Moderators: jsumali2, richierich, ua900, PanAm_DC10, hOMSaR
dcajet wrote:Since the Pan Am Clippers in the 30s, San Francisco has been the US premier gateway to Asia. That said, as the LA Metro area grew to become a larger market, LAX overtook SFO. So LAX provides tons of volume, and lots of it is P2P traffic. SFO continues to be the premier hub for connections to Asia, thanks to United's hub. Also the proximity of Silicon Valley. makes the SFO hub very high yielding. Volume is LAX's edge.
xxcr wrote:SFO is only strong in that area because of UA. If you remove UA from the picture, SFO is tiny when it comes to TPAC.
compensateme wrote:Historical is irreverent. After the INA of 1965, Asian immigration boomed and Southern California has been - by far - the largest recipient.
wenders825 wrote:how is HKG larger from SFO
wenders825 wrote:how is HKG larger from SFO
LAX772LR wrote:xxcr wrote:SFO is only strong in that area because of UA. If you remove UA from the picture, SFO is tiny when it comes to TPAC.
There's no evidence to support that.
While with few exceptions (most notable being Hong Kong and India) SFO doesn't have the O&D pull that LAX does, it's still a massive market to Asia. If a US3 carrier didn't have a hub there, it'd just be backfilled by foreign flags. Perhaps not to same extent as today, but nowhere able to accurately be called "tiny" by any stretch of the imagination.
intotheair wrote:It's not a zero sum game. Yes, LAX has more service to Asia and more O&D, but SFO is still a giant market to Asia of its own both in terms of O&D and connections. From an international perspective, California is home to two very large but distinct markets that will always command a huge amount of service, even if one is larger than the other.
MIflyer12 wrote:No. SFO has the connectivity of the UA hub but LAX is a vastly larger market. This is basic demography. It's like asking if PHL is going to overtake NYC in TATL services.
wenders825 wrote:how is HKG larger from SFO
LAXintl wrote:Largest mainland-APAC markets YE09/2018
1. LAX-ICN - 1,091,113
2. SFO-HKG - 1,045,964
3. LAX-TPE - 1,011,489
4. LAX-HKG - 1,001,436
5. LAX-SYD - 918,232
6. SFO-TPE - 898,017
7. LAX-NRT - 878,144
8. LAX-PVG - 822,517
9. JFK-ICN - 690,404
10. SFO-ICN - 677,909
(Note: These are airport pairs. If city-pairs considered than a market like Tokyo(with HND/NRT) climbs list and for example, LAXTYO becomes the largest market).
ronmk1986 wrote:LAXintl wrote:Largest mainland-APAC markets YE09/2018
1. LAX-ICN - 1,091,113
2. SFO-HKG - 1,045,964
3. LAX-TPE - 1,011,489
4. LAX-HKG - 1,001,436
5. LAX-SYD - 918,232
6. SFO-TPE - 898,017
7. LAX-NRT - 878,144
8. LAX-PVG - 822,517
9. JFK-ICN - 690,404
10. SFO-ICN - 677,909
(Note: These are airport pairs. If city-pairs considered than a market like Tokyo(with HND/NRT) climbs list and for example, LAXTYO becomes the largest market).
I’m surprised to find the largest TPAC route from JFK is Seoul, not Tokyo.
What about the overall TPAC traffic from NYC including both JFK and EWR? Which city in APAC is the largest destination from NYC?
chunhimlai wrote:ronmk1986 wrote:LAXintl wrote:Largest mainland-APAC markets YE09/2018
1. LAX-ICN - 1,091,113
2. SFO-HKG - 1,045,964
3. LAX-TPE - 1,011,489
4. LAX-HKG - 1,001,436
5. LAX-SYD - 918,232
6. SFO-TPE - 898,017
7. LAX-NRT - 878,144
8. LAX-PVG - 822,517
9. JFK-ICN - 690,404
10. SFO-ICN - 677,909
(Note: These are airport pairs. If city-pairs considered than a market like Tokyo(with HND/NRT) climbs list and for example, LAXTYO becomes the largest market).
I’m surprised to find the largest TPAC route from JFK is Seoul, not Tokyo.
What about the overall TPAC traffic from NYC including both JFK and EWR? Which city in APAC is the largest destination from NYC?
The figure shows LAX -NRT only
LAX-HND has 234158 passenger from 01-11/2018
chunhimlai wrote:Which airport id more slot constrained
SFO or LAX?
flyer1225 wrote:LAX772LR wrote:xxcr wrote:SFO is only strong in that area because of UA. If you remove UA from the picture, SFO is tiny when it comes to TPAC.
There's no evidence to support that.
While with few exceptions (most notable being Hong Kong and India) SFO doesn't have the O&D pull that LAX does, it's still a massive market to Asia. If a US3 carrier didn't have a hub there, it'd just be backfilled by foreign flags. Perhaps not to same extent as today, but nowhere able to accurately be called "tiny" by any stretch of the imagination.
I'd additionally argue that the only reason for the greater diversity at LAX is the lack of a single dominant US3 carrier, which leads to a larger number of foreign tails as well as US3 competition. At SFO, UA not only handles a lot of TPAC flights for its Asian partners but also eats into any potential for DL and its Asian Skyteam partners, and Oneworld/AA + partners as well.
janders wrote:Per UA townhall connections represent half of boardings at SFO.
If not for such high connectivity feed UA would never be able to serve as many markets simply based on SF demand.
LAXdude1023 wrote:Just because a great deal of Asian flying depends on VFR and Im a demographics nerd, Ill share some Asian demographics data below. Ill do total numbers later.
In 2017, here are the number of Asian immigrants that came to each metro area. This does include all of Asia, not just East Asia:
1. NYC: 62,240
2. Los Angeles: 43,693
3. San Francisco: 20,798
4. Washington DC: 16,625
5. Chicago: 14,336
6. Houston: 14,287
7. Dallas: 14,108
8. San Jose: 13,590
9. Seattle: 11,384
10. Atlanta: 8,947
11. Boston: 8,742
12. Sacramento: 8,703
13. Philadelphia: 8,632
14. Detroit: 8,020
15. San Diego: 7,595
16. Riverside: 5,590
China, India, Vietnam, and the Philippines are the largest Asian contributors to US immigration so they are broken down below. Again, these numbers are from 2017:
China:
New York: 18,222
Los Angeles: 9,999
San Francisco: 6,769
San Jose: 2,926
Boston: 2,262
Washington DC: 1,908
Seattle: 1,896
Chicago: 1,793
Philadelphia: 1,696
Houston: 1,673
Riverside: 1,147
Dallas: 1,122
India:
New York: 9,551
Chicago: 3,713
Dallas: 2,956
San Francisco: 2,827
San Jose: 2,468
Houston: 2,328
Philadelphia: 2,068
Los Angeles: 2,023
Washington DC: 1,949
Atlanta: 1,948
Boston: 1,477
Seattle: 1,468
Philippines:
Los Angeles: 5,961
New York: 3,720
San Francisco: 2,955
Honolulu: 2,312
San Diego: 1,721
Chicago: 1,667
Las Vegas: 1,488
Riverside: 1,324
Washington DC: 1,153
Seattle: 1,139
San Jose: 1,138
Vietnam:
Los Angeles: 5,791
Houston: 2,805
San Jose: 2,782
Dallas: 1,674
Seattle: 1,647
San Francisco: 1,251
Washington DC: 1,234
Atlanta: 1,139
BA744PHX wrote:LAXdude1023 wrote:Just because a great deal of Asian flying depends on VFR and Im a demographics nerd, Ill share some Asian demographics data below. Ill do total numbers later.
In 2017, here are the number of Asian immigrants that came to each metro area. This does include all of Asia, not just East Asia:
1. NYC: 62,240
2. Los Angeles: 43,693
3. San Francisco: 20,798
4. Washington DC: 16,625
5. Chicago: 14,336
6. Houston: 14,287
7. Dallas: 14,108
8. San Jose: 13,590
9. Seattle: 11,384
10. Atlanta: 8,947
11. Boston: 8,742
12. Sacramento: 8,703
13. Philadelphia: 8,632
14. Detroit: 8,020
15. San Diego: 7,595
16. Riverside: 5,590
China, India, Vietnam, and the Philippines are the largest Asian contributors to US immigration so they are broken down below. Again, these numbers are from 2017:
China:
New York: 18,222
Los Angeles: 9,999
San Francisco: 6,769
San Jose: 2,926
Boston: 2,262
Washington DC: 1,908
Seattle: 1,896
Chicago: 1,793
Philadelphia: 1,696
Houston: 1,673
Riverside: 1,147
Dallas: 1,122
India:
New York: 9,551
Chicago: 3,713
Dallas: 2,956
San Francisco: 2,827
San Jose: 2,468
Houston: 2,328
Philadelphia: 2,068
Los Angeles: 2,023
Washington DC: 1,949
Atlanta: 1,948
Boston: 1,477
Seattle: 1,468
Philippines:
Los Angeles: 5,961
New York: 3,720
San Francisco: 2,955
Honolulu: 2,312
San Diego: 1,721
Chicago: 1,667
Las Vegas: 1,488
Riverside: 1,324
Washington DC: 1,153
Seattle: 1,139
San Jose: 1,138
Vietnam:
Los Angeles: 5,791
Houston: 2,805
San Jose: 2,782
Dallas: 1,674
Seattle: 1,647
San Francisco: 1,251
Washington DC: 1,234
Atlanta: 1,139
Out of curiosity, what is your source?
LAXdude1023 wrote:Just because a great deal of Asian flying depends on VFR and Im a demographics nerd, Ill share some Asian demographics data below. Ill do total numbers later.
In 2017, here are the number of Asian immigrants that came to each metro area. This does include all of Asia, not just East Asia:
1. NYC: 62,240
2. Los Angeles: 43,693
3. San Francisco: 20,798
4. Washington DC: 16,625
5. Chicago: 14,336
6. Houston: 14,287
7. Dallas: 14,108
8. San Jose: 13,590
9. Seattle: 11,384
10. Atlanta: 8,947
11. Boston: 8,742
12. Sacramento: 8,703
13. Philadelphia: 8,632
14. Detroit: 8,020
15. San Diego: 7,595
16. Riverside: 5,590
China, India, Vietnam, and the Philippines are the largest Asian contributors to US immigration so they are broken down below. Again, these numbers are from 2017:
China:
New York: 18,222
Los Angeles: 9,999
San Francisco: 6,769
San Jose: 2,926
Boston: 2,262
Washington DC: 1,908
Seattle: 1,896
Chicago: 1,793
Philadelphia: 1,696
Houston: 1,673
Riverside: 1,147
Dallas: 1,122
India:
New York: 9,551
Chicago: 3,713
Dallas: 2,956
San Francisco: 2,827
San Jose: 2,468
Houston: 2,328
Philadelphia: 2,068
Los Angeles: 2,023
Washington DC: 1,949
Atlanta: 1,948
Boston: 1,477
Seattle: 1,468
Philippines:
Los Angeles: 5,961
New York: 3,720
San Francisco: 2,955
Honolulu: 2,312
San Diego: 1,721
Chicago: 1,667
Las Vegas: 1,488
Riverside: 1,324
Washington DC: 1,153
Seattle: 1,139
San Jose: 1,138
Vietnam:
Los Angeles: 5,791
Houston: 2,805
San Jose: 2,782
Dallas: 1,674
Seattle: 1,647
San Francisco: 1,251
Washington DC: 1,234
Atlanta: 1,139
nry wrote:LAXdude1023 wrote:Just because a great deal of Asian flying depends on VFR and Im a demographics nerd, Ill share some Asian demographics data below. Ill do total numbers later.
In 2017, here are the number of Asian immigrants that came to each metro area. This does include all of Asia, not just East Asia:
1. NYC: 62,240
2. Los Angeles: 43,693
3. San Francisco: 20,798
4. Washington DC: 16,625
5. Chicago: 14,336
6. Houston: 14,287
7. Dallas: 14,108
8. San Jose: 13,590
9. Seattle: 11,384
10. Atlanta: 8,947
11. Boston: 8,742
12. Sacramento: 8,703
13. Philadelphia: 8,632
14. Detroit: 8,020
15. San Diego: 7,595
16. Riverside: 5,590
China, India, Vietnam, and the Philippines are the largest Asian contributors to US immigration so they are broken down below. Again, these numbers are from 2017:
China:
New York: 18,222
Los Angeles: 9,999
San Francisco: 6,769
San Jose: 2,926
Boston: 2,262
Washington DC: 1,908
Seattle: 1,896
Chicago: 1,793
Philadelphia: 1,696
Houston: 1,673
Riverside: 1,147
Dallas: 1,122
India:
New York: 9,551
Chicago: 3,713
Dallas: 2,956
San Francisco: 2,827
San Jose: 2,468
Houston: 2,328
Philadelphia: 2,068
Los Angeles: 2,023
Washington DC: 1,949
Atlanta: 1,948
Boston: 1,477
Seattle: 1,468
Philippines:
Los Angeles: 5,961
New York: 3,720
San Francisco: 2,955
Honolulu: 2,312
San Diego: 1,721
Chicago: 1,667
Las Vegas: 1,488
Riverside: 1,324
Washington DC: 1,153
Seattle: 1,139
San Jose: 1,138
Vietnam:
Los Angeles: 5,791
Houston: 2,805
San Jose: 2,782
Dallas: 1,674
Seattle: 1,647
San Francisco: 1,251
Washington DC: 1,234
Atlanta: 1,139
Probably should consider metro area. I would combine San Francisco with San Jose, and LA with Riverside.
nry wrote:LAXdude1023 wrote:Just because a great deal of Asian flying depends on VFR and Im a demographics nerd, Ill share some Asian demographics data below. Ill do total numbers later.
In 2017, here are the number of Asian immigrants that came to each metro area. This does include all of Asia, not just East Asia:
1. NYC: 62,240
2. Los Angeles: 43,693
3. San Francisco: 20,798
4. Washington DC: 16,625
5. Chicago: 14,336
6. Houston: 14,287
7. Dallas: 14,108
8. San Jose: 13,590
9. Seattle: 11,384
10. Atlanta: 8,947
11. Boston: 8,742
12. Sacramento: 8,703
13. Philadelphia: 8,632
14. Detroit: 8,020
15. San Diego: 7,595
16. Riverside: 5,590
China, India, Vietnam, and the Philippines are the largest Asian contributors to US immigration so they are broken down below. Again, these numbers are from 2017:
China:
New York: 18,222
Los Angeles: 9,999
San Francisco: 6,769
San Jose: 2,926
Boston: 2,262
Washington DC: 1,908
Seattle: 1,896
Chicago: 1,793
Philadelphia: 1,696
Houston: 1,673
Riverside: 1,147
Dallas: 1,122
India:
New York: 9,551
Chicago: 3,713
Dallas: 2,956
San Francisco: 2,827
San Jose: 2,468
Houston: 2,328
Philadelphia: 2,068
Los Angeles: 2,023
Washington DC: 1,949
Atlanta: 1,948
Boston: 1,477
Seattle: 1,468
Philippines:
Los Angeles: 5,961
New York: 3,720
San Francisco: 2,955
Honolulu: 2,312
San Diego: 1,721
Chicago: 1,667
Las Vegas: 1,488
Riverside: 1,324
Washington DC: 1,153
Seattle: 1,139
San Jose: 1,138
Vietnam:
Los Angeles: 5,791
Houston: 2,805
San Jose: 2,782
Dallas: 1,674
Seattle: 1,647
San Francisco: 1,251
Washington DC: 1,234
Atlanta: 1,139
Probably should consider metro area. I would combine San Francisco with San Jose, and LA with Riverside.
lightsaber wrote:A hub profitably maxes out at 50% O&D, so US is opperating rationally. I wonder if with T9 at LAX they might hub more there?
Lightsaber
chunhimlai wrote:Which airport id more slot constrained
SFO or LAX?
tcaeyx wrote:Trends that I've noticed over the past several years:
TPE: LAX had the edge up until about 2 years ago. LAX/ONT and SFO now pretty even.
ICN: SFO > LAX in terms of frequency (smaller aircraft), but I doubt it will ever surpass the volume afforded by LAX's VFR pax.
HKG: SFO>>LAX until about 2 years ago, with LAX really closing the gap.
SIN: Once LAX-dominant. Now SFO >> LAX
TYO: LAX >>> SFO
PVG: LAX >> SFO
SYD: LAX pax numbers steadily declining, but still LAX>>SFO.
MEL: LAX > SFO, but wouldn't be surprised to see SFO catch up to LAX within the next couple years.
AKL: LAX > SFO, but wouldn't be surprised to see SFO catch up to LAX within the next couple years.
Secondary China: LAX >>> SFO
xxcr wrote:LAX dominates when to TPAC routes. SFO is only strong in that area because of UA. If you remove UA from the picture, SFO is tiny when it comes to TPAC.
Motorhussy wrote:chunhimlai wrote:ronmk1986 wrote:
I’m surprised to find the largest TPAC route from JFK is Seoul, not Tokyo.
What about the overall TPAC traffic from NYC including both JFK and EWR? Which city in APAC is the largest destination from NYC?
The figure shows LAX -NRT only
LAX-HND has 234158 passenger from 01-11/2018
What’s the tally of a combined TYO-NYC, as in EWR/JFK-NRT/HND?
theasianguy wrote:LAX is definitely in a league of its own in terms of transpacific service. No other airport comes close. However, SFO firmly ranks as the 2nd largest transpacific airport in North America, a clear cut above YVR and JFK. SFO Asian traffic will only continue to grow in the future, but I can't see it surpassing LAX for at least the next 10 years. As LAXdude1023 noted, the Bay Area has 2 million+ Asian population, strong business ties to Asia due to the tech industry, and an affluent, fast growing immigrant population with high propensity to travel.
For those of you thinking SFO is only big because of UA connecting traffic, you are obviously wrong. Even if you take UA out of SFO, SFO still has more weekly departures to the Asia-Pacific region on foreign carriers than all of JFK.