Southwest is a big strategy maker. I really applaud their bravery. Whats next? DFW or EWR?
Honestly, they need to go back to EWR or build up at LGA. NYC is a market they are missing.
Here were the number of passengers, number of seats, load factors, and PDEW's for BWI-LGA/EWR in 2012:
BWI-LGA - 215019 passengers, 292678 seats, 73.47% load factor, PDEW of 60 on WN
BWI-EWR - 152084 passengers, 274597 seats, 55.38% load factor, PDEW of 31 on WN
Here were the number of passengers, number of seats, load factors, and PDEW's for IND-LGA in 2016:
IND-LGA - 116791 passengers, 190235 seats, 61.39% load factor
If WN does get extra slots at LGA, WN re-adding LGA-BWI/IND nonstop service might be possibilities with
(a) WN carrying an average of 503 passengers per day on BWI-LGA/EWR nonstop flights back in 2012, which is enough demand to fill 3 to 4 daily 737-700's per day in each direction,
(b) WN carrying an average of 160 passengers per day on IND-LGA nonstop flights back in 2016, which is enough demand to fill 1 737-800 per day in each direction,
(c) WN having had some O&D traffic on its LGA-BWI/IND routes prior to dropping LGA-BWI/IND nonstop service,
(d) WN being able to offer 1-stop, same-plane service to destinations outside of the LGA perimeter from LGA with a stop at BWI or IND (and vice versa) if WN re-adds LGA-BWI or LGA-IND nonstop service, and
(e) WN would also be able to provide easier access to the NYC market from places such as BHM, BUF, CHS, CLT, CVG, CLE, CMH, DTW, IND, SDF, MKE, ORF, ECP, PNS, PIT, and RDU if it re-adds LGA-BWI nonstop service.
Despite WN only getting a load factor of 61.39% on IND-LGA back in 2016, WN might possibly be able to get better load factors on IND-LGA nonstop service than it did 4 years ago once demand for domestic air travel is back to normal levels as WN can operate 1 daily nonstop on a 737-800 instead of 2 daily nonstops on a 737-700 on the IND-LGA route. WN was also able to make some nonstop routes shorter than IND-LGA work with only 1 daily nonstop in each direction prior to the COVID-19 pandemic.
WN adding LGA-ORD nonstop service might be a possibility if WN gets extra slots at LGA with
(a) most of the traffic on WN's LGA-MDW nonstop flights being Chicago to NYC O&D traffic,
(b) WN still having less nonstop service to NYC from MDW than it did prior to WN pulling out of EWR, and
(c) a significant of demand being there between MDW and NYC on WN prior to WN pulling out of EWR.
While WN hasn't yet added LGA-CMH nonstop service, WN had previously said 3 years ago that it was considering serving CMH nonstop from LGA if it could get extra slots at LGA, and WN adding LGA-CMH nonstop service is also a possibility if it gets extra slots at LGA.
WN re-adding Saturday-only LGA-PHX/SAT nonstop service and adding Saturday-only LGA-AUS/OAK/SAN nonstop service might be possibilities with
(a) WN being able to make Saturday-only LGA-PHX/SAT nonstop service work on a seasonal basis in the past,
(b) WN being able to get decent load factors on EWR-AUS/OAK/SAN nonstop service back in 2018,
(c) a significant amount of passengers connecting to destinations outside of the LGA perimeter such as AUS, OAK, PHX, SAT, and SAN prior to the COVID-19 pandemic, and
(d) WN having a FF base in the AUS, OAK, PHX, SAT, and SAN markets to support Saturday-only LGA-AUS/OAK/PHX/SAT/SAN nonstop service.