Moderators: jsumali2, richierich, ua900, PanAm_DC10, hOMSaR
HP69 wrote:Word among BA rampers in LHR is that a major TATL route announcement is coming later this week. Anyone have any guesses/additional info? My guesses are the following:
LHR-BDL
LHR-CLE or CMH
LHR-TPA
LHR-PDX
LHR-STL
FLYKTPA wrote:Why would rampers know anything about an air service announcement?
SAT, CMH? Those are pleasant regional airports, not international destinations.
greenair727 wrote:CMH doesn't make sense, but CLE certainly does as its the largest US metro without direct service to Europe. Population of the CLE air market (4-5MM people) is larger than that of CMH (around 2MM people) and the economy is much larger. Plus Cleveland's economy has begun showing signs of taking off while there are signs that Columbus's is slowing down after a steady period of growth. Back when CO had a hub in CLE, they served CLE-London (initially LGW, then LHR) for ten or so years til the Great Recession.
greenair727 wrote:cedarjet wrote:STL PDX and CMH are all possible, although does a 200 seat 788 count as “major”? The A318 from LCY is major. 787s to Charleston or Nashville, more “incremental”
CMH doesn't make sense, but CLE certainly does as its the largest US metro without direct service to Europe. Population of the CLE air market (4-5MM people) is larger than that of CMH (around 2MM people) and the economy is much larger. Plus Cleveland's economy has begun showing signs of taking off while there are signs that Columbus's is slowing down after a steady period of growth. Back when CO had a hub in CLE, they served CLE-London (initially LGW, then LHR) for ten or so years til the Great Recession.
LAXdude1023 wrote:greenair727 wrote:cedarjet wrote:STL PDX and CMH are all possible, although does a 200 seat 788 count as “major”? The A318 from LCY is major. 787s to Charleston or Nashville, more “incremental”
CMH doesn't make sense, but CLE certainly does as its the largest US metro without direct service to Europe. Population of the CLE air market (4-5MM people) is larger than that of CMH (around 2MM people) and the economy is much larger. Plus Cleveland's economy has begun showing signs of taking off while there are signs that Columbus's is slowing down after a steady period of growth. Back when CO had a hub in CLE, they served CLE-London (initially LGW, then LHR) for ten or so years til the Great Recession.
Cleveland does not have 4-5 million people. It has 3.6 million when Akron, Canton, and Sandusky are included. The population is declining as well.
CMHtraveler wrote:greenair727 wrote:CMH doesn't make sense, but CLE certainly does as its the largest US metro without direct service to Europe. Population of the CLE air market (4-5MM people) is larger than that of CMH (around 2MM people) and the economy is much larger. Plus Cleveland's economy has begun showing signs of taking off while there are signs that Columbus's is slowing down after a steady period of growth. Back when CO had a hub in CLE, they served CLE-London (initially LGW, then LHR) for ten or so years til the Great Recession.
This again? At CMH we’ve been through this rumor mill so many times it’s hard to believe any of these anymore. But as far as Ohio city tribalism we’ve had thread after thread about how the three “C”’s compare and while you are correct that CLE’s economy is currently bigger, your analysis of the trends is not even close. Where are these signs CMH is “slowing down”? As far as pax, CMH broke it’s all time record last year and is on track to easily beat that this year. Only one of the two airports recently lost their existing TATL service; the one you claim is “showing signs of taking off”. Again, I doubt either airport is truly in the immediate cards based on a rumor, but please- your hope for CLE over CMH does not somehow change the reality regarding the trajectories of these two cities.
Planes4you wrote:FLYKTPA wrote:Why would rampers know anything about an air service announcement?
A DFW ramp worker knew about Air France’s plan something to announce dfw
greenair727 wrote:^Simply put, all data and trends aside, Cleveland is a major global city.
greenair727 wrote:LAXdude1023 wrote:greenair727 wrote:
CMH doesn't make sense, but CLE certainly does as its the largest US metro without direct service to Europe. Population of the CLE air market (4-5MM people) is larger than that of CMH (around 2MM people) and the economy is much larger. Plus Cleveland's economy has begun showing signs of taking off while there are signs that Columbus's is slowing down after a steady period of growth. Back when CO had a hub in CLE, they served CLE-London (initially LGW, then LHR) for ten or so years til the Great Recession.
Cleveland does not have 4-5 million people. It has 3.6 million when Akron, Canton, and Sandusky are included. The population is declining as well.
You have to include the YNG area as well. Its part of the CLE air market. PIT also claims as well as pax in YNG use both CLE and PIT. But in any event, my point is that CLE is double that of Columbus.
CRJ900 wrote:10 x daily LCY-JFK with their newly-ordered A220-100
MIflyer12 wrote:SAT, CMH? Those are pleasant regional airports, not international destinations. Do they even make FAA large Hub status?
greenair727 wrote:LAXdude1023 wrote:greenair727 wrote:
CMH doesn't make sense, but CLE certainly does as its the largest US metro without direct service to Europe. Population of the CLE air market (4-5MM people) is larger than that of CMH (around 2MM people) and the economy is much larger. Plus Cleveland's economy has begun showing signs of taking off while there are signs that Columbus's is slowing down after a steady period of growth. Back when CO had a hub in CLE, they served CLE-London (initially LGW, then LHR) for ten or so years til the Great Recession.
Cleveland does not have 4-5 million people. It has 3.6 million when Akron, Canton, and Sandusky are included. The population is declining as well.
You have to include the YNG area as well. Its part of the CLE air market. PIT also claims as well as pax in YNG use both CLE and PIT. But in any event, my point is that CLE is double that of Columbus.
LAXdude1023 wrote:No it isn’t. It’s 3.6 million. You can’t pick and choose places for Cleveland to claim. After all, Dayton is the same distance from Columbus that Youngstown is from Cleveland. Can it lay claim to it???
Columbus has 2.6 million and is growing at roughly 9% per year. The Cleveland area is losing about 1% per year. Youngstown has 538,000 and is losing about 5% of its population per year.
Here’s something else to consider. Despite Cleveland being larger, Columbus has more international immigrants. Cleveland gets roughly 2500 international immigrants a year and Columbus gets about 5000 which come largely from Africa.
Ishrion wrote:FLYKTPA wrote:Why would rampers know anything about an air service announcement?
My thoughts exactly, but hey, this guy has inside info on the A390. We could end up eating a shoe.
greenair727 wrote:^Simply put, all data and trends aside, Cleveland is a major global city
Jshank83 wrote:usdcaguy wrote:My guesses, if said rumors are true:
LGW-RSW
Seasonal LGW-PVR
LHR-PDX
LHR-BDL
One potential route that is never discussed is LHR-SAT, which could be run 2x/wk paired with year-round LHR-CHS 2x/wk. In fact, SAT doesn’t have any TATL service at all, which is a surprise given its tourism and military business, which could be had on AA codeshare. There’s LHR-AUS, but driving all the way up there for an international flight would be grueling.
Isn’t it only an hourish from San Antonio to AUS? I’m not sure I would call that grueling. Lots of people drive further than that to catch a flight at their closest airport. I know plenty that drive the 4-5 hours from STL to ORD to catch an Intl flight from Chicago for cheaper (and a nonstop) instead of STL. I think it’s crazy they do but they do.
HP69 wrote:Maybe LHR-SAT also.
Midwestindy wrote:greenair727 wrote:LAXdude1023 wrote:
Cleveland does not have 4-5 million people. It has 3.6 million when Akron, Canton, and Sandusky are included. The population is declining as well.
You have to include the YNG area as well. Its part of the CLE air market. PIT also claims as well as pax in YNG use both CLE and PIT. But in any event, my point is that CLE is double that of Columbus.
Who cares whether the air market is 3-4-5-6-7.... e.t.c million people, it doesn't change much in terms of TATL service.
We have seen this time and time again, CHS, CVG, RDU, IND, MSY, e.t.c are all sizably smaller than the CLE CSA, and all have at least one TATL flight.
All TATL service from mid-sized cities falls into at least 1 of these requirements:
1. Airports have large companies with major travel budgets with HQs/large offices in the area (P&G-CVG, Boeing-CHS, Lilly-IND, e.t.c)
2. Airports have existing TATL service that has been successful (DE coming after BA in MSY, DL coming after AA in RDU, e.t.c)
3. Airports have sizable incentives available, if the market is unproven ($5.5 mil in IND for CDG, $9 mil in PIT for CDG, e.t.c)
4. Airports have a sizable tourism market that compliments a decent sized business market (CHS beach component, MSY Bourbon Street, e.t.c)
Looking at the list, CMH makes just as much sense as CLE. In addition the CO hub point is moot, there was obviously feed that allowed that service to be sustained.
gdg9 wrote:greenair727 wrote:^Simply put, all data and trends aside, Cleveland is a major global city.
That was my morning laugh.
musman9853 wrote:gdg9 wrote:greenair727 wrote:^Simply put, all data and trends aside, Cleveland is a major global city.
That was my morning laugh.
How is cleveland a major global city? Their major export is crippling depression.
greenair727 wrote:LAXdude1023 wrote:No it isn’t. It’s 3.6 million. You can’t pick and choose places for Cleveland to claim. After all, Dayton is the same distance from Columbus that Youngstown is from Cleveland. Can it lay claim to it???
Columbus has 2.6 million and is growing at roughly 9% per year. The Cleveland area is losing about 1% per year. Youngstown has 538,000 and is losing about 5% of its population per year.
Here’s something else to consider. Despite Cleveland being larger, Columbus has more international immigrants. Cleveland gets roughly 2500 international immigrants a year and Columbus gets about 5000 which come largely from Africa.
Dayton is part of the Cincinnati air market. Re Youngstown, where do you think the people that live there fly from? Its either PIT or CLE. They're not driving to PHL or Detroit. Its not me who is choosing to include YNG in CLE. Also, what drives a lot of TATL flights is business. So if Columbus is getting a lot of refugees from Africa that doesn't make for likely customers. Economic issues aside, if they are refugees, they likely cannot go back to their homes in Africa or they will be persecuted---hence their status as refugees--at least until a regime or other change in their country of origin.
izbtmnhd wrote:musman9853 wrote:gdg9 wrote:
That was my morning laugh.
How is cleveland a major global city? Their major export is crippling depression.
While I don't agree that Cleveland is a major international city, the end of your post is another reason why we need to get the pay-wall back.
As for BA TATL, who knows after the CHS add. Maybe weekend only service to JAX and ORF.
LAXdude1023 wrote:Im not saying CLE couldnt support a seasonal 3x weekly flight to Europe but your opinion of Cleveland on the world stage is over-inflated.
musman9853 wrote:gdg9 wrote:greenair727 wrote:^Simply put, all data and trends aside, Cleveland is a major global city.
That was my morning laugh.
How is cleveland a major global city? Their major export is crippling depression.
musman9853 wrote:izbtmnhd wrote:musman9853 wrote:
How is cleveland a major global city? Their major export is crippling depression.
While I don't agree that Cleveland is a major international city, the end of your post is another reason why we need to get the pay-wall back.
As for BA TATL, who knows after the CHS add. Maybe weekend only service to JAX and ORF.
i'm guessing you're not very fun at parties. it's just a joke
cranberrysaus wrote:musman9853 wrote:gdg9 wrote:
That was my morning laugh.
How is cleveland a major global city? Their major export is crippling depression.
Their economy is (was) based on Lebron James.
izbtmnhd wrote:cranberrysaus wrote:musman9853 wrote:
How is cleveland a major global city? Their major export is crippling depression.
Their economy is (was) based on Lebron James.
Who actually believes an ESPN narrative?
Antarius wrote:izbtmnhd wrote:cranberrysaus wrote:Their economy is (was) based on Lebron James.
Who actually believes an ESPN narrative?
Touchy touchy.
I guess you forgot the comedic comic sans rant by Dan Gilbert?Anyways, am just kidding.
LH748 wrote:Could any aircraft in the BA fleet make it to HNL nonstop?
flipdewaf wrote:*Sigh* nothing for the north again...Please BA put more metal in MAN.
Fred
flipdewaf wrote:*Sigh* nothing for the north again...Please BA put more metal in MAN.
Fred
GBNWB wrote:I always thought IAG would open a Vueling base to try and fight it at MAN for shorthaul but I guess EZY, Jet2, RYR, TCX and TUI have it sewn up.
GBNWB wrote:flipdewaf wrote:*Sigh* nothing for the north again...Please BA put more metal in MAN.
Fred
I'm not feeling it, but wish American would try and fight back on behalf of Oneworld.
I always thought IAG would open a Vueling base to try and fight it at MAN for shorthaul but I guess EZY, Jet2, RYR, TCX and TUI have it sewn up.
If BA was ever in a position cost base wise to open MAN then it must be now, alas I cant see it. Ryanair and Easy would still be £30 cheaper.