FAQ

AS OF JULY 2018 THERE ARE CHANGES TO THE FORMAT OF THIS REPORT...SEE BELOW

WHAT IS THIS REPORT?
This compares departures for sale THIS WEEK for the stated period versus what was for sale LAST WEEK...prior year departures are now shown in brackets e.g. [0].

THE SCHEDULES SHOWN HERE CHANGE AFTER YOU POST???
-To improve is to change; to be perfect is to change often---Winston Churchill. This is data the carriers filed at the point in time it was captured. It's changed since then. You are just going to have to live with it.

HOW DO I READ IT?
XXX-YYY DEC 4>5[4] JAN 4>5[4]
XXX Departure IATA code, YYY Arrival IATA code, Month, Average Departures/Day over the month for sale as of last week, Average Departures/Day over the month for sale as of this week, in brackets is the number of Average Departures/Day over the month that were scheduled one year earlier. So, it means that the listed airline changed the frequency between the two airports to add from 4 to 5 roundtrips in December and January. It also means that there were 4 roundtrips the prior year in each month. No other months were changed. I average two directions.

WHAT ABOUT CARRIERS THAT DON'T PUBLISH A SCHEDULE 9 MONTHS IN ADVANCE?
NEW CHANGE-Sometimes airlines do not load their schedules for the entire 330 day standard sales window. Southwest and many LCCs load their schedules for as little as 5 months into the future. When these flight are extended into a new sales month, it becomes a "schedule change". Previously, I have manually deleted these in many cases and replaced them with a Year-Over-Year compare. Effective immediately, this will now change. When a flight is loaded from 0 departures X departures, where X was the same the prior year, the record will not be shown. For example, if Delta loaded ATL-EGE MAR 0>1(1), it would not be shown because this additional flight does not represent a real year-over-year addition. Similarly, if B6 extended their schedule a record like this ATL-BOS JUL 0>4(4) would not be shown. It will be shown if the flight frequency changed from the prior year. So B6 ATL-BOS JUL 0>3(4) would be shown. If a partial month was loaded in a core schedule that became a full schedule month, those changes may be shown under this logic. For example, WN BNA-SEA 0.3>2(2). Because only a fraction of the month was previously loaded for sale, these changes will not be filtered out. I may, however, manually remove them to declutter.

HOW ARE THE DAILY DEPARTURES CALCULATED?
This report uses total operations for the month listed, divided over the days in the month. The following criteria are used to show a change: 1) The change must be at least 6 roundtrips per month with no exceptions, 2) changes of at least 6/week are always shown, 3) routes that are added or dropped are shown subject to the change minimum, and 4) in all other cases routes must change by 20% to be shown. For example, if a route changed from 21/week to 18/week it would not be shown because the change is -14.3%. This is done to filter minor changes that occur in large numbers.

WHAT ARE THE FRACTIONAL FLIGHTS?
Flights that do not operate every day of the month create fractional service. If the route has more than 2 daily flights, departures are rounded, but in cases of less than 2 departures per day a fraction is shown. For example, if a flight operates 4 times in April it will show 4/30=0.133=0.1. Also , a flight that only operates once per week may vary between 0.1 and 0.2 because a weekday may repeat either 4 or 5 times depending on the month.

THOSE FLIGHTS AREN'T DELTA, THEY ARE SKYWEST
This report only shows the marketing code. It is too complicated to show all the operators.

THE FREQUENCIES MAY HAVE CHANGED AS YOU SHOW, BUT THE SEATS DIDNT CHANGE BECAUSE OF EQUIPMENT SWAPS
Seats are not shown. That is a natural weakness of a frequency based report, but it provides something to discuss below.

THIS LOOKS LIKE AN ERROR?
The carriers file the schedules. They do make mistakes. Most of the mistakes I have seen are either related to code shares not being marked as "duplicates" or carriers filing flights with invalid data such as equipment codes that are not standard or overlapping schedule periods that see the same flight number in two places at once. These cause flights to not appear.

CHARTERS?
Lately charters have been showing up in the database. I have no idea if that will continue.

I marked some of the ones I thought were interesting with an "*".

AA ABQ-DFW JAN 8>7[7]
AA BOS-JFK DEC 5>6[3] JAN 5>6[4] FEB 5>6[4] MAR 5>6[4] APR 5>6[4]
AA BUR-PHX OCT 4>5[3] DEC 4>5[3] JAN 4>5[3] FEB 4>5[3] MAR 4>5[4] APR 4>5[4]
Big cuts at MYR. Error?
*AA DCA-MYR JAN 1.0>0.3[1.0] FEB 1.0>0.2[1.0] MAR 1.0>0.1[1.0] APR 1.0>0.1[1.0]
*AA MYR-PHL DEC 3>2[1.0] JAN 3>0.8[1.0] FEB 3>0.9[1.5] MAR 3>0.9[2]
AA DFW-IAH JAN 10>9[9]
AA DFW-ORD JAN 14>13[12]
AA DFW-PHL JAN 9>8[9]
AA LAS-NRT JAN 0>0.3[0.4]
AA LAS-PHX OCT 5>6[5] DEC 5>6[5] JAN 5>6[5] FEB 5>6[5] MAR 5>6[5] APR 5>6[5]
AA LGA-STL JAN 5>3[3] FEB 5>2[3] MAR 5>3[3] APR 5>3[3]
AA OAK-PHX OCT 3>4[4]
AA PHL-SEA DEC 4>3[1.0] JAN 4>1.0[0.6] FEB 4>1.0[0.8] MAR 4>1.0[1.0]
AA PHL-TPA JAN 5>6[4] FEB 5>6[5] MAR 5>6[5]
AA PHL-YUL DEC 5>4[4] JAN 5>3[3] FEB 5>3[3] MAR 5>3[3]

AD FLL-VCP DEC 1.4>1.7[1.6] JAN 1.4>1.8[1.5]
AD MCO-REC DEC 0.3>0.6[0.5] JAN 0.3>0.5[0.4] MAR 0.5>0.2[0.4]
AD MCO-VCP FEB 1.0>1.2[1.1]

MAX Swaps to DL Planes, confirmed in the DL earnings call
*AM ATL-GDL SEP 0.3>0[1.0] OCT 0.3>0[1.0]
AM DTW-MEX SEP 1.0>0[0.8]
AM JFK-MEX SEP 4>3[4]
AM LAX-MEX SEP 5>2[5]

Amazing even that can't work daily
*AR EZE-JFK DEC 0.9>0.5[1.0] JAN 1.0>0.5[1.0] FEB 1.0>0.4[1.0] MAR 1.0>0.5[1.0] APR 1.0>0.6[1.0]

B6 BOS-FLL DEC 7>8[6]
*B6 BUF-MCO NOV 2>1.0[1.0] DEC 2>1.0[1.0] JAN 1.3>1.0[1.0]
B6 FLL-LAS NOV 1.0>1.7[1.0]
B6 FLL-MBJ NOV 1.0>1.9[1.0] DEC 1.0>1.6[1.0]
B6 JFK-SAN DEC 1.9>2[1.8]
B6 JFK-TPA NOV 3>4[3] DEC 4>5[4]

CA LAX-PEK NOV 3>2[3] DEC 3>2[3] JAN 3>2[3] FEB 3>2[3] MAR 3>2[3]

CM FLL-PTY OCT 1.0>0.6[0.7]
CM PTY-TPA OCT 0.7>0.4[1.0]

DL ATL-DEN APR 9>8[8]
DL CMH-MSP MAR 3>4[4] APR 3>4[4]
DL CMH-SLC OCT 0.7>1.0[0]
DL DTW-RSW SEP 1.5>1.8[1.2]
DL LAS-SEA DEC 4>5[4] JAN 5>6[5] FEB 5>6[5]
DL MSN-MSP APR 5>6[5]
DL MSY-SLC SEP 0.7>0.9[0.8]
DL PHX-SEA NOV 3>4[3] DEC 3>4[4]
DL SAN-SEA OCT 4>5[4] NOV 4>5[4] JAN 4>5[4] FEB 4>5[4] MAR 4>5[4] APR 4>5[4]
DL SLC-TUL MAR 1.8>1.0[1.8] APR 1.9>1.0[1.9]
DL SLC-YVR APR 1.0>2[1.0]

EI DUB-SEA APR 0.8>1.1[0.6]

*F9 DTW-PHX NOV 0>0.3[0] DEC 0>0.5[0] JAN 0>0.6[0] FEB 0>0.6[0] MAR 0>0.2[0]
*F9 FAR-PHX NOV 0>0.2[0] DEC 0>0.3[0] JAN 0>0.3[0] FEB 0>0.3[0]
*F9 PHX-SAN NOV 0>0.6[0] DEC 0>0.9[0] JAN 0>0.7[0] FEB 0>0.8[0] MAR 0>0.2[0]
*F9 PHX-SLC NOV 0>0.6[0] DEC 0>0.9[0] JAN 0>0.8[0] FEB 0>0.8[0] MAR 0>0.2[0]
*F9 SRQ-TTN NOV 0>0.3[0] DEC 0>0.5[0] JAN 0>0.6[0] FEB 0>0.6[0] MAR 0>0.2[0]

G4 ABE-BNA MAR 0>0.4[0] APR 0>0.3[0]
G4 ABE-MYR APR 0>0.2[0.3]
G4 ABE-PGD FEB 0.2>0.6[0.4] APR 0>0.6[0.7]
G4 ABE-PIE FEB 0.2>0.6[0.4] APR 0>0.7[0.6]
G4 ABE-SAV MAR 0>0.3[0] APR 0>0.3[0]
G4 ABE-SFB FEB 0.6>1.9[1.4] MAR 0>2[1.7] APR 0>2[1.7]
G4 ALB-PGD FEB 0.1>0.4[0.5] MAR 0>0.3[1.0] APR 0>0.5[1.0]
G4 ALB-PIE FEB 0.1>0.5[0.6] MAR 0>0.4[1.0] APR 0>0.5[1.0]
G4 ALB-SFB FEB 0.1>0.5[0.6] MAR 0>0.5[1.0] APR 0>0.5[1.0]
G4 ATW-PGD FEB 0.2>0.5[0.3] MAR 0>0.6[0.3] APR 0>0.4[0.2]
G4 ATW-SFB FEB 0.2>0.5[0.5] MAR 0>0.8[0.7] APR 0>0.5[0.6]
G4 AUS-LAS MAR 0>0.3[0.6] APR 0>0.3[0.6]
G4 AVL-EWR MAR 0>0.3[0.7] APR 0>0.5[0.7]
G4 AVL-FLL FEB 0.7>2[2] MAR 0>3[2] APR 0>3[2]
G4 AVL-PGD FEB 0.1>0.4[0.4] APR 0>0.4[0.5]
G4 AVL-PIE FEB 0.6>1.4[0.9] MAR 0>1.3[1.0] APR 0>1.3[1.0]
G4 AVL-SFB FEB 0.6>1.6[0.9] MAR 0>1.6[1.2] APR 0>1.6[1.2]
G4 AZA-BIL FEB 0.2>0.4[0.7] MAR 0>0.7[0.6] APR 0>0.4[0.5]
G4 AZA-BIS FEB 0.3>1.0[1.0] MAR 0>1.0[1.3] APR 0>0.6[0.9]
G4 AZA-BZN APR 0>0.3[0.4]
G4 AZA-CID FEB 0.2>0.9[0.8] APR 0>0.4[0.5]
G4 AZA-DSM FEB 0.1>0.3[0.5] MAR 0>0.7[0.8] APR 0>0.3[0.6]
G4 AZA-FAR FEB 0.4>1.4[1.2] MAR 0>1.6[1.3] APR 0>0.8[1.2]
G4 AZA-FCA FEB 0.1>0.3[0] MAR 0>0.3[0] APR 0>0.3[0]
G4 AZA-FSD FEB 0.3>1.4[1.1] MAR 0>1.5[1.2] APR 0>0.8[0.9]
G4 AZA-GFK FEB 0.1>0.4[0.4] MAR 0>0.5[0.6] APR 0>0.3[0.4]
G4 AZA-GRI FEB 0.1>0.4[0.4] APR 0>0.3[0.4]
G4 AZA-GTF MAR 0>0.4[0.6] APR 0>0.3[0.5]
G4 AZA-MFE MAR 0>0.3[0] APR 0>0.3[0]
G4 AZA-MSO APR 0>0.3[0.4]
G4 AZA-OAK MAR 0>0.4[0.6] APR 0>0.4[0.5]
G4 AZA-OMA FEB 0.1>0.3[0.3] APR 0>0.2[0.3]
G4 AZA-PIA FEB 0.1>0.6[0.5] MAR 0>0.9[0.7] APR 0>0.4[0.5]
G4 AZA-PVU FEB 0.6>1.5[1.2] MAR 0>1.7[1.3] APR 0>1.7[1.3]
G4 AZA-RAP FEB 0.1>0.5[0.6] APR 0>0.5[0.6]
G4 AZA-RDM MAR 0>0.3[0] APR 0>0.3[0]
G4 AZA-RFD FEB 0.1>0.4[0.4] MAR 0>0.9[0.8] APR 0>0.4[0.6]
G4 AZA-SBN MAR 0>0.4[0.3] APR 0>0.4[0.3]
G4 AZA-SGF FEB 0.1>0.3[0.4] APR 0>0.3[0.4]
G4 AZA-STC FEB 0.1>0.5[0.4] MAR 0>0.6[0.7] APR 0>0.4[0.5]
G4 BGR-SFB FEB 0.2>0.8[0.8] MAR 0>0.9[1.0] APR 0>1.1[1.0]
G4 BIL-LAS MAR 0>0.4[0.3] APR 0>0.3[0.4]
G4 BLI-LAX APR 0>0.3[0.4]
G4 BLI-OAK MAR 0>0.4[0.5] APR 0>0.4[0.5]
G4 BLI-PSP FEB 0.1>0.4[0.7] APR 0>0.6[0.7]
G4 BLI-TUS APR 0>0.3[0.2]
G4 BLV-FLL MAR 0>0.4[0.3]
G4 BLV-PGD FEB 0.2>0.5[0.4] MAR 0>0.7[0.4] APR 0>0.4[0.3]
G4 BLV-VPS FEB 0.1>0.3[0.4] MAR 0>0.8[0.5] APR 0>0.9[0.6]
G4 BNA-CID MAR 0>0.4[0] APR 0>0.3[0]
G4 BNA-CLE MAR 0>0.3[0] APR 0>0.3[0]
G4 BNA-GRR FEB 0>0.2[0] MAR 0>0.3[0] APR 0>0.3[0]
G4 BNA-MDT MAR 0>0.3[0] APR 0>0.3[0]
G4 BNA-PIE MAR 0>0.4[0.3] APR 0>0.4[0.3]
G4 BNA-RIC APR 0>0.4[0.3]
G4 BNA-SFB MAR 0>0.3[0] APR 0>0.3[0]
G4 BNA-XNA MAR 0>0.3[0] APR 0>0.3[0]
G4 BWI-SAV MAR 0>0.4[0.3] APR 0>0.4[0.3]
G4 CHS-CLE MAR 0>0.3[0] APR 0>0.3[0]
G4 CHS-LCK MAR 0>0.3[0] APR 0>0.3[0]
G4 CID-PIE FEB 0.2>0.4[0.4] APR 0>0.3[0.4]
G4 CKB-SFB MAR 0>0.5[0.4] APR 0>0.4[0.3]
G4 CLE-PGD MAR 0>0.5[0.3] APR 0>0.4[0.3]
G4 CLE-PIE APR 0>0.2[0.3]
G4 CVG-FLL FEB 0.3>1.2[1.0] MAR 0>1.5[1.3] APR 0>1.6[1.2]
G4 CVG-LAX MAR 0>0.3[0.6] APR 0>0.3[0.6]
G4 CVG-MSY MAR 0>0.4[0.3] APR 0>0.6[0.3]
G4 CVG-PGD FEB 0.3>1.5[1.1] MAR 0>1.8[1.2] APR 0>1.6[1.2]
G4 CVG-PIE FEB 0.3>1.3[0.9] MAR 0>1.8[1.3] APR 0>1.8[1.2]
G4 CVG-SAV FEB 0.1>0.3[0.3] MAR 0>0.5[0.3] APR 0>0.5[0.4]
G4 CVG-SFB FEB 0.3>1.3[1.0] MAR 0>1.5[1.3] APR 0>1.6[1.2]
G4 DAY-PGD MAR 0>0.4[0.3] APR 0>0.3[0.2]
G4 ELM-SFB FEB 0.2>0.8[0.7] APR 0>0.6[0.7]
G4 EWR-TYS MAR 0>0.3[0.7] APR 0>0.3[0.7]
G4 FAR-SFB MAR 0>0.4[0.3]
G4 FAT-LAS FEB 0.6>1.7[1.5] MAR 0>1.7[1.4] APR 0>1.7[1.4]
G4 FLL-GSP MAR 0>0.3[0.4] APR 0>0.3[0.4]
G4 FLL-LCK MAR 0>0.6[0.5] APR 0>0.4[0.5]
G4 FLL-SDF MAR 0>0.3[0.4] APR 0>0.3[0.4]
G4 FLL-SYR FEB 0.1>0.4[0.4] MAR 0>0.4[0.5] APR 0>0.5[0.4]
G4 FLL-TYS FEB 0.3>0.7[0.7] APR 0>0.8[0.7]
G4 FLL-USA FEB 0.5>1.5[0.9] MAR 0>1.7[1.0] APR 0>1.7[1.0]
G4 FNT-PGD FEB 0.2>1.0[0.6] MAR 0>1.3[0.7] APR 0>1.0[0.8]
G4 FNT-PIE FEB 0.2>1.0[0.7] MAR 0>1.2[0.7] APR 0>1.0[0.8]
G4 FSD-LAS FEB 0.2>0.8[0.5] MAR 0>0.8[0.9] APR 0>0.8[0.7]
G4 FSD-PIE FEB 0.1>0.3[0.3] APR 0>0.2[0.3]
G4 FWA-PGD FEB 0.2>1.1[0.6] MAR 0>1.3[0.7] APR 0>0.9[0.6]
G4 FWA-SFB FEB 0.1>0.4[0.3] MAR 0>0.7[0.3] APR 0>0.4[0.5]
G4 GRR-JAX MAR 0>0.3[0] APR 0>0.3[0]
G4 GRR-LAS FEB 0.2>0.6[0.4] MAR 0>0.6[0.4] APR 0>0.6[0.4]
G4 GRR-MSY MAR 0>0.3[0] APR 0>0.3[0]
G4 GRR-PGD FEB 0.3>1.1[0.6] MAR 0>1.3[0.9] APR 0>0.9[0.8]
G4 GRR-PIE FEB 0.5>1.5[1.3] MAR 0>1.5[1.0] APR 0>1.2[1.0]
G4 GRR-SAV MAR 0>0.3[0] APR 0>0.3[0]
G4 GRR-SFB FEB 0.4>1.6[1.3] MAR 0>1.8[1.6] APR 0>1.8[1.5]
G4 GSO-SFB MAR 0>0.3[0.4] APR 0>0.3[0.4]
G4 GSP-PIE APR 0>0.3[0.4]
G4 GSP-SFB MAR 0>0.3[0.4] APR 0>0.3[0.4]
G4 GTF-LAS APR 0>0.3[0.4]
G4 HTS-PIE FEB 0.1>0.4[0.3] MAR 0>0.5[0.3] APR 0>0.4[0.3]
G4 HTS-SFB FEB 0.1>0.5[0.5] MAR 0>0.7[0.6] APR 0>0.7[0.9]
G4 IAG-PIE FEB 0.1>0.5[0.4] MAR 0>0.5[0.6] APR 0>0.6[0.5]
G4 IAG-SFB FEB 0.1>0.5[0.5] MAR 0>0.5[0.6] APR 0>0.5[0.7]
G4 ICT-VPS MAR 0>0.3[0] APR 0>0.3[0]
G4 IND-PGD FEB 0.3>0.9[0.9] MAR 0>1.3[1.2] APR 0>0.8[1.0]
G4 IND-PIE FEB 0.3>0.8[0.8] APR 0>0.9[1.0]
G4 IND-SFB FEB 0.2>0.6[0.6] MAR 0>1.2[1.1] APR 0>0.8[0.9]
G4 JAX-ORF MAR 0>0.3[0] APR 0>0.3[0]
G4 LAS-MFE FEB 0.3>1.0[0.7] MAR 0>1.0[0.8] APR 0>1.0[0.8]
G4 LAS-MFR FEB 0.1>0.3[0.3] MAR 0>0.4[0.3] APR 0>0.4[0.3]
G4 LAS-MOT FEB 0.2>0.6[0.5] APR 0>0.6[0.5]
G4 LAS-OAK FEB 0.3>0.7[0.8] MAR 0>0.7[0.9] APR 0>0.7[0.8]
G4 LAS-RDM MAR 0>0.3[0] APR 0>0.3[0]
G4 LAS-SCK FEB 0.6>1.6[1.5] MAR 0>1.7[1.6] APR 0>1.7[1.5]
G4 LCK-MYR APR 0>0.2[0.3]
G4 LCK-PIE APR 0>0.4[0.6]
G4 LCK-SAV MAR 0>0.4[0.3] APR 0>0.4[0.3]
G4 LEX-PGD FEB 0.2>0.8[0.5] MAR 0>0.9[0.7] APR 0>0.5[0.6]
G4 LEX-PIE MAR 0>0.5[0.4] APR 0>0.5[0.3]
G4 LEX-SFB FEB 0.2>0.6[0.6] APR 0>0.6[0.7]
G4 MDT-PGD FEB 0.2>0.5[0.4] MAR 0>0.5[0.6] APR 0>0.4[0.5]
G4 MDT-PIE FEB 0.2>0.6[0.4] MAR 0>0.5[0.4] APR 0>0.5[0.4]
G4 MDT-SFB FEB 0.3>1.0[0.9] MAR 0>1.0[1.2] APR 0>1.0[1.1]
G4 MLI-PGD MAR 0>0.3[0.4]
G4 OGS-SFB FEB 0.1>0.3[0.3] APR 0>0.3[0.4]
G4 PBG-PGD MAR 0>0.3[0.4]
G4 PBG-SFB FEB 0.1>0.9[1.1] MAR 0>1.1[1.4] APR 0>1.0[1.1]
G4 PGD-PIA FEB 0.2>0.7[0.6] MAR 0>0.9[0.8] APR 0>0.5[0.7]
G4 PGD-PIT FEB 0.1>0.4[0.4] APR 0>0.5[0.6]
G4 PGD-PSM FEB 0.1>0.7[0.6] MAR 0>0.7[0.9] APR 0>0.8[1.0]
G4 PGD-PVD FEB 0.1>0.3[0.3] MAR 0>0.5[0.3] APR 0>0.4[0.3]
G4 PGD-RFD FEB 0.2>0.6[0.4] MAR 0>0.7[0.8] APR 0>0.4[0.5]
G4 PGD-ROC FEB 0.1>0.3[0.3] APR 0>0.4[0.3]
G4 PGD-SWF FEB 0.1>0.3[0.4] APR 0>0.4[0.3]
G4 PGD-SYR FEB 0.1>0.3[0.3] APR 0>0.4[0.3]
G4 PGD-TVC MAR 0>0.3[0] APR 0>0.3[0]
G4 PGD-TYS FEB 0.1>0.4[0.5] MAR 0>0.5[0.6] APR 0>0.3[0.4]
G4 PGD-USA MAR 0>0.3[0.4] APR 0>0.3[0.4]
G4 PIA-SFB FEB 0.1>0.3[0.3] MAR 0>0.5[0.3] APR 0>0.2[0.3]
G4 PIE-PIT FEB 0.1>0.3[0.4] MAR 0>0.5[0.6] APR 0>0.4[0.7]
G4 PIE-RFD FEB 0.1>0.3[0.4] APR 0>0.4[0.6]
G4 PIE-RIC APR 0>0.3[0.4]
G4 PIE-SCE FEB 0.1>0.3[0] MAR 0>0.3[0] APR 0>0.3[0]
G4 PIE-SDF MAR 0>0.5[0.4] APR 0>0.4[0.5]
G4 PIE-SGF FEB 0.1>0.3[0.4] MAR 0>0.5[0.4] APR 0>0.3[0.4]
G4 PIE-TOL MAR 0>0.6[0.4] APR 0>0.5[0.4]
G4 PIE-TVC MAR 0>0.3[0] APR 0>0.3[0]
G4 PIE-TYS FEB 0.3>0.7[0.6] MAR 0>1.0[0.9] APR 0>1.0[0.8]
G4 PIE-USA FEB 0.3>0.7[0.7] MAR 0>0.8[0.9] APR 0>0.9[0.8]
G4 PIT-SAV MAR 0>0.4[0.3] APR 0>0.4[0.3]
G4 PIT-SFB MAR 0>0.6[0.5] APR 0>0.4[0.5]
G4 ROA-SFB APR 0>0.3[0.4]
G4 ROC-SFB FEB 0.1>0.3[0.3] APR 0>0.4[0.3]
G4 SBN-SFB FEB 0.1>0.5[0.6] APR 0>0.5[0.6]
G4 SCE-SFB FEB 0.1>0.3[0] MAR 0>0.3[0] APR 0>0.3[0]
G4 SDF-SFB APR 0>0.4[0.5]
G4 SFB-SGF FEB 0.2>0.4[0.4] APR 0>0.3[0.4]
G4 SFB-TVC MAR 0>0.3[0] APR 0>0.3[0]

HA HNL-ITO MAR 15>14[14] APR 15>14[15]
HA HNL-LIH MAR 19>18[17] APR 19>18[18]
HA LIH-OGG MAR 3>4[3] APR 3>4[3]

*HU CTU-ORD APR 0>0.3[0]

HX HKG-LAX APR 0>0.6[1.0]

J5 JNU-KAE SEP 0.8>1.2[1.0] JAN 0>0.5[1.0] FEB 0>0.5[1.0] MAR 0>0.5[1.0] APR 0>0.5[1.0]
J5 JNU-SGY AUG 6>7[0] SEP 4>5[0] OCT 2>3[3] NOV 1.9>3[3] DEC 1.9>3[3] JAN 0>1.0[2] FEB 0>1.0[3] MAR 0>1.0[3] APR 0>1.0[3]
J5 JNU-SIT AUG 2>3[1.5] SEP 1.2>2[1.5] OCT 1.3>2[3] NOV 1.5>1.9[3] DEC 1.5>1.9[1.9] JAN 0>0.5[1.9] FEB 0>0.5[3] MAR 0>0.5[2] APR 0>0.5[2]
J5 JNU-TKE AUG 0.4>3[0.3]
J5 KAE-SIT SEP 0.6>1.0[0] JAN 0>0.5[1.0] FEB 0>0.5[1.0] MAR 0>0.5[1.0] APR 0>0.5[1.0]
J5 KLW-SIT AUG 1.0>2[0.5] SEP 0.6>1.2[0.1] OCT 0.5>1.0[1.0] NOV 0.5>1.0[1.0] DEC 0.5>1.0[1.0]

?
JJ BEL-MIA NOV 0.3>0[0.3] DEC 0.3>0[0.3] JAN 0.3>0[0.3] FEB 0.3>0[0.3] MAR 0.3>0[0.3] APR 0.3>0[0.3]
JJ BOS-GRU NOV 0.7>0[0.6] DEC 0.7>0[0.6] JAN 0.7>0[0.6] FEB 0.7>0[0.6] MAR 0.7>0[0.5] APR 0.7>0[0.6]
JJ FOR-MIA NOV 0.7>0[0.4] DEC 0.7>0[0.4] JAN 0.7>0[0.5] FEB 0.7>0[0.4] MAR 0.7>0[0.5] APR 0.7>0[0.7]
JJ GRU-JFK NOV 1.0>0[1.0] DEC 1.0>0[1.0] JAN 1.0>0[1.0] FEB 1.0>0[1.0] MAR 1.0>0[1.0] APR 1.0>0[1.0]
JJ GRU-MCO NOV 1.0>0[1.0] DEC 1.0>0[1.2] JAN 1.0>0[1.3] FEB 1.0>0[1.1] MAR 1.0>0[1.0] APR 1.0>0[1.0]
JJ GRU-MIA NOV 2>0[2] DEC 2>0[2] JAN 2>0[2] FEB 2>0[2] MAR 2>0[2] APR 2>0[2]
JJ MIA-REC NOV 0.3>0[0.3] DEC 0.3>0[0.3] JAN 0.3>0[0.3] FEB 0.3>0[0.3] MAR 0.3>0[0.3] APR 0.3>0[0.3]

KG AIA-DEN NOV 0>1.7[0] DEC 0>1.7[0] JAN 0>0.6[0]

The other JJ routes are gone?
*LA BOS-GRU NOV 0>0.7[0] DEC 0>0.7[0] JAN 0>0.7[0] FEB 0>0.7[0] MAR 0>0.7[0] APR 0>0.7[0]
*LA MIA-REC NOV 0>0.3[0] DEC 0>0.3[0] JAN 0>0.3[0] FEB 0>0.3[0] MAR 0>0.3[0] APR 0>0.3[0]

NK BWI-RDU SEP 1.9>1.1[0] OCT 2>1.0[0] NOV 2.0>1.0[0] DEC 1.8>0.9[0] JAN 1.7>0.9[0] FEB 0.7>0.3[0]
NK LAS-MSY NOV 0.9>1.4[1.0] DEC 1.0>1.6[1.0]

OR AMS-MIA APR 0.3>0[0.3]

UA ABQ-SFO SEP 3>2[2]
UA ACV-SFO SEP 4>3[3]
UA BDL-ORD JAN 3>4[3]
UA BGR-EWR DEC 2>1.2[2.0]
UA BNA-SFO SEP 2>1.7[1.8]
UA BOS-LAX SEP 3>2.0[3]
UA BUR-SFO SEP 6>5[5]
UA BWI-DEN SEP 3>2[1.9]
UA CLE-SFO SEP 1.9>1.1[1.7]
UA DCA-ORD DEC 13>11[12]
UA DEN-GEG SEP 3>2[3]
UA DEN-SFO SEP 10>9[11]
UA DEN-TUS SEP 4>3[4]
*UA DUB-IAD NOV 0.9>0.7[0.9] FEB 0.5>0.2[0.5] MAR 0.9>0.6[0.9]
UA ELP-ORD SEP 1.8>1.0[2]
UA EWR-LIM MAR 0.5>0.9[0.6]
UA EWR-XNA DEC 0.9>0.6[0.5]
UA FLL-ORD SEP 2.0>1.1[3]
UA HRL-IAH SEP 5>4[4]
UA HSV-ORD DEC 1.9>1.5[2.0]
UA IAD-MDT SEP 4>3[4] NOV 4>3[4]
UA IAD-PVD SEP 4>3[4] NOV 3>1.9[3]
UA IAH-LAX SEP 10>9[10]
UA IAH-MIA SEP 4>3[3]
UA IAH-MUC NOV 1.0>0.7[1.0] DEC 0.9>0.6[0.9] MAR 1.0>0.7[1.0]
UA IAH-PHL SEP 5>4[3]
UA IAH-PHX SEP 5>4[4]
UA IAH-SFO SEP 9>8[10]
UA IAH-TPA SEP 5>4[4]
UA IND-SFO SEP 1.6>1.0[1.8]
UA LAX-SFO SEP 11>10[14]
UA MCO-ORD SEP 5>4[5]
UA MSP-SFO SEP 2>1.1[2]
UA ORD-ROC JAN 2>4[4]
UA ORD-SLC SEP 4>3[4]
UA PDX-SFO SEP 8>7[9]
UA PHL-SFO SEP 1.8>1.0[1.9]
UA PIT-SFO SEP 1.9>1.1[1.8]
UA PSP-SFO SEP 4>3[4]
UA RDU-SFO SEP 1.8>1.0[1.8]
UA SAN-SFO SEP 8>7[10]
UA SBA-SFO SEP 6>5[6]
UA SEA-SFO SEP 8>7[8]
UA SFO-SLC SEP 5>4[4]
UA SFO-SMF SEP 5>4[5]
UA SFO-STL SEP 1.8>1.1[1.8]

What is this? DAL???
*WC ASE-DAL AUG 0>0.5[0]
*WC ASE-HOU AUG 0>0.3[0]
*WC DAL-HOU AUG 0>0.4[0]

MAX Cuts
WN ALB-DEN OCT 1.0>0[1.0]
WN ATL-BOS OCT 1.0>0[3]
WN ATL-IAD OCT 3>2[1.8]
WN ATL-JAX OCT 3>2.0[3]
WN ATL-LAX OCT 3>1.8[3]
WN AUS-FLL OCT 1.0>0.6[1.0]
WN AUS-RDU OCT 1.0>0[0]
WN AUS-SFO OCT 0.8>0[1.0]
WN AUS-SMF OCT 1.0>0.6[1.0]
WN BHM-LAS OCT 1.0>0[1.0]
WN BNA-BUR OCT 1.0>0[0]
WN BNA-RDU OCT 3>2[3]
WN BOI-GEG OCT 1.7>0.9[1.5]
WN BOI-SJC OCT 1.7>1.0[1.0]
WN BOS-MCI OCT 1.1>0.1[1.7]
WN BUF-DEN OCT 1.0>0[0]
WN BUR-MDW OCT 1.7>1.2[0]
WN BWI-OAK OCT 1.0>0.6[1.0]
WN BWI-SAT OCT 1.9>1.4[1.9]
WN BWI-SEA OCT 0.9>0.5[0.7]
WN CUN-LAX OCT 0.3>0[1.0]
WN DEN-EWR OCT 1.8>1.4[1.9]
WN DEN-GEG OCT 2>1.5[2]
WN DTW-PHX OCT 1.0>0.6[1.0]
WN EWR-OAK OCT 0.8>0[1.0]
WN EWR-SAN OCT 0.8>0[1.0]
WN FLL-JAX OCT 2>1.5[3]
WN FLL-RDU OCT 1.0>0.8[1.0]
WN GEG-SAN OCT 1.0>0.5[0]
WN GEG-SJC OCT 0.9>0.6[1.0]
WN HOU-JAX OCT 1.0>0.7[1.0]
WN HOU-PHL OCT 1.0>0[0]
WN HOU-PIT OCT 1.7>1.3[1.0]
WN HOU-SLC OCT 1.0>0[0.1]
WN HOU-SMF OCT 1.0>0[0]
WN IND-LAX OCT 1.0>0.6[1.0]
WN IND-MDW OCT 1.3>0.9[1.8]
WN IND-OAK OCT 0.7>0[1.0]
WN LAS-MSY OCT 2.0>1.3[2.0]
WN LAS-PIT OCT 2>1.3[1.8]
WN LAS-SEA OCT 3>2[3]
WN LAX-OMA OCT 0.8>0[1.0]
WN LAX-PDX OCT 3>1.6[3]
WN LAX-PIT OCT 0.8>0[0.9]
WN LAX-TPA OCT 0.8>0[1.0]
WN MBJ-MDW OCT 0.7>0.3[0.7]
WN MCI-MSP OCT 1.7>1.1[1.6]
WN MCI-MSY OCT 1.1>0.8[1.0]
WN MCI-SAN OCT 1.7>1.4[1.8]
WN MCO-OAK OCT 0.8>0.5[1.0]
WN MCO-ORF OCT 1.3>0.9[1.0]
WN MCO-SAN OCT 1.0>0[1.0]
WN MCO-SJC OCT 0.8>0.4[1.0]
WN MCO-SMF OCT 1.0>0.6[1.0]
WN MDW-PDX OCT 2.0>1.1[2]
WN MDW-PUJ OCT 0.6>0.3[0.5]
WN MKE-STL OCT 1.9>1.4[1.9]
WN MSP-OAK OCT 0.8>0[1.0]
WN OAK-SAT OCT 0.8>0[1.0]
WN PDX-PHX OCT 3>2[3]
WN PHX-RDU OCT 1.0>0.6[1.0]
WN PHX-SFO OCT 5>4[5]
WN PHX-SLC OCT 6>5[5]
WN SAN-SAT OCT 2>1.6[1.8]
WN SAN-SFO OCT 8>7[7]
WN SFO-STL OCT 1.0>0.6[1.0]
WN SJC-SLC OCT 1.9>1.4[1.5]
WN SJC-STL OCT 1.0>0.6[1.0]
WN SLC-STL OCT 1.0>0.5[0]

WS BNA-YYC APR 0.1>0.3[0.3]
WS PHX-YWG NOV 0.6>0.3[0.6] DEC 0.5>0.3[0.5] JAN 0.6>0.3[0.6] FEB 0.6>0.3[0.6] MAR 0.5>0.3[0.6] APR 0.5>0.2[0.5]

What is up with TAM? Am I reading that right? Novice here. Don’t judge. And, I wait for this each Sunday! Thanks so much.

Thanks as always!

A search of WC produces Islena De Inversiones - in Honduras. So what's up w/the DAL flights?? Haven't seen anything about this in our local media.

Thanks as always.
My thoughts, in no particular order:
I) AA at Myrtle. These may be a mistake, but it also may be A) a sign that low cost carriers are taking more of MYR-bound traffic (As they probably should with the exception of some of the higher-class golfy types) or B) that they'd rather have this traffic directed over CLT than PHL and DCA.
II) AR has troubles, we know, but is it all just the fact that the company is in the rough that is making this flight suffer? Could it be that the flight appears to land at EZE at 4:30AM? Or perhaps Delta isn't the greatest of partners? (You earn miles from a GOL Premium ticket than an Aerolíneas J ticket.)
III) CTU-ORD seems to make less sense now that the AA partnership is done. They only serve 7 destinations in China from CTU, and without onward connections from ORD, it's just going to be O&D between Chengdu and Chicago.
IV) I'm going to go ahead and chalk that JJ mess up to a misfile...unless the JJ code is disappearing. Does LATAM have enough flight numbers under the LA code for all of their operations and their codeshares?
V) Finally, more MAX drama? I had assumed that WN, AA, and UA would have already made schedule adjustments. Why the changes now?

enilria wrote:

EI DUB-SEA APR 0.8>1.1[0.6]

Huh, that's weird. Looks like they're going twice daily for the summer season, but only on Mondays, and with identically-timed flights. Misfile?

Glad to see airlines making a run of this Aspen -Metroplex route still! What a great surprice.

Thanks again enilria

enilria wrote:

AA BOS-JFK DEC 5>6[3] JAN 5>6[4] FEB 5>6[4] MAR 5>6[4] APR 5>6[4]

AA's constant change of mind on this route is quite amusing.

*AR EZE-JFK DEC 0.9>0.5[1.0] JAN 1.0>0.5[1.0] FEB 1.0>0.4[1.0] MAR 1.0>0.5[1.0] APR 1.0>0.6[1.0]

I would love to see US carrier pick up this route at some point.

B6 BOS-FLL DEC 7>8[6]
*B6 BUF-MCO NOV 2>1.0[1.0] DEC 2>1.0[1.0] JAN 1.3>1.0[1.0]
B6 FLL-LAS NOV 1.0>1.7[1.0]
B6 FLL-MBJ NOV 1.0>1.9[1.0] DEC 1.0>1.6[1.0]
B6 JFK-SAN DEC 1.9>2[1.8]
B6 JFK-TPA NOV 3>4[3] DEC 4>5[4]

I think BUF-MCO to 2 daily may have been a mistaken, they also back SYR-MCO. I wonder if FLL-LAS/MBJ are max related. BOS-FLL/JFK-TPA's March/April reduction from recent schedule extension makes even less sense given they are adding a lot of capacity to both routes for Nov/Dec. It's almost like they don't know how many aircraft they will have and still allocating those flights.

CA LAX-PEK NOV 3>2[3] DEC 3>2[3] JAN 3>2[3] FEB 3>2[3] MAR 3>2[3]

pretty significant cut imo.

DL LAS-SEA DEC 4>5[4] JAN 5>6[5] FEB 5>6[5]
DL PHX-SEA NOV 3>4[3] DEC 3>4[4]
DL SAN-SEA OCT 4>5[4] NOV 4>5[4] JAN 4>5[4] FEB 4>5[4] MAR 4>5[4] APR 4>5[4]

a couple of big adds here at SEA.

*HU CTU-ORD APR 0>0.3[0]

another baffling route from HU.

NK BWI-RDU SEP 1.9>1.1[0] OCT 2>1.0[0] NOV 2.0>1.0[0] DEC 1.8>0.9[0] JAN 1.7>0.9[0] FEB 0.7>0.3[0]

This must be turning into quite the bloodbath with DL/WN.

some of these cuts seem logical. Other's like AUS-FLL/RDU/SMF to subdaily is quite surprising.

WN ALB-DEN OCT 1.0>0[1.0]
WN ATL-BOS OCT 1.0>0[3]
WN ATL-IAD OCT 3>2[1.8]
WN ATL-JAX OCT 3>2.0[3]
WN ATL-LAX OCT 3>1.8[3]
WN AUS-FLL OCT 1.0>0.6[1.0]
WN AUS-RDU OCT 1.0>0[0]
WN AUS-SFO OCT 0.8>0[1.0]
WN AUS-SMF OCT 1.0>0.6[1.0]
WN BHM-LAS OCT 1.0>0[1.0]
WN BNA-BUR OCT 1.0>0[0]
WN BNA-RDU OCT 3>2[3]
WN BOI-GEG OCT 1.7>0.9[1.5]
WN BOI-SJC OCT 1.7>1.0[1.0]
WN BOS-MCI OCT 1.1>0.1[1.7]
WN BUF-DEN OCT 1.0>0[0]
WN BUR-MDW OCT 1.7>1.2[0]
WN BWI-OAK OCT 1.0>0.6[1.0]
WN BWI-SAT OCT 1.9>1.4[1.9]
WN BWI-SEA OCT 0.9>0.5[0.7]
WN CUN-LAX OCT 0.3>0[1.0]
WN DEN-EWR OCT 1.8>1.4[1.9]
WN DEN-GEG OCT 2>1.5[2]
WN DTW-PHX OCT 1.0>0.6[1.0]
WN EWR-OAK OCT 0.8>0[1.0]
WN EWR-SAN OCT 0.8>0[1.0]
WN FLL-JAX OCT 2>1.5[3]
WN FLL-RDU OCT 1.0>0.8[1.0]
WN GEG-SAN OCT 1.0>0.5[0]
WN GEG-SJC OCT 0.9>0.6[1.0]
WN HOU-JAX OCT 1.0>0.7[1.0]
WN HOU-PHL OCT 1.0>0[0]
WN HOU-PIT OCT 1.7>1.3[1.0]
WN HOU-SLC OCT 1.0>0[0.1]
WN HOU-SMF OCT 1.0>0[0]
WN IND-LAX OCT 1.0>0.6[1.0]
WN IND-MDW OCT 1.3>0.9[1.8]
WN IND-OAK OCT 0.7>0[1.0]
WN LAS-MSY OCT 2.0>1.3[2.0]
WN LAS-PIT OCT 2>1.3[1.8]
WN LAS-SEA OCT 3>2[3]
WN LAX-OMA OCT 0.8>0[1.0]
WN LAX-PDX OCT 3>1.6[3]
WN LAX-PIT OCT 0.8>0[0.9]
WN LAX-TPA OCT 0.8>0[1.0]
WN MBJ-MDW OCT 0.7>0.3[0.7]
WN MCI-MSP OCT 1.7>1.1[1.6]
WN MCI-MSY OCT 1.1>0.8[1.0]
WN MCI-SAN OCT 1.7>1.4[1.8]
WN MCO-OAK OCT 0.8>0.5[1.0]
WN MCO-ORF OCT 1.3>0.9[1.0]
WN MCO-SAN OCT 1.0>0[1.0]
WN MCO-SJC OCT 0.8>0.4[1.0]
WN MCO-SMF OCT 1.0>0.6[1.0]
WN MDW-PDX OCT 2.0>1.1[2]
WN MDW-PUJ OCT 0.6>0.3[0.5]
WN MKE-STL OCT 1.9>1.4[1.9]
WN MSP-OAK OCT 0.8>0[1.0]
WN OAK-SAT OCT 0.8>0[1.0]
WN PDX-PHX OCT 3>2[3]
WN PHX-RDU OCT 1.0>0.6[1.0]
WN PHX-SFO OCT 5>4[5]
WN PHX-SLC OCT 6>5[5]
WN SAN-SAT OCT 2>1.6[1.8]
WN SAN-SFO OCT 8>7[7]
WN SFO-STL OCT 1.0>0.6[1.0]
WN SJC-SLC OCT 1.9>1.4[1.5]
WN SJC-STL OCT 1.0>0.6[1.0]
WN SLC-STL OCT 1.0>0.5[0]

ahj2000 wrote:

II) AR has troubles, we know, but is it all just the fact that the company is in the rough that is making this flight suffer? Could it be that the flight appears to land at EZE at 4:30AM? Or perhaps Delta isn't the greatest of partners? (You earn miles from a GOL Premium ticket than an Aerolíneas J ticket.)

I have no idea why the flight is suffering, but in January I flew two flights on AR within Argentina and I was underwhelmed by the service provided and the staff. If I was flying from EZE to JFK they certainly wouldn't be my choice. I think they have a lot of work to do in order to be competitive with others offering flights on the same route.

enilria wrote:

Amazing even that can't work daily
*AR EZE-JFK DEC 0.9>0.5[1.0] JAN 1.0>0.5[1.0] FEB 1.0>0.4[1.0] MAR 1.0>0.5[1.0] APR 1.0>0.6[1.0]

Nothing wrong with the route's demand or with the AR & DL partnership.

During the above period, AR will swap 3 of the JFK frequencies to a new EZE-MCO route that will operate during the peak summer travel season in Argentina. There is no competition to MCO while EZE-NYC sees AA & UA as well. Come April, the airline will up the JFK frequencies once again.

viewtopic.php?f=3&t=1425651

The airline does not have spare capacity on its international fleet to add a new destination without cutting someplace else. A decision on new capacity (A330NEO/A350/787) has now been postponed until the pilots' union and the airline can come to terms on matters such as productivity, etc. The airline's last two remaining A340-300 (LV-FPU/V) are scheduled to leave the fleet in 2020 and won't be replaced without an agreement with the pilots in place.

Yeah, those SEA-SAN/LAS/PHX increases are of interest. I think those were seasonal adds -- I know they were for SAN-SEA -- and it looks like they are maybe taking them year-round? And equipment varies but it seems more mainline jets are appearing more often. DL is not exactly chasing AS out of town(s) but they seem to have found business, and growth.

I haven't said it for a while now so thank you as always for your efforts Enilria. It isn't really Sunday 'til I check the OAG thread!

bb

PHL-MYR
Enter NK
Enter F9
...AA retreat?

AVL-FLL 3 daily on G4??

SANFan wrote:

Yeah, those SEA-SAN/LAS/PHX increases are of interest. I think those were seasonal adds -- I know they were for SAN-SEA -- and it looks like they are maybe taking them year-round? And equipment varies but it seems more mainline jets are appearing more often. DL is not exactly chasing AS out of town(s) but they seem to have found business, and growth.

I haven't said it for a while now so thank you as always for your efforts Enilria. It isn't really Sunday 'til I check the OAG thread!

bb

DL seems determined to build up the west coast. I’m very surprised about the markets they’re jumping into, and with all the competition in place.

enilria wrote:

AA PHL-SEA DEC 4>3[1.0] JAN 4>1.0[0.6] FEB 4>1.0[0.8] MAR 4>1.0[1.0]

Wow, AA seems to be really struggling in SEA. They cut SEA-JFK entirely just a few weeks back.. Now SEA-PHL just has a single redeye left.

Lots of UA SFO cuts due to the runway construction

enilria wrote:

AA ABQ-DFW JAN 8>7[7]
AA BOS-JFK DEC 5>6[3] JAN 5>6[4] FEB 5>6[4] MAR 5>6[4] APR 5>6[4]
AA BUR-PHX OCT 4>5[3] DEC 4>5[3] JAN 4>5[3] FEB 4>5[3] MAR 4>5[4] APR 4>5[4]
Big cuts at MYR. Error?
*AA DCA-MYR JAN 1.0>0.3[1.0] FEB 1.0>0.2[1.0] MAR 1.0>0.1[1.0] APR 1.0>0.1[1.0]
*AA MYR-PHL DEC 3>2[1.0] JAN 3>0.8[1.0] FEB 3>0.9[1.5] MAR 3>0.9[2]
AA DFW-IAH JAN 10>9[9]
AA DFW-ORD JAN 14>13[12]
AA DFW-PHL JAN 9>8[9]
AA LAS-NRT JAN 0>0.3[0.4]
AA LAS-PHX OCT 5>6[5] DEC 5>6[5] JAN 5>6[5] FEB 5>6[5] MAR 5>6[5] APR 5>6[5]
AA LGA-STL JAN 5>3[3] FEB 5>2[3] MAR 5>3[3] APR 5>3[3]
AA OAK-PHX OCT 3>4[4]
AA PHL-SEA DEC 4>3[1.0] JAN 4>1.0[0.6] FEB 4>1.0[0.8] MAR 4>1.0[1.0]
AA PHL-TPA JAN 5>6[4] FEB 5>6[5] MAR 5>6[5]
AA PHL-YUL DEC 5>4[4] JAN 5>3[3] FEB 5>3[3] MAR 5>3[3]]

No Winter updates for the MIA hub again this week. MIA is very exposed to the MAX situation. I'm wondering if AA is hesitant to make any commitments to MIA this winter, not knowing if the aircraft will be certified to fly by then. Just wondering if this will be the leanest Winter schedule for the MIA hub in quite some time.

dcajet wrote:

enilria wrote:

Amazing even that can't work daily
*AR EZE-JFK DEC 0.9>0.5[1.0] JAN 1.0>0.5[1.0] FEB 1.0>0.4[1.0] MAR 1.0>0.5[1.0] APR 1.0>0.6[1.0]

Nothing wrong with the route's demand or with the AR & DL partnership.

During the above period, AR will swap 3 of the JFK frequencies to a new EZE-MCO route that will operate during the peak summer travel season in Argentina. There is no competition to MCO while EZE-NYC sees AA & UA as well. Come April, the airline will up the JFK frequencies once again.

viewtopic.php?f=3&t=1425651

The airline does not have spare capacity on its international fleet to add a new destination without cutting someplace else. A decision on new capacity (A330NEO/A350/787) has now been postponed until the pilots' union and the airline can come to terms on matters such as productivity, etc. The airline's last two remaining A340-300 (LV-FPU/V) are scheduled to leave the fleet in 2020 and won't be replaced without an agreement with the pilots in place.

Well that’s not a great explanation because only a very mismanaged airline would cut a verbauccssful route to sub-daily to start another one, particularly with Norwegian applying for Argentina-USA rights.

usairways85 wrote:

PHL-MYR
Enter NK
Enter F9
...AA retreat?

The fact they did not adjust CLT tells me it probably isn’t a filing error.

Also, imho when you drop trips due to declining performance they tend to trickle out one by one over time. Dropping 3 or 4 roundtrips at once is not optimal because there’s no way to tell if you cut too much. That tells me they are sending a message to the City, Airport, CVB, whoever that they are upset about something. I would guess incentives.

I should also say, has anybody looked at the equipment types. I withdraw those comments if they upgauged Charlotte.

Perhaps the AR route from JFK to EZE suffers because of the ungodly arrival time in Buenos Aires?!

aeroblogger wrote:

enilria wrote:

AA PHL-SEA DEC 4>3[1.0] JAN 4>1.0[0.6] FEB 4>1.0[0.8] MAR 4>1.0[1.0]

Wow, AA seems to be really struggling in SEA. They cut SEA-JFK entirely just a few weeks back.. Now SEA-PHL just has a single redeye left.

1x on PHL-SEA Jan-Mar is not that unusual. I think AS is running 2x until December.

[code][/code]

Ishrion wrote:

And the WC at DAL should be WildCat Touring. Pretty sure they've been flying ASE-DAL for a while now.

https://www.wildcattouring.com/

Here's a pic:

It was never in OAG before. I wonder how they filed the terminal code in OAG. I assume this operates from an FBO?

aeroblogger wrote:

Wow, AA seems to be really struggling in SEA. They cut SEA-JFK entirely just a few weeks back.. Now SEA-PHL just has a single redeye left.

Actually, JFK-SEA hasn't (yet) been entirely cut. They have a bizarre schedule where it comes back on 3 Nov 2019 and runs for up to two flights a day until 20 Nov 2019, and is then cut for the winter. So far, they have loaded it to come back on 7 Apr 2020 but of course that is all subject to change.

SANFan wrote:

Yeah, those SEA-SAN/LAS/PHX increases are of interest. I think those were seasonal adds -- I know they were for SAN-SEA -- and it looks like they are maybe taking them year-round? And equipment varies but it seems more mainline jets are appearing more often.

DL are pretty much running all mainline on those routes already (and looks to be continuing through to 2020). SEA-LAS is all 738s while SEA-SAN is all A320 with some 738s occasionally.

enilria wrote:

[code][/code]

Ishrion wrote:

And the WC at DAL should be WildCat Touring. Pretty sure they've been flying ASE-DAL for a while now.

https://www.wildcattouring.com/

Here's a pic:

It was never in OAG before. I wonder how they filed the terminal code in OAG. I assume this operates from an FBO?

Nah they are running the flights out of the
Virgin American terminal at their hub in DAL! You ad N or drop a letter, and geez people get so sensitive!

Just kidding... from what I saw in their Wildcat’s website though, their planes look real comfortable and run from an FBO. You know in aviation everything is subject to change though. Good job with these updates by the way Enrila.

I don’t usually comment about G4 but wow there are lots of new routes like GRR-JAX/MSY/SAV. Have those already been announced or is a big G4 announcement on the way?

Disregard in G4 anything like 0.3[0.4]. There’s no change in frequency with these.

enilria wrote:

usairways85 wrote:

PHL-MYR
Enter NK
Enter F9
...AA retreat?

The fact they did not adjust CLT tells me it probably isn’t a filing error.

Also, imho when you drop trips due to declining performance they tend to trickle out one by one over time. Dropping 3 or 4 roundtrips at once is not optimal because there’s no way to tell if you cut too much. That tells me they are sending a message to the City, Airport, CVB, whoever that they are upset about something. I would guess incentives.

I should also say, has anybody looked at the equipment types. I withdraw those comments if they upgauged Charlotte.

The .8 on PHL actually reflects only 3x on 145s on Sat/Sun. No flights Mon-Fri

CLT looks like all large rj. CR7 and CR9

usairways85 wrote:

aeroblogger wrote:

enilria wrote:

AA PHL-SEA DEC 4>3[1.0] JAN 4>1.0[0.6] FEB 4>1.0[0.8] MAR 4>1.0[1.0]

Wow, AA seems to be really struggling in SEA. They cut SEA-JFK entirely just a few weeks back.. Now SEA-PHL just has a single redeye left.

1x on PHL-SEA Jan-Mar is not that unusual. I think AS is running 2x until December.

YOY also shows no change other than December being increased to 3x while last year was 1x.

Always appreciated, enilria!

enilria wrote:

MAX Cuts
WN ALB-DEN OCT 1.0>0[1.0]
WN ATL-BOS OCT 1.0>0[3]
WN ATL-IAD OCT 3>2[1.8]
WN ATL-JAX OCT 3>2.0[3]
WN ATL-LAX OCT 3>1.8[3]
WN AUS-FLL OCT 1.0>0.6[1.0]
WN AUS-RDU OCT 1.0>0[0]
WN AUS-SFO OCT 0.8>0[1.0]
WN AUS-SMF OCT 1.0>0.6[1.0]
WN BHM-LAS OCT 1.0>0[1.0]
WN BNA-BUR OCT 1.0>0[0]
WN BNA-RDU OCT 3>2[3]
WN BOI-GEG OCT 1.7>0.9[1.5]
WN BOI-SJC OCT 1.7>1.0[1.0]
WN BOS-MCI OCT 1.1>0.1[1.7]
WN BUF-DEN OCT 1.0>0[0]
WN BUR-MDW OCT 1.7>1.2[0]
WN BWI-OAK OCT 1.0>0.6[1.0]
WN BWI-SAT OCT 1.9>1.4[1.9]
WN BWI-SEA OCT 0.9>0.5[0.7]
WN CUN-LAX OCT 0.3>0[1.0]
WN DEN-EWR OCT 1.8>1.4[1.9]
WN DEN-GEG OCT 2>1.5[2]
WN DTW-PHX OCT 1.0>0.6[1.0]
WN EWR-OAK OCT 0.8>0[1.0]
WN EWR-SAN OCT 0.8>0[1.0]
WN FLL-JAX OCT 2>1.5[3]
WN FLL-RDU OCT 1.0>0.8[1.0]
WN GEG-SAN OCT 1.0>0.5[0]
WN GEG-SJC OCT 0.9>0.6[1.0]
WN HOU-JAX OCT 1.0>0.7[1.0]
WN HOU-PHL OCT 1.0>0[0]
WN HOU-PIT OCT 1.7>1.3[1.0]
WN HOU-SLC OCT 1.0>0[0.1]
WN HOU-SMF OCT 1.0>0[0]
WN IND-LAX OCT 1.0>0.6[1.0]
WN IND-MDW OCT 1.3>0.9[1.8]
WN IND-OAK OCT 0.7>0[1.0]
WN LAS-MSY OCT 2.0>1.3[2.0]
WN LAS-PIT OCT 2>1.3[1.8]
WN LAS-SEA OCT 3>2[3]
WN LAX-OMA OCT 0.8>0[1.0]
WN LAX-PDX OCT 3>1.6[3]
WN LAX-PIT OCT 0.8>0[0.9]
WN LAX-TPA OCT 0.8>0[1.0]
WN MBJ-MDW OCT 0.7>0.3[0.7]
WN MCI-MSP OCT 1.7>1.1[1.6]
WN MCI-MSY OCT 1.1>0.8[1.0]
WN MCI-SAN OCT 1.7>1.4[1.8]
WN MCO-OAK OCT 0.8>0.5[1.0]
WN MCO-ORF OCT 1.3>0.9[1.0]
WN MCO-SAN OCT 1.0>0[1.0]
WN MCO-SJC OCT 0.8>0.4[1.0]
WN MCO-SMF OCT 1.0>0.6[1.0]
WN MDW-PDX OCT 2.0>1.1[2]
WN MDW-PUJ OCT 0.6>0.3[0.5]
WN MKE-STL OCT 1.9>1.4[1.9]
WN MSP-OAK OCT 0.8>0[1.0]
WN OAK-SAT OCT 0.8>0[1.0]
WN PDX-PHX OCT 3>2[3]
WN PHX-RDU OCT 1.0>0.6[1.0]
WN PHX-SFO OCT 5>4[5]
WN PHX-SLC OCT 6>5[5]
WN SAN-SAT OCT 2>1.6[1.8]
WN SAN-SFO OCT 8>7[7]
WN SFO-STL OCT 1.0>0.6[1.0]
WN SJC-SLC OCT 1.9>1.4[1.5]
WN SJC-STL OCT 1.0>0.6[1.0]
WN SLC-STL OCT 1.0>0.5[0]

Something I find interesting is how several single-flight markets are unbalanced cuts. SMF-MCO is a good example. For October eastbound SMF-MCO was pulled out of the schedule on weekdays and only flies nonstop on Saturday and Sunday. Westbound MCO-SMF is in the schedule all 7 days, but every Saturday and Sunday the nonstop flight shows as sold out. What is actually for sale between Sacramento and Orlando nonstop is eastbound Sat/Sun, and westbound Mon-Fri. Another one is LAX-IND -- eastbound it runs seven days per week nonstop in October but Westbound IND-LAX is removed from the schedule Monday-Friday, while Saturday and Sunday remains in the schedule but is sold out. So it's available daily headed east but not available heading west, though it is scheduled on weekends but zeroed out.

Midway-Indy is another curious one. It had been scheduled to run 1x/day except on Sunday it was 3x/day.

Weekdays
Southbound the 1/day flight is pulled from the schedule
Northbound the 1/day flight is in the schedule but sold out daily

Saturday
Southbound the 1/day flight is in the schedule and for sale
Northbound the 1/day flight is in the schedule and for sale

Sunday
Southbound the 3/day flights are in the schedule and all for sale
Northbound the 3/day flights are in the schedule but all are sold out

Scheduled per week: 18 original weekly segments
Listed in the schedule 13 of the 18 original weely segments
Actually for sale 5 of the 18 orginal weekly segments, four southbound and one northbound each week

Not sure what to make of some segements still being out there but zeroed out / sold out -- it's not just the SMF-MCO, LAX-IND and MDW-IND either. From a cynical perspective one could wonder if they are being creative with things to keep some metric above some threshhold. Or maybe some flight lines are only zeroed out rather than actually removed in optimistic hope that they get a few more planes to play with. It's notable that the zeroed-out segments I've seen have been stable for days. Sometimes a zeroed-out flight is removed shortly from the schedule but so far they are still out there.

What this shows is how much of an extra headache this must be for an airline with so much linear scheduling and so many low-frequency city pairs. When you identfy BOS-ATL as a cut but the segment is served as part of a CVG-BWI-BOS-ATL-CLE-STL-DEN-RNO line it makes things a lot more complicated. Not that you can't look to swap lines at defacto hubs / crew bases but every action has an offsetting recation. By no means are Southwest's ongoing MAX cuts just a random bunch of cuts but I would guess sometimes there are routes there are cuts they could only reasonable work into the schedule on direction they would have cut both directions if they coudl have, and other cuts (especially shorter routes) which were collateral damage as they reworked lines to hit their targets. I would guess the best indicate of what they truly have identified to cut is to see what has been hit again and again in subsequent updates.

enilria wrote:

The other JJ routes are gone?
*LA BOS-GRU NOV 0>0.7[0] DEC 0>0.7[0] JAN 0>0.7[0] FEB 0>0.7[0] MAR 0>0.7[0] APR 0>0.7[0]
*LA MIA-REC NOV 0>0.3[0] DEC 0>0.3[0] JAN 0>0.3[0] FEB 0>0.3[0] MAR 0>0.3[0] APR 0>0.3[0]

All TAM`s JJ code will change to LA code. Brazil-US kept JJ code for governmental reasons.

njdevilsin03 wrote:

AVL-FLL 3 daily on G4??

It’s a massive local market, I believe it is AVL’s largest O&D market. Asheville is to Miami what Miami is to New York City. It’s where Miamians escape to and own second homes.

njdevilsin03 wrote:

AVL-FLL 3 daily on G4??

Yes, it is a very popular route between the two areas.

enilria wrote:

Amazing even that can't work daily
*AR EZE-JFK DEC 0.9>0.5[1.0] JAN 1.0>0.5[1.0] FEB 1.0>0.4[1.0] MAR 1.0>0.5[1.0] APR 1.0>0.6[1.0]

= AR really needs to get a whole lot of new people from the outside to run their business. How can they not make a EZE-JFK work daily?

Saludos,
Alex

MAH4546 wrote:

njdevilsin03 wrote:

AVL-FLL 3 daily on G4??

It’s a massive local market, I believe it is AVL’s largest O&D market. Asheville is to Miami what Miami is to New York City. It’s where Miamians escape to and own second homes.

Correct. I also wonder if G4 is trying to put some pressure on NK here.

KlimaBXsst wrote:

Glad to see airlines making a run of this Aspen -Metroplex route still! What a great surprice.

Thanks for the run down memory lane with the reference to Lone Star. My first thought when I saw this was of them as well.

Dominion301 wrote:

I don’t usually comment about G4 but wow there are lots of new routes like GRR-JAX/MSY/SAV. Have those already been announced or is a big G4 announcement on the way?

Don't know if there's been an official presser, but those routes have been on GRR's routemap for quite a few weeks. It was pointed out on the MSY thread last month.

LAX772LR wrote:

Dominion301 wrote:

I don’t usually comment about G4 but wow there are lots of new routes like GRR-JAX/MSY/SAV. Have those already been announced or is a big G4 announcement on the way?

Don't know if there's been an official presser, but those routes have been on GRR's routemap for quite a few weeks. It was pointed out on the MSY thread last month.

They were formally announced a month ago.

Dominion301 wrote:

I don’t usually comment about G4 but wow there are lots of new routes like GRR-JAX/MSY/SAV. Have those already been announced or is a big G4 announcement on the way?

They have been announced. These are just extensions which hopefully is a sign bookings are strong. GRR is an operating base for G4.

RockIsland41 wrote:

Thanks as always!

ahj2000 wrote:

Thanks as always.

tphuang wrote:

Thanks again enilria

KlimaBXsst wrote:

Just kidding... from what I saw in their Wildcat’s website though, their planes look real comfortable and run from an FBO. You know in aviation everything is subject to change though. Good job with these updates by the way Enrila.

Thanks everybody

I wonder how they are designating in OAG that they are operating from an FPO? There's supposed to be terminal marker. Could it be that AS is sub-sub-leasing them gate space?

knope2001 wrote:

Something I find interesting is how several single-flight markets are unbalanced cuts. SMF-MCO is a good example. For October eastbound SMF-MCO was pulled out of the schedule on weekdays and only flies nonstop on Saturday and Sunday. Westbound MCO-SMF is in the schedule all 7 days, but every Saturday and Sunday the nonstop flight shows as sold out. What is actually for sale between Sacramento and Orlando nonstop is eastbound Sat/Sun, and westbound Mon-Fri. Another one is LAX-IND -- eastbound it runs seven days per week nonstop in October but Westbound IND-LAX is removed from the schedule Monday-Friday, while Saturday and Sunday remains in the schedule but is sold out. So it's available daily headed east but not available heading west, though it is scheduled on weekends but zeroed out.

I'd call that sloppy. You'd think when they made the schedule they would have made the MAX cuts plug and play. Apparently not.

enilria wrote:

RockIsland41 wrote:

Thanks as always!

ahj2000 wrote:

Thanks as always.

tphuang wrote:

Thanks again enilria

KlimaBXsst wrote:

Just kidding... from what I saw in their Wildcat’s website though, their planes look real comfortable and run from an FBO. You know in aviation everything is subject to change though. Good job with these updates by the way Enrila.

Thanks everybody

I wonder how they are designating in OAG that they are operating from an FPO? There's supposed to be terminal marker. Could it be that AS is sub-sub-leasing them gate space?

knope2001 wrote:

Something I find interesting is how several single-flight markets are unbalanced cuts. SMF-MCO is a good example. For October eastbound SMF-MCO was pulled out of the schedule on weekdays and only flies nonstop on Saturday and Sunday. Westbound MCO-SMF is in the schedule all 7 days, but every Saturday and Sunday the nonstop flight shows as sold out. What is actually for sale between Sacramento and Orlando nonstop is eastbound Sat/Sun, and westbound Mon-Fri. Another one is LAX-IND -- eastbound it runs seven days per week nonstop in October but Westbound IND-LAX is removed from the schedule Monday-Friday, while Saturday and Sunday remains in the schedule but is sold out. So it's available daily headed east but not available heading west, though it is scheduled on weekends but zeroed out.

I'd call that sloppy. You'd think when they made the schedule they would have made the MAX cuts plug and play. Apparently not.

Not necessarily, even for other MAX operators. For example, at AC domestically, YOW-YYT operated in June, albeit on a Jazz CR9, but is cut for July, even though July is the absolute peak for demand to Newfoundland. Then it’s back in August on its usual mainline E90 equipment. The MAX juggles are a struggle. However, at WN, you can see that the overwhelming amount of cuts are on long routes with many alternative connection options. The only “plug-and-plays” that are fully cut until MAX returns at AC are YYT-LHR and YHZ-LHR.

enilria wrote:

G4 FLL-USA FEB 0.5>1.5[0.9] MAR 0>1.7[1.0] APR 0>1.7[1.0]

FLL to USA???????????

How long before G4 makes BNA a year round destination? Lots of early starts and extensions there. good to see

KarlB737 wrote:

enilria wrote:

G4 FLL-USA FEB 0.5>1.5[0.9] MAR 0>1.7[1.0] APR 0>1.7[1.0]

FLL to USA???????????

USA is Concord, NC if not mistaken. Coincidentally where most of the NASCAR teams base their planes.

Ishrion wrote:

RockIsland41 wrote:

Thanks as always!

A search of WC produces Islena De Inversiones - in Honduras. So what's up w/the DAL flights?? Haven't seen anything about this in our local media.

I saw that same airline when looking at the Wiki. However, there's no way an airline from Honduras would fly Aspen to Dallas/Houston.

That's why it has to be "WildCat" (WC) Touring, which already operates the routes. I put a link to their site above.

$1200 is pretty steep when F is available for less than $900 out of DFW.

enilria wrote:

KarlB737 wrote:

enilria wrote:

G4 FLL-USA FEB 0.5>1.5[0.9] MAR 0>1.7[1.0] APR 0>1.7[1.0]

FLL to USA???????????

USA is Concord, NC if not mistaken. Coincidentally where most of the NASCAR teams base their planes.

Indeed and the IATA code has only existed for just under 6 years...probably around the time G4 would have started serving USA.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Concord ... al_Airport

Seems it's been figured out but I knew well the code WC. My first airline job was with Wien Air Alaska...a small ANC-based airline founded in 1927. I became a FA for them shortly after graduating college in 1981. Their code was WC....looks like someone is finally using it again! They ceased operations in winter of 1985.

hiflyeras wrote:

Seems it's been figured out but I knew well the code WC. My first airline job was with Wien Air Alaska...a small ANC-based airline founded in 1927. I became a FA for them shortly after graduating college in 1981. Their code was WC....looks like someone is finally using it again! They ceased operations in winter of 1985.

Did you make it thru BOI much with them? I think I have their last printed timetable after they re-started operations for a short time with ANC-SEA-RNO routing.

sprxUSA wrote:

hiflyeras wrote:

Seems it's been figured out but I knew well the code WC. My first airline job was with Wien Air Alaska...a small ANC-based airline founded in 1927. I became a FA for them shortly after graduating college in 1981. Their code was WC....looks like someone is finally using it again! They ceased operations in winter of 1985.

Did you make it thru BOI much with them? I think I have their last printed timetable after they re-started operations for a short time with ANC-SEA-RNO routing.

I remember the only CA destination for Wien was OAK. They flew to SEA, PDX, ABQ and PHX at their peak, with a mix of 737-200's, 727-100's and 727-200's.