I do wonder what new routes could come out of the new DL/LATAM JV. I think there will definitely be a few new routes and some routes that have been previously flown being resumed as well.
Some "locks" to happen, IMO:
LATAM GRU-LAX. Sort of surprised LATAM doesn't already fly this one.
DL JFK-GIG goes year round
Some ones which seem to be a real possibility:
DL DTW-LIM. The feed will be a lot stronger than before, and LIM is one of DL's stronger South American bases right now. Plus, they could probably use a 757 on the route too considering UA uses a 757 on EWR-LIM.
LATAM GRU-AMS. With a JV with DL comes AF and KL too.
LATAM SEA-LIM, SCL or GRU. Would probably be seasonal to start, but it seems possible with a strong feed on both sides.
LATAM BOS-LIM or SCL. DL has obviously been building up in BOS recently and LATAM's GRU-BOS route seems to be doing well so far, so it seems possible they'd add another route out of BOS
LATAM IAD-LIM, SCL, or GRU. Will only be from one of these to start. This is more of a general prediction but IAD is a hole in LATAM's network. They dropped LIM-IAD recently, so it would most likely be from SCL or GRU.
LATAM ORD-LIM, SCL, or GRU. Same as above. I'm surprised LATAM doesn't fly to ORD yet.
Unlikely, but not impossible:
LATAM GRU-DTW. This would happen if DL either does not launch any DTW-South America routes or launches DTW-LIM instead.
DL GRU-MCO. They used to run this route not long ago. With a stronger feed in GRU, it could maybe work once again.
LATAM AUS-GRU or LIM. Considering how DL (and SkyTeam) have been building up in AUS, it's certainly possible LATAM would launch AUS from one of their big hub with a strong feed.
LATAM LIM-CDG. Like before, DL/AF/KLM.
LATAM SCL-CDG. Same as above.
DL ATL-BSB. There would be a very strong feed on both sides.
The (very, very) unlikely:
LATAM to MSP. I don't think there's a very strong demand from MSP to South America at all, so this one seems very unlikely and would have to rely heavily on connecting pax. If it ever did happen, I'd guess it would be on LATAM from either LIM or GRU. Doubt DL would do it, but I also doubt LATAM would do it.
LATAM to SLC. Like before, basically no demand from SLC, but there's connection options. Still very unlikely.
LATAM to TPA. There will be some stronger feed from DL in TPA (especially with the new AMS flight), but I'm doubt it will happen. If it did it would be from either LIM, SCL, or GRU, but obviously only one of them to start. Maybe seasonal to start, too.
I don't expect most of these routes to be launched immediately after the JV begins, but I do expect most of them to happen within a few years of the JV. My assumption is most of the growth will be from DL in ATL and both carriers at JFK. I also believe LAX will get some additions, and despite how hard I've been on DTW in the past, I believe they will probably get at least one new route. I expect some growth in most of the other large DL/LATAM markets except for MSP and SLC, which probably don't have anywhere near enough demand for a South American route. I also think AMS and CDG will see some growth from LATAM partially due to DL, and also due to AF and KL, which I'm assuming would also have some form of partnership with LATAM too. Remember that these are my predictions/opinions, so it's possible very few of these actually happen.
Last edited by N292UX
on Fri Sep 27, 2019 2:08 pm, edited 1 time in total.