gsg013 wrote:SteelChair wrote:MIflyer12 wrote:
Stay away from the controlled substances. DL isn't going to replace 91 717s, 57 319s, 62 320s and 77 738s by 2026 -- not with A220s, not with anything. Not when they've got lots of 767s and 757s to replace in that same window -- capital spending constraints won't support it and the 4% annual domestic growth they recently targeted. Your's is the worst kind of uninformed fanboiism.
The youngest of the planes you mentioned is already almost 20 years old, the oldest are almost 30 years old. It doesn't seem outrageous to suggest that they would all be replaced within 7 to 8 years from now. That's just a cold hard calculation of the factual numbers of the age of the fleet and has nothing to do with fanboyism. Your emotional ad hominem attack is not based upon facts.
But okay I'll bite if they don't get replaced with a 220s what do they get replaced with? Too heavy and sub optimized a320neos? Not likely. 737 Maxes that that are currently grounded and based on 1968 technology? Not likely... it could happen, either could happen but it's not likely
Have you heard of a 797? I strongly believe DL will make a 797 order to start replacing some of the lift described above (737-900s, 757-200, 767-300).
Current Narrow Body Orders are as follows:
737-900ER: (180 pax) 1
A220-100: (109 pax) 27
A220-300: (130 pax) 50
A321-200CEO: (191 Pax) 46
A321-NEO: (197 pax) 100
This alone is 224 brand new narrow bodies coming online between now and 2025 This averages 3.1 new NB a month added to the fleet in that time Frame.
I have no clue what the need will be but I think a large 797 order as well as top offs on some of the above stated orders will be good for DL.
I agree, but the 797 will cover the larger airplanes. I thought we wer talking about 160 seats and down. 224 is not enough imo.