oosnowrat wrote:KCaviator wrote:Any predictions on the future of UAX? Here’s mine:
CommutAir will merge with ExpressJet. Air Wisconsin will likely be TSA’d after their contract expires. Fate of Republic is up in the air, IMO. Could go either way.
IIRC AA, DL and UA all have ownership interests in Republic. Republic is prolly safe for the time being.
Even if UA were to cut the contract with YX, while as unlikely as it is, it would only hurt for a very short term. AA and DL would gladly allow YX to pick up more flying for them.
oosnowrat wrote:JBo wrote:The one thing with ZW is that they own all of their aircraft outright, not United - but there still isn't that much of a market for 50-seat lift. ZW doesn't have much of a future without somehow acquiring larger aircraft, but they might be able to take over the 550s if G7 can't perform.
OO is spending an extra $15m on their CRJ fleet this year to keep it flying longer. They still see a 50-seat market to fill.
OO though also operates a lot of at-risk flying and Mountain West flying with those frames, ZW does not. Personally, I wish that ZW had placed a more competitive bid for the CR5s such that UA had considered splitting the fleet up. I don't see G7 being able to staff the entire 74 frames long term and the CR5 is only successful if the on-time performance is there in the long term.