tullamarine wrote:qf789 wrote:Obzerva wrote:
Hoping to pick up some transfer traffic that might have previously gone via HKG maybe?
Now you mention that it would be an ideal time for CZ to exploit the ongoing problems at HKG. CX has already announced they will reduce capacity for NW19/20 and have already cut or reduced some European and US routes, I do wonder what Australian services will be impacted. I suspect the 3 weekly CX133/142 to PER is likely to be chopped, we are also suppose to be seeing the A359 upgraded to A35K at the end of next month but wouldn't be surprised if this doesn't go ahead, their loads recently haven't been all that good, its clear the ongoing tensions in HKG is having an impact, we have already seen QF downgrade A333's to A332's and VA has reduced HKG flying. Could we see BNE, MEL or SYD with capacity reductions over the coming months?
Obviously, CX is suffering most but you'd expect to see both QF and VA dial back their flights into HKG if demand is tumbling which it appears to be. It is possible that VA will reduce their MEL flights and funnel through SYD until things stabilise. QF may do similar; they have seasonally increased capacity to HKG using A380s or 744s particularly over Chinese New Year. They will probably wait another few months before deciding whether they will do it again next year.
Where are QF sending their 333s to instead?
This could be a nice face saving exercise for VA to end one of their HKG services. I actually think SYD, I’ve always said VA should have focused on BNE/MEL and left SYD too QF. Back when QF was SYD focused would have been ideal... now new mojo QF has remembered MEL/BNE and seen significant growth... but I digress!
VA could drop SYD-HKG, and try win a HND slot- MEL-HND, along with MEL-HKG/LAX is starting to build a better offering out of MEL