It will be interesting to see where these frames will end up.
BA or EK? Or Hifly? NH? CZ? Tui? Corsair? DL? VS (JFK-LHR)? NH? A new operator?
I doubt that it will be scrapped, a 10 year old machine.
I think I can say with almost absolute certainty that out of this list, DL would be the very last to even consider another quad jet. I think we stand a better chance of seeing them buying new 747-8 frames than an A380. And we all know the pax 747 line has already been shut down.
I do not think these frames will find a home. It will be until 2022 or 2023 for a market to support the cost per seat and cost per flight the A380 imposses.
DL is shrinking. They cannot support every partner.
HiFly won't accept more.
We will have to see about this.
If we consider the current optimistic views that we'll have a vaccine or a working cure in 12-18 months, yes.
The big Ebola outbreak of 2013 was resolved through deaths and eradication, a working vaccine was not found until 5 years later.
I may also add that Ebola is not a novel virus as it has been studied since the 1970's.
In fact, in the 6 months since this outbreak started, we are still at square 1. False hopes have come and gone and more will come and go, slowing down our adaptiveness.
In 6 months we may still be where we are today.
So a new reality where people have to be seated on aircraft at least 6 feet apart or in individual cabins is just as likely an outcome.
To achieve economic viability of in-flight distancing, we need several ingredients:
-Cheap oil - Done
-Aircraft with floor space to match the demand - ??
-A demand base that is willing to pay enough to cover the costs.
The A380 may be done or it may become the new norm.https://www.emirates.com/english/experi ... rst-class/