inconel wrote:I think the 6-decade North American dominance/major control of the narrow-body market is on the line. Not just because the MAX is out, but it will be out in a way which will seriously tie up Boeing resources while Airbus would be free to ramp up production.
Bobloblaw wrote:The flaw your theory is this statement:
“Airbus would be free to ramp up production”
They aren’t unless they are willing to invest tens of billions in new production facilities for narrowbody aircraft for something that may well be temporary.
I don’t think a.netters really understand the complexities of making civilian commercial aircraft. Those who say that Boeing should have made a clean sheet aircraft are equally underestimating the complexities of building a brand new plane.
In 2011, Boeing had just finished the 787 programmer which was the most expensive and complex aircraft programmed in history. On top of that oil prices has risen from under $50 to over $100 per barrel and it certainly seemed like $100 plus oil was the new normal in 2011. Should Boeing spend at least as much as they did on the 787 programme for a new natrowbody that won’t be available until the late 2010s or early 2020s or should they update an existing model? What if oil had moved upwards to $150 per barrel by 2015 and Boeing had nothing to offer until 2020? Think anyone would wait around for Boeing’s new planes? Then Airbus would have had an incentive to increase productive capacity. Where as now they have less incentive.
Aesma wrote:Airbus can take over some Boeing plants and employees to make more A32s there, if push comes to shove.
keesje wrote:Everybody knows better looking back. [...]
Weatherwatcher1 wrote:Airbus is doing better with narrowbodies
However, I don’t know why we are excluding the widebody market from the conversation. The whole concept of the NMA is to erase the divide between widebodies and narrowbodies.
Boeing is bringing in more widebody revenue than narrowbody revenue
Source: https://www.seattletimes.com/business/b ... e-counted/
The strength of the A321 and recent sales success of the A330 for regional operations in China explains why Boeing is progressing with the design of the NMA.
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