WaywardMemphian
Topic Author
Posts: 1329
Joined: Sat Dec 13, 2014 9:05 pm

XNA (Northwest Arkansas) Aviation 2020

Wed Jan 15, 2020 1:50 am

Final numbers from 2019 are in:
(XNA) in Highfill announced Tuesday (Jan. 14) enplanements rose 17% to a record of 922,533 in 2019, from 788,261 in 2018.

“The record growth in 2019 is a reflection of XNA’s efforts to cultivate continued working relationships with airline partners, the addition of new non-stop destinations and the region continuing to invest in our growing airport,” said XNA CEO Aaron Burkes.



https://talkbusiness.net/2020/01/xna-se ... d-in-2019/

XNA is chasing down LIT without WN's help and this time next year will be interesting.
 
LongLayover
Posts: 1
Joined: Sat Dec 28, 2019 10:15 pm

Re: XNA (Northwest Arkansas) Aviation 2020

Wed Jan 15, 2020 6:01 am

I can see AA adding PHX and maybe even a very very very slim chance of BOS. DL should add SLC back. UA just needs to add IAD and I believe they are complete unless they want to give LAX a try. F9 should add a few more cities too. UA to IAD and AA to PHX seem the most likely,
 
WaywardMemphian
Topic Author
Posts: 1329
Joined: Sat Dec 13, 2014 9:05 pm

Re: XNA (Northwest Arkansas) Aviation 2020

Wed Jan 15, 2020 1:09 pm

LongLayover wrote:
I can see AA adding PHX and maybe even a very very very slim chance of BOS. DL should add SLC back. UA just needs to add IAD and I believe they are complete unless they want to give LAX a try. F9 should add a few more cities too. UA to IAD and AA to PHX seem the most likely,


XNA got the CRJ 550 the first day of commercial service between here and Ohare. I think it is on every frequency. They want all eastern connecting traffic thru ORD outside of EWR on that plane it seems.

XNA is getting up among the airports with WN service, plus the airport is growing as is the market, it is not mature in way, shape or form. It looks to surpass Wichta after 2019, if not, will in 2020 for example. Some believe it will not happen but one poster here said they were coming pre MAX debacle but had issues with the FBO at XNA. The Allegaint BNA flight shows some amount of leasure travel so DAL, DEN, MDW/STL and BNA seem like very safe, logical adds if and when they come into the market. I could see HOU and LAS/PHX added in short order, MCO is there as well.

I can see Frontier shifting a flight like ORD-XNA-DFW from Branson as it seems to not be coming back there to expand XNA and adding MCO. Pretty much the same kind of routing, timing.
 
jb1087xna
Posts: 453
Joined: Tue Jun 03, 2014 2:11 am

Re: XNA (Northwest Arkansas) Aviation 2020

Fri Jan 17, 2020 3:32 am

Interesting that XNA may rival LIT at the end of the year if the trend continues.

I still think WN is a long-shot in the short term. If not, then I see F9 retreating and G4 cutting back. I'd assume WN would drop a minimum of 450 seats into the market per day...maybe closer to 600-750 depending on the day. I don't get how that number is sustainable without some combination of less seats offered by incumbent airlines and leakage to other airports lessening. AA, DL, or UA blinking seems unlikely because of the business traffic (maybe AA drops 1 of the 9 DFW flights?), so that leaves F9 and G4.

I wouldn't be surprised if AA added PHX but I don't see what it would offer that DFW and LAX do not. My perpetual wish is for DL to bring back SLC.
 
WaywardMemphian
Topic Author
Posts: 1329
Joined: Sat Dec 13, 2014 9:05 pm

Re: XNA (Northwest Arkansas) Aviation 2020

Fri Jan 17, 2020 11:44 am

AA flies LAX 2x daily, no PHX if it effects that if you ask me.

Currently, the two county MSA of Washington and Benton Co is around 600k, projections indicate around 2040 it will be 800k. XNA sits in a robust emerging market. This also doesn't take Carroll and Madison Counties in Arkansas or McDonald and Newton Counties in extreme Southwest Mo. Those currenty add up to to a little over 100k. Then there's the River Valley/ Ft. Smith and it's MSA of 300k. FSM reported a 5% increase in enplanements for 2019, around 95k. They say 80% of that was business related traffic vs. leasure. From Fort Smith proper, XNA is 45 minutes closer than TUL, but many drive to TUL for Southwest. I know these people and I work with people that do that, they have even driven to LIT.

I believe Southwest could come in with 3 to 4 stations and it be more of a stimulus than detriment. Yes...Delta, AA and United may reduce a frequency to ATL, DFW and ORD but I think it may be short term as it is a growing market.

Southwest can diversify it's offering between TUL and XNA at the beginning, it can offer ATL and/or BNA, MCO, and BWI and MDW and only repeats would a TEX station(DAL,HOU)or two and DEN at the start.

I saw and continue to see the WN dynamic play out with MEM/LIT. MEM with MDW, BWI, MCO, ATL, DEN and LIT with LAS, STL and PHX(seasonally), both with DAL and HOU.


On that note I see Allegiant possible giving Ft. Smith a try with Orlando



If Allegiant flies 4x weekly Orlando/Stanford during the summer without offering a single connecting flight on Airbuses, I think WN can handle a 737-700 daily with a plethora of connections.

I could then see Allegiant trying out FSM for Orlando
 
BNAMealer
Posts: 500
Joined: Sat Jul 27, 2019 8:03 pm

Re: XNA (Northwest Arkansas) Aviation 2020

Fri Jan 17, 2020 12:06 pm

I for one would LOVE WN to jump on BNA-XNA, but it probably won’t happen anytime soon. If they had a smaller plane like the A220, it would be perfect.
 
WaywardMemphian
Topic Author
Posts: 1329
Joined: Sat Dec 13, 2014 9:05 pm

Re: XNA (Northwest Arkansas) Aviation 2020

Fri Jan 17, 2020 3:40 pm

BNAMealer wrote:
I for one would LOVE WN to jump on BNA-XNA, but it probably won’t happen anytime soon. If they had a smaller plane like the A220, it would be perfect.



Allegiant could fly TYS, MSY, FLL, and now BOS and all would do well in the May to Aug season, I'd keep MSY and FLL year round, lots of cruising traffic potential there.

If Southwest comes I would prefer ATL from a connection point to the southeast perspective.
 
CitrusCritter
Posts: 793
Joined: Wed May 30, 2007 10:36 am

Re: XNA (Northwest Arkansas) Aviation 2020

Fri Jan 17, 2020 4:53 pm

The bleed to TUL and LIT will stop when someone comes in with stimulus through seats and lower fares, whether it’s WN or F9 or someone else. Very little hope given how F9 and NK operate though. Yet another example of the downside of consolidation.
 
BNAMealer
Posts: 500
Joined: Sat Jul 27, 2019 8:03 pm

Re: XNA (Northwest Arkansas) Aviation 2020

Fri Jan 17, 2020 5:19 pm

WaywardMemphian wrote:
BNAMealer wrote:
I for one would LOVE WN to jump on BNA-XNA, but it probably won’t happen anytime soon. If they had a smaller plane like the A220, it would be perfect.



Allegiant could fly TYS, MSY, FLL, and now BOS and all would do well in the May to Aug season, I'd keep MSY and FLL year round, lots of cruising traffic potential there.

If Southwest comes I would prefer ATL from a connection point to the southeast perspective.


Not much you could connect to in ATL that you couldn’t in BNA. Plus, BNA is less crowded and will eventually be a much bigger WN station than ATL.

DL would be better for BOS IMO.
 
WaywardMemphian
Topic Author
Posts: 1329
Joined: Sat Dec 13, 2014 9:05 pm

Re: XNA (Northwest Arkansas) Aviation 2020

Fri Jan 17, 2020 6:54 pm

G4 to BOS for leasure purposes only. It would do very well, I'd book it.

If Delta wants to bless us with a nonstop, then fine. Add SLC while they are at it. Shocked SLC isn't done seasonally as it is.

It's Jan and no one knows what the hell F9 is going to fly from and where to for many of their markets and folks are already making plans for Summer. Unless you want to piss off a hotel room in DEN their overnight connections stink. That is truely a one way stoner express.

Clarksville AR is about the equidistant point in travel time(not factoring in traffic delays) between XNA and LIT. TUL is sabout 40 minutes longer a drive from Fort Smith than XNA and requires tolls, which isn't much

XNA is closer than TUL from Joplin. Springfield is closer but only 15 minutes or so. Cost wise that is a wash outside of additional Allegiant routes Springfield has, plus there's that token AA service at Joplin itself that sucks off the EAS teet.
 
jb1087xna
Posts: 453
Joined: Tue Jun 03, 2014 2:11 am

Re: XNA (Northwest Arkansas) Aviation 2020

Sat Jan 18, 2020 2:27 am

WaywardMemphian wrote:
If Delta wants to bless us with a nonstop, then fine. Add SLC while they are at it. Shocked SLC isn't done seasonally as it is.


IMO, SLC should be year round...not for SLC as a destination but for making west coast connections easier on DL. TUL seems to support it, though we have 2 MSP flights whereas they only have 1.
 
n2dru
Posts: 151
Joined: Thu Nov 09, 2017 7:02 am

Re: XNA (Northwest Arkansas) Aviation 2020

Sat Jan 18, 2020 5:52 am

BNAMealer wrote:
WaywardMemphian wrote:
BNAMealer wrote:
I for one would LOVE WN to jump on BNA-XNA, but it probably won’t happen anytime soon. If they had a smaller plane like the A220, it would be perfect.



Allegiant could fly TYS, MSY, FLL, and now BOS and all would do well in the May to Aug season, I'd keep MSY and FLL year round, lots of cruising traffic potential there.

If Southwest comes I would prefer ATL from a connection point to the southeast perspective.


Not much you could connect to in ATL that you couldn’t in BNA. Plus, BNA is less crowded and will eventually be a much bigger WN station than ATL.

DL would be better for BOS IMO.


Connecting thru ATL on WN generally doesn't require a change of concourse (unless its INTL to domestic) meaning less walking to your connection gate. WN is consolidated on the southend of C concourse. More gates/space then they currently have in BNA.

Popular Searches On Airliners.net

Top Photos of Last:   24 Hours  •  48 Hours  •  7 Days  •  30 Days  •  180 Days  •  365 Days  •  All Time

Military Aircraft Every type from fighters to helicopters from air forces around the globe

Classic Airliners Props and jets from the good old days

Flight Decks Views from inside the cockpit

Aircraft Cabins Passenger cabin shots showing seat arrangements as well as cargo aircraft interior

Cargo Aircraft Pictures of great freighter aircraft

Government Aircraft Aircraft flying government officials

Helicopters Our large helicopter section. Both military and civil versions

Blimps / Airships Everything from the Goodyear blimp to the Zeppelin

Night Photos Beautiful shots taken while the sun is below the horizon

Accidents Accident, incident and crash related photos

Air to Air Photos taken by airborne photographers of airborne aircraft

Special Paint Schemes Aircraft painted in beautiful and original liveries

Airport Overviews Airport overviews from the air or ground

Tails and Winglets Tail and Winglet closeups with beautiful airline logos