TomJoel wrote:I can see a lot of markets served by Envoy getting the axe first, especially ones out in West Texas and Southwestern New Mexico. Markets such as ABI, MAF, ROW, SJT, and SPS probably completely lose service. Also, I could see airports closer to DFW such as ACT, TYR and GGG being good candidates to axe as well.
These likely are not the markets you would see get cut, particularly since one of the restrictions is that an airport may not lose all of its service.
ABI, MAF and ROW are in a separate category than the rest of the smaller markets you list. For one, they are larger markets. MAF and ROW are also both served from PHX so I doubt they are markets you are going to see be cut as markets enjoying service from two or more hubs does show what the market is more capable of. ABI is a major MX base so good luck with cutting that out. All of your markets listed are also not a particularly high-cost airport in terms of service due to the multiple flights per day and the short stage length. You are more likely to see the seasonal markets (think JAC, ASE, etc.) dropped where the premium demand isn't there and other hubs for competitors serve them better and also the long and thin markets.
This allowance benefits the smaller carriers far more than the US3 because it allows them to cut their long and thin markets where keeping the service does not justify the cost.