I believe that in the past both Boeing and Airbus had a category for VLAs, and it was 747s and A380s. Both companies have learned that they cannot sell such planes. They no longer offer such planes. That's what's changed.
If your point is that the market forecasts for VLAs from the past were wrong, everyone agrees. They have learned more (that A380s and 747s don't sell) and they have updated their forecasts. This is as it should be. And you want to talk about the fate of the A380, please don't hijack this thread!
The thread is about forecast and I am just asking the question why people do not try to understand what happened to past forecasts on the very large aircraft.
More importantly, it is about understanding on why the rationale about the large aircraft did not work out.
Why would the new rationale for the forecast this year would be more correct than the past forecasts if there has not been any assessment of what went wrong in the past. It is NOT about Airbus or Boeing, it is about how people can be so wrong about the market. If there is no objective post mortem, nobody cannot be sure the current forecast would not be as rubbish as past VLA forecast.
In essence, we need to be very cautious about any forecast and never take them as the reality.
I am insisting on the fact VLA market forecast has been way off. During about twenty years we have been told that airport congestion would push the growth of VLA. TWENTY YEARS.
So yes, the question still stands, "Where have all the VLAs gone?"