sldispatcher wrote:So in the current environment with loads on the upswing, will it be upgauges or frequency additions first? I’m guessing leisure travel is not as frequency driven, just availabilty.
This is just my opinion but I think there is a 50/50 chance that UA might continue upguages, going from a 738 to a 739ER, or from a A319 to an A320 or we may not see any upgugages.
Now that we have the results of the DOD test which demonstrates how safe the air is on airplanes, and with customers being more comfortable on fuller aircraft I think UA is getting a bit more comfortable with fuller aircraft and we might see less upguages especially with WN no longer blocking seats starting December 1st. Remember UA did a lot of upguaging as a means of social distancing. For a few months (June-August) UA kept saying fewer than 10% of all our flights departed over 70% capacity. However in September we started to see an increase in demand especially out of DEN and IAH and there were plenty of flights out of these two hubs that exceed 70% capacity in September. I think (again only my opinion) but I think we are moving away from the strategy of upguaging and just letting the flight operate with the scheduled equipment.
We are still informing passengers if their flight is over 70% capacity but the number of passengers who voluntarily change their flight from what I've heard is miniscule.
From the employees earning live event Kirby did state he wasn't looking to grow the airline again until next year beginning around Spring Break.
If there is a sizable increase in demand and UA sees an opportunity UA may added frequency in November and December. If we do add frequency in December I would expect a lot of it to be pulled down once we hit January. I think UA may get back to growing the airline in the Spring of 2021 but only if there is a viable vaccine, and only if there is some signs of the vaccine being distributed.