LNCS0930 wrote:tphuang wrote:Right now, Spain is about 4 or 5 days from Italy scenario (basically not having enough doctors/hospital beds to serve those who need it)
France is about a week away.
America really depends. If you think things are hysterical now, just wait another week in America and let's say we are at 2000 cases in Seattle, NY and Cali. That's when people are going to start calling for not letting people go out. Things haven't hit the bottom for the airlines yet.
Be prepared for more cuts. AS isn't going to be spared. WN neither.
WN maybe in the best position to weather this out if it was not for the fact they do fuel hedging.
I think good chance someone will merge with HA and someone will merge with NK before this is over.
I think for a time in April we may see all INT flights by AA/UAL/DL suspended, minus maybe Canada/Mexico/Carib...so probably all trans ocean will stop. I don't think it will be for long but maybe a month at some point from April into May
Pretty prescient in light of President Trump locking down all flights from Europe (sans the UK) for 30 days just now. (Looks like I'm slow on the uptake, apologies.)