GalaxyFlyer wrote:The NTSB has loads of tools to look collate the ADS, radar data, plus metallurgical analysis of the evidence plus any video subject to lab analysis to plot the final minutes of the flight. Those sp”spikes” will be analyzed and smoothed based on the physics of flight. Trying to run your own investigation with open source information is not very productive. The investigation team will spend a year pouring over every aspect and usually finds some surprises and some obvious causal factors.
I definitely agree with you. In fact, the purpose of my little exercise (I thought I'd made it clear in my post, but probably not, or not enough) was precisely to encourage people not to jump to conclusions, but to let the NTSB do its job. Just about everybody here seems to have concluded that this accident was the result of some form of pilot error. Maybe so, but for the little that we know at this point in time, other causes beyond pilot error are possible.