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dragon6172 wrote:enilria wrote:dragon6172 wrote:This is interesting
https://youtu.be/XSHpbGhy3Ko
Excellent video. Making pretty clear it was not CFID. Still not sure why the copter fell out of the sky at 2100'. Loss of control/stall or mechanical failure?
Loss of situational awareness/spatial disorientation it would appear
cedarjet wrote:Revelation wrote:I suspect a lot of high net wealth individuals are now calling their aviation contacts and inquiring about installation of EGPWS/TAWS into their aircraft.
...which would have made no difference in a loss of control scenario such as Kobe’s
GalaxyFlyer wrote:The IFR routing, SNA to CMA, for a TEC routing at 6,000 is out to Catalina Island then north off the coast to abeam CMA, then vectors you land. At 273 KTAS, without any vectoring, it’s 0+22 ETE, so maybe 0+35 to 0+40 in a S-76.
BakerDill wrote:Based on the sound on these videos, the various witness accounts claiming the helicopter "hovered" or "flew slowly at 4-5 mph" can be dismissed. Clearly a flyover at speed and then crash.
Revelation wrote:dragon6172 wrote:Loss of situational awareness/spatial disorientation it would appear
Doesn't seem to jive with NTSB saying they were only 20-30 feet short of clearing the mountains, no?
I hate to say but I think some elements of the NTSB presser were painting things in an unrealistic light.
I think the video does jive well with spatial disorientation.
Revelation wrote:flybucky wrote:* Pilot was trying to climb out of the cloud layer at the time.
How can they know that? The data shows a strong descent shortly before the end, and they say they don't have CVR/FDR to fall back on.
enilria wrote:Excellent video. Making pretty clear it was not CFID. Still not sure why the copter fell out of the sky at 2100'. Loss of control/stall or mechanical failure?
THS214 wrote:SocalApproach wrote:btfarrwm wrote:It's amazing how much people will pay to save 1hr on the LA freeways...the helicopter flight looks like it would have taken 30-45 minutes (if completed) and the time estimate for the drive at 9AM on Sunday (from Google Maps) is 1h 15m to 1h 45m.
People pay extra money just to get in a shorter line at Disney Land.... We have shown as a society there is a premium for anything to get whatever it is "sooner"
but having said that Im surprised with the surplus of money Kobe has at his disposal, he did not use a company that can get him from point A to B with an IFR flightplan. Sounds like Island Helicopters or whatever its called did not have the means to get that done which is very odd considering how calculated Kobe Bryant has shown himself to be over his lifestyle, You would think he would spend 5 extra minutes to make sure that the chopper he is flying his family around in is the best of the best in 2020. From what it looks like right now it was the best of the best 7+ years ago....not so much right now. Not trying to make this political but Im sure Trump isnt flying around in helicopters that are not IFR capable or with pilots that are not IFR current.
I get kobe isnt a pilot but the media portrays him as an individual who would take the time to get familiar with what is going above and beyond for safety over whats "enough" to get a helicopter charted to fly him around. Dont take what im saying out of context but from what we all know here about VFR/IFR rules I doubt any of us would be signing off for a pilot that wants to fly SVFR to get us to our destination when we have the money to avoid that option. I also do not know what happened and its all speculation at this point but from everything we know so far I am shocked at what we do know about this charter company and how they operate flying around iconic celebrities. Apparently they flew Kawhi Leonard of the LA Clippers around too. Still in shock about all of this
That is a big question. Many people who get always what they want become blind. So they want the pilot who can get the job done. Those who refuse to fly because the weather is not good enough, who want to go IFR, won't fly them again but the pilot who can get the job done. That's why VFR and scud running. And then one too many times.
Those who rent the ride don't know and then they think that the pilot who always get the job done is a great pilot. They never know the danger involved.
This accident is a great example of this. Extremely poor weather, flying low and fast in a mountainous area. A receipt for disaster. But Kobe didn't know. "My pilot can get us there, he is so good." Just one too many times.
For the pilot, once you are THE pilot who can get the job done, a celebrity appreciates it, its really hard to not deliver. You've done it before so you can do it again. Just that this time it was one too many times.
flybucky wrote:Revelation wrote:flybucky wrote:* Pilot was trying to climb out of the cloud layer at the time.
How can they know that? The data shows a strong descent shortly before the end, and they say they don't have CVR/FDR to fall back on.
NTSB said the pilot told ATC he was climbing to avoid a cloud layer. When ATC asked what the pilot was planning to do, there was no reply afterwards. This was not captured in LiveATC / third party recordings, so I'm guessing NTSB got the audio directly from ATC.
NTSB Media Briefing Jan 27. 7:00 minute mark
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NxGbm2EBN-0&t=7m
The pilot requested flight following to continue to Camarillo, but Southern California TRACON advised the pilot that they were too low for flight following. Approximately 4 minutes layer, the pilot advised they were climbing to avoid a cloud layer. When ATC asked what the pilot planned to do, there was no reply. Radar data indicates that the helicopter climbed to 2300 ft, then began a left descending turn.
dragon6172 wrote:Revelation wrote:dragon6172 wrote:Loss of situational awareness/spatial disorientation it would appear
Doesn't seem to jive with NTSB saying they were only 20-30 feet short of clearing the mountains, no?
I hate to say but I think some elements of the NTSB presser were painting things in an unrealistic light.
I think the video does jive well with spatial disorientation.
Draw a line between the crash site pin and the end of the data in the below image. You will see a ridgeline they crossed, according to the NTSB they cleared this by 20-30 feet. That is how I take that statement anyways. However, they were still in a significant descent.
Revelation wrote:The pilot requested flight following to continue to Camarillo, but Southern California TRACON advised the pilot that they were too low for flight following. Approximately 4 minutes layer, the pilot advised they were climbing to avoid a cloud layer. When ATC asked what the pilot planned to do, there was no reply. Radar data indicates that the helicopter climbed to 2300 ft, then began a left descending turn.
So a more complete statement from NTSB would be "the pilot indicated he was climbing but in fact was descending".
It seems NTSB was being conservative with the truth.
I guess we can all understand why, but usually NTSB is less obtuse.
Revelation wrote:dragon6172 wrote:Revelation wrote:Doesn't seem to jive with NTSB saying they were only 20-30 feet short of clearing the mountains, no?
I hate to say but I think some elements of the NTSB presser were painting things in an unrealistic light.
I think the video does jive well with spatial disorientation.
Draw a line between the crash site pin and the end of the data in the below image. You will see a ridgeline they crossed, according to the NTSB they cleared this by 20-30 feet. That is how I take that statement anyways. However, they were still in a significant descent.
Another case where NTSB did not communicate the situation very well, IMO.
Revelation wrote:flybucky wrote:Draw a line between the crash site pin and the end of the data in the below image. You will see a ridgeline they crossed, according to the NTSB they cleared this by 20-30 feet. That is how I take that statement anyways. However, they were still in a significant descent.
Another case where NTSB did not communicate the situation very well, IMO.
Revelation wrote:So a more complete statement from NTSB would be "the pilot indicated he was climbing but in fact was descending".
It seems NTSB was being conservative with the truth.
I guess we can all understand why, but usually NTSB is less obtuse.
cuisinart wrote:Revelation wrote:flybucky wrote:Draw a line between the crash site pin and the end of the data in the below image. You will see a ridgeline they crossed, according to the NTSB they cleared this by 20-30 feet. That is how I take that statement anyways. However, they were still in a significant descent.
Another case where NTSB did not communicate the situation very well, IMO.
My read is the NTSB was saying the missed clearing the ridge line by 20-30 feet, not that they cleared it. They went on to say that even if they had cleared it, based on rate of descent and speed they may have hit other surrounding ridges in the area.
Revelation wrote:So a more complete statement from NTSB would be "the pilot indicated he was climbing but in fact was descending". It seems NTSB was being conservative with the truth.
dragon6172 wrote:Revelation wrote:The pilot requested flight following to continue to Camarillo, but Southern California TRACON advised the pilot that they were too low for flight following. Approximately 4 minutes layer, the pilot advised they were climbing to avoid a cloud layer. When ATC asked what the pilot planned to do, there was no reply. Radar data indicates that the helicopter climbed to 2300 ft, then began a left descending turn.
So a more complete statement from NTSB would be "the pilot indicated he was climbing but in fact was descending".
It seems NTSB was being conservative with the truth.
I guess we can all understand why, but usually NTSB is less obtuse.
I am not sure how you can come to that conclusion? The only thing the NTSB didn't provide was the second to second timeline of when the radio transmissions fit within the ADS-B data. They can't say "he reported a climb when he was in fact descending" if the radio transmission happened while he was actually climbing!
Revelation wrote:Doesn't seem to jive with NTSB saying they were only 20-30 feet short of clearing the mountains, no?
Another case where NTSB did not communicate the situation very well, IMO.
ikolkyo wrote:Can’t believe the aircraft didn’t have a terrain avoidance system. Why is this not mandatory on all aircraft no matter the size. Ugh.
rfields5421 wrote:I've seen more than one source that the flight plan destination was the Camarillo Airport. The crash site is about 12 driving miles from the academy, the airport is another 12 driving miles farther west. I suspect - and pure guess work - that the plan was to land in a clear area next to a parking lot across the street from the Academy. Disembark the pax, and move the bird on to Camarillo. The flying low down US-101 would support that in my opinion. While a pilot could file IFR into the small Camarillo airport, he could not fly IFR into a parking lot.
GalaxyFlyer wrote:Why? Because a VFR helicopter flies VISUALLY, the Pilot is supposed to remain clear of terrain by visual reference to the ground. When a helicopter operates continually at low-ish altitudes, the TAWS would turn in a distraction with frequent nuisance warnings. TAWS systems are designed to warn of terrain when the pilot cannot visually sight them and the entire flight trajectory is designed to be well clear (IFR minimum altitudes) and terrain separation is accidentally compromised, perhaps once in a career. A helicopter pilot is frequently compromising terrain clearance, by the nature of a helicopter.
Aesma wrote:Basketball is a popular sport around the world, but a major sport only in the US. Most people around the world had never heard of Kobe Bryant before his death (and I'm sure the accident didn't make the news everywhere either). Just saying.
Aesma wrote:Basketball is a popular sport around the world, but a major sport only in the US. Most people around the world had never heard of Kobe Bryant before his death (and I'm sure the accident didn't make the news everywhere either). Just saying.rfields5421 wrote:I've seen more than one source that the flight plan destination was the Camarillo Airport. The crash site is about 12 driving miles from the academy, the airport is another 12 driving miles farther west. I suspect - and pure guess work - that the plan was to land in a clear area next to a parking lot across the street from the Academy. Disembark the pax, and move the bird on to Camarillo. The flying low down US-101 would support that in my opinion. While a pilot could file IFR into the small Camarillo airport, he could not fly IFR into a parking lot.
Can a private citizen in the US just land his helicopter on a parking lot just like that ?
Aesma wrote:Basketball is a popular sport around the world, but a major sport only in the US. Most people around the world had never heard of Kobe Bryant before his death (and I'm sure the accident didn't make the news everywhere either). Just saying.
aerosreenivas wrote:My question is Could it have been avoided had one of the victims strongly objected to flying in the very bad weather?
Aesma wrote:Can a private citizen in the US just land his helicopter on a parking lot just like that ?
airbazar wrote:Aesma wrote:Basketball is a popular sport around the world, but a major sport only in the US. Most people around the world had never heard of Kobe Bryant before his death (and I'm sure the accident didn't make the news everywhere either). Just saying.
You're either completely delusional or you've been living under a rock for the past 20 years.
Basketball is a major sport with well established professional leagues in many countries. The fact that soccer teams in La Liga, and pro tennis players at the Australian Open chose to honor Kobe Bryant proves that many people knew about him before his death.
I'm from Europe and naturally I read and receive new feeds from European sources and I can tell you it was front page just about everywhere. Heck the BBC interrupted the broadcast to report the accident.
Aesma wrote:airbazar wrote:Aesma wrote:Basketball is a popular sport around the world, but a major sport only in the US. Most people around the world had never heard of Kobe Bryant before his death (and I'm sure the accident didn't make the news everywhere either). Just saying.
You're either completely delusional or you've been living under a rock for the past 20 years.
Basketball is a major sport with well established professional leagues in many countries. The fact that soccer teams in La Liga, and pro tennis players at the Australian Open chose to honor Kobe Bryant proves that many people knew about him before his death.
I'm from Europe and naturally I read and receive new feeds from European sources and I can tell you it was front page just about everywhere. Heck the BBC interrupted the broadcast to report the accident.
High flying professional sportspeople mourning another high flying professional sportsman isn't the same thing as him being well known around the world.
TYWoolman wrote:cessna2 wrote:The fact they missed clearing the hill by 20-30 feet is unfortunate. A sad day for the LA community and the world.
There is nothing in my view that suggests how missing this hill would have put this craft definitively in the clear. It seems like it was destined for certain catastrophy at that velocity and weather characteristic.
GalaxyFlyer wrote:Aesma wrote:Basketball is a popular sport around the world, but a major sport only in the US. Most people around the world had never heard of Kobe Bryant before his death (and I'm sure the accident didn't make the news everywhere either). Just saying.rfields5421 wrote:I've seen more than one source that the flight plan destination was the Camarillo Airport. The crash site is about 12 driving miles from the academy, the airport is another 12 driving miles farther west. I suspect - and pure guess work - that the plan was to land in a clear area next to a parking lot across the street from the Academy. Disembark the pax, and move the bird on to Camarillo. The flying low down US-101 would support that in my opinion. While a pilot could file IFR into the small Camarillo airport, he could not fly IFR into a parking lot.
Can a private citizen in the US just land his helicopter on a parking lot just like that ?
A guy down the road from me used to land his helo in his front yard regularly, then he moved. A rich guy flies into our clays range, lands right front of the lot all the time. It’s a helicopter, after all.
flybucky wrote:This is the "hill" (outcropping) that the helicopter struck, that was referred to as 20-30 ft above the main impact site.
cuban8 wrote:THS214 wrote:SocalApproach wrote:
People pay extra money just to get in a shorter line at Disney Land.... We have shown as a society there is a premium for anything to get whatever it is "sooner"
but having said that Im surprised with the surplus of money Kobe has at his disposal, he did not use a company that can get him from point A to B with an IFR flightplan. Sounds like Island Helicopters or whatever its called did not have the means to get that done which is very odd considering how calculated Kobe Bryant has shown himself to be over his lifestyle, You would think he would spend 5 extra minutes to make sure that the chopper he is flying his family around in is the best of the best in 2020. From what it looks like right now it was the best of the best 7+ years ago....not so much right now. Not trying to make this political but Im sure Trump isnt flying around in helicopters that are not IFR capable or with pilots that are not IFR current.
I get kobe isnt a pilot but the media portrays him as an individual who would take the time to get familiar with what is going above and beyond for safety over whats "enough" to get a helicopter charted to fly him around. Dont take what im saying out of context but from what we all know here about VFR/IFR rules I doubt any of us would be signing off for a pilot that wants to fly SVFR to get us to our destination when we have the money to avoid that option. I also do not know what happened and its all speculation at this point but from everything we know so far I am shocked at what we do know about this charter company and how they operate flying around iconic celebrities. Apparently they flew Kawhi Leonard of the LA Clippers around too. Still in shock about all of this
That is a big question. Many people who get always what they want become blind. So they want the pilot who can get the job done. Those who refuse to fly because the weather is not good enough, who want to go IFR, won't fly them again but the pilot who can get the job done. That's why VFR and scud running. And then one too many times.
Those who rent the ride don't know and then they think that the pilot who always get the job done is a great pilot. They never know the danger involved.
This accident is a great example of this. Extremely poor weather, flying low and fast in a mountainous area. A receipt for disaster. But Kobe didn't know. "My pilot can get us there, he is so good." Just one too many times.
For the pilot, once you are THE pilot who can get the job done, a celebrity appreciates it, its really hard to not deliver. You've done it before so you can do it again. Just that this time it was one too many times.
I’m not sure I agree with you. The pilot might have been THE pilot, but is it really that hard to say no to a flight with a celebrity? I can understand that it might be hard to say no on his first couple of “celebrity” flights, but it seems like he’d been around for some time. With that experience/reputation, I doubt anyone would push for it if THE pilot decided it was too risky.
Regardless of the equipment of the helo or the cause of the crash, I find it inexplicable how High-Net-Worth individuals decides to fly in single pilot operations. As a poster mentioned earlier, who would take over the controls in case of the pilot having a heart attack or another severe illness?
Many accidents could possibly have been avoided with one extra set of eyes. From the top of my head:
Emiliano Sala, English Channel (2019)
Bin Laden family, Blackbushe (2017)
Aaliyah, Marsh Harbour (2001)
Until we make significant progress technologically, I will always be against single pilot operations in commercial aviation. Unfortunately, it saddens me to see Kobe as another victim of this unnecessary practice.
This in my mind leaves no doubt it’s CFIT
Chemist wrote:I'm feeling it's UNCONTROLLED flight into terrain. Minus 4000'/minute at or over max speed for the aircraft doesn't appear to be controlled.
airbazar wrote:Aesma wrote:Basketball is a popular sport around the world, but a major sport only in the US. Most people around the world had never heard of Kobe Bryant before his death (and I'm sure the accident didn't make the news everywhere either). Just saying.
You're either completely delusional or you've been living under a rock for the past 20 years.
Basketball is a major sport with well established professional leagues in many countries. The fact that soccer teams in La Liga, and pro tennis players at the Australian Open chose to honor Kobe Bryant proves that many people knew about him before his death.
I'm from Europe and naturally I read and receive new feeds from European sources and I can tell you it was front page just about everywhere. Heck the BBC interrupted the broadcast to report the accident.
heyjoojoo wrote:airbazar wrote:Aesma wrote:Basketball is a popular sport around the world, but a major sport only in the US. Most people around the world had never heard of Kobe Bryant before his death (and I'm sure the accident didn't make the news everywhere either). Just saying.
You're either completely delusional or you've been living under a rock for the past 20 years.
Basketball is a major sport with well established professional leagues in many countries. The fact that soccer teams in La Liga, and pro tennis players at the Australian Open chose to honor Kobe Bryant proves that many people knew about him before his death.
I'm from Europe and naturally I read and receive new feeds from European sources and I can tell you it was front page just about everywhere. Heck the BBC interrupted the broadcast to report the accident.
Not understanding the reason for insults here.
The other party is stating facts.
Not everyone knows famous basketball celebrities. I'm always shocked that people in our own country don't even know who the VP is.
Humans.
aerosreenivas wrote:My question is Could it have been avoided had one of the victims strongly objected to flying in the very bad weather?
GalaxyFlyer wrote:But, but, probably everyday there’s a marine layer over the LA basin dozens, perhaps hundreds of helicopter flights are flown very safely. Heck, it was 1100-21/2 miles and better at Camarillo, is close to VFR.
GF
MontaukMonster wrote:Hopefully this will be a lesson to others so they won’t risk or end the lives of their passengers by launching a flight into marginal weather conditions and continuing a flight into deteriorating weather conditions.