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NolaMD88fan
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Re: New Orleans Aviation Thread - 2020

Mon Jun 01, 2020 5:09 pm

braniff2hav wrote:
Well, I awoke this morning .. and discover ... British Airways has zeroed out all flights MSY LHR non-stop through July 31, only available from August 01... pretty much expected.
Same for IAH and AUS and BNA.


Not surprising given all of the entry restrictions on both side of the Atlantic.
 
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LAX772LR
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Re: New Orleans Aviation Thread - 2020

Mon Jun 01, 2020 8:09 pm

braniff2hav wrote:
Well, I awoke this morning .. and discover ... British Airways has zeroed out all flights MSY LHR non-stop through July 31, only available from August 01... pretty much expected.
Same for IAH and AUS and BNA.

Not worried about that, as stated, it's completely expected.

Heck, most of Europe isn't going to be opening to non-EU traffic until September, so there's little reason to think UK would in any significant capacity either; and even then, there's the mandatory quarantine imposition.

If they're still going to be launching PDX in September, as their recent update shows, then I've little worry for AUS/MSY/BNA.
I myself, suspect a more prosaic motive... ~Thranduil
 
NolaMD88fan
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Re: New Orleans Aviation Thread - 2020

Thu Jun 11, 2020 6:08 am

UA is adding back some service in July. From 3 daily flights in June to 7 daily flights in July.

IAH = 3x daily
DEN = 1x daily
ORD = 1x daily
EWR = 1x daily
IAD = 1x daily
 
NolaMD88fan
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Re: New Orleans Aviation Thread - 2020

Sun Jun 14, 2020 4:37 am

Here is how our TATL routes compared to all other TATL routes from peer FAA defined medium hub airports in December and year to date.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1pUim6zLou2yi0OrZXam_VbjP4piD9X6G1bGOSez4ODs/edit?usp=sharing

December-
MSY-LHR ranked 8th out of 12 routes in pax count falling between DL's CVG-CDG and BA's PIT-LHR routes.

MSY-LHR ranked 6th out of 12 routes for load factor falling between BA's PIT-LHR and EI's BDL-DUB routes.

YTD-
MSY-FRA ranked 24th out of 27 routes in pax count falling between DE's PIT-FRA and FI's ANC-KEF routes.
MSY-LHR ranked 9th out of 27 routes in pax count falling between EI's BDL-DUB and DY's OAK-CDG routes.

MSY-FRA ranked 4th out of 27 routes for load factor falling between DY's OAK-BCN and DI's OAK-LGW routes.
MSY-LHR ranked 15th out of 27 routes for load factor falling between BA's SJC-LHR and DL's CVG-CDG routes.

For all routes with continuous service the entire year, MSY-LHR ranked 5th out of 10 routes for load factor and 9th out of 10 routes for pax count.
 
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LAX772LR
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Re: New Orleans Aviation Thread - 2020

Mon Jun 15, 2020 6:27 am

NolaMD88fan wrote:
DE's PIT-FRA

Didn't they fly this 3xW, or am I imagining that?
I myself, suspect a more prosaic motive... ~Thranduil
 
NolaMD88fan
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Re: New Orleans Aviation Thread - 2020

Mon Jun 15, 2020 1:26 pm

They might have in 2018, but it was 2x weekly last year.
 
NolaMD88fan
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Re: New Orleans Aviation Thread - 2020

Tue Jun 16, 2020 5:18 am

WN is now over 1/3rd of the way back to pre-COVID departure count with 28 departures scheduled tomorrow. MSY was at 77 departures daily the first week of March. AA is 2nd with 11 departures which is also around 1/3rd of the way back from pre-COVID numbers. AA and WN account for 83% of all departures tomorrow. All of the other carriers continue to have very limited activity.

Concourse B likely has a steady stream of people during the day, but I can't imagine how empty A and C still are. NK is supposed to start up more flights next month, so that should help even things out a bit.
 
NolaMD88fan
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Re: New Orleans Aviation Thread - 2020

Thu Jun 18, 2020 1:57 am

Pretty cool site that you can use to track booking activity for flights and hotels. The slight dip during the current week is simply reflective of the week not being complete. Flight bookings were down 41% last week as compared to the same period in 2019. Bookings bottomed out at 79% below 2019 levels in early April. Hotel bookings were down 66% from last year and bottomed out at 84% below 2019 levels in mid-April.

The difference between hotel and flight bookings would lend one to conclude that VFR traffic is a major driver of the recovery right now. This makes sense as people start feeling more comfortable visiting friends and family members. Our next flight in August will be for VFR reasons. Leisure travel is coming back slowly but surely, and we may see an increase in bookings now that bars have reopened and live music may be allowed soon in New Orleans.

https://www.sojern.com/covid-19-insights#report
 
bretonrlong
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Re: New Orleans Aviation Thread - 2020

Sat Jun 20, 2020 8:04 pm

For the week of July 13, 2020 I am seeing WN at 216 weekly departures at MSY.

Routes resuming
Aug 11 - STL
Sep 13 - MCI, LAX, SAT, SAN
Nov 1 - RDU

Still no BOS, CUN, IND, PIT, SMF, SJC
 
NolaMD88fan
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Re: New Orleans Aviation Thread - 2020

Sat Jun 20, 2020 8:06 pm

bretonrlong wrote:
For the week of July 13, 2020 I am seeing WN at 216 weekly departures at MSY.

Routes resuming
Aug 11 - STL
Sep 13 - MCI, LAX, SAT, SAN
Nov 1 - RDU

Still no BOS, CUN, IND, PIT, SMF, SJC


Thanks for the update. Looks like all of our normal daily destinations will be back by September. Slowly but surely traffic is returning.
 
NolaMD88fan
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Re: New Orleans Aviation Thread - 2020

Sat Jun 20, 2020 8:41 pm

March 2020 domestic and December and Annual 2019 international load factors and passenger numbers by route have been calculated.

International load factor for all carriers in December was 79.9%. Passenger traffic increased by 32.9% and seat count increased by 14.3% resulting in no change in load factor year over year. Annual load factor increased 2.9% to 78.8% for all carriers driven by a 1.5% increase in passengers and a -2.2% decrease in capacity.

December International route seat count(%change), pax count(%change), and load factor(change)

Airline............Seats.............................Pax..........................LF
AC................6,612(-9.1%).................5,110(+13.1%)........77.3%(+15.2%)
BA................8,572(+2.6%).................6,714(+17.1%).......78.3%(+9.7%)
CM...............4,444(-3.1%)..................3,951(+10.1%).......88.9%(+10.6%)
DL...................628(+18.9%).................434(+6.4%)..........69.1%(-8.2%)
TS................3,442..............................2,721.....................79.1%

2019 Annual International route seat count(%change), pax count(%change), and load factor(change)

Airline............Seats.............................Pax..........................LF
AC..............74,383(+0.4%)...............58,954(+3.1%)........79.3%(+2.1%)
BA.............106,054(-2.6%)...............84,252(+1.3%)........79.4%(+3.1%)
CM.............50,484(-3.5%)................38,478(-3.0%).........76.2%(+0.4%)
DE..............15,950(-19.8%)..............13,799(-18.4%).......86.5%(+1.5%)
DL................5,164(-48.8%)................2,892(-56.8%).......56.0%(-10.3%)
TS................6,472..............................5,139.....................79.4%
UA...............3,372(-12.0%)................2,906(+4.6%).........86.2%(+13.7%)
WG..............7,308(+19.1%)...............5,768(+103.2%).....78.9%(32.7%)
WN..............4,719(-3.6%)..................3,678(+6.4%).........77.9%(+7.3%)

The beginning of the lockdowns decimated domestic traffic at the airport in March. Airport-wide seat count dropped by -15.9%, and pax traffic fell by -53.4% resulting in a -44.6% decrease in load factors to 46.5%. WN's MSY-CMH route had the best loads of the month at 90.6% (it had one flight the weekend before the lockdown started, the rest were cancelled). DL's MSY-LGA route had the worst loads of the month at 36.1%.

March Domestic route seat count(% change), pax count(%change), and load factor(change):

Airline.................Seats..............................Pax............................LF
AS................26,663(-12.7%)............11,237(-54.3%).........42.1%(-38.3%)
AA..............190,659(-19.3%)............91,900(-54.2%).........48.2%(-43.2%)
B6................40,990(+3.2%).............20,696(-39.3%).........50.5%(-41.2%)
DL..............185,005(-25.4%)............91,952(-56.4%).........49.7%(-41.6%)
F9................19,484(-50.1%)............10,849(-67.4%).........55.7%(-34.5%)
G4...............12,417(-33.2%)..............7,816(-49.0%)..........63.0%(-23.7%)
NK..............198,913(+15.0%)...........95,898(+34.8%)........48.2%(-43.3%)
SY..................2,418(-55.0%)...............1,326(-71.7%)........54.8%(-37.1%)
UA..............156,632(-22.5%)............74,054(-56.6%)........47.3%(-44.0%)
WN.............450,862(-15.7%)............191,649(-56.6%).......42.5%(-48.5%)

Domestic
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1e36A_kk0WshqQL2vurxQXa5pE9oJ2UV7zPuA1B2s7gQ/edit?usp=sharing

International
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1f_6DXIGr6PSyokEb5zZ_1OmdCwaesNjL2vt_N0BdigU/edit?usp=sharing
 
msycajun
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Re: New Orleans Aviation Thread - 2020

Sat Jun 20, 2020 9:13 pm

bretonrlong wrote:
For the week of July 13, 2020 I am seeing WN at 216 weekly departures at MSY.

Routes resuming
Aug 11 - STL
Sep 13 - MCI, LAX, SAT, SAN
Nov 1 - RDU

Still no BOS, CUN, IND, PIT, SMF, SJC


Good to see. Late summer looks to be roughly half of normal departures, with NK being closer to normal. If we keep things under control, fall could be fairly decent, especially since international travel will probably be way down.

I'm still intrigued by WN's daily RDU addition, since NK is also daily and WN/DL/F9 only had 1-2 weekly prior to Covid. This fall might be an opportunity for NK or WN to add service to IND, PIT, SMF, SJC, etc. if G4 is slow to return. NK's 4 weekly year-round CUN service is already more than what WN/DL/UA were offering.
 
bretonrlong
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Re: New Orleans Aviation Thread - 2020

Sat Jun 20, 2020 9:37 pm

Does anyone have anymore info on BA restart? From the looks of it they have loaded MSY>LHR into the schedule starting Aug 1 - 6x weekly (MTWTFS ex SUN).
 
bretonrlong
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Re: New Orleans Aviation Thread - 2020

Sat Jun 20, 2020 11:21 pm

Routes resuming:

Air Canada
Sep 8 - YYZ

Air Transat
Nov 1 - YUL

Allegiant
Sep 10 - SDF
Oct 22 - GRR

American
Aug 18 - LAX
Nov 19 - PHX

British Airways
Aug 1 - LHR

Copa
Nov 21 - Panama City

Delta
Aug 1 - DTW, LAX, MSP, JFK
Sep 1 - LGA

Spirit
Aug 5 - CUN, MSP, BNA, EWR, RDU
Aug 6 - CMH

Sun Country
Sep 6 - MSP

United
Oct 1 - SFO
 
NolaMD88fan
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Re: New Orleans Aviation Thread - 2020

Sun Jun 21, 2020 4:30 am

The December year over year change in international load factor was +11.2%. My mistake in not catching my error earlier.
 
NolaMD88fan
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Re: New Orleans Aviation Thread - 2020

Sun Jun 21, 2020 4:31 am

bretonrlong wrote:
Does anyone have anymore info on BA restart? From the looks of it they have loaded MSY>LHR into the schedule starting Aug 1 - 6x weekly (MTWTFS ex SUN).


Completely dependent on what travel restrictions are in place. I wouldn't expect them back until later this Fall.
 
AirFiero
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Re: New Orleans Aviation Thread - 2020

Sun Jun 21, 2020 3:23 pm

NolaMD88fan wrote:
bretonrlong wrote:
For the week of July 13, 2020 I am seeing WN at 216 weekly departures at MSY.

Routes resuming
Aug 11 - STL
Sep 13 - MCI, LAX, SAT, SAN
Nov 1 - RDU

Still no BOS, CUN, IND, PIT, SMF, SJC


Thanks for the update. Looks like all of our normal daily destinations will be back by September. Slowly but surely traffic is returning.


My wife and i can’t wait to get back to New Orleans for a vacation. We can make a mean gumbo and jambalaya, but i need blackened gator, dixieland, zydeco and a hand grenade on Bourbon or Frenchmen Street. Nothing can replace being in New Orleans.
 
QB504
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Re: New Orleans Aviation Thread - 2020

Mon Jun 22, 2020 5:11 pm

bretonrlong wrote:
Routes resuming:
Delta
Aug 1 - DTW, LAX, MSP, JFK
Sep 1 - LGA

United
Oct 1 - SFO


Delta is painfully slow.
Did United announce EWR and DEN restarting already? Must have missed that. Saw ORD is back in July.
 
bretonrlong
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Re: New Orleans Aviation Thread - 2020

Mon Jun 22, 2020 7:08 pm

QB504 wrote:
bretonrlong wrote:
Routes resuming:
Delta
Aug 1 - DTW, LAX, MSP, JFK
Sep 1 - LGA

United
Oct 1 - SFO


Delta is painfully slow.
Did United announce EWR and DEN restarting already? Must have missed that. Saw ORD is back in July.


Nope you didn't miss it. Sorry, I didn't include anything prior to the week I was running totals for week of July 13th. Starting the week of July 13, 2020 UA will be running 49 weekly flights.

United
July 6 - ORD
July 6 - EWR
July 7 - DEN
 
Nola
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Re: New Orleans Aviation Thread - 2020

Mon Jun 22, 2020 7:15 pm

QB504 wrote:
bretonrlong wrote:
Routes resuming:
Delta
Aug 1 - DTW, LAX, MSP, JFK
Sep 1 - LGA

United
Oct 1 - SFO


Delta is painfully slow.
Did United announce EWR and DEN restarting already? Must have missed that. Saw ORD is back in July.



Given that there aren't any festivals for the rest of the year and likely no conventions (I think there are a few that haven't cancelled but....) any service resumption beyond Atlanta is going to be slow. LAX makes sense as movie/tv filming starts up. JFK may not make sense if TATL connections aren't an issue but it may make sense to add JFK before LGA because of the construction at LGA. I'm not sure about DTW and MSP and how many passengers fly there/connect through there from MSY to have any opinion on when those could/should be added back.
 
msycajun
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Re: New Orleans Aviation Thread - 2020

Wed Jun 24, 2020 2:47 am

Nola wrote:
QB504 wrote:
bretonrlong wrote:
Routes resuming:
Delta
Aug 1 - DTW, LAX, MSP, JFK
Sep 1 - LGA

United
Oct 1 - SFO


Delta is painfully slow.
Did United announce EWR and DEN restarting already? Must have missed that. Saw ORD is back in July.



Given that there aren't any festivals for the rest of the year and likely no conventions (I think there are a few that haven't cancelled but....) any service resumption beyond Atlanta is going to be slow. LAX makes sense as movie/tv filming starts up. JFK may not make sense if TATL connections aren't an issue but it may make sense to add JFK before LGA because of the construction at LGA. I'm not sure about DTW and MSP and how many passengers fly there/connect through there from MSY to have any opinion on when those could/should be added back.


Still, it's crazy that MSY's traditionally 2nd largest carrier will only have a handful of flights to ATL and maybe one SLC, while WN is flying to 20 cities including LGA, NK to 15ish including EWR, DTW, LAX, ATL, MSP, and even AA and UA are beefing up their schedules to serve most of their hubs.

In other news, bids for the taxiway extension were opened today and Boh Bros had the lowest bid of $44,112,670.50.
 
NolaMD88fan
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Re: New Orleans Aviation Thread - 2020

Wed Jun 24, 2020 6:32 am

Very glad to see the taxiway extension proceeding along. Once things get back to normal, the decision to extend the taxiway will be very beneficial to airfield ops.

AA and WN have definitely been the beneficiaries of the slow response to increased demand by UA and DL here at MSY. NK appears to be going nearly all-in next month, and that will help drive traffic levels up. Hotels are starting to reopen and hire back some staff, so that tells me that bookings are increasing as people weigh the risks and start venturing out more.
 
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LAX772LR
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Re: New Orleans Aviation Thread - 2020

Wed Jun 24, 2020 9:11 am

NolaMD88fan wrote:
NK appears to be going nearly all-in next month

I do wonder if their plans (if indeed they ever had any) to use MSY for transfer traffic, especially to limited international, are still on track then??
I myself, suspect a more prosaic motive... ~Thranduil
 
NolaMD88fan
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Re: New Orleans Aviation Thread - 2020

Wed Jun 24, 2020 1:50 pm

LAX772LR wrote:
NolaMD88fan wrote:
NK appears to be going nearly all-in next month

I do wonder if their plans (if indeed they ever had any) to use MSY for transfer traffic, especially to limited international, are still on track then??


It looks like it. Both CUN and SAP are still in the schedule.
 
Nola
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Re: New Orleans Aviation Thread - 2020

Wed Jun 24, 2020 6:50 pm

NolaMD88fan wrote:
Very glad to see the taxiway extension proceeding along. Once things get back to normal, the decision to extend the taxiway will be very beneficial to airfield ops.

AA and WN have definitely been the beneficiaries of the slow response to increased demand by UA and DL here at MSY. NK appears to be going nearly all-in next month, and that will help drive traffic levels up. Hotels are starting to reopen and hire back some staff, so that tells me that bookings are increasing as people weigh the risks and start venturing out more.


I wouldn't put too much stock in hotels opening. There are some real issues out there as to what kind of relief hotels will get if they have CMBS financing and occupancy is running 10-25% for the CBD/Quarter (with the higher side being in the quarter). As more rooms come on line, occupancy will drop and the pain will be even more widely spread.
 
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LAX772LR
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Re: New Orleans Aviation Thread - 2020

Wed Jun 24, 2020 10:35 pm

NolaMD88fan wrote:
It looks like it. Both CUN and SAP are still in the schedule.

That's cool. They may get the jump on other carriers before they fully return. I wouldn't be surprised if UA/DL don't bother with the likes of tertiary CUN routes for quite some time.
I myself, suspect a more prosaic motive... ~Thranduil
 
msycajun
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Re: New Orleans Aviation Thread - 2020

Thu Jun 25, 2020 4:03 pm

Nola wrote:
NolaMD88fan wrote:
Very glad to see the taxiway extension proceeding along. Once things get back to normal, the decision to extend the taxiway will be very beneficial to airfield ops.

AA and WN have definitely been the beneficiaries of the slow response to increased demand by UA and DL here at MSY. NK appears to be going nearly all-in next month, and that will help drive traffic levels up. Hotels are starting to reopen and hire back some staff, so that tells me that bookings are increasing as people weigh the risks and start venturing out more.


I wouldn't put too much stock in hotels opening. There are some real issues out there as to what kind of relief hotels will get if they have CMBS financing and occupancy is running 10-25% for the CBD/Quarter (with the higher side being in the quarter). As more rooms come on line, occupancy will drop and the pain will be even more widely spread.


There are a couple of other factors to consider:
AirBnb regulations have become more strict and with some being converted back to long term rentals or sold, that supply is shrinking.
That being said there are still new hotels under construction and more planned.
Tulane is planning to lease large blocks of hotel rooms to provide single occupancy student housing and imagine other schools may follow suit. That could absorb a few thousand rooms until things rebound.
 
Nola
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Re: New Orleans Aviation Thread - 2020

Thu Jun 25, 2020 5:02 pm

msycajun wrote:
Nola wrote:
NolaMD88fan wrote:
Very glad to see the taxiway extension proceeding along. Once things get back to normal, the decision to extend the taxiway will be very beneficial to airfield ops.

AA and WN have definitely been the beneficiaries of the slow response to increased demand by UA and DL here at MSY. NK appears to be going nearly all-in next month, and that will help drive traffic levels up. Hotels are starting to reopen and hire back some staff, so that tells me that bookings are increasing as people weigh the risks and start venturing out more.


I wouldn't put too much stock in hotels opening. There are some real issues out there as to what kind of relief hotels will get if they have CMBS financing and occupancy is running 10-25% for the CBD/Quarter (with the higher side being in the quarter). As more rooms come on line, occupancy will drop and the pain will be even more widely spread.


There are a couple of other factors to consider:
AirBnb regulations have become more strict and with some being converted back to long term rentals or sold, that supply is shrinking.
That being said there are still new hotels under construction and more planned.
Tulane is planning to lease large blocks of hotel rooms to provide single occupancy student housing and imagine other schools may follow suit. That could absorb a few thousand rooms until things rebound.


Yes, Tulane has an RFP out for 4000 rooms. And, yes, some airbnb operators have sought long term (annual) tenants because of the drop in business. And, yes, the Sonders of the world have slowed growth. But occupancy is still extremely low outside of the quarter with a lot of rooms offline. There are rumors that a number of hotels will permanently close (either just never reopen or reopen but close after PPP money runs out) but that probably won't become really clear until later in the year or Q1/Q2 of next year. The big question is when festivals reopen and under what conditions. Jazz Fest and others that are in contained areas with tickets/capacity controls could happen next year but what about Mardi Gras and French Quarter Fest, among others? And when will conventions start back? All of this depends on (a) existence of a vaccine, (b) manufacture of a vaccine in sufficient quantities and (c) distribution of the vaccine in sufficient numbers for people to feel safe congregating in large numbers. The rise in cases in Texas and Florida (and in New Orleans with the graduation parties) makes forecasting travel numbers very difficult.
 
bretonrlong
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Re: New Orleans Aviation Thread - 2020

Sun Jul 05, 2020 6:32 pm

Does anyone know the status of the flyover ramps into MSY? I just wasn't sure if those were still progressing or had been delayed.
 
NolaMD88fan
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Re: New Orleans Aviation Thread - 2020

Sun Jul 05, 2020 9:28 pm

bretonrlong wrote:
Does anyone know the status of the flyover ramps into MSY? I just wasn't sure if those were still progressing or had been delayed.


Progressing nicely. The hotel has been demolished and work is ongoing for the roadway supports.
 
bretonrlong
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Re: New Orleans Aviation Thread - 2020

Sun Jul 05, 2020 11:36 pm

[threeid][/threeid]
NolaMD88fan wrote:
bretonrlong wrote:
Does anyone know the status of the flyover ramps into MSY? I just wasn't sure if those were still progressing or had been delayed.


Progressing nicely. The hotel has been demolished and work is ongoing for the roadway supports.


That's great to hear. Wasn't sure if pace was slowed down or not.

Any word on Vino Volo status? I hadn't heard if that has opened yet. Online it still says: Spring 2020. Haven't been to the airport since March.
 
NolaMD88fan
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Re: New Orleans Aviation Thread - 2020

Mon Jul 06, 2020 5:17 pm

Many of the restaurant spaces are still temporarily closed, so would not expect the Vino Bolo to be open. I don't think any of the lounges are open yet either.
 
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LAX772LR
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Re: New Orleans Aviation Thread - 2020

Wed Jul 08, 2020 9:46 am

NolaMD88fan wrote:
I don't think any of the lounges are open yet either.

The Club MSY tweeted that they'll reopen July 22.

https://twitter.com/i/status/1280196622849200128
I myself, suspect a more prosaic motive... ~Thranduil
 
NolaMD88fan
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Re: New Orleans Aviation Thread - 2020

Wed Jul 08, 2020 9:31 pm

That is great news.

Found this chart on another thread. TSA passenger screenings for the final week of June were at 23.7% of 2019 levels at MSY. Basically right at the nationwide average.

Image
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EcWaTxkUwAAO0sB?format=jpg&name=medium
 
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LAX772LR
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Re: New Orleans Aviation Thread - 2020

Thu Jul 09, 2020 3:06 am

^ Also supports the widely-predicted outcome of the more leisure/tourist destinations, recovering faster than the business-heavy routes.
I myself, suspect a more prosaic motive... ~Thranduil
 
msycajun
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Re: New Orleans Aviation Thread - 2020

Sat Jul 11, 2020 5:44 pm

Well some positive news:
Viking already opening 2023 river cruises due to high demand:
https://neworleanscitybusiness.com/blog/2020/07/08/viking-cites-strong-demand-as-it-begins-offering-2023-sailings/
I wonder if they are already planning additional ships.

Travel and Leisure ranks New Orleans #2 on list of US Cities:
https://neworleanscitybusiness.com/blog/2020/07/10/new-orleans-ranks-no-2-on-travel-leisures-list-of-us-cities/
 
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LAX772LR
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Re: New Orleans Aviation Thread - 2020

Sun Jul 12, 2020 8:47 am

msycajun wrote:
Viking already opening 2023 river cruises due to high demand

Thrilled to see, especially their "Several sailings have already sold out, the company said in a July 2 news release" statement.

While their target is US point of sale, I do wonder if this'll help usher BA back to (near) daily capacity?


That said: what the heck are disembarking passengers going to do in Darrow?? :confused:
I myself, suspect a more prosaic motive... ~Thranduil
 
NolaMD88fan
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Re: New Orleans Aviation Thread - 2020

Sun Jul 12, 2020 8:34 pm

Houma's House Plantation tour is my guess.

The airport also released the March and April statistics. Very ugly as expected. One bright spot is that everyone else had horrible stats too, so our ranking remained as 36th busiest airport in the nation through the first 4 months of the year. We landed squarely between STL and SJC. Trying to put lipstick on a pig there.

In March, the airport saw a total of 676,296 passengers which was a 46.5% decline in traffic from 2019. Our decline was not as bad as some other airports that month, and we actually managed to move up spot for that month to 35th busiest between AUS and STL. Still, really ugly numbers overall. I won't even try to decipher the international load factors in March given the high cancellation rates. https://www.flymsy.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/Airline-Statistics-March-2020.pdf

In April, the airport was basically shut down for all intents and purposes with only essential air travel and cargo ops taking place. The monthly passenger total didn't even match a normal days worth of traffic seen in early March. There were 31,508 passengers in April which was a 97.4% decrease from April 2019. Year to date numbers through April were down 35.2% to 2,888,448 passengers. We were a hot spot for COVID in April, and our numbers reflected that. We were a good 20,000 pax below what our peer airports posted that month. April was just a really bad month at MSY all around. https://www.flymsy.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/Airline-Statistics-April-2020.pdf

The good news, traffic levels have definitely been increasing since April.
 
msyflyer
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Re: New Orleans Aviation Thread - 2020

Sun Jul 19, 2020 5:55 pm

It appears B6 is returning it's frequency to BOS & JFK at the end of July / beginning of August. Still nothing on FLL though.
 
msy2351
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Joined: Sun Jul 19, 2020 8:24 pm

Re: New Orleans Aviation Thread - 2020

Sun Jul 19, 2020 8:35 pm

MSY-FLL is available for booking with Jetblue starting the first full week of August.
 
NolaMD88fan
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Re: New Orleans Aviation Thread - 2020

Tue Jul 21, 2020 4:07 am

May numbers are out. https://www.flymsy.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/Airline-Statistics-May-2020.pdf Not much to say other than they are better than April.

Also, did my normal practice of seeing where MSY ranked for the top 5 airlines (WN, DL, AA, UA, and NK) in terms of mainline passengers in 2019. This does not include regional pax. I got the data from transtats.bts.gov

MSY ranked 21st for mainline passengers in the U.S. based WN network in 2019. This was the same ranking as 2018. MSY was positioned between MCI and BUR.

MSY ranked 25th for mainline passengers in the U.S. based DL network in 2019. This was a drop from 24th place in 2018. MSY was positioned between DFW and AUS.

MSY ranked 28th for mainline passengers in the U.S. based AA network in 2019. This was a drop from 27th place in 2018. MSY was positioned between MSP and SNA.

MSY ranked 22nd for mainline passengers in the U.S. based UA network in 2019. This was a rise from 23rd place in 2018. MSY was positioned between SNA and DFW.

MSY ranked 12th for mainline passengers in the U.S. based NK network in 2019. This was a rise from 13th place in 2018. MSY was positioned between TPA and EWR.
 
NolaMD88fan
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Re: New Orleans Aviation Thread - 2020

Tue Jul 28, 2020 11:14 pm

April 2020 domestic and January 2020 international load factors and passenger numbers by route have been calculated.

International load factor for all carriers in January was 72.8%. Passenger traffic increased by 27.9% and seat count increased by 19.6% resulting in 4.7% increase in load factor.

January International route seat count(%change), pax count(%change), and load factor(change)

Airline............Seats.............................Pax..........................LF
AC................8,840(+2.1%).................6,329(+9.4%)........71.6%(+4.7%)
BA................9,428(+4.8%).................7,073(+15.0%)......75.0%(+6.7%)
CM...............3,916(-1.8%)..................3,181(+3.7%)........81.2%(+4.2%)
DL................1,256(+18.9%).................474(+4.9%).........37.7%(-5.1%)
TS................3,714..............................2,715.....................73.1%

April was simply dismal due to COVID-19. Airport-wide seat count dropped by -74.2%, and pax traffic fell by -97.5% resulting in a -90.4% decrease in load factors to 8.1%. F9's MSY-DEN route had the best loads of the month at 23.1%. AS's MSY-SFO route had the worst loads of the month at 1.5%. G4 and SY suspended all service in the month of April.

April Domestic route seat count(% change), pax count(%change), and load factor(change):

Airline.................Seats..............................Pax............................LF
AS..................5,230(-82.6%).................605(-97.6%).........11.6%(-70.9%)
AA................89,075(-59.5%)..............9,873(-94.7%).........11.1%(-86.9%)
B6...................8,688(-77.3%)................574(-98.3%)...........6.6%(-92.3%)
DL................29,159(-87.8%)..............3,503(-98.3%).........12.0%(-86.1%)
F9...................4,092(-89.1%)................500(-98.4%).........12.2%(-85.6%)
NK................46,437(-70.2%).............3,006(-97.6%)...........6.5%(-92.1%)
UA................22,501(-88.3%).............1,853(-98.9%)...........8.2%(-90.3%)
WN.............172,801(-67.4%)...........10,530(-97.6%)...........6.1%(-92.6%)

International
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1_-1I0Hyae2b4zVEtdGv3hNc4YvW2G7HRn-z8QtgMN-E/edit?usp=sharing

Domestic
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1e36A_kk0WshqQL2vurxQXa5pE9oJ2UV7zPuA1B2s7gQ/edit?usp=sharing
 
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LAX772LR
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Re: New Orleans Aviation Thread - 2020

Tue Jul 28, 2020 11:32 pm

NolaMD88fan wrote:
Airline............Seats.............................Pax..........................LF
BA................9,428(+4.8%).................7,073(+15.0%)......75.0%(+6.7%)

*sigh* :ashamed:

When was the LHR flight set to get an extra frequency?
I myself, suspect a more prosaic motive... ~Thranduil
 
NolaMD88fan
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Re: New Orleans Aviation Thread - 2020

Wed Jul 29, 2020 3:58 am

March 30th as far as I can recall. The flight did well and will hopefully be back when we get the vaccine.
 
NolaMD88fan
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Re: New Orleans Aviation Thread - 2020

Tue Aug 04, 2020 4:35 am

Two more restaurants reopened in the airport today. Folse Marketplace and Midway Pizza. That is a good sign.

I'll be flying this Friday for the first time since early March. Very curious to see how things look.
 
msyflyer
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Re: New Orleans Aviation Thread - 2020

Wed Aug 05, 2020 2:42 pm

I landed on Monday evening around 9pm and the airport was surprisingly busy. Far from a normal day, but definitely not quiet.
 
SunsetLimited
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Re: New Orleans Aviation Thread - 2020

Thu Aug 06, 2020 3:02 am

WN is taking the axe to MSY in September, going from approx 33 departures a day (that’s the number scheduled for tomorrow) to approx 19.
Spread hope like fire.
 
NolaMD88fan
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Re: New Orleans Aviation Thread - 2020

Sat Aug 08, 2020 4:52 am

Airport was busier than I expected. Nowhere near normal activity, but not a ghost town either. Traffic came in pretty steady waves over the two hours we were there before our flight. Traffic levels looked similar to what I remember seeing in OKC when I lived there in the early 2000s. Probably 25% of normal.
One big disappointment was the sit down places are only doing pre-packaged food. Not sure why they can't operate the kitchen. Ended up going with Shake Shack since it was a hot and freshly cooked meal. Really surprised that there wasn't at least one of the three Starbucks open. Both of our flights were "full" with the middle seats blocked.
 
msy2351
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Re: New Orleans Aviation Thread - 2020

Thu Aug 13, 2020 7:53 pm

Anyone with the means to see how Southwest’s schedule extension that came out today affects MSY compared to the cuts in September? How does Oct and Nov compare?
 
msycajun
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Joined: Thu Jun 16, 2016 4:13 am

Re: New Orleans Aviation Thread - 2020

Thu Aug 13, 2020 8:35 pm

msy2351 wrote:
Anyone with the means to see how Southwest’s schedule extension that came out today affects MSY compared to the cuts in September? How does Oct and Nov compare?


I had some extra time, so did some spot checks
March 5 - 64 departures
April 2 - 61 departures
So the spring looks pretty normal. Notably RDU seems to be a permanent daily route.
I started checking mid October and November and everything seemed similar to a normal schedule, so I didn't bother counting the totals. I assume that they have not updated those months yet.
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