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frmrCapCadet wrote:A 300 mile range would connect most of the small towns in 'flyover' country to a major/regional airport. I see 20-50 passenger, one pilot electric planes changing the economics of living in more isolated areas. Likely they would operate like our Washington State ferries - if a medical passenger needs immediate service the hell with schedule. And no one complains. They also do most of the marine emergencies in the central Puget Sound. Even stop for quicky burial services (cremains only!). Travel, normal medical, emergency ambulance, package cargo, tourism, AirBnB all fit well as a package.
Dahlgardo wrote:Nothing more than free publicity and spin to boost "green image".
Big electric powered planes are decades away, and battery technology needs more than a quantum leap to be a credible alternative both in terms of energy density and reliability.
And good luck getting them certified with the firehazards of the current battery technology.
How many kilos of batteries did that electric DHC-2 need to drag around to support a 750hp engine.
Can't recall, but it was a lot, and the range was not very impressive.
airnorth wrote:frmrCapCadet wrote:A 300 mile range would connect most of the small towns in 'flyover' country to a major/regional airport. I see 20-50 passenger, one pilot electric planes changing the economics of living in more isolated areas. Likely they would operate like our Washington State ferries - if a medical passenger needs immediate service the hell with schedule. And no one complains. They also do most of the marine emergencies in the central Puget Sound. Even stop for quicky burial services (cremains only!). Travel, normal medical, emergency ambulance, package cargo, tourism, AirBnB all fit well as a package.
I agree, and that is exactly the thinking at Harbour Air right next door in B.C. I'm sure you followed that thread as well, for those who missed it,
viewtopic.php?t=1418841
767333ER wrote:What happens to this 300nmi range when the plane gets stuck in a hold or has to divert to an alternate? Is this 300 miles considering that possibility or can it literally only fly for 300 miles; if it’s the latter, that is basically useless for anything more than 20-30 mins of flying.
I have nothing against green stuff but it’s all PR until they actually make and fly an electric plane that can do 45 min turns and can fly as far as a normal plane. That’s a long way away.
william wrote:767333ER wrote:What happens to this 300nmi range when the plane gets stuck in a hold or has to divert to an alternate? Is this 300 miles considering that possibility or can it literally only fly for 300 miles; if it’s the latter, that is basically useless for anything more than 20-30 mins of flying.
I have nothing against green stuff but it’s all PR until they actually make and fly an electric plane that can do 45 min turns and can fly as far as a normal plane. That’s a long way away.
Good realistic questions that have to be answered first before getting excited about the concept.
pune wrote:airnorth wrote:frmrCapCadet wrote:A 300 mile range would connect most of the small towns in 'flyover' country to a major/regional airport. I see 20-50 passenger, one pilot electric planes changing the economics of living in more isolated areas. Likely they would operate like our Washington State ferries - if a medical passenger needs immediate service the hell with schedule. And no one complains. They also do most of the marine emergencies in the central Puget Sound. Even stop for quicky burial services (cremains only!). Travel, normal medical, emergency ambulance, package cargo, tourism, AirBnB all fit well as a package.
I agree, and that is exactly the thinking at Harbour Air right next door in B.C. I'm sure you followed that thread as well, for those who missed it,
viewtopic.php?t=1418841
I did share this https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kdLa0PdCB5w
can anybody tell me what does B.C. in the above stand for ?
pune wrote:william wrote:767333ER wrote:What happens to this 300nmi range when the plane gets stuck in a hold or has to divert to an alternate? Is this 300 miles considering that possibility or can it literally only fly for 300 miles; if it’s the latter, that is basically useless for anything more than 20-30 mins of flying.
I have nothing against green stuff but it’s all PR until they actually make and fly an electric plane that can do 45 min turns and can fly as far as a normal plane. That’s a long way away.
Good realistic questions that have to be answered first before getting excited about the concept.
wish the Wright brothers have thought of that, right ?
planecane wrote:SQ317 wrote:Aesma wrote:How many of Easyjet flights are less than 300nm ?
I wonder if electric plane companies are not simply banking on batteries getting better and better, trying to have an airframe and engines ready when the batteries are.
What would be really interesting would be a normal ranged airplane, with an hybrid powertrain, but that's much more difficult to achieve.
I think this is a really valid point - think about how far batteries have come since 2010. The lead time for an airframe is much longer than batteries; the batteries will no doubt go through many iterations between 2023 and 2030.
They've gotten a lot cheaper but I don't think there's been any great leap in energy density.
Research seems to be in looking at lithium air batteries to reduce weight. However, those are nowhere near ready.
SQ317 wrote:planecane wrote:SQ317 wrote:
I think this is a really valid point - think about how far batteries have come since 2010. The lead time for an airframe is much longer than batteries; the batteries will no doubt go through many iterations between 2023 and 2030.
They've gotten a lot cheaper but I don't think there's been any great leap in energy density.
Research seems to be in looking at lithium air batteries to reduce weight. However, those are nowhere near ready.
Perhaps not a leap but a steady increase.. take the Tesla Model S. The S85, introduced in 2012 had an EPA range of 265 miles. The S100D of today, with negligible weight difference once you consider the weight of the additional electric motor on the front axle, has an EPA range of 390 miles. That's a 47% improvement due to increased energy density and powertrain efficiency in 8 years.
Lingon wrote:.. and the cynic in me can't help to think that the main purpose to have a V tail aircraft in these kind of pictures is for the futuristic look (read: marketing) ...
planecane wrote:SQ317 wrote:planecane wrote:They've gotten a lot cheaper but I don't think there's been any great leap in energy density.
Research seems to be in looking at lithium air batteries to reduce weight. However, those are nowhere near ready.
Perhaps not a leap but a steady increase.. take the Tesla Model S. The S85, introduced in 2012 had an EPA range of 265 miles. The S100D of today, with negligible weight difference once you consider the weight of the additional electric motor on the front axle, has an EPA range of 390 miles. That's a 47% improvement due to increased energy density and powertrain efficiency in 8 years.
The battery of the S85 was 85kWh. The 100D is 100kWH. At most, that would be a 17.6% improvement in energy density if the battery stayed the same weight. I can't find any good source for the weight of just the battery pack.
I'm not sure how they got all the additional range. If there was a major breakthrough in lithium ion technology by Tesla, they would publicize it for sure.
When it comes to improvements for use on electric aircraft, it must pretty much all come from energy density improvements in the battery. The "engines" are just electric fans and the technology of an electric motor is not going to improve much at this point. Possibly lighter materials will be developed to make the motors lighter but the core efficiency of an electric motor is unlikely to improve.
The other issue for battery powered aircraft is that they don't become lighter as they use energy. This hurts efficiency over the entire trip.
My opinion is that for electric aircraft to be viable, either they need to use fuel cells and liquid fuel to produce electricity or there needs to be a leap in battery technology (lithium air or something) that causes a vast improvement in energy density.
airnorth wrote:Interesting video on YouTube from the Canadian press on the Harbour Air Electric Plane:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kdLa0PdCB5w
They interview both the CEO from Harbour Air and Magnix, they discuss the number of worldwide flights under 500 miles, and under 100 miles. I found the info they have to be quite an eye opener!.
Regarding the batteries, if I recall correctly, somewhere there is an interview with Greg McDougall, Harbour Air CEO where he describes the batteries they used in the test flight as being similar to the ones used by NASA, very heavy, but also very fail safe, which they needed to convince Transport Canada to allow this flight testing to go ahead. Sorry I cannot find that interview or article right now.
Anyway, here are a couple of entrepreneurs, who along with their teams, are convinced that electric planes are not only possible, but commercially viable, and they are putting their own money, and possibly reputation behind it. I think it is really amazing, hoping nothing but success.
pune wrote:Sorry for bringing up an oldish thread but just saw this and hence had to share. Seems there are at least 10-15 odd manufacturers who are looking at electric aircraft.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mz4rMq9yt7Y
JonesNL wrote:We will probably never have an 737 sized battery powered vehicle....
JonesNL wrote:
When the electric variant of an training plane costs $3 dollar an hour in fuel compared to $50 an hour for the old variant(see video on spot 15) the electric one will prevail even when it has more constraints.
People are to much focused on an one on one comparison for Battery powered vs Jet fuel powered. We will probably never have an 737 sized battery powered vehicle, but I believe there will be an huge 50 seater sub 500 miles market for electric planes with CASM that can compete with the A32xNEO's and 737Max's of this world due to much lower fuel and maintanance costs.
Like Lightsaber mentions, the props are the main target with the regionals being an close second.
WPIAeroGuy wrote:I can't wait for the day when electric aircraft are the norm. However, this just seems like a PR stunt. A radical new configuration is not going to be what makes electric aircraft viable. When battery energy density reaches a point where it can compete 1:1 with fossil fuels then we will see aircraft in much the same configurations we see today but with electric motors and batteries in the wings. I would much rather see the R&D dollars be spent towards the battery technology - once the technology is mature enough manufacturers will be falling over themselves to incorporate into existing planforms. Of course that isn't as sexy as pictures of V-tails and distributed propulsion, but to me this is like polishing the surface of your pinewood derby car to minimize aerodynamic drag, while the real issue is you're using square wheels.
Aesma wrote:WPIAeroGuy wrote:I can't wait for the day when electric aircraft are the norm. However, this just seems like a PR stunt. A radical new configuration is not going to be what makes electric aircraft viable. When battery energy density reaches a point where it can compete 1:1 with fossil fuels then we will see aircraft in much the same configurations we see today but with electric motors and batteries in the wings. I would much rather see the R&D dollars be spent towards the battery technology - once the technology is mature enough manufacturers will be falling over themselves to incorporate into existing planforms. Of course that isn't as sexy as pictures of V-tails and distributed propulsion, but to me this is like polishing the surface of your pinewood derby car to minimize aerodynamic drag, while the real issue is you're using square wheels.
I disagree entirely. 1:1 is not happening anytime soon, yet we will have electric aircraft long before that. In fact we have electric aircraft today.
Electric energy will be at a premium in an electric commuter/airliner, and as a result everything will be thrown at aerodynamic efficiency, weight reduction, etc. It's very likely they will look different from a 737. Another thing to consider is potential ATC gains (for example an electric aircraft could be given priority airspace).
frmrCapCadet wrote:"ETOPS" for the first larger electric planes could require favorable weather and the plane to be within 35-50 miles of an alternative airport. Close to Cessna 172 take off and landing speeds could make alternate airports easy.
2175301 wrote:frmrCapCadet wrote:"ETOPS" for the first larger electric planes could require favorable weather and the plane to be within 35-50 miles of an alternative airport. Close to Cessna 172 take off and landing speeds could make alternate airports easy.
Not many airports nearby in the oceans.... and ETOPS is a certification for flying over oceans.
Have a great day,
WPIAeroGuy wrote:Aesma wrote:WPIAeroGuy wrote:I can't wait for the day when electric aircraft are the norm. However, this just seems like a PR stunt. A radical new configuration is not going to be what makes electric aircraft viable. When battery energy density reaches a point where it can compete 1:1 with fossil fuels then we will see aircraft in much the same configurations we see today but with electric motors and batteries in the wings. I would much rather see the R&D dollars be spent towards the battery technology - once the technology is mature enough manufacturers will be falling over themselves to incorporate into existing planforms. Of course that isn't as sexy as pictures of V-tails and distributed propulsion, but to me this is like polishing the surface of your pinewood derby car to minimize aerodynamic drag, while the real issue is you're using square wheels.
I disagree entirely. 1:1 is not happening anytime soon, yet we will have electric aircraft long before that. In fact we have electric aircraft today.
Electric energy will be at a premium in an electric commuter/airliner, and as a result everything will be thrown at aerodynamic efficiency, weight reduction, etc. It's very likely they will look different from a 737. Another thing to consider is potential ATC gains (for example an electric aircraft could be given priority airspace).
If those gains were even close to making up the difference then they would already be applied to existing aircraft. We have electric aircraft today, but they are significantly handicapped compared to their fueled siblings. They're being advertised as suitable for short hops (<1 hour). While its true that a 'typical' mission for that airplane may be short, the reality is most airplanes rarely spend their entire lives only ever going between two airports. What happens when there's a weather diversion? Or you have to go to a shop away from your home base for maintenance? Pipistrel's offerings can't even be used for a PPL long cross country without at least one battery swap.
My point is not that an electric airplane cannot fly. My point is that without substantial leaps in technology, electric aircraft simply cannot compete with fossil fuel airplanes, and simply coming up with more efficient shapes is not going to overcome the fundamental lack of energy capacity of current battery technologies.
Waterbomber2 wrote:Tesla's 85kWh battery pack weighs about 500kg.
You stuff an A380 with 500 of those instead of fuel for a total of 250 metric tons and 4.2 MWh which is about 15 GJ (GigaJoules) or 15 GNm.
A380 engines are rated for 350kN each, producing a total of 0.0014GN of thrust.
So at the engine's rated thrust, the batteries would be depleted after about 10 kilometers assuming that the energy stored in the batteries is converted to thrust at 100% efficiency by an electric fan.
Using 500 20kUSD Tesla Superchargers each connected separately to a pack, it would take 45 minutes to charge the 500 battery packs to 80%, 90 minutes to charge to 100%.
It would take 2 to 3 large wind turbines turning at their rated speed, or 10000 full size solar panels at their max output to power the charge of the single aircraft.
prebennorholm wrote:Waterbomber2 wrote:Tesla's 85kWh battery pack weighs about 500kg.
You stuff an A380 with 500 of those instead of fuel for a total of 250 metric tons and 4.2 MWh which is about 15 GJ (GigaJoules) or 15 GNm.
A380 engines are rated for 350kN each, producing a total of 0.0014GN of thrust.
So at the engine's rated thrust, the batteries would be depleted after about 10 kilometers assuming that the energy stored in the batteries is converted to thrust at 100% efficiency by an electric fan.
Using 500 20kUSD Tesla Superchargers each connected separately to a pack, it would take 45 minutes to charge the 500 battery packs to 80%, 90 minutes to charge to 100%.
It would take 2 to 3 large wind turbines turning at their rated speed, or 10000 full size solar panels at their max output to power the charge of the single aircraft.
Dear Waterbomber, a very good analyses, but one small error crept in. 500 Tesla 85kWh batteries hold 42MWh, not 4.2MWh.
Consequently your theoretical 100% efficiency fan plane would do some 100 km instead of 10 km. And charging would take a few dozen of the world's largest wind turbines. And of course a good and strong wind.
It is maybe easier to just look at the following: The energy created by one lb jet fuel in an airliner takes roughly 40 lb li-ion battery. So a jet airliner fueled for a ten hours flight would with equal mass battery do a 10h divided by 40 = 15 minutes flight.
Same with a Tesla. Convert it to diesel, load it with diesel fuel same mass as its 85kWh battery, and it will run 40 times longer.
There are hundreds of minor "what ifs" connected to that round figure 40. But what does it matter if the real figure is more like 25 or 60? Nothing. It has to be very low single digit to be interesting.