for Monday and Tuesday are cancelled. 115 000 passengers affected.
greendot wrote:happytraveller wrote:As a lot of people have found out the hard way, many jobs can be done by a computer/robot now, so perhaps the pilots should think twice before demanding large salary increases for a job that is POSSIBLE to be carried out by a computer.
Flight decks on many large a/c went down from 3 crew to 2 crew, and with technology it is possible to reduce this further. And if oil prices return to previous levels then the golden times for airlines may be over. Striking by the pilots may not be smart move.
Jerry
Jerry, pilots will never have to think twice about this, unless androids are made who can think as well as humans.
Firstly, you greatly misunderstand aviation. Aviation is all about finding a solution in an imperfect world. Pilots always negotiate limited and imperfect input data to make decisions. For example, you cannot just rely on the colors seen on weather radar. Radar can suffer from various 'undetected' malfunctions including attenuation, which masks bigger storms behind one significant cell. Radar also does not reliably demonstrate the presence of hail, severe turbulence, or lightning. The Radar on my aircraft does show hail, turbulence, and lightning but it is NOT reliable by any stretch. It supposedly even subtracts out terrain at low altitudes to only display weather, but in practice it does a horrible job. Radar is not a 100% reliable system and LOTS of interpretation and use of unconventional wisdom to properly utilize. If you were writing software, do you simply code your system to avoid anything "red" on the radar?
Secondly, you assume that the technological systems that fly the airplane can ever be equal to a human. Humans operate without electrical power. They operate in times of severe electromagnetic interference. They are immune from cyberattacks. Humans are not limited by what they are programmed to do. Even if all aircraft sensors fail, a human pilot can still land an aircraft. If a birdstrike takes out most aircraft electronics, a human can still land an aircraft. Etc, etc, etc....
The basic problem with assuming a technological only solution is that the technology will never be implemented to its theoretical limits. Look at the recent 737Max incidents. Why is something as simple as the MCAS system so flawed? It's because it costs more to properly engineer a 3 sensor system. Personally, I wouldn't even bet my life on a 3 sensor system because it assumes that all 3 sensors don't have the same flaw, which we saw happen over the Atlantic. Quite simply, no company will spend 5000000% more to get a 2% decrease in the probability of failure. This has been the history of the nuclear industry, the medical industry, and especially government (recall the levies in New Orleans not designed in the 1 in 1000 yr storm). So, engineers will not be allowed to design a system (hardware & software) that is anywhere near as robust as a human. Like it or not, insurance companies and governments place a cost to each human life. That's why you don't get trillions in payouts from every death involving aircraft. At some point, the bean counters will rationalize an inferior technological system using statistics such as "1 in 1,000,000,000,000 chance" or "it's never happened before". Quite simply, having 2 human pilots, is significantly cheaper. At least with pilot error, you don't have to ground an entire fleet.
I'm all for continuing to improve aircraft systems. It helps me greatly to do my job. However, the technology does not make decisions, and if it does, it makes really bad ones without remorse. You should also know that I'm a real engineer, and I write real software, even today. I'm not speaking as a layman. I'm a professional engineer (Master's degree) and an airline pilot. So if you want to discuss the shortcomings of procedural, object oriented, and recursive computer languages, I can.
Pilot salaries must increase and they must improve quality of life. Airlines are typically run by MBA types that are no better than a McDonald's manager for the most part. They don't have sufficient knowledge to understand the business they are overseeing. The same problem is happening in the medical sector with beaurocrats and administrators dictating pricing to doctors. The result is that elite doctors are leaving the profession as well as beaurocratic substitutions such as replacing PhDs with Physician Assistants (PAs). So the immediate instinct of MBAs is to lower salaries in order to show a better bottom line, at the immediate cost of quality of life, and with the long term effect of getting less than the best people applying for the job. Pilot salaries, adjusted for inflation, are nowhere near what they used to be. This needs to be fixed.
B777LRF wrote:Just to put some numbers to it. There are around 1500 pilots in the SAS Group, earning an average of around DKK 66.5K per month + pension. A pay rise of 13% would cost SAS around 175M DKK a year, which is almost 20% of their profits.
happytraveller wrote:As a lot of people have found out the hard way, many jobs can be done by a computer/robot now, so perhaps the pilots should think twice before demanding large salary increases for a job that is POSSIBLE to be carried out by a computer.
Flight decks on many large a/c went down from 3 crew to 2 crew, and with technology it is possible to reduce this further. And if oil prices return to previous levels then the golden times for airlines may be over. Striking by the pilots may not be smart move.
Jerry
B777LRF wrote:Just to put some numbers to it. There are around 1500 pilots in the SAS Group, earning an average of around DKK 66.5K per month + pension. A pay rise of 13% would cost SAS around 175M DKK a year, which is almost 20% of their profits. That's not realistic, not by a long shot
workhorse wrote:B777LRF wrote:Just to put some numbers to it. There are around 1500 pilots in the SAS Group, earning an average of around DKK 66.5K per month + pension. A pay rise of 13% would cost SAS around 175M DKK a year, which is almost 20% of their profits. That's not realistic, not by a long shot
Sharing 20% of profits of a company with people who actually make this company function does not seem to me unrealistic at all.
workhorse wrote:Sharing 20% of profits of a company with people who actually make this company function does not seem to me unrealistic at all.
workhorse wrote:B777LRF wrote:Just to put some numbers to it. There are around 1500 pilots in the SAS Group, earning an average of around DKK 66.5K per month + pension. A pay rise of 13% would cost SAS around 175M DKK a year, which is almost 20% of their profits. That's not realistic, not by a long shot
Sharing 20% of profits of a company with people who actually make this company function does not seem to me unrealistic at all.
workhorse wrote:B777LRF wrote:Just to put some numbers to it. There are around 1500 pilots in the SAS Group, earning an average of around DKK 66.5K per month + pension. A pay rise of 13% would cost SAS around 175M DKK a year, which is almost 20% of their profits. That's not realistic, not by a long shot
Sharing 20% of profits of a company with people who actually make this company function does not seem to me unrealistic at all.
YIMBY wrote:workhorse wrote:Sharing 20% of profits of a company with people who actually make this company function does not seem to me unrealistic at all.
You mean only the pilots make the company function, not the other > 10000 employees.
Sure, the plane may take off if the cleaner has not visited it but not that many time before it gets impossible for the passengers.
Why no others deserve a pay rise of 8600 DKK monthly?
workhorse wrote:B777LRF wrote:Just to put some numbers to it. There are around 1500 pilots in the SAS Group, earning an average of around DKK 66.5K per month + pension. A pay rise of 13% would cost SAS around 175M DKK a year, which is almost 20% of their profits. That's not realistic, not by a long shot
Sharing 20% of profits of a company with people who actually make this company function does not seem to me unrealistic at all.
VSMUT wrote:A Swedish SAS pilot shared his salary slip:
€2540 or $2852 after taxes.
Mortyman wrote:VSMUT wrote:A Swedish SAS pilot shared his salary slip:
€2540 or $2852 after taxes.
But how long has he worked for the company ?
Mortyman wrote:According to NRK ( Norwegian television ) and a discussion / presentation yesterday on TV where the various parties were present, the numbers presented was:
( Monthly pay. Base salary with no adittions added like pr. diem, overtime etc )
First officer:
Beginner salary 37000 NOK ( 4288 USD / 3817 EUR )
After 10 years: 58000 NOK ( 6723 USD / 5983 EUR )
Top salary: 67000 NOK ( 7766 USD / 6912 EUR )
Captain:
Beginner salary 68000 NOK ( 7882 USD / 7014 EUR )
After 10 years 81000 NOK ( 9389 USD / 8355 EUR )
Top salary: 104000 NOK ( 12055 USD / 10728 EUR )
Mortyman wrote:First officer:
Beginner salary 37000 NOK ( 4288 USD / 3817 EUR )
After 10 years: 58000 NOK ( 6723 USD / 5983 EUR )
Top salary: 67000 NOK ( 7766 USD / 6912 EUR )
Captain:
Beginner salary 68000 NOK ( 7882 USD / 7014 EUR )
After 10 years 81000 NOK ( 9389 USD / 8355 EUR )
Top salary: 104000 NOK ( 12055 USD / 10728 EUR )
downtown273 wrote:Mortyman wrote:First officer:
Beginner salary 37000 NOK ( 4288 USD / 3817 EUR )
After 10 years: 58000 NOK ( 6723 USD / 5983 EUR )
Top salary: 67000 NOK ( 7766 USD / 6912 EUR )
Captain:
Beginner salary 68000 NOK ( 7882 USD / 7014 EUR )
After 10 years 81000 NOK ( 9389 USD / 8355 EUR )
Top salary: 104000 NOK ( 12055 USD / 10728 EUR )
Looking at the above, the FO's range between €46k and €83k gross income per year, while the Captains range between €84k and €129k per year. This is basic pay, overtime etc to be included on top.
Also to note, the high income tax rates of the Scandinavian countries.
Of course a Captain at €129k basic will be fine, but I can see a new FO at €46k with NO/DK/SE income tax struggling to make ends meet.
VSMUT wrote:A Swedish SAS pilot shared his salary slip:
€2540 or $2852 after taxes.
downtown273 wrote:Of course a Captain at €129k basic will be fine, but I can see a new FO at €46k with NO/DK/SE income tax struggling to make ends meet.
DYSK wrote:Mortyman wrote:VSMUT wrote:A Swedish SAS pilot shared his salary slip:
€2540 or $2852 after taxes.
But how long has he worked for the company ?
That is after one year of employment
OSL777FLYER wrote:This is not just about the salaries. The 13% being asked for is more from the Swedish pilots.
The situation is that in 2012 when SAS was literally just 2 hours away from bankruptcy, the pilots agreed on wage and pensions cut. "We help you now, you help us later when things are better" I guess was the way of doing things.
That is one part of it. The other part, which seems to be more important is the scheduling and promotion systems. They have an agreement now that SAS wants to change/cancel. The pilots also want a more permanent system with regards to scheduling.
The way the system works now is that about 1.5 months ahead, pilots get their schedule for the next month (I guess this is similar at many airlines?). For some, this means a lot of weekend work, which is not appreciated so much. The old Braathens that SAS purchased, had a system that Norwegian uses (at least for its crews in Norway) which is a set system of 5 days on and 4 days off. It is something like this that the SAS pilots now want.
SAS on their side claim that they are not able to meet this requirement along with the wage increases. It would simply cost too much. The pilots on the other hand, claim that they stepped up back in 2012 when the airline needed help, and now that SAS are doing quite well financially, it is time for some payback "you scratch my back, I'll scratch yours".
It is hard to decide who to side with here. As Carsten Spohr of Lufthansa once said "an airline can never have too much money", yet when they are profitable, maybe it is time to give some back. At least with the scheduling, although that could mean hiring more pilots.
In any case, the strike is costing SAS about 60 Million NOK or €6 million a day. Hopefully a solution can be found, but officially no agreement is even close to fruition yet.
As I really like SAS, I hope a solution can be found soon and that they can continue to make their profits. It is a shame that an airline which struggled for years, gets into a situation like this when things are going well.
The danger for the pilots in this case is that SAS management can use this as a reason to rely more on the contract carriers and strengthen SAS Ireland for example, leading to even more friction within the group.
CPHFF wrote:Negotiations broke down last night. According to the mediator, parties are no closer to an agreement. 620 flights cancelled today (Thursday).
a350lover wrote:For any citizen in mainland Europe, those wages that SAS pilots have published may sound fine. However, it doesn't look nice for someone who lives in Scandinavia. This is another problem of the company. SAS' home markets are ones of the most taxed of the world probably. This leads to prices ofter higher for goods in Scandinavia than in other parts of Europe. However, in this industry globalization happened quite before, and the air-ticket prices are now as low in Scandinavia as in the rest of the world.
Hard to make money in such scenario...
par13del wrote:Just a thought.
SASViking wrote:According to several Scandinavian media, a deal is very close. Also Danish TV2 have just reported, live from Oslo, that an announcement is expected "within a couple of hours and that flights are expected to operate as scheduled from tomorrow"
oslmgm wrote:The domestic market hasn't seen much competition from foreign airlines yet, and my impression is that at least the domestic market in Norway is profitable for both SAS and Norwegian. I guess Ryanair, EasyJet etc would have to establish local bases in Scandinavia to be able to compete efficiently, and then they would be in the same high cost environment.
Someone83 wrote:SASViking wrote:According to several Scandinavian media, a deal is very close. Also Danish TV2 have just reported, live from Oslo, that an announcement is expected "within a couple of hours and that flights are expected to operate as scheduled from tomorrow"
The last thing will not happen, as it will take between 24 and 48 hours untill traffic is back on schedule from the time the strike is called offoslmgm wrote:The domestic market hasn't seen much competition from foreign airlines yet, and my impression is that at least the domestic market in Norway is profitable for both SAS and Norwegian. I guess Ryanair, EasyJet etc would have to establish local bases in Scandinavia to be able to compete efficiently, and then they would be in the same high cost environment.
Both Norwegian and SAS is making money, and also good money, on domestic operations in Norway. However, there are several reasons why a third airline hasn't entered the marked, on key key is lack if slots at prime time at the major airports. In addition, while two airlines is making money, by a third entering the market, it could result in all three losing money.
SASViking wrote:According to several Scandinavian media, a deal is very close. Also Danish TV2 have just reported, live from Oslo, that an announcement is expected "within a couple of hours and that flights are expected to operate as scheduled from tomorrow"
SASViking wrote:According to several Scandinavian media, a deal is very close. Also Danish TV2 have just reported, live from Oslo, that an announcement is expected "within a couple of hours and that flights are expected to operate as scheduled from tomorrow"
santi319 wrote:Strike is over, press conference at 9pm CPH time...
a350lover wrote:I assume that deal would mean that they can reinstate the 1000 people who they just laid off...?
OSL777FLYER wrote:Some people wrote here earlier about how SAS has not been bought out before. Well, back in 2012, the media, as always, speculated that LH might be interested in purchasing them. LH did look at SAS at around 2008, but SAS finances were not so healthy then and in 2012 LH were more interested/occupied in making sure everything went well after their "shopping trip" in Europe acquiring OS,LX,and SN.
santi319 wrote:Strike is over, press conference at 9pm CPH time...
Link in Norwegian only sorry:
https://analytics.twitter.com/mob_idsyn ... d_ads=true
Someone83 wrote:Lufthansa was very close to buy SAS in 2008, and a deal was almost in place. Then came the Spanair flight 5022 accident and the financial crisis. In 2012, SAS was in such poor financial state that Lufthansa didn't want to touch them