ual763 wrote:onwFan wrote:I guess situations like these would also make ‘focus cities’ most vulnerable, like the ones DL has been attempting? I would assume airlines would rather have people connect through their hubs (which themselves would have severely reduced service) as much as possible?
Agreed. The focus cities will definitely take a large hit. These are also the cities where international flights have been cut first. In Delta’s case, AUS, BOS, MCO will most likely take very big cuts. JFK will be hurt very badly, mainly because of the international percentage of flights there on Delta. With Disney World shutdown, MCO will be terrible for Delta. There’s no escaping that one. Really the entire systems of all airlines will be effected, but these markets will see the most drastic changes initially.
I also imagine cities that have been very trendy with international carriers lately will be hit more, because those are thinner and less consolidated routes. For instance Boston and its plethora of new carriers over the last few years (JL, LY, HU, EK, QR, TK, OS, CM, LA, KE, AT, TP). I wouldn't be surprised some of them leave and just refocus on NYC like in the old days. Or SJC losing all long-haul service.
In Europe, I think the big three low-cost (easyJet, Wizz Air, Ryanair) will cancel definitely dozens of "thin" routes that even on good times did not make a lot of sense.