I feel pretty sure after seeing Airbus says they’re not considering it right now.
You seem to conflate "right now" with "never".
I also remember when some here thought they’d be announcing the 225 at PAS not saying they’re not considering it right now.
The only people who thought that were over-excited fans who had no clue how much work is left on the prodcution ramp. Even the original Guillaume Faury comment was clear: they would not consider further investment until the ramp was complete and the program was stable and profitable. We're at least 2 years away from that.
Plus I don’t think the 225 is a priority for Bombardier/Airbus with Bombardier running from commercial aviation, the QC coming out of Mirabel continuing to be a problem for operators, the engines having corrosion issues, conflict with the money making products, and Airbus struggling to meet massive demand for 6,000 Neos that need to get out the door yesterday.
You talk as though Airbus can't walk and chew gum at the same time. I think they are more than capable of managing multiple programs. Indeed, having an 8 year backlog of NEOs actually buys them a ton of flexibility on all their other programs. Boeing would kill to have that kind of backlog and cash flow right now. Moreover, Airbus engineering is actually coming into a period where they don't have a lot of major projects/programs to work on.
Also, Bombardier's departure from commercial aviation should have no bearing on how the program goes forward at all. Airbus being the majority shareholder and having the option to buy out the other partners means they are in the driver seat.
The 2026 time range will probably have Airbus holding onto a plan B In the event Boeing tries to replace the 737. They already have something worked up and if there was something they can take from CS they will I guess.
Fundamentally, there's no way to have a single aircraft family that spans 100-250 seats. Not without massive compromises that costs you marketshare anyway. They got incredibly lucky getting the CSeries, that Bombardier spent billions developing, for nothing more than future investment in production and marketing.
In the event that Boeing attempts to replace the MAX family, Airbus can launch the 225, 320N+ and 321N+, all within 2-3 years and cover 100-250 seats with competitive aircraft before Boeing has their first NSA or NMA in the air. Heck, I bet they pull the trigger on this once the NMA is announced. They are wrapping up a ton of development programs and engineers are being freed up. They will have room to support this. The just don't want to lock in before they know what Boeing is going to do.
But I remember Boeing merging and taking on the 717, I guess you can say I see it from that perspective.
You seem to ignore a major contextual different. Airbus is building new FALs for the 220. Boeing killed the 717. The two companies could not be more different in their approach to onboarding a new program they acquired. Also, the 717 offered little to Boeing and required major investment to be competitive. This is not even close to the case with the CSeries. The 220 family will fit in nicely with Airbus and let them upgauge the 320N+ family to be centered around 200-220 seats.
I mean if the CS500 is the most awesome jet that could ever exist then maybe it makes sense Airbus captured it to kill it and protect the A320?
It would if aviation starts and ends with the current generation of airplanes. But sooner or later, Boeing will have a new family in the 100-180 seat range. And the 320N will not be competitive. See what the 223 did to the 319NEO and 737 MAX 7? That's what the NSA would do to the 320NEO if there was no response from Airbus. This is why I say the 225 is the ace in the back pocket. They can EIS it before Boeing even have a NSA prototype and then compete with the NMA with a stretched and rewinged 320N and 321N.
More broadly, it's better in business for you to cannibalize your own product than your competitor to do so. They own the 220 program. 220 sales make them profit. I highly doubt they want to see customers choose a Boeing product over the 220, just because they minimize it to protect the 320NEO. That would be some truly foolish management.
Air France seems to be pulling a Delta and looking at A220s to replace the smaller type jets.
No. They aren't. Pulling a Delta would mean using 221s at mainline to replace regional jets at regional carriers (Delta Connection). There's no indication at all that Air France is drawing down Hop! and increasing mainline. As these rumours contend, the 223s are replacing mainline 318s and 319s. This is similar to what Air Canada is planning to do with its 223s, and to a lesser extent JetBlue.