eta unknown wrote:
I can't see SQ adding extra flights to cover CA/CZ/MU reductions as most of the Chinese carrier flights are filled with ex China tour group pax who simply won't be travelling here.
There as a significant amount of Europe-AU/NZ traffic that connects via China that will be looking for alternative ways. Opportunities for SQ, EK and QR I would have thought, particularly if they have aircraft to redeploy from China routes.
I don't think the traffic to Europe via CN is significant. CN is a difficult country to transit through which makes it a poor choice. Compared with SIN, HKG, DXB etc, the share of transit traffic to Europe held by ports such as PVG and PEK is miniscule.
The Wuhan flu is an overall drag on the entire industry not just Chinese airlines. I travel to Asia regularly and the drop in pax in major airports such as SIN and CGK is stunning. I don't think airlines will be easily able to reallocate capacity as demand is reduced on lots of routes. I suspect airlines will choose to park some of their fleet for a while and look for delivery deferrals where possible.
717, 721/2, 732/3/4/5/7/8/9, 742/3/4, 752/3, 762/3, 772/E/W, 788/9, 300,310, 319,320/1, 332/3, 359, 388, DC9, DC10, F28, F100, 142,143, E75/90, CR2, D82/3/4, SF3, ATR