
Moderators: jsumali2, richierich, ua900, PanAm_DC10, hOMSaR
oosnowrat wrote:GatorClark wrote:
You're forgetting the "what would Pan Am look like today?", "Airbus vs. Boeing", "why aren't airlines buying more 747's/A380's" & more related to this one, "Why doesnt B6 buy F9/NK?"
And "What will replace the HA 717s?"
KlimaBXsst wrote:No one needs MINT anyway on a transatlantic
Boom Overture SST flight I might add!
WeatherPilot wrote:CaptCoolHand wrote:Blueknows wrote:Pilots are talking about AS in NYC trying to 8 billion dollar B6 acquisition. Think its all BS... What does everyone think?
You like to reference pilots. Who or which pilots are you speaking with. I’m a pilot. At b6. I don’t hear or see what you see. And since you’ve been on this sight, nothing you’ve predicted has been anywhere near accurate.
Just wondering where your intel is coming from?
How's the Coke to Pepsi transition going?
DDR wrote:WeatherPilot wrote:CaptCoolHand wrote:
You like to reference pilots. Who or which pilots are you speaking with. I’m a pilot. At b6. I don’t hear or see what you see. And since you’ve been on this sight, nothing you’ve predicted has been anywhere near accurate.
Just wondering where your intel is coming from?
How's the Coke to Pepsi transition going?
Awesome post! Thanks for the laugh.
CaptCoolHand wrote:Blueknows wrote:Pilots are talking about AS in NYC trying to 8 billion dollar B6 acquisition. Think its all BS... What does everyone think?
You like to reference pilots. Who or which pilots are you speaking with. I’m a pilot. At b6. I don’t hear or see what you see. And since you’ve been on this sight, nothing you’ve predicted has been anywhere near accurate.
Just wondering where your intel is coming from?
MIflyer12 wrote:Mikeer50 wrote:Based on the Virgin sale B6 would be closer to 11 Billion.
B6' market cap is $5.36 Billion. Why would anybody think a 100% premium is appropriate?
DDR wrote:WeatherPilot wrote:CaptCoolHand wrote:
You like to reference pilots. Who or which pilots are you speaking with. I’m a pilot. At b6. I don’t hear or see what you see. And since you’ve been on this sight, nothing you’ve predicted has been anywhere near accurate.
Just wondering where your intel is coming from?
How's the Coke to Pepsi transition going?
Awesome post! Thanks for the laugh.
Bluewho wrote:DDR wrote:WeatherPilot wrote:
How's the Coke to Pepsi transition going?
Awesome post! Thanks for the laugh.
Great actually. We will finally get large bottles of water in the cockpit vs a bag of 20 little ones that end up all over the place. Also an end to Dasani is nice.
Bluewho wrote:Wait how is mint not profitable?
lavalampluva wrote:I don’t know where AS would get the $$$. I’d think the Virgin purchase drained the cash reserves.
lavalampluva wrote:I don’t know where AS would get the $$$. I’d think the Virgin purchase drained the cash reserves.
EA CO AS wrote:lavalampluva wrote:I don’t know where AS would get the $$$. I’d think the Virgin purchase drained the cash reserves.
You’d be wrong. AS has $1.4B in cash on hand plus billions in unencumbered assets and has already paid off half of the cost incurred to buy VX outright. The re-de-leveraging of the balance sheet is happening at a breakneck pace.
Bluewho wrote:DDR wrote:WeatherPilot wrote:
How's the Coke to Pepsi transition going?
Awesome post! Thanks for the laugh.
Great actually. We will finally get large bottles of water in the cockpit vs a bag of 20 little ones that end up all over the place. Also an end to Dasani is nice.
KlimaBXsst wrote:Bluewho wrote:Wait how is mint not profitable?
I guess if MINT is truly a remarkably profitable stand alone asset, it could always be “spun off,” in any potential merger with AA AS DL HA F9 UA WNnif these airlines do not want the complication. Here is my observation of other things which might be considered B6 assets too.
> JFK Slots northeast corridor and BOS
> Early delivery positions for the A220
> Mint as a stand alone asset for purchase
> E190s for their fleet pilot commonality with E175s (are they owned?)
> Airbus Fleet easily integrated into 4 of the big 5 US airlines
> Warm weather focus cities hubs for good on time performance in California and Florida
CobaltScar wrote:Bluewho wrote:DDR wrote:
Awesome post! Thanks for the laugh.
Great actually. We will finally get large bottles of water in the cockpit vs a bag of 20 little ones that end up all over the place. Also an end to Dasani is nice.
What makes you think you will get a big bottle up front? They are still going to carry the small baby bottles , just made by a different company and less of them. And its 12, not 20.
Or so I heard from a neighbor.
TheEuphorian wrote:I can see that AS will get rid of B6's Mint product in favor of their "business" class recliners.
KlimaBXsst wrote:Bluewho wrote:Wait how is mint not profitable?
I guess if MINT is truly a remarkably profitable stand alone asset, it could always be “spun off,” in any potential merger with AA AS DL HA F9 UA WNnif these airlines do not want the complication. Here is my observation of other things which might be considered B6 assets too.
> JFK Slots northeast corridor and BOS
> Early delivery positions for the A220
> Mint as a stand alone asset for purchase
> E190s for their fleet pilot commonality with E175s (are they owned?)
> Airbus Fleet easily integrated into 4 of the big 5 US airlines
> Warm weather focus cities hubs for good on time performance in California and Florida
CobaltScar wrote:They are also getting run out of the trans con game by B6 and are withering on the vine in Cali
joeycapps wrote:Asked a friend who happens to fly for the airline in question. Has zero knowledge of any rumor of this circulating. I know we have some B6 pilots on here, so I'm genuinely curious if my friend is just not part of the cool kids club, or if these rumors really aren't as widespread as some make them out to be.
Bobloblaw wrote:Why hasn’t Boeing made a 757MAX?
Blueknows wrote:Pilots are talking about AS in NYC trying to 8 billion dollar B6 acquisition. Think its all BS... What does everyone think?
CobaltScar wrote:EA CO AS wrote:lavalampluva wrote:I don’t know where AS would get the $$$. I’d think the Virgin purchase drained the cash reserves.
You’d be wrong. AS has $1.4B in cash on hand plus billions in unencumbered assets and has already paid off half of the cost incurred to buy VX outright. The re-de-leveraging of the balance sheet is happening at a breakneck pace.
They are also getting run out of the trans con game by B6 and are withering on the vine in Cali vs. WN.
Its time for another desperate gamble imo.
gunsontheroof wrote:CobaltScar wrote:EA CO AS wrote:
You’d be wrong. AS has $1.4B in cash on hand plus billions in unencumbered assets and has already paid off half of the cost incurred to buy VX outright. The re-de-leveraging of the balance sheet is happening at a breakneck pace.
They are also getting run out of the trans con game by B6 and are withering on the vine in Cali vs. WN.
Its time for another desperate gamble imo.
Ummm...OK. care to expand on that with sources?
tphuang wrote:gunsontheroof wrote:CobaltScar wrote:
They are also getting run out of the trans con game by B6 and are withering on the vine in Cali vs. WN.
Its time for another desperate gamble imo.
Ummm...OK. care to expand on that with sources?
they admitted it in the earnings call and I've posted the numbers all over the place on this forum. The cali transcon market is a major weak spot for AS right now.
acavpics wrote:AS buying B6.... Haha you funny.
DL717 wrote:Blueknows wrote:Pilots are talking about AS in NYC trying to 8 billion dollar B6 acquisition. Think its all BS... What does everyone think?
Maybe try and focus on running the airline they have rather than wind up more financially upside down than they already are. Right now they are one bad recession from becoming nobody’s airline.
MIflyer12 wrote:DL717 wrote:Blueknows wrote:Pilots are talking about AS in NYC trying to 8 billion dollar B6 acquisition. Think its all BS... What does everyone think?
Maybe try and focus on running the airline they have rather than wind up more financially upside down than they already are. Right now they are one bad recession from becoming nobody’s airline.
AS is not in financial peril. If you spent some time with the financial statements (start with the balance sheet) you could see that ALK actually carries less long-term debt than JBLU and has comparable net operating cash flow. They aren't even close in Market Capitalization: ALK at $7.71B and B6 at 5.31B.
That said, a return to operational excellence could be rewarded. Look at how DL has put some distance between itself and AA and UA (and has been rewarded in RASM); look at Spirit vs. Frontier. Reliability is good.
LAXBUR wrote:tphuang wrote:gunsontheroof wrote:
Ummm...OK. care to expand on that with sources?
they admitted it in the earnings call and I've posted the numbers all over the place on this forum. The cali transcon market is a major weak spot for AS right now.
JetBlue has also said the same.
https://skift.com/2019/03/06/jetblue-an ... -fare-war/
The narrative on here is that Alaska is broke and mismanaged. Maybe they are! The Wall Street analysis I read suggests otherwise, that things are improving. I’ll go with Wall Street analysts over airliners.net analysts. I mean many on here do know better. They also seem to know what caused a plane crash within hours of it happening.
https://www.bizjournals.com/seattle/new ... d-for.html
https://www.fool.com/investing/2019/05/ ... -apri.aspx
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/alaska-a ... 01572.html
MIflyer12 wrote:AS is not in financial peril. If you spent some time with the financial statements (start with the balance sheet) you could see that ALK actually carries less long-term debt than JBLU and has comparable net operating cash flow. They aren't even close in Market Capitalization: ALK at $7.71B and B6 at 5.31B.
That said, a return to operational excellence could be rewarded. Look at how DL has put some distance between itself and AA and UA (and has been rewarded in RASM); look at Spirit vs. Frontier. Reliability is good.
Detroit313 wrote:Alaska should go to American Airlines and JetBlue to United.
qf772 wrote:oosnowrat wrote:GatorClark wrote:You're forgetting the "what would Pan Am look like today?", "Airbus vs. Boeing", "why aren't airlines buying more 747's/A380's" & more related to this one, "Why doesnt B6 buy F9/NK?"
And "What will replace the HA 717s?"
When will NWA retire the DC9s?
Detroit313 wrote:The only way Alaska can survive against global airlines like Delta, United and American is to become part of a legacy airline.
Otherwise they will never make money with so much competition by Delta in Seattle.
Detroit313 wrote:The only way Alaska can survive against global airlines like Delta, United and American is to become part of a legacy airline.
Otherwise they will never make money with so much competition by Delta in Seattle.
tphuang wrote:LAXBUR wrote:tphuang wrote:they admitted it in the earnings call and I've posted the numbers all over the place on this forum. The cali transcon market is a major weak spot for AS right now.
JetBlue has also said the same.
https://skift.com/2019/03/06/jetblue-an ... -fare-war/
The narrative on here is that Alaska is broke and mismanaged. Maybe they are! The Wall Street analysis I read suggests otherwise, that things are improving. I’ll go with Wall Street analysts over airliners.net analysts. I mean many on here do know better. They also seem to know what caused a plane crash within hours of it happening.
https://www.bizjournals.com/seattle/new ... d-for.html
https://www.fool.com/investing/2019/05/ ... -apri.aspx
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/alaska-a ... 01572.html
except that when JetBlue did worse in these cali-transcon markets, they were still doing better margin wise than AS in these markets. All the data from past quarters prove that.
If both carriers did 10% worse than a year ago, then the carrier that did better a year ago is still doing better this year by the same margin.
Does that make sense?
As for wall street analysts, I wouldn't boast ALK given their stock performances recently if i were you.MIflyer12 wrote:AS is not in financial peril. If you spent some time with the financial statements (start with the balance sheet) you could see that ALK actually carries less long-term debt than JBLU and has comparable net operating cash flow. They aren't even close in Market Capitalization: ALK at $7.71B and B6 at 5.31B.
That said, a return to operational excellence could be rewarded. Look at how DL has put some distance between itself and AA and UA (and has been rewarded in RASM); look at Spirit vs. Frontier. Reliability is good.
in the past year, the non-GAAP profit numbers for JBLU (if you subtract out the E90/new labor contract cost) and ALK are pretty similar actually. Really doesn't justify the higher market cap of ALK imo. And if you look at their asset, I would say what B6 has at NYC and BOS is more valuable than what ALK has at SEA/SFO/LAX. In an actual takeover, it would require quite a premium to acquire all that gate space and slots that B6 has at JFK.
LAXBUR wrote:you tend to have an anti-Alaska agenda.
LAXBUR wrote:tphuang wrote:LAXBUR wrote:
JetBlue has also said the same.
https://skift.com/2019/03/06/jetblue-an ... -fare-war/
The narrative on here is that Alaska is broke and mismanaged. Maybe they are! The Wall Street analysis I read suggests otherwise, that things are improving. I’ll go with Wall Street analysts over airliners.net analysts. I mean many on here do know better. They also seem to know what caused a plane crash within hours of it happening.
https://www.bizjournals.com/seattle/new ... d-for.html
https://www.fool.com/investing/2019/05/ ... -apri.aspx
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/alaska-a ... 01572.html
except that when JetBlue did worse in these cali-transcon markets, they were still doing better margin wise than AS in these markets. All the data from past quarters prove that.
If both carriers did 10% worse than a year ago, then the carrier that did better a year ago is still doing better this year by the same margin.
Does that make sense?
As for wall street analysts, I wouldn't boast ALK given their stock performances recently if i were you.MIflyer12 wrote:AS is not in financial peril. If you spent some time with the financial statements (start with the balance sheet) you could see that ALK actually carries less long-term debt than JBLU and has comparable net operating cash flow. They aren't even close in Market Capitalization: ALK at $7.71B and B6 at 5.31B.
That said, a return to operational excellence could be rewarded. Look at how DL has put some distance between itself and AA and UA (and has been rewarded in RASM); look at Spirit vs. Frontier. Reliability is good.
in the past year, the non-GAAP profit numbers for JBLU (if you subtract out the E90/new labor contract cost) and ALK are pretty similar actually. Really doesn't justify the higher market cap of ALK imo. And if you look at their asset, I would say what B6 has at NYC and BOS is more valuable than what ALK has at SEA/SFO/LAX. In an actual takeover, it would require quite a premium to acquire all that gate space and slots that B6 has at JFK.
I wasn't boasting at all. Nothing in my post suggested anything anti-B6 but you tend to have an anti-Alaska agenda. ALK has an average overweight rating while JBLU is a hold. But apparently you know more than everyone else. Even that Alaska's market cap isn't correct.
tphuang wrote:LAXBUR wrote:tphuang wrote:
except that when JetBlue did worse in these cali-transcon markets, they were still doing better margin wise than AS in these markets. All the data from past quarters prove that.
If both carriers did 10% worse than a year ago, then the carrier that did better a year ago is still doing better this year by the same margin.
Does that make sense?
As for wall street analysts, I wouldn't boast ALK given their stock performances recently if i were you.
in the past year, the non-GAAP profit numbers for JBLU (if you subtract out the E90/new labor contract cost) and ALK are pretty similar actually. Really doesn't justify the higher market cap of ALK imo. And if you look at their asset, I would say what B6 has at NYC and BOS is more valuable than what ALK has at SEA/SFO/LAX. In an actual takeover, it would require quite a premium to acquire all that gate space and slots that B6 has at JFK.
I wasn't boasting at all. Nothing in my post suggested anything anti-B6 but you tend to have an anti-Alaska agenda. ALK has an average overweight rating while JBLU is a hold. But apparently you know more than everyone else. Even that Alaska's market cap isn't correct.
Here is where you are wrong. I may have my favorites, but my comments about performance are purely based on data. There have been plenty of as supporters liking my comments about as doing well and dl doing poorly in Seattle. I call it as I see it. It's not exactly a secret that as had the worst margins in the publicly listed us airlines in the past 2 quarters.