You likely need wide-bodies for the trans-con Australia flights, also to move cargo. As for just being a regional carrier, that isn't a bad thing---they could just feed DL for flights to the USA, especially with NZ completely fragmenting the market by bringing passengers across the Tasman with the ability to reach as far as (starting NW20) Newark (NYC) and Qantas set to begin by 2023 or 2024 a nonstop to JFK from SYD. Transfers will be handled domestically or in AKL instead of at LAX. As such, I see VA needing at most 10 wide-bodies...and maybe they would be wiser to launch regional destinations like DPS or BKK. (VA used to fly to HKT but exited that market.) Then the other wide-bodies would go to LAX, needing 4 frames total, along with trans-con, HND, and SIN if launched.
- NZ service to EWR (1 789) is hardly going to fragment the trans-Pacific market that is already about 16 widebodies a day each way.
- Sunrise flight to JFK will largely replace the current LAX-JFK service. Given QF are targetting a 20-30% premium, it is hard to say what effect it will have on demand.
- VA probably don't have much interest in flying widebodies to DPS. They already service it with 737s and it is fairly saturated market.
- VA only serviced HKT at a time when they were still ramping up LAX services. It basically used a 77W on a weekend when it would otherwise be on the ground. It wasn't a long-term play.
- VA has no interest in serving BKK or SIN. Both are already well serviced and super-competitive (JQ just exited the SIN-MEL market) not to mention VA already codeshares on every SQ service to SIN from AU so it doesn't add anything to its product offerings.
717, 721/2, 732/3/4/5/7/8/9, 742/3/4, 752/3, 762/3, 772/E/W, 788/9, 300,310, 319,320/1, 332/3, 359, 388, DC9, DC10, F28, F100, 142,143, E75/90, CR2, D82/3/4, SF3, ATR