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enilria
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OAG Changes 6/9/2019:AC PSP-YYC Out;AS PAE-PSP Add;DL JFK-KEF Cut;NK EWR-RSW/TPA Add,MCO-PTY Out;SY LAS-LAX/PHX Add

Sun Jun 09, 2019 1:00 pm

FAQ

AS OF JULY 2018 THERE ARE CHANGES TO THE FORMAT OF THIS REPORT...SEE BELOW

WHAT IS THIS REPORT?
This compares departures for sale THIS WEEK for the stated period versus what was for sale LAST WEEK...prior year departures are now shown in brackets e.g. [0].

THE SCHEDULES SHOWN HERE CHANGE AFTER YOU POST???
-To improve is to change; to be perfect is to change often---Winston Churchill. This is data the carriers filed at the point in time it was captured. It's changed since then. You are just going to have to live with it.

HOW DO I READ IT?
XXX-YYY DEC 4>5[4] JAN 4>5[4]
XXX Departure IATA code, YYY Arrival IATA code, Month, Average Departures/Day over the month for sale as of last week, Average Departures/Day over the month for sale as of this week, in brackets is the number of Average Departures/Day over the month that were scheduled one year earlier. So, it means that the listed airline changed the frequency between the two airports to add from 4 to 5 roundtrips in December and January. It also means that there were 4 roundtrips the prior year in each month. No other months were changed. I average two directions.

WHAT ABOUT CARRIERS THAT DON'T PUBLISH A SCHEDULE 9 MONTHS IN ADVANCE?
NEW CHANGE-Sometimes airlines do not load their schedules for the entire 330 day standard sales window. Southwest and many LCCs load their schedules for as little as 5 months into the future. When these flight are extended into a new sales month, it becomes a "schedule change". Previously, I have manually deleted these in many cases and replaced them with a Year-Over-Year compare. Effective immediately, this will now change. When a flight is loaded from 0 departures X departures, where X was the same the prior year, the record will not be shown. For example, if Delta loaded ATL-EGE MAR 0>1(1), it would not be shown because this additional flight does not represent a real year-over-year addition. Similarly, if B6 extended their schedule a record like this ATL-BOS JUL 0>4(4) would not be shown. It will be shown if the flight frequency changed from the prior year. So B6 ATL-BOS JUL 0>3(4) would be shown. If a partial month was loaded in a core schedule that became a full schedule month, those changes may be shown under this logic. For example, WN BNA-SEA 0.3>2(2). Because only a fraction of the month was previously loaded for sale, these changes will not be filtered out. I may, however, manually remove them to declutter.

HOW ARE THE DAILY DEPARTURES CALCULATED?
This report uses total operations for the month listed, divided over the days in the month. The following criteria are used to show a change: 1) The change must be at least 6 roundtrips per month with no exceptions, 2) changes of at least 6/week are always shown, 3) routes that are added or dropped are shown subject to the change minimum, and 4) in all other cases routes must change by 20% to be shown. For example, if a route changed from 21/week to 18/week it would not be shown because the change is -14.3%. This is done to filter minor changes that occur in large numbers.

WHAT ARE THE FRACTIONAL FLIGHTS?
Flights that do not operate every day of the month create fractional service. If the route has more than 2 daily flights, departures are rounded, but in cases of less than 2 departures per day a fraction is shown. For example, if a flight operates 4 times in April it will show 4/30=0.133=0.1. Also , a flight that only operates once per week may vary between 0.1 and 0.2 because a weekday may repeat either 4 or 5 times depending on the month.

THOSE FLIGHTS AREN'T DELTA, THEY ARE SKYWEST
This report only shows the marketing code. It is too complicated to show all the operators.

THE FREQUENCIES MAY HAVE CHANGED AS YOU SHOW, BUT THE SEATS DIDNT CHANGE BECAUSE OF EQUIPMENT SWAPS
Seats are not shown. That is a natural weakness of a frequency based report, but it provides something to discuss below.

THIS LOOKS LIKE AN ERROR?
The carriers file the schedules. They do make mistakes. Most of the mistakes I have seen are either related to code shares not being marked as "duplicates" or carriers filing flights with invalid data such as equipment codes that are not standard or overlapping schedule periods that see the same flight number in two places at once. These cause flights to not appear.

CHARTERS?
Lately charters have been showing up in the database. I have no idea if that will continue.

I marked some of the ones I thought were interesting with an "*".

4B AIA-DEN JUL 1.7>1.0[1.7]

9K ACK-EWB SEP 1.5>3[3] OCT 1.5>2[3]
9K ACK-HYA SEP 6>9[5] OCT 5>7[4]

AA ABE-PHL SEP 4>3[2.0]
AA AUS-JFK AUG 1.4>1.0[1.4]
AA AUS-PHL SEP 1.9>2[2]
AA AVP-CLT SEP 3>4[3]
AA AVP-PHL SEP 4>3[4]
AA BNA-CLT SEP 7>8[8]
AA BNA-DCA SEP 5>6[5]
Quite a reduction from a year ago
*AA BOS-DCA AUG 12>11[14]
*AA BOS-LAX SEP 6>4[6]
AA BOS-MIA SEP 7>6[6]
AA BOS-PHL SEP 11>10[11]
AA BTV-ORD SEP 1.1>2.0[2]
AA BTV-PHL SEP 5>4[4]
AA BWI-MIA AUG 2>1.6[3] SEP 3>1.5[2]
AA BWI-ORD SEP 5>4[3]
AA BWI-PHL SEP 3>4[4]
AA BWI-PHX AUG 1.2>0.9[1.9] SEP 2.0>1.5[1.7]
AA CAE-CLT SEP 7>8[8]
AA CHA-CLT SEP 6>7[7]
AA CHS-MIA SEP 3>4[3]
AA CHS-PHL SEP 5>4[3]
AA CLE-CLT SEP 6>7[7]
AA CLE-MIA SEP 3>2[2]
AA CLT-DEN SEP 7>6[5]
AA CLT-GPT SEP 1.7>3[2]
AA CLT-GRR SEP 2>3[2.0]
AA CLT-JFK SEP 6>7[6]
AA CLT-LIT SEP 4>5[3]
AA CLT-LYH SEP 6>7[6]
AA CLT-MDT SEP 5>6[6]
AA CLT-MOB SEP 4>5[4]
AA CLT-OKC SEP 2>3[3]
AA CLT-PGV SEP 4>5[4]
AA CLT-SEA SEP 4>3[4]
AA CLT-SGF SEP 3>4[3]
AA CMH-MIA SEP 3>4[3]
AA CMH-PHL SEP 7>6[5]
AA CMI-ORD SEP 5>6[5]
AA CUN-DFW SEP 6>5[5] OCT 6>5[5]
*AA DCA-JFK AUG 1.5>0[4]
Down 3RTs from a year ago
*AA DCA-LGA AUG 9>8[11]
AA DCA-MHT SEP 3>4[3]
AA DCA-MYR SEP 1.0>0.4[1.0]
AA DCA-SYR SEP 3>4[3]
AA DCA-YYZ SEP 3>1.9[2]
AA DFW-IAH SEP 10>9[9]
AA DFW-JLN FEB 3>2[2] MAR 3>2[2]
AA DFW-LAS SEP 12>11[9]
AA DFW-MSY JAN 8>7[7]
AA DFW-OAK AUG 0.9>0.5[1.6]
AA DFW-PDX FEB 4>3[3]
AA DFW-PIT FEB 5>4[3] MAR 5>4[4]
AA DFW-RIC JAN 3>2[2] FEB 3>2[1.9]
AA DFW-RSW SEP 4>3[2]
AA DFW-SJT FEB 5>6[4]
AA DFW-TYR JAN 4>5[4] FEB 4>5[4]
AA DRO-PHX SEP 2>3[1.7]
AA DSM-PHL SEP 1.9>1.0[2]
AA DTW-PHL SEP 6>5[6]
AA EWR-PHX SEP 4>3[3]
AA EYW-MIA SEP 4>5[4]
AA FAR-ORD SEP 3>1.9[1.7]
*AA FLL-ORD AUG 0.4>0[1.6] SEP 1.0>0.7[1.0]
AA FLL-PHL SEP 4>3[3]
AA FSD-PHX SEP 1.0>0.8[0.7]
AA FWA-ORD SEP 3>4[4]
AA FWA-PHL SEP 1.9>1.0[2]
AA GCM-MIA SEP 2>1.5[2]
AA GJT-PHX SEP 2.0>3[2]
AA GRB-ORD SEP 4>5[4]
AA GRR-PHL SEP 3>2[3]
AA IAH-ORD SEP 4>3[3]
AA IAH-PHL SEP 4>2[3]
AA ILM-ORD SEP 1.0>0.1[0]
AA IPT-PHL SEP 3>2[2]
AA JAX-ORD SEP 3>1.9[1.8]
AA JFK-LAS AUG 1.3>1.0[3]
AA JFK-LAX SEP 11>10[12]
AA JFK-ORD SEP 2>3[1.0]
*AA JFK-SAN AUG 0.8>0.0[3]
*AA JFK-SEA AUG 0.8>0[3]
AA JFK-YUL SEP 1.9>1.0[2]
AA LAS-MIA SEP 3>2[3]
AA LAX-MCO SEP 4>2[4]
AA LAX-MIA SEP 8>7[8]
AA LAX-SFO SEP 11>8[12]
AA LGA-MSP SEP 3>1.9[3]
AA LGA-PHL SEP 2>4[3]
AA LGA-PWM SEP 2.0>1.1[2.0]
AA LGA-RIC SEP 3>4[4]
AA LSE-ORD SEP 4>3[3]
AA MCO-MIA SEP 7>6[7]
AA MCO-PHX SEP 3>1.6[1.7]
AA MEM-ORD SEP 5>4[4]
AA MEM-PHL SEP 3>2.0[3]
AA MGA-MIA AUG 1.9>1.5[1.6]
AA MIA-ORF SEP 3>4[3]
AA MIA-PIT SEP 2>3[2]
AA MIA-SEA SEP 1.0>0.8[1.0]
AA MIA-SFO SEP 4>3[4]
AA MIA-STI DEC 1.5>1.0[1.4]
AA MIA-VVI AUG 0.6>0.4[1.0]
AA MKE-PHL SEP 5>3[4]
AA MSN-ORD SEP 7>6[6]
AA MSP-PHL SEP 4>3[3]
AA MSP-PHX SEP 4>3[3]
AA MSY-ORD SEP 1.8>2[1.9]
AA MSY-PHL SEP 2.0>3[2]
AA MYR-PHL SEP 3>1.7[1.0]
AA OAK-PHX SEP 4>3[3]
AA OKC-ORD SEP 5>3[3]
AA OKC-PHL SEP 1.9>0.9[2]
AA OKC-PHX SEP 1.0>1.5[1.0]
AA OMA-ORD SEP 6>5[5]
AA OMA-PHL SEP 1.9>1.0[2]
AA ORD-RAP SEP 1.3>1.0[1.2]
AA ORD-SAT SEP 3>1.9[2]
AA ORD-SEA SEP 6>4[5]
AA ORD-SJU SEP 0.4>0.0[0.3]
AA ORD-SNA SEP 5>4[4]
AA ORD-TVC SEP 6>5[5]
AA ORD-YVR SEP 1.0>0.1[1.0]
AA PHL-PIT SEP 6>5[5]
AA PHL-PWM SEP 6>4[6]
AA PHL-RIC SEP 7>6[6]
AA PHL-ROC SEP 6>5[5]
AA PHL-SAN SEP 3>2[2]
*AA PHL-SAT AUG 0.4>0[1.0]
AA PHL-SCE SEP 5>4[4]
AA PHL-SDF SEP 4>3[3]
AA PHL-SEA SEP 4>2[3]
AA PHL-SFO SEP 5>4[4]
AA PHL-SWF SEP 3>4[3]
AA PHL-YOW SEP 3>1.9[3]
AA PHL-YUL SEP 5>4[5]
AA PHX-PIT SEP 1.0>1.5[1.7]
AA PHX-SAF SEP 1.0>1.7[0.7]
AA PHX-SBA SEP 5>4[4]
AA PHX-SEA SEP 4>3[4]
AA PHX-SFO SEP 5>4[4]

AC PHX-YYZ JAN 2>1.2[1.7] FEB 2>1.3[1.9]
**AC PSP-YYC NOV 0.8>0[0.8] DEC 0.9>0[0.8] JAN 1.0>0[0.8] FEB 1.0>0[1.0] MAR 1.0>0[1.0]
AC PSP-YYZ FEB 0.6>1.0[0.6] MAR 0.5>1.0[0.6]

AD FLL-VCP SEP 1.4>1.1[1.0] OCT 1.4>1.1[1.0] NOV 1.4>1.0[1.0]
AD MCO-VCP DEC 1.0>1.4[1.5] JAN 1.0>1.5[1.4]

AR EZE-JFK NOV 1.0>0.6[1.0]

This does not make me feel great about their performance to LAX.
AS LAX-PAE NOV 4>3[0] DEC 4>3[0] JAN 4>3[0] FEB 4>3[1.8] MAR 4>3[3]
AS PAE-PDX NOV 4>3[0] DEC 4>3[0] JAN 4>3[0] FEB 4>3[1.3] MAR 4>3[3]
AS PAE-PHX NOV 1.1>2[0] DEC 1.0>2[0] JAN 1.0>2[0] FEB 1.0>2[0.4] MAR 1.0>2[0.9]
**AS PAE-PSP NOV 0>0.9[0] DEC 0>1.0[0] JAN 0>1.0[0] FEB 0>1.0[0] MAR 0>1.0[0]

AV GUA-MIA AUG 1.0>0.8[0.8]
AV LAX-SAL NOV 3>4[3] DEC 3>4[3] JAN 3>4[2] FEB 3>4[3] MAR 3>4[3]
AV MIA-SAP JUL 0.7>1.0[1.0] AUG 0.7>1.0[1.0] SEP 0.7>1.0[1.0] OCT 0.8>1.0[1.0]

FEB is a partial schedule so this is very hard to read, I would compare the final JAN to the YOY compare.
B6 ABQ-JFK JAN 0.2>0.6[0.6] FEB 0>0.2[0.6]
B6 ALB-FLL JAN 0.3>1.0[1.0] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 ALB-MCO JAN 0.3>1.0[1.0] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 ANU-JFK JAN 0.2>0.5[0.5]
B6 ATL-BOS JAN 0.7>4[4] FEB 0>1.9[4]
B6 ATL-FLL JAN 0.5>2[2] FEB 0>0.8[2]
B6 ATL-JFK JAN 0.5>2[1.9] FEB 0>0.8[1.6]
B6 ATL-MCO JAN 0.3>1.0[1.0] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 AUA-BOS JAN 0.6>1.7[2] FEB 0>0.7[3]
B6 AUA-FLL JAN 0.3>0.7[1.0] FEB 0>0.2[1.0]
B6 AUA-JFK JAN 0.6>1.5[2] FEB 0>0.6[2]
B6 AUS-BOS JAN 0.5>1.9[1.0] FEB 0>0.8[1.0]
B6 AUS-FLL JAN 0.3>1.0[1.0] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 AUS-JFK JAN 0.5>1.9[2.0] FEB 0>0.8[2]
B6 AUS-LGB JAN 0.3>1.0[1.0] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 AUS-MCO JAN 0.3>1.0[1.0] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 BDA-BOS JAN 0.1>0.4[1.0]
B6 BDA-JFK JAN 0.2>0.6[1.0] FEB 0>0.2[1.0]
B6 BDL-FLL JAN 0.5>1.9[2] FEB 0>0.6[2]
B6 BDL-MCO JAN 0.5>2[2] FEB 0>0.8[3]
B6 BDL-PBI JAN 0.3>1.0[1.8] FEB 0>0.4[1.5]
B6 BDL-RSW JAN 0.3>1.0[1.0] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 BDL-SJU JAN 0.3>0.8[0.9] FEB 0>0.3[1.0]
B6 BDL-TPA JAN 0.3>1.0[1.0] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 BGI-BOS JAN 0.1>0.3[0.3]
B6 BGI-FLL JAN 0.1>0.5[1.0]
B6 BGI-JFK JAN 0.4>1.9[2] FEB 0>0.8[2]
B6 BNA-BOS JAN 0.4>1.5[1.8] FEB 0>0.6[1.5]
B6 BNA-FLL JAN 0.3>1.0[1.0] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 BOG-FLL JAN 0.3>1.0[1.6] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 BOG-MCO JAN 0.3>1.0[1.0] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 BOS-BUF JAN 1.0>3[3] FEB 0>1.2[3]
B6 BOS-BUR JAN 0.3>0.8[1.0] FEB 0>0.3[1.0]
B6 BOS-BWI JAN 1.0>4[4] FEB 0>1.9[5]
B6 BOS-CHS JAN 0.5>1.2[1.0] FEB 0>0.4[1.5]
B6 BOS-CLE JAN 0.8>4[3] FEB 0>1.6[2]
B6 BOS-CLT JAN 0.5>3[1.9] FEB 0>1.2[2.0]
B6 BOS-CUN JAN 0.3>0.8[0.6] FEB 0>0.3[0.9]
B6 BOS-DCA JAN 3>13[9] FEB 0>5[8]
B6 BOS-DEN JAN 0.5>1.8[2.0] FEB 0>0.8[1.9]
B6 BOS-DFW JAN 0.4>1.6[1.7] FEB 0>0.7[1.4]
B6 BOS-DTW JAN 0.8>4[3] FEB 0>1.5[3]
B6 BOS-EWR JAN 1.7>7[5] FEB 0>3[4]
B6 BOS-FLL JAN 1.6>6[5] FEB 0>2[6]
B6 BOS-HDN JAN 0.1>0.3[0.3]
B6 BOS-HOU JAN 0.3>1.0[1.0] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 BOS-JAX JAN 0.6>2[3] FEB 0>0.8[3]
B6 BOS-JFK JAN 1.5>6[6] FEB 0>2[6]
B6 BOS-LAS JAN 1.0>4[3] FEB 0>1.7[3]
B6 BOS-LAX JAN 1.0>4[4] FEB 0>1.6[4]
B6 BOS-LGA JAN 1.3>5[5] FEB 0>2[5]
B6 BOS-LGB JAN 0.3>1.0[1.8] FEB 0>0.4[1.7]
B6 BOS-LIR JAN 0.0>0.2[0.1]
B6 BOS-MCO JAN 2.0>6[6] FEB 0>3[7]
B6 BOS-MEX JAN 0.3>1.0[1.0] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 BOS-MSP JAN 0.6>3[3] FEB 0>1.2[3]
B6 BOS-MSY JAN 0.5>1.6[1.2] FEB 0>0.6[1.5]
B6 BOS-NAS JAN 0.2>0.4[0.2]
B6 BOS-ORD JAN 0.9>4[4] FEB 0>1.9[4]
B6 BOS-PAP JAN 0.1>0.3[0.4]
B6 BOS-PBI JAN 1.5>5[6] FEB 0>2[7]
B6 BOS-PHL JAN 1.9>7[6] FEB 0>3[5]
B6 BOS-PHX JAN 0.3>1.0[1.0] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 BOS-PIT JAN 1.1>5[5] FEB 0>1.9[5]
B6 BOS-PUJ JAN 0.1>0.5[0.5] FEB 0>0.2[1.1]
B6 BOS-RDU JAN 1.1>5[5] FEB 0>1.9[5]
B6 BOS-RIC JAN 1.1>4[3] FEB 0>1.3[3]
B6 BOS-ROC JAN 0.3>1.0[0.8] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 BOS-RSW JAN 1.4>5[5] FEB 0>2[7]
B6 BOS-SAN JAN 0.5>2[1.9] FEB 0>1.0[1.9]
B6 BOS-SAV JAN 0.4>1.2[1.0] FEB 0>0.4[1.4]
B6 BOS-SDQ JAN 0.5>1.8[1.9] FEB 0>0.6[1.1]
B6 BOS-SEA JAN 0.5>1.9[1.9] FEB 0>0.8[1.9]
B6 BOS-SFO JAN 1.1>5[5] FEB 0>1.9[5]
B6 BOS-SJU JAN 0.4>1.5[1.1] FEB 0>0.6[1.0]
B6 BOS-SLC JAN 0.3>0.8[1.0] FEB 0>0.3[1.0]
B6 BOS-SRQ JAN 0.3>1.0[1.7] FEB 0>0.4[1.5]
B6 BOS-STI JAN 0.3>1.0[1.5] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 BOS-SYR JAN 0.3>1.0[1.0] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 BOS-TPA JAN 1.1>4[5] FEB 0>1.7[5]
B6 BQN-JFK JAN 0.2>0.9[0.6] FEB 0>0.4[0.5]
B6 BQN-MCO JAN 0.3>0.9[0.8] FEB 0>0.3[0.7]
B6 BTV-JFK JAN 0.8>3[3] FEB 0>1.2[3]
B6 BUF-FLL JAN 0.3>1.0[1.0] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 BUF-JFK JAN 1.5>5[5] FEB 0>1.9[5]
There was a thread this route was deleted. It's not.
B6 BUF-LAX JAN 0.2>0.6[0.6] FEB 0>0.2[0.6]
B6 BUF-MCO JAN 0.3>1.0[1.0] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 BUR-JFK JAN 0.4>1.7[1.9] FEB 0>0.7[1.9]
B6 CHS-DCA JAN 0.5>2[1.5] FEB 0>0.8[1.8]
B6 CHS-FLL JAN 0.3>1.0[1.0] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 CHS-JFK JAN 0.7>2[2] FEB 0>0.8[2]
B6 CLE-FLL JAN 0.3>1.0[1.0] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 CLT-JFK JAN 0.5>2[2] FEB 0>0.8[2]
B6 CMW-FLL JAN 0.3>1.0[1.0] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 CTG-FLL JAN 0.3>0.7[1.0] FEB 0>0.2[1.0]
B6 CTG-JFK JAN 0.3>1.0[0.9] FEB 0>0.4[0.7]
B6 CUN-FLL JAN 0.3>1.0[1.0] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 CUN-JFK JAN 0.5>1.2[1.1] FEB 0>0.4[1.9]
B6 CUN-MCO JAN 0.3>1.0[1.0] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 CUR-JFK JAN 0.1>0.4[0.4]
B6 DCA-FLL JAN 1.3>5[5] FEB 0>2[5]
B6 DCA-JAX JAN 0.5>2[1.6] FEB 0>0.8[1.7]
B6 DCA-MCO JAN 1.0>4[4] FEB 0>1.7[4]
B6 DCA-PBI JAN 0.3>1.0[1.1] FEB 0>0.4[1.4]
B6 DCA-RSW JAN 0.5>1.3[2] FEB 0>0.4[2]
B6 DCA-SJU JAN 0.1>0.5[0.5] FEB 0>0.2[0.5]
B6 DEN-JFK JAN 0.3>1.0[1.0] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 EWR-FLL JAN 1.2>5[4] FEB 0>2[5]
B6 EWR-MCO JAN 1.8>6[6] FEB 0>2[6]
B6 EWR-PBI JAN 1.0>3[4] FEB 0>1.2[4]
B6 EWR-RSW JAN 0.5>1.9[2] FEB 0>0.8[3]
B6 EWR-SDQ JAN 0.3>1.0[1.4] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 EWR-SJU JAN 0.3>0.9[1.0] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 EWR-STI JAN 0.3>1.0[1.4] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 EWR-TPA JAN 0.5>2[2] FEB 0>0.8[2]
B6 FLL-GCM JAN 0.3>0.6[1.0]
B6 FLL-GYE JAN 0.3>1.0[0] FEB 0>0.4[0.0]
B6 FLL-HAV JAN 0.7>3[3] FEB 0>1.1[3]
B6 FLL-HDN JAN 0.1>0.3[0.1]
B6 FLL-HOG JAN 0.3>1.0[1.0] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 FLL-HPN JAN 0.5>2[2] FEB 0>0.8[2]
B6 FLL-JAX JAN 0.8>3[3] FEB 0>1.2[3]
B6 FLL-JFK JAN 1.9>7[6] FEB 0>3[7]
B6 FLL-KIN JAN 0.5>1.8[2] FEB 0>0.6[2]
B6 FLL-LAS JAN 0.3>1.0[1.0] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 FLL-LAX JAN 0.8>4[3] FEB 0>1.7[3]
B6 FLL-LGA JAN 1.0>4[5] FEB 0>1.7[5]
B6 FLL-LIM JAN 0.3>1.0[1.0] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 FLL-MBJ JAN 0.3>1.0[1.0] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 FLL-MDE JAN 0.3>0.9[1.0] FEB 0>0.3[0.8]
B6 FLL-MEX JAN 0.5>2[2] FEB 0>0.8[2]
B6 FLL-MSY JAN 0.3>1.0[1.0] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 FLL-NAS JAN 1.1>4[4] FEB 0>1.7[5]
B6 FLL-ORD JAN 0.3>1.0[1.0] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 FLL-ORH JAN 0.3>1.0[1.0] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 FLL-PAP JAN 0.5>2[2] FEB 0>0.8[2]
B6 FLL-PHL JAN 0.5>1.9[1.9] FEB 0>0.8[1.9]
B6 FLL-PHX JAN 0.3>1.0[0] FEB 0>0.4[0.5]
B6 FLL-PLS JAN 0.3>0.7[1.0] FEB 0>0.2[1.0]
B6 FLL-POS JAN 0.2>0.5[0.6]
B6 FLL-PUJ JAN 0.3>1.0[1.0] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 FLL-PVD JAN 0.3>1.0[1.0] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 FLL-RDU JAN 0.5>2[2] FEB 0>0.8[2]
B6 FLL-RIC JAN 0.5>2.0[2] FEB 0>0.8[2]
B6 FLL-SAN JAN 0.2>0.6[0.6] FEB 0>0.2[0.7]
B6 FLL-SDQ JAN 0.5>1.3[2] FEB 0>0.4[1.5]
B6 FLL-SFO JAN 0.5>2[2] FEB 0>0.8[2]
B6 FLL-SJO JAN 0.3>1.0[1.0] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 FLL-SJU JAN 0.8>3[3] FEB 0>0.8[3]
B6 FLL-SLC JAN 0.3>1.0[1.0] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 FLL-SNU JAN 0.3>1.0[1.0] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 FLL-STI JAN 0.3>1.0[1.0] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 FLL-SWF JAN 0.3>1.0[1.0] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 FLL-SXM JAN 0.3>0.6[0]
B6 FLL-UIO JAN 0.3>1.0[1.0] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 GCM-JFK JAN 0.3>1.0[1.0] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 GND-JFK JAN 0.3>0.8[0.7] FEB 0>0.3[0.7]
*B6 GYE-JFK DEC 0>0.9[0] JAN 0>1.0[0] FEB 0>0.4[0]
B6 HAV-JFK JAN 0.3>1.0[1.0] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 HAV-MCO JAN 0.3>1.0[1.0] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 HOU-JFK JAN 0.3>1.0[1.0] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 HPN-MCO JAN 0.8>3[3] FEB 0>1.2[3]
B6 HPN-PBI JAN 1.3>5[5] FEB 0>2[5]
B6 HPN-RSW JAN 0.3>1.0[1.0] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 HPN-TPA JAN 0.3>1.0[1.0] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 JAX-JFK JAN 0.8>3[3] FEB 0>1.2[3]
B6 JFK-KIN JAN 0.8>2[2] FEB 0>0.8[2.0]
B6 JFK-LAS JAN 0.8>3[3] FEB 0>1.2[3]
B6 JFK-LAX JAN 3>9[9] FEB 0>4[10]
B6 JFK-LGB JAN 0.5>1.2[1.9] FEB 0>0.4[1.9]
B6 JFK-LIR JAN 0.2>0.8[0.9] FEB 0>0.3[0.8]
B6 JFK-MBJ JAN 0.6>1.8[1.7] FEB 0>0.4[1.5]
B6 JFK-MCO JAN 1.5>6[6] FEB 0>3[7]
B6 JFK-MEX JAN 0.3>1.0[1.0] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 JFK-MSY JAN 0.4>1.6[2] FEB 0>0.7[2]
B6 JFK-NAS JAN 0.4>1.2[1.1] FEB 0>0.4[2]
B6 JFK-OAK JAN 0.2>0.6[0.6] FEB 0>0.2[0.6]
B6 JFK-ONT JAN 0.3>0.7[1.0] FEB 0>0.2[1.0]
B6 JFK-ORD JAN 0.4>1.8[2] FEB 0>0.8[2]
B6 JFK-ORH JAN 0.3>1.0[1.0] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 JFK-PAP JAN 0.5>1.9[2.0] FEB 0>0.4[2]
B6 JFK-PBI JAN 1.3>4[4] FEB 0>1.8[5]
B6 JFK-PDX JAN 0.2>0.7[0.7] FEB 0>0.2[0.6]
B6 JFK-PHX JAN 0.3>1.0[1.0] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 JFK-PLS JAN 0.3>1.0[1.0] FEB 0>0.4[1.4]
B6 JFK-POP JAN 0.3>1.0[1.0] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 JFK-POS JAN 0.3>1.0[1.0] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 JFK-PSE JAN 0.1>0.4[0.4]
B6 JFK-PSP JAN 0.3>0.8[1.0] FEB 0>0.3[1.0]
B6 JFK-PUJ JAN 0.5>1.5[1.5] FEB 0>0.5[1.8]
B6 JFK-RDU JAN 0.5>1.9[1.9] FEB 0>0.8[1.9]
B6 JFK-RNO JAN 0.2>0.6[0.6] FEB 0>0.2[0.7]
B6 JFK-ROC JAN 0.8>3[3] FEB 0>1.2[3]
B6 JFK-RSW JAN 0.7>2[2] FEB 0>0.8[3]
B6 JFK-SAN JAN 0.5>1.9[1.9] FEB 0>0.8[1.9]
B6 JFK-SAV JAN 0.5>2[2] FEB 0>0.8[2]
B6 JFK-SDQ JAN 1.3>5[5] FEB 0>2[5]
B6 JFK-SEA JAN 0.5>1.9[1.9] FEB 0>0.8[1.9]
B6 JFK-SFO JAN 1.4>6[6] FEB 0>2[6]
B6 JFK-SJC JAN 0.2>0.7[0.6] FEB 0>0.2[0.8]
B6 JFK-SJU JAN 0.7>3[3] FEB 0>1.1[2]
B6 JFK-SLC JAN 0.5>2[2] FEB 0>0.8[2]
B6 JFK-SMF JAN 0.3>0.8[0.8] FEB 0>0.3[0.9]
B6 JFK-SRQ JAN 0.3>1.0[1.0] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 JFK-STI JAN 1.5>6[6] FEB 0>2[5]
B6 JFK-SXM JAN 0.3>0.9[1.0] FEB 0>0.3[1.1]
B6 JFK-SYR JAN 0.5>2[2] FEB 0>0.8[2]
B6 JFK-TPA JAN 0.8>3[3] FEB 0>1.2[4]
B6 JFK-UVF JAN 0.3>1.0[1.1] FEB 0>0.3[1.1]
B6 LAS-LGB JAN 0.8>3[3] FEB 0>1.2[3]
B6 LAX-MCO JAN 0.2>0.9[1.0] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 LGA-MCO JAN 0.8>3[4] FEB 0>1.2[4]
B6 LGA-PBI JAN 0.9>3[3] FEB 0>1.2[3]
B6 LGB-OAK JAN 0.5>2[2] FEB 0>0.8[2]
B6 LGB-PDX JAN 0.3>1.0[1.0] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 LGB-RNO JAN 0.3>1.0[1.0] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 LGB-SEA JAN 0.5>1.9[1.0] FEB 0>0.8[1.0]
B6 LGB-SFO JAN 0.5>2[2] FEB 0>0.8[2]
B6 LGB-SJC JAN 0.5>2[2] FEB 0>0.8[2]
B6 LGB-SLC JAN 0.7>4[2] FEB 0>1.6[2]
B6 LGB-SMF JAN 0.5>2[2] FEB 0>0.8[2]
B6 MBJ-MCO JAN 0.3>0.8[0.7] FEB 0>0.3[0.9]
B6 MCO-MEX JAN 0.5>2[2] FEB 0>0.8[2]
B6 MCO-NAS JAN 0.3>0.7[0.6] FEB 0>0.2[0.8]
B6 MCO-ORH JAN 0.3>1.0[1.0] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 MCO-PAP JAN 0.3>0.7[0.9]
B6 MCO-PSE JAN 0.2>0.7[0.6] FEB 0>0.2[0.5]
B6 MCO-PVD JAN 0.5>1.9[2] FEB 0>0.8[2]
B6 MCO-RIC JAN 0.5>2[2.0] FEB 0>0.8[2]
B6 MCO-SDQ JAN 0.3>1.0[1.0] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 MCO-SJO JAN 0.3>1.7[1.8] FEB 0>0.5[1.5]
B6 MCO-SJU JAN 0.7>3[3] FEB 0>1.0[3]
B6 MCO-SLC JAN 0.3>1.0[1.0] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 MCO-SWF JAN 0.3>1.0[1.0] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 MCO-SYR JAN 0.3>1.0[1.0] FEB 0>0.4[1.0]
B6 PBI-PVD JAN 0.3>1.0[0] FEB 0>0.4[0.5]
B6 SJU-TPA JAN 0.3>0.8[1.0] FEB 0>0.2[1.0]

BA JFK-LGW JAN 1.0>0.4[0.6] FEB 1.0>0.7[0.9]

DL ATL-GDL AUG 0.8>1.0[0.8] SEP 0.7>1.0[0.7]
DL ATL-MAD NOV 1.0>0.7[0.7] DEC 1.0>0.7[0.7] JAN 1.0>0.5[0.6] FEB 1.0>0.6[0.6] MAR 1.0>0.7[0.7]
DL ATL-OAK MAR 0.5>0[0]
DL ATL-PSP JAN 1.0>0.7[0.2] FEB 1.0>0.7[0.1] MAR 1.0>0.7[0.2]
DL ATL-SLC MAR 11>10[9]
DL ATL-YVR NOV 0.6>0.4[0]
That's a lot of frequency
*DL BOI-SEA JAN 5>7[5] FEB 5>7[5] MAR 5>7[5]
DL CLE-SLC JAN 0.9>0.6[0.0] FEB 0.8>0.6[0]
DL DEN-SLC OCT 7>6[7]
DL JAC-SLC JAN 4>3[3] FEB 4>3[3] MAR 4>3[3]
Now seasonal. I wonder if MSP-KEF comes back.
**DL JFK-KEF NOV 1.0>0[0.6] DEC 1.0>0[0.7] JAN 1.0>0[0.5] FEB 1.0>0[0.4] MAR 1.0>0.6[0.6]
DL JFK-MAD NOV 1.0>0.7[0.6] DEC 1.0>0.7[0.7] JAN 1.0>0.6[0.6] FEB 1.0>0.6[0.6] MAR 1.0>0.7[0.7]
DL MSP-ORF DEC 0.4>0.0[0.6]
DL MSP-PHX MAR 6>7[7]

ES CCS-MIA JUL 0.5>0[0] AUG 0.4>0[0] SEP 0.4>0[0] OCT 0.4>0[0] NOV 0.4>0[0] DEC 0.4>0[0] JAN 0.5>0[0.5] FEB 0.4>0[0.4] MAR 0.4>0[0.4]
ES MAR-MIA JUL 0.3>0[0] AUG 0.3>0[0] SEP 0.3>0[0] OCT 0.3>0[0] NOV 0.3>0[0] DEC 0.3>0[0] JAN 0.3>0[0.4] FEB 0.3>0[0.4] MAR 0.3>0[0.5]

K3 HYL-KLW JUL 0>0.9[0.4] AUG 0>0.9[0.4] SEP 0>0.8[0.4] OCT 0>0.9[0] NOV 0>0.9[0] DEC 0>0.8[0] JAN 0>0.9[0] FEB 0>0.9[0] MAR 0>0.8[0]
K3 HYL-KTN OCT 0>0.4[0] NOV 0>0.4[0] DEC 0>0.4[0] JAN 0>0.4[0] FEB 0>0.4[0] MAR 0>0.4[0]
K3 KLW-KTN OCT 0>0.4[0.8] NOV 0>0.4[0.8] DEC 0>0.4[0.8] JAN 0>0.4[0.8] FEB 0>0.4[0.8] MAR 0>0.4[0.8]

LA BOG-MIA SEP 1.0>0.8[1.0] OCT 1.0>0[1.0] NOV 1.0>0[1.0] DEC 1.0>0[1.0] JAN 1.0>0[1.0] FEB 1.0>0[1.0] MAR 1.0>0[1.0]

*NK BNA-BWI OCT 0>0.7[0] NOV 0>1.0[0] DEC 0>0.6[0]
*NK BNA-FLL OCT 0>0.7[0] NOV 0>1.0[0] DEC 0>0.6[0]
*NK BNA-LAS OCT 0>0.7[0] NOV 0>1.0[0] DEC 0>0.6[0]
*NK BNA-MCO OCT 0>0.7[0] NOV 0>1.0[0] DEC 0>0.6[0]
*NK BNA-MSY OCT 0>0.7[0] NOV 0>1.0[0] DEC 0>0.6[0]
*NK BNA-TPA NOV 0>0.9[0] DEC 0>0.6[0]
**NK EWR-RSW NOV 0>0.6[0] DEC 0>0.6[0]
**NK EWR-TPA NOV 0>0.6[0] DEC 0>0.6[0]
**NK MCO-PTY SEP 0.5>0.1[0] OCT 0.6>0[0.5] NOV 0.5>0[0.6] DEC 0.4>0[0.6]

SN BRU-IAD FEB 0>0.2[0] MAR 0.1>0.6[0.0]

SY DEN-MSP SEP 0.8>1.1[0.7] OCT 0.7>1.1[0.3] NOV 0.8>1.1[0]
*SY IAD-MSP SEP 0.9>0.1[0] OCT 0.9>0[0] NOV 0.8>0[0] DEC 0.5>0[0]
*SY LAS-LAX SEP 0>0.5[0] OCT 0>0.6[0] NOV 0>0.6[0] DEC 0>0.3[0]
*SY LAS-PHX SEP 0>0.5[0] OCT 0>0.5[0] NOV 0>0.6[0] DEC 0>0.3[0]
SY LAX-MSP NOV 1.6>2[1.7]
SY MSP-PHX SEP 0.9>1.1[0.9]
SY MSP-SMF SEP 0.9>0.6[0]

UA AEX-IAH AUG 3>1.9[3]
*UA ATY-ORD SEP 0>1.0[0] OCT 0>1.0[0] NOV 0>1.0[0] DEC 0>1.0[0] JAN 0>1.0[0] FEB 0>1.0[0] MAR 0>1.0[0]
*UA ATY-PIR SEP 1.0>0.0[0] OCT 1.0>0[0] NOV 1.0>0[0] DEC 1.0>0[0] JAN 1.0>0[0] FEB 1.0>0[0] MAR 1.0>0[0]
UA BTR-IAH AUG 7>6[7]
UA BZN-LAX DEC 1.0>0.5[1.0]
UA DEN-GCC NOV 1.8>2[2.0] DEC 1.9>3[2.0]
UA DEN-SGU OCT 3>2[2]
UA DEN-YWG DEC 2>1.5[1.0]
UA EUG-ORD DEC 1.0>0.5[0]
UA EWR-SNN MAR 0.7>0.1[0.7]
UA EYW-ORD DEC 1.6>1.1[1.1]
UA FAT-ORD DEC 1.0>0.5[0]
UA IAD-OGS SEP 1.0>0.7[0] OCT 1.0>0.7[0] NOV 1.0>0.7[0] DEC 1.0>0.7[0] JAN 1.0>0.7[0] FEB 1.0>0.7[0] MAR 1.0>0.7[0]
UA IAH-MGA NOV 1.0>0.6[0.3] DEC 1.0>0.6[0.4] JAN 1.0>0.6[0.5] FEB 1.0>0.6[0.6] MAR 1.0>0.6[0.6]
UA IAH-RIC DEC 3>1.6[1.6] JAN 2>1.2[1.0] FEB 3>1.6[1.0] MAR 3>2[1.0]
UA JAC-ORD DEC 0.4>0.9[0.5]
UA LWB-ORD SEP 1.0>1.3[1.0]
UA MTJ-ORD DEC 0.4>0.9[0.4]
UA OGS-ORD SEP 0.7>1.0[0] OCT 0.7>1.0[0] NOV 0.7>1.0[0] DEC 0.7>1.0[0] JAN 0.7>1.0[0] FEB 0.7>1.0[0] MAR 0.7>1.0[0]
UA ORD-PSP DEC 1.0>0.8[1.5]
UA ORD-RNO DEC 0.9>0.4[0]
UA ORD-SAT DEC 4>3[3]
*UA ORD-SUN DEC 0>0.4[0.1] JAN 0>0.4[0.0]

UP FLL-NAS DEC 4>3[4] JAN 4>3[3] FEB 4>3[3] MAR 4>3[3]
**UP FPO-MCO DEC 0.3>0[0.3] JAN 0.3>0[0.0] FEB 0.3>0[0] MAR 0.3>0[0]
UP MCO-NAS JUL 3>2[2] AUG 4>3[2] DEC 2>1.7[2] JAN 2>1.7[1.1] FEB 2>1.7[1.0] MAR 2>1.7[1.0]
UP MIA-NAS DEC 3>4[3] JAN 3>4[3] FEB 3>4[2] MAR 3>4[3]
 
Bigant0408
Posts: 283
Joined: Thu Aug 09, 2018 2:26 am

Re: OAG Changes 6/9/2019:AC PSP-YYC Out;AS PAE-PSP Add;DL JFK-KEF Cut;NK EWR-RSW/TPA Add,MCO-PTY Out;SY LAS-LAX/PHX Add

Sun Jun 09, 2019 1:20 pm

Thanks as always for your Sunday post always look forward to them. For DL I’m surprised they are making there JFK-KEF route seasonal especially since WOW Air ceases Operations. I’m curious as to why they are going this route.
The man who sleeps on the floor doesn’t fall out of bed
 
jetbluefan1
Posts: 3265
Joined: Wed Dec 31, 2003 8:39 am

Re: OAG Changes 6/9/2019:AC PSP-YYC Out;AS PAE-PSP Add;DL JFK-KEF Cut;NK EWR-RSW/TPA Add,MCO-PTY Out;SY LAS-LAX/PHX Add

Sun Jun 09, 2019 1:25 pm

Thanks enilria!

AA’s reductions on BOS-LAX/DCA will either match or be below B6’s frequencies in these markets. I’m not sure which aircraft AA will be using, but it’s possible B6 may have more seats on offer too. It seems AA is also not looking to defend its territory as DL expands in BOS. My, how the times have changed.

So AA is completely exiting JFK-SAN/SEA, bringing LAS to just once a day, and now lagging behind DL/B6 frequencies on JFK-LAX? It looks like they are really just throwing in the towel at JFK at this point. T8 will be even quieter...
 
axiom
Posts: 854
Joined: Mon Aug 10, 2015 10:39 pm

Re: OAG Changes 6/9/2019:AC PSP-YYC Out;AS PAE-PSP Add;DL JFK-KEF Cut;NK EWR-RSW/TPA Add,MCO-PTY Out;SY LAS-LAX/PHX Add

Sun Jun 09, 2019 1:35 pm

AA has made some surpassing cuts in LGA too. Yikes.

B6 continues to wither in TPA, as NK steps in.
 
User avatar
LotsaRunway
Posts: 287
Joined: Thu Jun 16, 2016 8:23 pm

Re: OAG Changes 6/9/2019:AC PSP-YYC Out;AS PAE-PSP Add;DL JFK-KEF Cut;NK EWR-RSW/TPA Add,MCO-PTY Out;SY LAS-LAX/PHX Add

Sun Jun 09, 2019 1:37 pm

Seems like AA is doing a lot of frequency trimming during September. Are these due to upgauging or are they true reductions?
 
Jo8338
Posts: 128
Joined: Fri Dec 16, 2016 4:27 am

Re: OAG Changes 6/9/2019:AC PSP-YYC Out;AS PAE-PSP Add;DL JFK-KEF Cut;NK EWR-RSW/TPA Add,MCO-PTY Out;SY LAS-LAX/PHX Add

Sun Jun 09, 2019 1:44 pm

What’s the logic of AA cutting ORD - FLL?
 
User avatar
enilria
Topic Author
Posts: 9365
Joined: Fri Feb 22, 2008 7:15 pm

Re: OAG Changes 6/9/2019:AC PSP-YYC Out;AS PAE-PSP Add;DL JFK-KEF Cut;NK EWR-RSW/TPA Add,MCO-PTY Out;SY LAS-LAX/PHX Add

Sun Jun 09, 2019 1:46 pm

Bigant0408 wrote:
Thanks as always for your Sunday post always look forward to them. For DL I’m surprised they are making there JFK-KEF route seasonal especially since WOW Air ceases Operations. I’m curious as to why they are going this route.

:)
It's a huge gift to FI. I wonder if MSP will come back?
jetbluefan1 wrote:
Thanks enilria!

AA’s reductions on BOS-LAX/DCA will either match or be below B6’s frequencies in these markets. I’m not sure which aircraft AA will be using, but it’s possible B6 may have more seats on offer too. It seems AA is also not looking to defend its territory as DL expands in BOS. My, how the times have changed.

So AA is completely exiting JFK-SAN/SEA, bringing LAS to just once a day, and now lagging behind DL/B6 frequencies on JFK-LAX? It looks like they are really just throwing in the towel at JFK at this point. T8 will be even quieter...

I don't get how they are thinking they can exit these markets in Summer, return in Fall and have done no loyalty damage.
axiom wrote:
B6 continues to wither in TPA, as NK steps in.

Just a couple of RTs isn't it?
LotsaRunway wrote:
Seems like AA is doing a lot of frequency trimming during September. Are these due to upgauging or are they true reductions?

Given the volume of changed routes I don't think they could have done much upgauging.
 
panamair
Posts: 4067
Joined: Fri Oct 12, 2001 2:24 am

Re: OAG Changes 6/9/2019:AC PSP-YYC Out;AS PAE-PSP Add;DL JFK-KEF Cut;NK EWR-RSW/TPA Add,MCO-PTY Out;SY LAS-LAX/PHX Add

Sun Jun 09, 2019 1:52 pm

Bigant0408 wrote:
Thanks as always for your Sunday post always look forward to them. For DL I’m surprised they are making there JFK-KEF route seasonal especially since WOW Air ceases Operations. I’m curious as to why they are going this route.


Tangentially related, unnoticed in last week’s update was DL going from seasonal to year-round on JFK-EDI this coming winter. EDI used to stop after the first week of January and only came back at the end of March but this winter it will be 4x weekly through the winter (so far). Plus there are some upgauges planned this coming winter, so all this plays into their overall winter transatlantic capacity deployment.
 
MIflyer12
Posts: 5187
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2013 11:58 pm

Re: OAG Changes 6/9/2019:AC PSP-YYC Out;AS PAE-PSP Add;DL JFK-KEF Cut;NK EWR-RSW/TPA Add,MCO-PTY Out;SY LAS-LAX/PHX Add

Sun Jun 09, 2019 2:01 pm

LotsaRunway wrote:
Seems like AA is doing a lot of frequency trimming during September. Are these due to upgauging or are they true reductions?


September is a slow month for U.S. travel. Kids back in school. Look at year-over-year frequency changes.
 
axiom
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Re: OAG Changes 6/9/2019:AC PSP-YYC Out;AS PAE-PSP Add;DL JFK-KEF Cut;NK EWR-RSW/TPA Add,MCO-PTY Out;SY LAS-LAX/PHX Add

Sun Jun 09, 2019 2:17 pm

enilria wrote:
axiom wrote:
B6 continues to wither in TPA, as NK steps in.

Just a couple of RTs isn't it?


Anecdotally, I would say they are down 20% from their peak. SJU and JFK frequency cuts and wholesale LGA, DCA cuts in the last two years. They’re the only carrier that hasn’t been growing in the market.
 
AlexBrewster03
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Re: OAG Changes 6/9/2019:AC PSP-YYC Out;AS PAE-PSP Add;DL JFK-KEF Cut;NK EWR-RSW/TPA Add,MCO-PTY Out;SY LAS-LAX/PHX Add

Sun Jun 09, 2019 2:21 pm

Can someone explain to me what DL is doing with MAD?
 
lavalampluva
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Re: OAG Changes 6/9/2019:AC PSP-YYC Out;AS PAE-PSP Add;DL JFK-KEF Cut;NK EWR-RSW/TPA Add,MCO-PTY Out;SY LAS-LAX/PHX Add

Sun Jun 09, 2019 2:22 pm

Bigant0408 wrote:
Thanks as always for your Sunday post always look forward to them. For DL I’m surprised they are making there JFK-KEF route seasonal especially since WOW Air ceases Operations. I’m curious as to why they are going this route.

MSP-KEF has always been seasonal for DL. So not foreseeing anything changing.
Remind me to send a thank you note to Mr. Boeing.
 
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enilria
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Re: OAG Changes 6/9/2019:AC PSP-YYC Out;AS PAE-PSP Add;DL JFK-KEF Cut;NK EWR-RSW/TPA Add,MCO-PTY Out;SY LAS-LAX/PHX Add

Sun Jun 09, 2019 2:22 pm

panamair wrote:
Bigant0408 wrote:
Thanks as always for your Sunday post always look forward to them. For DL I’m surprised they are making there JFK-KEF route seasonal especially since WOW Air ceases Operations. I’m curious as to why they are going this route.


Tangentially related, unnoticed in last week’s update was DL going from seasonal to year-round on JFK-EDI this coming winter. EDI used to stop after the first week of January and only came back at the end of March but this winter it will be 4x weekly through the winter (so far). Plus there are some upgauges planned this coming winter, so all this plays into their overall winter transatlantic capacity deployment.

It didn't go unnoticed. You just didn't notice it. It was 5/26, not 6/3 that was loaded.
viewtopic.php?f=3&t=1423377
DL EDI-JFK JAN 1.0>0.5[0.1] FEB 1.0>0.6[0]
 
CHOWahoo
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Re: OAG Changes 6/9/2019:AC PSP-YYC Out;AS PAE-PSP Add;DL JFK-KEF Cut;NK EWR-RSW/TPA Add,MCO-PTY Out;SY LAS-LAX/PHX Add

Sun Jun 09, 2019 2:26 pm

Assuming the slight uptick in LWB-ORD frequencies in September reflects a few double dailies during the Greenbrier Classic golf tournament as opposed to anything permanent on an EAS route.
 
apodino
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Re: OAG Changes 6/9/2019:AC PSP-YYC Out;AS PAE-PSP Add;DL JFK-KEF Cut;NK EWR-RSW/TPA Add,MCO-PTY Out;SY LAS-LAX/PHX Add

Sun Jun 09, 2019 2:30 pm

A couple of points on the AA cuts.

1. AA is down a 321T due to the incident in JFK with the runway lights. I am not 100 percent sure about this frame, but it may be a write-off. That would force AA to trim some 321T frequency, which would explain JFK-LAX. Also note that AA wanted to run this type from BOS-LAX as well.

2. Most of the JFK cuts are 737-Max related. JFK is the station that has been really hit by the 737-MAX grounding, as AA has needed more 737-800s in places like MIA to back fill the max flying. JFK became the sacrificial lamb here, and also the runway closure in JFK has given AA the perfect circumstance to drop the route without losing the slot.

3. AA is really tight on LGA gate space for now due to the new terminal project. I think a frequency cut or two may have been made to help with that. Not sure what they are doing with the slots tough.

4. SAT is a very surprising cut given that SAT is the Heavy MX base for the E190 fleet. AA is still planning to retire the type, and it could be that after the summer the 190 fleet is good on Heavy MX. If that's true, it would explain the cut. They no longer need the SAT MX routing.
 
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LotsaRunway
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Re: OAG Changes 6/9/2019:AC PSP-YYC Out;AS PAE-PSP Add;DL JFK-KEF Cut;NK EWR-RSW/TPA Add,MCO-PTY Out;SY LAS-LAX/PHX Add

Sun Jun 09, 2019 2:33 pm

MIflyer12 wrote:
LotsaRunway wrote:
Seems like AA is doing a lot of frequency trimming during September. Are these due to upgauging or are they true reductions?


September is a slow month for U.S. travel. Kids back in school. Look at year-over-year frequency changes.

I see that, but at some point AA added those frequencies and then decided to scale them back. Why did they add them in the first place if it's just a normal seasonal shift? I suppose there could be lots of explanations, but it is eye catching.
 
apodino
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Re: OAG Changes 6/9/2019:AC PSP-YYC Out;AS PAE-PSP Add;DL JFK-KEF Cut;NK EWR-RSW/TPA Add,MCO-PTY Out;SY LAS-LAX/PHX Add

Sun Jun 09, 2019 2:40 pm

LotsaRunway wrote:
MIflyer12 wrote:
LotsaRunway wrote:
Seems like AA is doing a lot of frequency trimming during September. Are these due to upgauging or are they true reductions?


September is a slow month for U.S. travel. Kids back in school. Look at year-over-year frequency changes.

I see that, but at some point AA added those frequencies and then decided to scale them back. Why did they add them in the first place if it's just a normal seasonal shift? I suppose there could be lots of explanations, but it is eye catching.


This may explain some things

https://www.dallasnews.com/business/american-airlines/2019/06/09/american-airlines-extends-737-max-flight-cancellations-labor-day-weekend
 
NCAD95
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Re: OAG Changes 6/9/2019:AC PSP-YYC Out;AS PAE-PSP Add;DL JFK-KEF Cut;NK EWR-RSW/TPA Add,MCO-PTY Out;SY LAS-LAX/PHX Add

Sun Jun 09, 2019 3:01 pm

Bigant0408 wrote:
Thanks as always for your Sunday post always look forward to them. For DL I’m surprised they are making there JFK-KEF route seasonal especially since WOW Air ceases Operations. I’m curious as to why they are going this route.


I think this is exactly why Delta made this seasonal because they no longer feel the pressure of WOW Air because they still can mantain market share now in the summer without having to run the flight through the winter. I think this is just the beginning of the KEF reductions.
 
Bigant0408
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Re: OAG Changes 6/9/2019:AC PSP-YYC Out;AS PAE-PSP Add;DL JFK-KEF Cut;NK EWR-RSW/TPA Add,MCO-PTY Out;SY LAS-LAX/PHX Add

Sun Jun 09, 2019 3:13 pm

NCAD95 wrote:
Bigant0408 wrote:
Thanks as always for your Sunday post always look forward to them. For DL I’m surprised they are making there JFK-KEF route seasonal especially since WOW Air ceases Operations. I’m curious as to why they are going this route.


I think this is exactly why Delta made this seasonal because they no longer feel the pressure of WOW Air because they still can mantain market share now in the summer without having to run the flight through the winter. I think this is just the beginning of the KEF reductions.


I thought they were year round service before wow air came into play few years ago? You’re probably right tho overall. FI probably jumping for joy.
The man who sleeps on the floor doesn’t fall out of bed
 
Boof02671
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Re: OAG Changes 6/9/2019:AC PSP-YYC Out;AS PAE-PSP Add;DL JFK-KEF Cut;NK EWR-RSW/TPA Add,MCO-PTY Out;SY LAS-LAX/PHX Add

Sun Jun 09, 2019 3:30 pm

apodino wrote:
A couple of points on the AA cuts.

1. AA is down a 321T due to the incident in JFK with the runway lights. I am not 100 percent sure about this frame, but it may be a write-off. That would force AA to trim some 321T frequency, which would explain JFK-LAX. Also note that AA wanted to run this type from BOS-LAX as well.

2. Most of the JFK cuts are 737-Max related. JFK is the station that has been really hit by the 737-MAX grounding, as AA has needed more 737-800s in places like MIA to back fill the max flying. JFK became the sacrificial lamb here, and also the runway closure in JFK has given AA the perfect circumstance to drop the route without losing the slot.

3. AA is really tight on LGA gate space for now due to the new terminal project. I think a frequency cut or two may have been made to help with that. Not sure what they are doing with the slots tough.

4. SAT is a very surprising cut given that SAT is the Heavy MX base for the E190 fleet. AA is still planning to retire the type, and it could be that after the summer the 190 fleet is good on Heavy MX. If that's true, it would explain the cut. They no longer need the SAT MX routing.

The plane is fixed. No where near a right off. And SAT is where US outsources overhaul of the 190 which is every three years.
 
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enilria
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Re: OAG Changes 6/9/2019:AC PSP-YYC Out;AS PAE-PSP Add;DL JFK-KEF Cut;NK EWR-RSW/TPA Add,MCO-PTY Out;SY LAS-LAX/PHX Add

Sun Jun 09, 2019 3:43 pm

LotsaRunway wrote:
MIflyer12 wrote:
LotsaRunway wrote:
Seems like AA is doing a lot of frequency trimming during September. Are these due to upgauging or are they true reductions?


September is a slow month for U.S. travel. Kids back in school. Look at year-over-year frequency changes.

I see that, but at some point AA added those frequencies and then decided to scale them back. Why did they add them in the first place if it's just a normal seasonal shift? I suppose there could be lots of explanations, but it is eye catching.

Over publishing the schedule is a time-honored if possibly illegal technique for boosting revenue share.
NCAD95 wrote:
Bigant0408 wrote:
Thanks as always for your Sunday post always look forward to them. For DL I’m surprised they are making there JFK-KEF route seasonal especially since WOW Air ceases Operations. I’m curious as to why they are going this route.


I think this is exactly why Delta made this seasonal because they no longer feel the pressure of WOW Air because they still can mantain market share now in the summer without having to run the flight through the winter. I think this is just the beginning of the KEF reductions.

What's the over-under on MSP-KEF? Not a WW route, but if they are going to reduce the pressure on FI at JFK, why not?
 
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chepos
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Re: OAG Changes 6/9/2019:AC PSP-YYC Out;AS PAE-PSP Add;DL JFK-KEF Cut;NK EWR-RSW/TPA Add,MCO-PTY Out;SY LAS-LAX/PHX Add

Sun Jun 09, 2019 3:52 pm

JFK KEF year round came along before WW was a threat. The market is just not very strong in the winter, FI during the winter is more than enough.


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jetbluefan1
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Re: OAG Changes 6/9/2019:AC PSP-YYC Out;AS PAE-PSP Add;DL JFK-KEF Cut;NK EWR-RSW/TPA Add,MCO-PTY Out;SY LAS-LAX/PHX Add

Sun Jun 09, 2019 3:54 pm

axiom wrote:
enilria wrote:
axiom wrote:
B6 continues to wither in TPA, as NK steps in.

Just a couple of RTs isn't it?


Anecdotally, I would say they are down 20% from their peak. SJU and JFK frequency cuts and wholesale LGA, DCA cuts in the last two years. They’re the only carrier that hasn’t been growing in the market.


B6 has never had too much success with TPA. LGA-TPA was sacrificed to boost LGA-BOS, and DCA-TPA was sacrificed to boost DCA-BOS. In both cases B6 found it more important to protect its BOS hub with the precious few slots they have at each Northeast airport. TPA never generated the same yields as, say, PBI, so it was the first to be cut when it came to reallocating resources to protect BOS.

That said, B6 does still offer quite a bit of capacity from TPA to NYC (JFK/EWR/HPN), and also serves New England via BOS and BDL. They also have a couple flights down the road from SRQ to JFK/BOS.

Frankly, I think the calculus is that WN is the strongest at TPA, which serves an area that doesn’t have the same amount/strength of ties to the Northeast as do FLL/PBI (and RSW to a lesser extent). So to a certain extent TPA is the odd man out from the point of view of B6’s network strengths and it’s not worth fighting WN, which is significantly larger and has focus cities in Midwest markets which traditionally have stronger ties to Florida's gulf coast. Although I think a few flights from TPA to the FLL hub would be a smart move.
 
Sancho99504
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Re: OAG Changes 6/9/2019:AC PSP-YYC Out;AS PAE-PSP Add;DL JFK-KEF Cut;NK EWR-RSW/TPA Add,MCO-PTY Out;SY LAS-LAX/PHX Add

Sun Jun 09, 2019 3:58 pm

enilria wrote:
Bigant0408 wrote:
Thanks as always for your Sunday post always look forward to them. For DL I’m surprised they are making there JFK-KEF route seasonal especially since WOW Air ceases Operations. I’m curious as to why they are going this route.

:)
It's a huge gift to FI. I wonder if MSP will come back?
jetbluefan1 wrote:
Thanks enilria!

AA’s reductions on BOS-LAX/DCA will either match or be below B6’s frequencies in these markets. I’m not sure which aircraft AA will be using, but it’s possible B6 may have more seats on offer too. It seems AA is also not looking to defend its territory as DL expands in BOS. My, how the times have changed.

So AA is completely exiting JFK-SAN/SEA, bringing LAS to just once a day, and now lagging behind DL/B6 frequencies on JFK-LAX? It looks like they are really just throwing in the towel at JFK at this point. T8 will be even quieter...

I don't get how they are thinking they can exit these markets in Summer, return in Fall and have done no loyalty damage.
[quote="axiom"]



From SEA, I can better connect thru ORD, CLT or DFW to anywhere in AA's network than I could thru JFK. For most people on SEA-JFK, JFK was not the end point, so the reduction won't hurt loyalty. SAN passengers, PHL offers better connectivity than JFK could.
kill 'em all and let God sort 'em out-USMC
 
MIflyer12
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Re: OAG Changes 6/9/2019:AC PSP-YYC Out;AS PAE-PSP Add;DL JFK-KEF Cut;NK EWR-RSW/TPA Add,MCO-PTY Out;SY LAS-LAX/PHX Add

Sun Jun 09, 2019 4:35 pm

Sancho99504 wrote:
From SEA, I can better connect thru ORD, CLT or DFW to anywhere in AA's network than I could thru JFK. For most people on SEA-JFK, JFK was not the end point, so the reduction won't hurt loyalty. SAN passengers, PHL offers better connectivity than JFK could.


Are you arguing that AA had no SEA-JFK O&D? Telling people to connect in ORD/DFW/CLT just isn't going to work on that pair with four carriers offering NYC-SEA non-stops, other than for absolute junk fares.
 
many321
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Re: OAG Changes 6/9/2019:AC PSP-YYC Out;AS PAE-PSP Add;DL JFK-KEF Cut;NK EWR-RSW/TPA Add,MCO-PTY Out;SY LAS-LAX/PHX Add

Sun Jun 09, 2019 4:36 pm

Seems that AV is adding another frequency after DL dropping the LAX-SAL route. Now, from what I see the Redeyes are going to be served by two A321s and an A319.
 
apodino
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Re: OAG Changes 6/9/2019:AC PSP-YYC Out;AS PAE-PSP Add;DL JFK-KEF Cut;NK EWR-RSW/TPA Add,MCO-PTY Out;SY LAS-LAX/PHX Add

Sun Jun 09, 2019 4:42 pm

Boof02671 wrote:
apodino wrote:
A couple of points on the AA cuts.

1. AA is down a 321T due to the incident in JFK with the runway lights. I am not 100 percent sure about this frame, but it may be a write-off. That would force AA to trim some 321T frequency, which would explain JFK-LAX. Also note that AA wanted to run this type from BOS-LAX as well.

2. Most of the JFK cuts are 737-Max related. JFK is the station that has been really hit by the 737-MAX grounding, as AA has needed more 737-800s in places like MIA to back fill the max flying. JFK became the sacrificial lamb here, and also the runway closure in JFK has given AA the perfect circumstance to drop the route without losing the slot.

3. AA is really tight on LGA gate space for now due to the new terminal project. I think a frequency cut or two may have been made to help with that. Not sure what they are doing with the slots tough.

4. SAT is a very surprising cut given that SAT is the Heavy MX base for the E190 fleet. AA is still planning to retire the type, and it could be that after the summer the 190 fleet is good on Heavy MX. If that's true, it would explain the cut. They no longer need the SAT MX routing.

The plane is fixed. No where near a right off. And SAT is where US outsources overhaul of the 190 which is every three years.


My sources tell me AC is showing OTS with a decision on June 25, and that it also shows in storage.
 
rj1385
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Re: OAG Changes 6/9/2019:AC PSP-YYC Out;AS PAE-PSP Add;DL JFK-KEF Cut;NK EWR-RSW/TPA Add,MCO-PTY Out;SY LAS-LAX/PHX Add

Sun Jun 09, 2019 4:54 pm

Jo8338 wrote:
What’s the logic of AA cutting ORD - FLL?


Much rather put passengers into MIA. I thought I remember seeing something (my have been before merger) about AA leaving FLL and just using MIA.
 
Sancho99504
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Re: OAG Changes 6/9/2019:AC PSP-YYC Out;AS PAE-PSP Add;DL JFK-KEF Cut;NK EWR-RSW/TPA Add,MCO-PTY Out;SY LAS-LAX/PHX Add

Sun Jun 09, 2019 5:10 pm

MIflyer12 wrote:
Sancho99504 wrote:
From SEA, I can better connect thru ORD, CLT or DFW to anywhere in AA's network than I could thru JFK. For most people on SEA-JFK, JFK was not the end point, so the reduction won't hurt loyalty. SAN passengers, PHL offers better connectivity than JFK could.


Are you arguing that AA had no SEA-JFK O&D? Telling people to connect in ORD/DFW/CLT just isn't going to work on that pair with four carriers offering NYC-SEA non-stops, other than for absolute junk fares.

Delta 1542 has seats available today for $322.30, which isn't a basic economy ticket for SEA-JFK. The same flight one month from today is 574.30.
For a comparison, SEA-BOS on DL today, the red eye is 593.30.

AA connecting over LAX to JFK has a seat for 541.80. Over PHX is 304.20.

Junk fares SEA-JFK. I didn't say AA had "no" O&D on the route. I said most people don't end their trip at JFK.
kill 'em all and let God sort 'em out-USMC
 
sargester
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Re: OAG Changes 6/9/2019:AC PSP-YYC Out;AS PAE-PSP Add;DL JFK-KEF Cut;NK EWR-RSW/TPA Add,MCO-PTY Out;SY LAS-LAX/PHX Add

Sun Jun 09, 2019 5:15 pm

AA notes:

1: JFK due to MAX grounding, AA just extended the MAX cuts till 9/3
2: The Shuttles got boosted in capacity to 319s instead of all 190s
3: FLL ORD is due to runway construction
4: PHL SAT... i have no idea, flight seems to be doing fine
 
sargester
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Re: OAG Changes 6/9/2019:AC PSP-YYC Out;AS PAE-PSP Add;DL JFK-KEF Cut;NK EWR-RSW/TPA Add,MCO-PTY Out;SY LAS-LAX/PHX Add

Sun Jun 09, 2019 5:18 pm

apodino wrote:
A couple of points on the AA cuts.

1. AA is down a 321T due to the incident in JFK with the runway lights. I am not 100 percent sure about this frame, but it may be a write-off. That would force AA to trim some 321T frequency, which would explain JFK-LAX. Also note that AA wanted to run this type from BOS-LAX as well.

2. Most of the JFK cuts are 737-Max related. JFK is the station that has been really hit by the 737-MAX grounding, as AA has needed more 737-800s in places like MIA to back fill the max flying. JFK became the sacrificial lamb here, and also the runway closure in JFK has given AA the perfect circumstance to drop the route without losing the slot.

3. AA is really tight on LGA gate space for now due to the new terminal project. I think a frequency cut or two may have been made to help with that. Not sure what they are doing with the slots tough.

4. SAT is a very surprising cut given that SAT is the Heavy MX base for the E190 fleet. AA is still planning to retire the type, and it could be that after the summer the 190 fleet is good on Heavy MX. If that's true, it would explain the cut. They no longer need the SAT MX routing.


1: that airplane is back in service
2: your right on point
3: ehh this has to do with changing capacity considering AA jsut got all of UAs gates at LGA for the time being, they changed 190s to 319s
4: 190s are going the way of the dodo and that route does fine, should be made an e175
 
apodino
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Re: OAG Changes 6/9/2019:AC PSP-YYC Out;AS PAE-PSP Add;DL JFK-KEF Cut;NK EWR-RSW/TPA Add,MCO-PTY Out;SY LAS-LAX/PHX Add

Sun Jun 09, 2019 6:07 pm

sargester wrote:

1: that airplane is back in service

No its not. As I said earlier, I am told by people at AA that the airplane is in short term storage and shows out of service with a decision time of 2300 on June 25.
 
Jimothy
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Re: OAG Changes 6/9/2019:AC PSP-YYC Out;AS PAE-PSP Add;DL JFK-KEF Cut;NK EWR-RSW/TPA Add,MCO-PTY Out;SY LAS-LAX/PHX Add

Sun Jun 09, 2019 6:09 pm

Isn’t PHL-SAT an A320? E190 maintenance shouldn’t have much to do with the cut.
 
Cointrin330
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Re: OAG Changes 6/9/2019:AC PSP-YYC Out;AS PAE-PSP Add;DL JFK-KEF Cut;NK EWR-RSW/TPA Add,MCO-PTY Out;SY LAS-LAX/PHX Add

Sun Jun 09, 2019 6:25 pm

enilria wrote:
Bigant0408 wrote:
Thanks as always for your Sunday post always look forward to them. For DL I’m surprised they are making there JFK-KEF route seasonal especially since WOW Air ceases Operations. I’m curious as to why they are going this route.

:)
It's a huge gift to FI. I wonder if MSP will come back?
jetbluefan1 wrote:
Thanks enilria!

AA’s reductions on BOS-LAX/DCA will either match or be below B6’s frequencies in these markets. I’m not sure which aircraft AA will be using, but it’s possible B6 may have more seats on offer too. It seems AA is also not looking to defend its territory as DL expands in BOS. My, how the times have changed.

So AA is completely exiting JFK-SAN/SEA, bringing LAS to just once a day, and now lagging behind DL/B6 frequencies on JFK-LAX? It looks like they are really just throwing in the towel at JFK at this point. T8 will be even quieter...

I don't get how they are thinking they can exit these markets in Summer, return in Fall and have done no loyalty damage.
axiom wrote:
B6 continues to wither in TPA, as NK steps in.

Just a couple of RTs isn't it?
LotsaRunway wrote:
Seems like AA is doing a lot of frequency trimming during September. Are these due to upgauging or are they true reductions?

Given the volume of changed routes I don't think they could have done much upgauging.


DL cutting JFK-KEF isn't surprising. Tourism to Iceland has peaked and with Wow Air out of the picture, why bother, in winter?
 
Boof02671
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Re: OAG Changes 6/9/2019:AC PSP-YYC Out;AS PAE-PSP Add;DL JFK-KEF Cut;NK EWR-RSW/TPA Add,MCO-PTY Out;SY LAS-LAX/PHX Add

Sun Jun 09, 2019 6:41 pm

Jimothy wrote:
Isn’t PHL-SAT an A320? E190 maintenance shouldn’t have much to do with the cut.

It’s a vendor. Being a heavy maintenance facility has zero to do with line maintenance which is a mainline job.
 
Gulfstream500
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Re: OAG Changes 6/9/2019:AC PSP-YYC Out;AS PAE-PSP Add;DL JFK-KEF Cut;NK EWR-RSW/TPA Add,MCO-PTY Out;SY LAS-LAX/PHX Add

Sun Jun 09, 2019 6:41 pm

Time for winners and losers...

Winners:

CLT: 12 adds, one loss. I'd call it a good week for CLT.
ATY: They (finally) have a nonstop to a hub.
LAS: Seems that SY is having a lot of buildup there!

Losers:

DFW: Some gains, many losses. They're getting the bad end of the AA hub adjustments.
PHL: 13 losses, some are multiple per day. (PLEASE don't start on how AA is going to dehub them...)
RIC: With a lot of growth ahead, they still somehow managed to lose half of their flights to TX (IAH/DFW) over the course of a day... ouch. Time for NK to join in on the RIC-TX action?
JFK: MORE cuts? Several routes ended or significantly reduced.
What's the deal with airplane food?

Frontier Airlines: Spirit of the west
 
pbodyphoto
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Re: OAG Changes 6/9/2019:AC PSP-YYC Out;AS PAE-PSP Add;DL JFK-KEF Cut;NK EWR-RSW/TPA Add,MCO-PTY Out;SY LAS-LAX/PHX Add

Sun Jun 09, 2019 7:05 pm

Gulfstream500 wrote:
Time for winners and losers...

Winners:
...
ATY: They (finally) have a nonstop to a hub.
...


ATY definitely lose in this change. They currently have a morning flight to DEN via PIR and an afternoon nonstop (in the other direction they have an early afternoon nonstop and an evening via PIR)

Under the new schedule they end up with a noon flight to ORD and a late afternoon nonstop to DEN. While you could previously either visit or leave ATY for just a day you are now forced in to a 3 day trip for only one day on the ground.
 
jb1087xna
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Re: OAG Changes 6/9/2019:AC PSP-YYC Out;AS PAE-PSP Add;DL JFK-KEF Cut;NK EWR-RSW/TPA Add,MCO-PTY Out;SY LAS-LAX/PHX Add

Sun Jun 09, 2019 7:25 pm

Gulfstream500 wrote:
Losers:

RIC: With a lot of growth ahead, they still somehow managed to lose half of their flights to TX (IAH/DFW) over the course of a day... ouch.


It looks like they're basically flat, if not slightly up because of UA's schedule, when looking year-over-year..?
| A319/20/21/33 | B717,722,733/5/7/8/9,744,752/3,762/3 | CR1/2/7/9 | D95 | E145/75 | M82/8/90 |
Next up: XNA-ATL-PWM-ATL-XNA
 
Jo8338
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Re: OAG Changes 6/9/2019:AC PSP-YYC Out;AS PAE-PSP Add;DL JFK-KEF Cut;NK EWR-RSW/TPA Add,MCO-PTY Out;SY LAS-LAX/PHX Add

Sun Jun 09, 2019 7:29 pm

sargester wrote:
AA notes:

1: JFK due to MAX grounding, AA just extended the MAX cuts till 9/3
2: The Shuttles got boosted in capacity to 319s instead of all 190s
3: FLL ORD is due to runway construction
4: PHL SAT... i have no idea, flight seems to be doing fine

Regarding FLL; there is runway construction but there are still many CLT, PHL, and DFW flights. It would be logical to balance the flow through different hubs. AA has cut DCA and PHX already. No sense in stopping ORD.
 
NCAD95
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Re: OAG Changes 6/9/2019:AC PSP-YYC Out;AS PAE-PSP Add;DL JFK-KEF Cut;NK EWR-RSW/TPA Add,MCO-PTY Out;SY LAS-LAX/PHX Add

Sun Jun 09, 2019 7:32 pm

chepos wrote:
JFK KEF year round came along before WW was a threat. The market is just not very strong in the winter, FI during the winter is more than enough.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk


WOW Air started EWR-KEF in 2015 Delta went year round on JFK-KEF in 2016. WOW Air ends EWR-KEF in 2019 Delta goes seasonal on JFK-KEF in 2020.
 
SCQ83
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Re: OAG Changes 6/9/2019:AC PSP-YYC Out;AS PAE-PSP Add;DL JFK-KEF Cut;NK EWR-RSW/TPA Add,MCO-PTY Out;SY LAS-LAX/PHX Add

Sun Jun 09, 2019 7:46 pm

The Icelandic bubble has burst. Traffic in May at KEF was 30.4% down YoY. A much larger loss (in %) than in the GFC and the Icelandic financial crisis.
 
TW870
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Re: OAG Changes 6/9/2019:AC PSP-YYC Out;AS PAE-PSP Add;DL JFK-KEF Cut;NK EWR-RSW/TPA Add,MCO-PTY Out;SY LAS-LAX/PHX Add

Sun Jun 09, 2019 7:56 pm

AlexBrewster03 wrote:
Can someone explain to me what DL is doing with MAD?


No strategy change with Madrid in recent times. ATL and JFK have year round service, but that service is 5 times a week in the off season. This year they kept the 764 on both Madrid flights for the high season. It sometimes used to see the A330-300, but right now they have shifted some airbus flying to LHR/ZRH across the system in order to put the more competitive D1 seats on those high yield business routes. MAD is a one world hub, but southern European tourism is doing very well out of the U.S., and DL also code shares with Air Europa out of MAD.
 
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jfklganyc
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Re: OAG Changes 6/9/2019:AC PSP-YYC Out;AS PAE-PSP Add;DL JFK-KEF Cut;NK EWR-RSW/TPA Add,MCO-PTY Out;SY LAS-LAX/PHX Add

Sun Jun 09, 2019 9:05 pm

KEF: There was no bubble to burst. It was too much capacity by a new carrier and other carriers matching it. The new carrier is out of business and the other guys are cutting back to normal levels.

FLL: One runway closed all summer

AA NYC: Now cuts at both airports. They just aren’t very relevant anymore.
 
Gulfstream500
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Re: OAG Changes 6/9/2019:AC PSP-YYC Out;AS PAE-PSP Add;DL JFK-KEF Cut;NK EWR-RSW/TPA Add,MCO-PTY Out;SY LAS-LAX/PHX Add

Sun Jun 09, 2019 9:53 pm

jfklganyc wrote:
KEF: There was no bubble to burst. It was too much capacity by a new carrier and other carriers matching it. The new carrier is out of business and the other guys are cutting back to normal levels.

FLL: One runway closed all summer

AA NYC: Now cuts at both airports. They just aren’t very relevant anymore.


Thing to remember with NYC is that B6, UA, and DL all have larger presences. The small guy is always bound to lose in the airline business.

Will AA last at JFK? Time will tell.

Although, some may argue that JFK is only an O&D focus city for AA.
What's the deal with airplane food?

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tphuang
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Re: OAG Changes 6/9/2019:AC PSP-YYC Out;AS PAE-PSP Add;DL JFK-KEF Cut;NK EWR-RSW/TPA Add,MCO-PTY Out;SY LAS-LAX/PHX Add

Sun Jun 09, 2019 10:29 pm

jetbluefan1 wrote:
Thanks enilria!

AA’s reductions on BOS-LAX/DCA will either match or be below B6’s frequencies in these markets. I’m not sure which aircraft AA will be using, but it’s possible B6 may have more seats on offer too. It seems AA is also not looking to defend its territory as DL expands in BOS. My, how the times have changed.

So AA is completely exiting JFK-SAN/SEA, bringing LAS to just once a day, and now lagging behind DL/B6 frequencies on JFK-LAX? It looks like they are really just throwing in the towel at JFK at this point. T8 will be even quieter...

Hi, did you see FLL-LAX is at 4x for Jan/Feb? Seems like JFK-LAS is down to 1 mint flight per day. BOS-SAN continues to be 2x mint and 1 standard A320.

I'm going to do a little summary in Jetblue thread comparing YoY, quite a bit of upgauging to Florida from what I can see.
 
axiom
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Re: OAG Changes 6/9/2019:AC PSP-YYC Out;AS PAE-PSP Add;DL JFK-KEF Cut;NK EWR-RSW/TPA Add,MCO-PTY Out;SY LAS-LAX/PHX Add

Sun Jun 09, 2019 10:37 pm

jetbluefan1 wrote:
axiom wrote:
enilria wrote:

Just a couple of RTs isn't it?


Anecdotally, I would say they are down 20% from their peak. SJU and JFK frequency cuts and wholesale LGA, DCA cuts in the last two years. They’re the only carrier that hasn’t been growing in the market.


B6 has never had too much success with TPA. LGA-TPA was sacrificed to boost LGA-BOS, and DCA-TPA was sacrificed to boost DCA-BOS. In both cases B6 found it more important to protect its BOS hub with the precious few slots they have at each Northeast airport. TPA never generated the same yields as, say, PBI, so it was the first to be cut when it came to reallocating resources to protect BOS.

That said, B6 does still offer quite a bit of capacity from TPA to NYC (JFK/EWR/HPN), and also serves New England via BOS and BDL. They also have a couple flights down the road from SRQ to JFK/BOS.

Frankly, I think the calculus is that WN is the strongest at TPA, which serves an area that doesn’t have the same amount/strength of ties to the Northeast as do FLL/PBI (and RSW to a lesser extent). So to a certain extent TPA is the odd man out from the point of view of B6’s network strengths and it’s not worth fighting WN, which is significantly larger and has focus cities in Midwest markets which traditionally have stronger ties to Florida's gulf coast. Although I think a few flights from TPA to the FLL hub would be a smart move.


I agree wholeheartedly with your analysis — it’s just remarkable to see how B6 has withered in TPA since, at, 2010. They must be below their pre-financial crisis peak, still. For many years, TPA was comfortably in their top ten stations, as I recall. Please feel free to correct. :)
 
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enilria
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Re: OAG Changes 6/9/2019:AC PSP-YYC Out;AS PAE-PSP Add;DL JFK-KEF Cut;NK EWR-RSW/TPA Add,MCO-PTY Out;SY LAS-LAX/PHX Add

Sun Jun 09, 2019 10:55 pm

Gulfstream500 wrote:
Time for winners and losers...

Winners:

CLT: 12 adds, one loss. I'd call it a good week for CLT.
ATY: They (finally) have a nonstop to a hub.
LAS: Seems that SY is having a lot of buildup there!

Losers:

DFW: Some gains, many losses. They're getting the bad end of the AA hub adjustments.
PHL: 13 losses, some are multiple per day. (PLEASE don't start on how AA is going to dehub them...)
RIC: With a lot of growth ahead, they still somehow managed to lose half of their flights to TX (IAH/DFW) over the course of a day... ouch. Time for NK to join in on the RIC-TX action?
JFK: MORE cuts? Several routes ended or significantly reduced.

I just noticed your Seinfeld based signature!

Yes, PHL is very safe. DFW is interesting with a new terminal under construction. I'm sure it is a blip.
SCQ83 wrote:
The Icelandic bubble has burst. Traffic in May at KEF was 30.4% down YoY. A much larger loss (in %) than in the GFC and the Icelandic financial crisis.

I wonder if the are wishing they had bailed out WW? I'm sure the losses at WW were worth it for the broader economic impact, although FI might have been damaged long term.
 
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jfklganyc
Posts: 5366
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Re: OAG Changes 6/9/2019:AC PSP-YYC Out;AS PAE-PSP Add;DL JFK-KEF Cut;NK EWR-RSW/TPA Add,MCO-PTY Out;SY LAS-LAX/PHX Add

Sun Jun 09, 2019 11:51 pm

B6 has never done well at TPA.

The winning route was the one that was cut due to lack of slots: LGA TPA

Frankly, B6 is too Boston focused...Cutting that route is a perfect example
 
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knope2001
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Re: OAG Changes 6/9/2019:AC PSP-YYC Out;AS PAE-PSP Add;DL JFK-KEF Cut;NK EWR-RSW/TPA Add,MCO-PTY Out;SY LAS-LAX/PHX Add

Mon Jun 10, 2019 1:05 am

Thanks as always for taking the time to compile and post this stuff, enilria!

enilria wrote:
*UA ATY-ORD SEP 0>1.0[0] OCT 0>1.0[0] NOV 0>1.0[0] DEC 0>1.0[0] JAN 0>1.0[0] FEB 0>1.0[0] MAR 0>1.0[0]
*UA ATY-PIR SEP 1.0>0.0[0] OCT 1.0>0[0] NOV 1.0>0[0] DEC 1.0>0[0] JAN 1.0>0[0] FEB 1.0>0[0] MAR 1.0>0[0]


Watertown worked with Skywest to get exactly this -- instead of 2 DEN flights to have 1 to DEN and one to ORD.

PIR and especially ATY have posted big traffic increases since RJ's replaced Great Lakes.

ADI (before they became California Pacific and faltered) did well with 100 daily seats to PIR/ATY
2x ATY-PIR-DEN

When Skywest bid to take over they decided to offer 150 daily seats, giving Watertown a daily nonstop to DEN as well as the 1-stop over Pierre
1x ATY-PIR-DEN
1x PIR-DEN
1x ATY-DEN

Now with this expansion there will be 200 daily seats -- 100 unlinked seats at PIR and 100 unlinked seats at ATY
2x PIR-DEN
1x ATY-DEN
1x ATY-ORD

Skywest is agreeing to do this at no additional subsidy.

What Watertown loses with this is a morning originator. My guess is that Skywest is willing to do this for no extra cost because Watertown and Pierre have been forming well, andj the total number of daily segments is the same -- they are replacing a 159-mile ATY-PIR hop with a 507-mile ATY-ORD hop -- quite a bit longer but also likely to generate a bunch more revenue. But Skywest is likely not willing to add the cost of a second originator in South Dakota for no added subsidy. It will be interesting to see if Watertown's gain by having an ORD nonstop will offset the downside of only having a midday and a late afternoon departure.

In recent monthsSkywest has requested to alter the service pattern at a number of their EAS markets in conjunction with community requests. Of particular note both Greenbriar LWB and Moab CNY will be getting about the same number of annual trips but the service will be more frequent during their peak seasons and less frequent in slower months. Places with big seasonal tourism variation under EAS have a much better shot at success if they mold service to fit demand better rather than adhere to the flat minimums of 12 flights per week at all times. And although frequency has come to rule the day in much of the US air service market I'm not sure that relatively isolated markets are overly hurt by creative service patterns if they meet demand. For Watertown to only have one westbound fligth means there's one good shot per day if you're headed to the west coast.. But for most travelers at ATY is a second daily west coast option that meaningful? I'd think the value of a second west coast option is overshadowed by having a flight to the east in its place. The only concern I have is that not having a flight before about 1230pm out of ATY doesn't prove too much of a handicap.
 
flyboy7974
Posts: 1308
Joined: Sat Jan 18, 2003 4:35 pm

Re: OAG Changes 6/9/2019:AC PSP-YYC Out;AS PAE-PSP Add;DL JFK-KEF Cut;NK EWR-RSW/TPA Add,MCO-PTY Out;SY LAS-LAX/PHX Add

Mon Jun 10, 2019 3:20 am

sargester wrote:
AA notes:

1: JFK due to MAX grounding, AA just extended the MAX cuts till 9/3
2: The Shuttles got boosted in capacity to 319s instead of all 190s
3: FLL ORD is due to runway construction
4: PHL SAT... i have no idea, flight seems to be doing fine



SAT is on the Airbus this season and was cut so aircraft could cover flying loss to Max grounding.

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