“For example, if we find out that we are going to need to return say 10 to 20 percent of our aircraft because demand just isn’t there – so we don’t have to pay rent, we’ll return the aircraft – well that means we’re going to have to reduce our flight crews and our cabin crews by similar amount because we will have fewer aircraft,” he said.
If that's true, then the fleet will be reduced by 9-20 aircraft.
PAL Mainline fleet as of Feb 2020:
4 Airbus A320-200*
18 Airbus A321-200•
8 Airbus A321neo
15 Airbus A330-300•
6 Airbus A350-900
10 Boeing 777-300ER•
* Indicated either type will likely be removed from the fleet or is in the process of being retired.
• Indicated the number of frames will likely be reduced or downsized.
For mainline PAL all of there Airbus A320-200 are in the process of being returned to there lessors or in storage pending transfer to GAP (Aka: PAL Express), with the current crisis.
However it will likely be expedited.
I also see a downsizing of the Airbus A321ceo with between 3-4 frames being returned to there lessor with remainder if not most A321ceo will eventually be replaced by the Airbus A321neo.
For the Airbus A330-300 PAL will likely keeps its 8 Tri-class configured A333 since most have been recently refurbished. If any A333 are going to be retured back to there lessor its the 7 High-density A333 which are used in the middle east. I imagine between 3-5 frames could go while the remainder will eventually be refurbished to the Tri-class configuration for commonality and reduced to Available Seat Mile (ASM).
Being the largest aircrsft type in the fleet and almost exclusively being used for Trans-pacific flights to North America the Boeing 777-300ER is probaly the most affected aircraft in the fleet. I can see between 2-4 frames are likely going to be returned to there lessors. The exception of course will be the newer B77W (7778 to 7782) and those that recently underwent PIP. I also see the remaining 77W will eventually be refurbished either to aligin with 7778 to 7782 or a new cabin interior with a small Premium Economy cabin between Business and Economy section in fron of Doors 3 (Center).
All of this are own opinion of course will have to wait and see.