To speak in your own words, I do not think it is productive in this thread to UNDERESTIMATE Airbus. In many posts here you keep repeating that the timeline for an EIS in 2023 is very tight or optimistic and a lot of engineering work has to be done, you keep repeating that you do not think that an EIS as proposed by Airbus is possible. #brokenclock
Well, I do not underestimate Airbus, but I still think the required modification for an entry into service in the first half of 2023 is very tight. They might well do it on time, but the buffer is not so huge. I am saying it is a very tight timeline I never said it is impossible. The amount of engineering work and also the negotiations will with the suppliers would take easily one year. There are a lot of small things that need to studied and analysed..
I get that none of us has a crystal ball.
What I don't get is why you think Airbus don't know the things that you don't know.
Are you an expert on aircraft development?
Are you an expert on the A350-1000?
I'm sure Airbus has lots of both.
Project Sunrise was announced in August 2017
The A350-1000ULR was discussed as being QANTAS preferred offering from Airbus back in June 2018https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rQxjoTAwF7U
Airbus are quoted back then as saying "this is an easy development"
QANTAS announced their preferred option was the A350-1000 in December 2019
What do you think had to happen prior to June 2018 in order for Airbus to propose an A350-1000ULR?
What do you think has been happening between June 2018 when QANTAS turned its back on the A350-900ULR, and December 2019, when they downselected the A350-1000?
What governance do you think QANTAS would have to have applied in order to authorise that purchase decision?
What governance do you think Airbus would have to have applied in order to accept this order?
What conversations do you think will have taken place around readiness to deliver the project, and risks to that delivery?
Or do you think Airbus just fired off a pretty powerpoint slide out of the blue in June 2018, and then sat back on their thumbs for 18 months?
And do you think QANTAS took a pretty powerpoint slide, sat back on their
thumbs for 18 months, and then suddenly decided, 18 months later, that they liked the powerpoint slide and were going to order?
I'm a big fan of objective analysis. That's how we learn things on A-net (and elsewhere)
I'm not a big fan of kites being flown for what seems little more than self gratification to be honest.
"Lots of Engineering, lots of supply chain issues, and lots of small things to be studied" is just noise without some form of quantification