tphuang wrote:AA has so much debt to pay off. Their only path out of this is through their fortress hubs. If they are going to be 30% smaller next year and bring back DFW/CLT/DCA to close to pre-COVID size, it's inconceivable how they could do that without major cuts elsewhere. LAX is going to get huge cuts. They likely have already returned most of their unused slots at JFK. LGA will be much smaller. MIA will be smaller. PHL will be smaller. PHX will be a lot smaller.
Keep in mind that they are already scheduling in a 45 to 50% schedule for July. See how many flights they have going out of LAX for July. Now think about how much more flights they can add if they are going to be 50% larger than this a year from now and that's probably what LAX will look like for them.
If DL can have a competitive network out of LAX without flights to ORD/IAD/CLT, AA's network out of LAX can go without one or two of ATL/MCO/BOS/IAD.
More baseless armchair CEO quarterbacking. AA is the largest airline in LAX-MCO/BOS, routes it has flown for 30+ years that predate any of the hub that exists today. With Compass gone AA has already started planning the re-ramp of LAX routes using Skywest CRJ-700s (definite passenger downgrade) and putting mainline in some markets as well (LAXIAH is switching entirely from all-Eagle to all-mainline; LAXOKC will get mainline for the first time and mainline returning to LAXSFO).
Nobody is saying AA isn't going to make cuts at LAX, but implying routes like LAX-BOS are going to be gone? Inane. AA will make cuts appropriately based on travel patterns as it sees fit. AA is very strong at LAX domestically, does not rely on international feed for a lot of its domestic flying, and will see how demand for those markets themselves comes back (or does not). MIA is an early look at this - there has been barely any international operations from MIA, yet AA still continues to operate "feeder" routes like MIATYS and MIAXNA at strong load factors. It's shocking to me but AA is actually operating roughly 75% of it's pre-COVID domestic capacity and a complete 100% of it's pre-COVID domestic route network from MIA right now.
You also keep spreading this baseless fiction about returning JFK slots that you have not been able to prove. Not saying AA isn't doing it, there is a ton of domestic flying that mainly serves the purpose of feeding international, but source this claim.