So only 3 people have answered the question and all said they would take the train and one said they would pay an extra $270 to fly United. Most of us could stomach that or an extra night in a hotel to feel comfortable and safe. But now let’s it a family of 4 out there.
Same scenario I already posted, you still have the meeting at noon in DEN but now you decide to make a vacation out of it. It’s a one day meeting and then you are going to take your wife and 2 kids skiing for a couple days up in the mountains.
So the SW 737-8 it would cost $520 for tickets but we’re not going to do that. So we look at United and it’s $1600 that’s an extra $1080.
So then we look at the train, same price as SW but it’s a 9 hour trip with teenagers.....might be fun.....with the right kids. But now you have to leave a day early. So you pull the kids out of a day of school and book an extra night in the hotel. But you can’t buy 1 room you will need 2. You can’t have your 15 year old and 17 year old sleeping in the same bed.
The hotel is $150 a night so $300 for the 2 then you add $25 a night per room for the breakfast in the morning so you can feed your family.
So now you are out $350. Now you get to DEN on the train and need to feed your family Of 4 dinner so let’s say $75 so now you are at $425.
Taking United costs you an extra $1080
Taking the train will cost you an extra day and a 9 hour trip, a day of school and $450.
Do you honestly think these numbers are acceptable to the majority of families? Is it acceptable to you?
The cost is little, it is the time. When I fly it is specific. For example, my next flight I fly this coming Friday due to child custody (I will enjoy time with my kids when I have custody), I am staying with a relative to save money (college tuition will be coming soon). Relatives want to pick me up and drop me off, which limits what times I can fly. One of the airline choices for the route isn't reliable (about an 8% cancellation rate), which I will not risk.
So time would keep me down to a choice of 2 airlines, one which doesn't fly at the times I want. So you are right, the MAX will get filled as needed.
Retirees who have the time and funds can opt for rail solutions. For my destination, rail adds a full day each way. Since I only get 5 days with relatives due to our mutual schedule conflicts, I wouldn't work around.
FR will have no trouble selling tickets. The MAX will be safer than driving by a huge amount. But you have a good point, secondary factors are more important than a small perceived safety risk. The reality is, the MAX has 2 crashes out what? 400 aircraft, 6 flights per day (say 2,400/day), I saw 8,600 on a NYT blurb (ran out of free reads), so I could believe 8,600 flights/week. So a 1 in 25,000 or so risk. Update will bring that well above industry standards.
I'd fly a MAX when it returns. It helps I know a MAX test pilot for Boeing and the information I'm receiving is... comforting.
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