MAH4546 wrote:tphuang wrote:AA has so much debt to pay off. Their only path out of this is through their fortress hubs. If they are going to be 30% smaller next year and bring back DFW/CLT/DCA to close to pre-COVID size, it's inconceivable how they could do that without major cuts elsewhere. LAX is going to get huge cuts. They likely have already returned most of their unused slots at JFK. LGA will be much smaller. MIA will be smaller. PHL will be smaller. PHX will be a lot smaller.
Keep in mind that they are already scheduling in a 45 to 50% schedule for July. See how many flights they have going out of LAX for July. Now think about how much more flights they can add if they are going to be 50% larger than this a year from now and that's probably what LAX will look like for them.
If DL can have a competitive network out of LAX without flights to ORD/IAD/CLT, AA's network out of LAX can go without one or two of ATL/MCO/BOS/IAD.
More baseless armchair CEO quarterbacking. AA is the largest airline in LAX-MCO/BOS, routes it has flown for 30+ years that predate any of the hub that exists today. With Compass gone AA has already started planning the re-ramp of LAX routes using Skywest CRJ-700s (definite passenger downgrade) and putting mainline in some markets as well (LAXIAH is switching entirely from all-Eagle to all-mainline; LAXOKC will get mainline for the first time and mainline returning to LAXSFO).
Nobody is saying AA isn't going to make cuts at LAX, but implying routes like LAX-BOS are going to be gone? Inane.
You also keep spreading this baseless fiction about returning JFK slots that you have not been able to prove. Not saying AA isn't doing it, there is a ton of domestic flying that mainly serves the purpose of feeding international, but source this claim.
AA also quit on JFK-SAN which it had been flying forever. I'm not saying AA will leave on any of these routes, but people here are simply not realistic at the kind of cuts AA will have to make. They don't have luxury to fly a bunch of routes for strategic reasons anymore. There is no more sacred cows around. Their entire gameplan will revolve around DFW/CLT/DCA.
Take their schedule for July and add 50% on top of that for next summer. That's realistically how much flying they will be doing for each hubs. DFW/CLT will likely be back to 2019 size by next summer. Every other hubs will get huge cuts.