At risk of attracting certain users, has anyone heard any further talk about future WN plans for BNA I’m light of the COVID-19 pandemic? It seems they are refocusing on ATL so that may hurt BNA’s growth a bit.
Are there still long range plans for WN taking all of C and opening a full crew base? I would imagine plans could be delayed due to the Concourse A rebuild (which will be needed for WN to take all of C) potentially being pushed back.
Southwest loves to compete wherever they can. They’re paying a premium for gates in ATL, and DL just got rid of their maddogs. They wanna try and pick up some of void of the reduced DL frequencies in ATL. I haven’t heard anything about ATL affecting BNA’s growth, but some of the guys who transferred to BNA from ATL tell me it’s ran like a circus down there.
While WN still plans on operating 3 daily nonstops to ATL from GSP, WN re-adding BNA-GSP nonstop service might be a possibility with
(a) WN discontinuing ATL-LAX/OAK/SAN nonstop service on October 31st,
(b) WN recently making cuts on other shorter routes that have a high percentage of connecting passengers, including the discontinuation of WN DAL-OKC nonstop service back in January 2020, the discontinuation of WN IND-MDW nonstop service on October 31st, and the reduction of GRR-MDW nonstop service from 3 daily nonstops to 1 daily nonstop starting on November 2nd,
(c) WN having nonstop service out of BNA to some destinations that it does not currently serve nonstop from ATL such as BUR, DTW, MSP, PNS, and SJC, and
(d) WN having nonstop service out of BNA to destinations such as BUR, DAL, MKE, MSP, OKC, and SJC that it did not serve nonstop from BNA back when WN last operated BNA-GSP nonstop service.
Here were the load factors of WN BNA-GSP nonstop service back in 2013 and 2014:
2013 - 63.62%
2014 - 65.20%
Here were the load factors of WN ATL-GSP and BWI-GSP in 2019:
ATL-GSP - 69.08%
BWI-GSP - 80.50%
An article in the Upstate Business Journal said that "In June 2014, Southwest eliminated the Nashville flight because, it said, about half of those customers were actually connecting to other flights for travel destinations beyond that hub", and that article can be found at https://upstatebusinessjournal.com/sout ... leave-gsp/
The circumstances have changed since WN dropped BNA-GSP nonstop service as WN only serves ATL and BWI nonstop from GSP and as approximately 98.8% of passengers were connecting to other destinations on WN's ATL-GSP nonstop flights in Q3 2019 compared to 66.0% of passengers on WN's BNA-GSP nonstop flights in Q1 2014.
WN can likely make BNA-GSP nonstop service work once demand for domestic air travel returns to normal levels with
(a) WN being able to offer connections to additional destinations such as BUR, DAL, MKE, MSP, OKC, and SJC from GSP through BNA if WN re-adds BNA-GSP nonstop service,
(b) the cuts that WN has made at ATL in the last 3 years, including the discontinuation of WN ATL-BOS/DTW/LAX/MSP/OAK/SAN nonstop service and frequency reductions on other WN nonstop routes out of ATL, and
(c) WN likely having more O&D on BNA-GSP than it does on ATL-GSP if WN re-adds BNA-GSP nonstop service.