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AF022 wrote:Thibault973 wrote:alexdelzotto wrote:If BEY is timed perfectly to connect with the YUL flight, that arrangement could be very successful.
Well I've flown Paris-Lisbon-Abidjan twice. All 4 ABJ-LIS legs were less than 1/4 full with virtually all passengers coming/goin from/to Paris. Tickets were a 1/5 of what AF and SS charged for the direct flight. Don't know if I would call that "very successful".
TAP probably doesn't need to carry that many passengers to cover the costs of operating a flight at night with an A320, but 25% load factor can't possibly be covering costs. They have a very extensive network in West Africa. Are they doing well on any route in the region?
aldrigsomandre wrote:Toinou wrote:And, Isn't there a Portuguese population in the Cape region?
Correct. Quite sizable population.
Polot wrote:Not too surprising. I have long suspected since the news of the friction between Portugal and Neeleman first broke that Portugal has desired pushing TAP closer to their Star partners and joining the Star TATL JV while Neeleman has resisted in favor of staying independent.
Noble, but as pointed out TAP still has their ever constant profitability issue.
lugie wrote:Do you think this might make jetBlue joining Star Alliance more likely? They connect quite a lot of passengers with TAP in Boston and JFK and especially now against the backdrop of Alaska joining oneworld this could make sense
VSMUT wrote:Lufthansa interference will inevitably mean service improvements like worse meals, more seats squeezed in, removal of wifi because those extra seats put it at the edge of the CG limit, higher prices, miles and more, possibly a low cost model and Eurowings integration and similar stuff we all love. What's not to love?
lugie wrote:Do you think this might make jetBlue joining Star Alliance more likely? They connect quite a lot of passengers with TAP in Boston and JFK and especially now against the backdrop of Alaska joining oneworld this could make sense
x1234 wrote:And TAP gives extra lift to the LH UA JV to South America as TAP currently only flies to the USA/Canada (SFO ORD BOS JFK EWR IAD MIA YYZ) and Brazil (GRU GIG regional Brazil). This is like BA with Iberia, putting flights to Latin America on a closer/more colonial hub. TAP with its low cost could start flights to EZE, MEX, CUN, BOG, LIM, etc.
x1234 wrote:TAP with its low cost could start flights to EZE, MEX, CUN, BOG, LIM, etc.
Pyrex wrote:Why on Earth would anybody voluntarily enter into a "partnership" with the Portuguese government? Do LH and UA really have that big of a desire to set a pile of money on fire?
VSMUT wrote:Lufthansa interference will inevitably mean service improvements like worse meals, more seats squeezed in, removal of wifi because those extra seats put it at the edge of the CG limit, higher prices, miles and more, possibly a low cost model and Eurowings integration and similar stuff we all love. What's not to love?
MIflyer12 wrote:x1234 wrote:TAP with its low cost could start flights to EZE, MEX, CUN, BOG, LIM, etc.
To feed people from where, please? All but LIM are LH non-stop destinations from FRA today, as are GIG and GRU.
Revelation wrote:VSMUT wrote:Lufthansa interference will inevitably mean service improvements like worse meals, more seats squeezed in, removal of wifi because those extra seats put it at the edge of the CG limit, higher prices, miles and more, possibly a low cost model and Eurowings integration and similar stuff we all love. What's not to love?
Maybe we'll see a new livery (get rid of anything not blue or white) and a new branding (Lisbon Airways?) and a trip through bankruptcy to wring concessions out of the workers then in a small number of years an admission it was all a bad idea and it all needs to be shut down so more people can fly via FRA or MUC.
dfpinto wrote:MIflyer12 wrote:x1234 wrote:TAP with its low cost could start flights to EZE, MEX, CUN, BOG, LIM, etc.
To feed people from where, please? All but LIM are LH non-stop destinations from FRA today, as are GIG and GRU.
Imagine having to backtrack from (e.g) MAD to FRA to get in a flight to EZE. I'm guessing you would rather take Iberia or some other connection that doesn't waste so much time.
Additionally, TP has many other destinations in Brazil: BEL, REC, NAT, FOR, CNF, BSB and POA (I might be forgetting some). Similar scenario: Imagine travelling from MAD to NAT, what are your options? MAD-FRA-GRU-NAT seems quite stretched.
The deal makes sense, from a network perspective, but I don't think it'll happen because getting in bed with the Portuguese Goverment is not a good idea, as Mr. Neeleman unfortunately already found out.
lugie wrote:Do you think this might make jetBlue joining Star Alliance more likely? They connect quite a lot of passengers with TAP in Boston and JFK and especially now against the backdrop of Alaska joining oneworld this could make sense
xiaotung wrote:Actually this might push Azul to align closer to *A.
Pt56 wrote:According to this article (Portuguese)...
What do you think? do you think this deal makes sense? Specially given that it is a minority position.
MaverickM11 wrote:What is the upside, especially for UA? It's like buying SN 2.0.
dfpinto wrote:Imagine having to backtrack from (e.g) MAD to FRA to get in a flight to EZE. I'm guessing you would rather take Iberia or some other connection that doesn't waste so much time.
abrelosojos wrote:People forget that TP was unprofitable for the first 72 years of government control. With the huge capex in 2019, it still improved it's performance, showing the article is political spin. Give it a few years, and if they continue performing, TP will keep turning around.
Saludos,
Alex
airzona11 wrote:Why focus on Madrid? Unless I am mistaken, Spain is not a large driver of traffic to Brazil.
airbazar wrote:Makes perfect sense from LH/UA point of view but it will spell the end for TAP and likely a disaster for Portugal's economy as TAP is it's largest exporter and a huge contributor to the tourism industry which accounts for ~20% of GDP.
Why do I say this? TAP is a big contributor to declining yields across the Atlantic. That's bad for LH/UA who have much higher operating costs and therefore need higher yields. By eliminating TAP they eliminate a significant low cost competitor and because TAP is so cheap to buy, it's an easy thing to do.
With Delta/VS trying to eliminate DY and Lh/UA trying to eliminate TAP, pretty soon we'll be left with nothing but 3 main alliances across the Atlantic and back to the high fares of old.
abrelosojos wrote:People forget that TP was unprofitable for the first 72 years of government control. With the huge capex in 2019, it still improved it's performance, showing the article is political spin. Give it a few years, and if they continue performing, TP will keep turning around
NZ321 wrote:LH should not be allowed to acquire TAP and extend its leverage further in Europe IMHO, but equally IAG should not be able to pick up TAP either given their strong hold in the Iberian peninsular. We need TAP to stay in STAR or move to Skyteam. There have to be better options.
Polot wrote:abrelosojos wrote:People forget that TP was unprofitable for the first 72 years of government control. With the huge capex in 2019, it still improved it's performance, showing the article is political spin. Give it a few years, and if they continue performing, TP will keep turning around.
Saludos,
Alex
TAP hasn’t been improving its performance, that is the problem. It’s profitability has been all over the place the past couple of years, there has been no clear trend. And the past couple of years have been “good times” for airlines.
SCQ83 wrote:The Portuguese economy will end up in a disaster either way. The growth in the Portuguese economy has been a mix government debt, tax-breaks (those Golden visas and expats on that 10-year scheme not to pay income tax - now being partially withdrawn -), real estate bubble (prices in Lisbon or Porto are simply ridiculous specially compared with average salaries) and tourism boom. If there is a coronavirus global crisis a la 2008 (or worse), all this will fall like a house of cards.
Naia wrote:Last year: GRU-LIS almost 600.000 pessengers - TAP 14 to 18 weekly flights (A339) and Latam 5 to 7 weekly flights (763 and A359). VCP-LIS arround 250.000 passengers - 9 to 14 weekly flights (A332 and A339). GRU+VCP to LIS, more than 800.000 anual passengers. GRU-CDG and MAD, almost 600.000 to 650.000. GRU-FRA and LHR almost 500.000. GRU-FCO maybe 400.000.
Naia wrote:Last year: GRU-LIS almost 600.000 pessengers - TAP 14 to 18 weekly flights (A339) and Latam 5 to 7 weekly flights (763 and A359). VCP-LIS arround 250.000 passengers - 9 to 14 weekly flights (A332 and A339). GRU+VCP to LIS, more than 800.000 anual passengers. GRU-CDG and MAD, almost 600.000 to 650.000. GRU-FRA and LHR almost 500.000. GRU-FCO maybe 400.000.
ScottB wrote:dfpinto wrote:Imagine having to backtrack from (e.g) MAD to FRA to get in a flight to EZE. I'm guessing you would rather take Iberia or some other connection that doesn't waste so much time.
Airlines and alliances can't (profitably) be all things to all people. A high-value customer in Madrid is probably going to stick with non-stops on IB rather than connecting in FRA or LIS, either way. There's relatively little business traffic between Portugal and the non-Lusophone parts of South America so it makes little sense to go chasing after low-yielding connecting traffic unless you've got really low costs.
airbazar wrote:SCQ83 wrote:The Portuguese economy will end up in a disaster either way. The growth in the Portuguese economy has been a mix government debt, tax-breaks (those Golden visas and expats on that 10-year scheme not to pay income tax - now being partially withdrawn -), real estate bubble (prices in Lisbon or Porto are simply ridiculous specially compared with average salaries) and tourism boom. If there is a coronavirus global crisis a la 2008 (or worse), all this will fall like a house of cards.
I disagree 100% but this is not really the forum for an economics discussion. The Portuguese economy has never been more diversified and more future proof after huge investments have been made in technology and education. Those real estate prices are for foreigners as the Portuguese already own their houses. Portugal has one of the highest home ownership rates in all of Europe.
https://www.statista.com/statistics/246 ... in-europe/
There's a general misconception amongst people who don't know Portugal that the Portuguese are poor. That is not true, they enjoy a superior quality of life than many other people in perceived wealthier nations. The government of Portugal is poor, not the people. Don't confuse the two. Look at the link above. More people own their own houses in Portugal than in Germany for example. That's a sign of wealth and quality of life.
And Portugal is somewhat immune to a Coronavirus outbreak because guess what, It's a warm weather country and it has few ties to China and Asia in general. If anything, a Coronavirus outbreak will make people seek places that are relatively free of the virus and with a good health care system where they feel safer, like Portugal. Portugal and Spain could actually see a huge increase in tourism this year as people avoid vacationing in Asia and decide to stay closer to home. And if you think those Brits living in Algarve are now going to return to the cold and rainy UK because they now have to pay 10% tax which is still lower than in the UK, dream on.
Lewton wrote:airbazar wrote:SCQ83 wrote:The Portuguese economy will end up in a disaster either way. The growth in the Portuguese economy has been a mix government debt, tax-breaks (those Golden visas and expats on that 10-year scheme not to pay income tax - now being partially withdrawn -), real estate bubble (prices in Lisbon or Porto are simply ridiculous specially compared with average salaries) and tourism boom. If there is a coronavirus global crisis a la 2008 (or worse), all this will fall like a house of cards.
I disagree 100% but this is not really the forum for an economics discussion. The Portuguese economy has never been more diversified and more future proof after huge investments have been made in technology and education. Those real estate prices are for foreigners as the Portuguese already own their houses. Portugal has one of the highest home ownership rates in all of Europe.
https://www.statista.com/statistics/246 ... in-europe/
There's a general misconception amongst people who don't know Portugal that the Portuguese are poor. That is not true, they enjoy a superior quality of life than many other people in perceived wealthier nations. The government of Portugal is poor, not the people. Don't confuse the two. Look at the link above. More people own their own houses in Portugal than in Germany for example. That's a sign of wealth and quality of life.
And Portugal is somewhat immune to a Coronavirus outbreak because guess what, It's a warm weather country and it has few ties to China and Asia in general. If anything, a Coronavirus outbreak will make people seek places that are relatively free of the virus and with a good health care system where they feel safer, like Portugal. Portugal and Spain could actually see a huge increase in tourism this year as people avoid vacationing in Asia and decide to stay closer to home. And if you think those Brits living in Algarve are now going to return to the cold and rainy UK because they now have to pay 10% tax which is still lower than in the UK, dream on.
Very well said.
Some people need to find better sources to inform themselves.
questions wrote:Side note, but related.
SAS is S.A.S., not Sas
EVA is E.V.A., not Eva
Is TAP T.A.P., not Tap? Or are people referring to the airline as Air Portugal?
Thanks.