Moderators: jsumali2, richierich, ua900, PanAm_DC10, hOMSaR
by738 wrote:Long haul has been the failure of many... I still suggest they stick to what they know and apparently do well. Im not sure Florida and Caribbean are necessarily low hanging guarantees... (or ever have been)
OMAAbound wrote:
The usual holiday destinations were spoken of in the Caribbean & Florida from 3 UK airports.
As with most decisions made by Jet2, I’d imagine a lot of time and thought went into them. They’ve most likely been put on the top shelf at the very back, given the current situation.
OMAA
Boeing74741R wrote:by738 wrote:Long haul has been the failure of many... I still suggest they stick to what they know and apparently do well. Im not sure Florida and Caribbean are necessarily low hanging guarantees... (or ever have been)
I think there's room for another player to these markets from the regions now Thomas Cook is no more. Taking Florida for instance, outside London your only options are TUI and Virgin Atlantic and I remember the mid-2000's for instance when VS and the various charter airlines that were around all had numerous flights to MCO/SFB. Take this year aside, the appetite for Florida holidays is still there. From a pricing perspective, Thomas Cook and also the Travel City Direct brand being retired by Virgin Holidays has left a gap at the lower end of the Florida market.
I'm in two minds though whether Jet2 should fill the gap here or not. As you and others have said, they've done really well doing what they've been doing and history is littered with airlines that stretched into long-haul and ultimately failed. The only long-haul route that works for them is EWR, but that's on a small scale in November/December.
All that said, haven't we been here before? Didn't Jet2 look at acquiring a 767 for Florida services many years ago or did I dream that?
Still, if their history is anything to go by I'd like to think any expansion into the long-haul market would have been thought through.
by738 wrote:Long haul has been the failure of many... I still suggest they stick to what they know and apparently do well. Im not sure Florida and Caribbean are necessarily low hanging guarantees... (or ever have been)
CWL757 wrote:I think in the distant future they will open a base in either BRS or CWL. Its probably the biggest gap in their UK network with the nearest base being BHX. BRS is already at near full capacity and LS tend to base more aircraft per base so I'd imagine CWL may be better choice as they will only be competing with TUI and VY/FR to a lesser extent. CWL will really struggle with the loss of BE/MT so I'd imagine some incentives may be offered. As for long haul I'd imagine it would mainly be from MAN,BHX and STN. I could see MCO/SFB doing well (Maybe SFB would try to get them now that BY is moving to MLB) and maybe seasonal BGI/MBJ flights to start.
JannEejit wrote:OMAAbound wrote:
The usual holiday destinations were spoken of in the Caribbean & Florida from 3 UK airports.
As with most decisions made by Jet2, I’d imagine a lot of time and thought went into them. They’ve most likely been put on the top shelf at the very back, given the current situation.
OMAA
Which three UK airports where they ? I presume MAN to be one of them ?
caaardiff wrote:If Jet2 were to look in to Long Haul, they would need to introduce a new type to the fleet whether purchased or lease, set up all kinds of operations on the ground, move in to a market that they don't really know and then would need to find use for those aircraft out of season, which would mean some kind of Caribbean operation, expanding the NY trips or only having the aircraft for summer season on short term lease, adding to costs. I'm sure IF VS went under, which is now looking unlikely, things would be different, but for now, especially with COVID 19 affecting demand, it doesn't seem worth making the risk.
Jet2 know short haul, it's what they are good at and have proven if done properly they can make it work. The demise of Thomas Cook left a huge void that the likes of Jet2 and TUI were looking to fill, both desperately trying to bring new aircraft in to provide the capacity needed. Now the need of those aircraft has been wiped out and it's likely going to take a couple of years for that demand to return. With much weaker demand and even Airlines going under, there will likely be more used aircraft on the market, so the ideal opportunity for Jet2 to continue updating the fleet. They still have 9x 733's and 11x 757s in the fleet. The sensible option would be retire these over the next few months and dependant on demand, start looking at some more used 738's ready for Summer 2021, or even 2022.CWL757 wrote:I think in the distant future they will open a base in either BRS or CWL. Its probably the biggest gap in their UK network with the nearest base being BHX. BRS is already at near full capacity and LS tend to base more aircraft per base so I'd imagine CWL may be better choice as they will only be competing with TUI and VY/FR to a lesser extent. CWL will really struggle with the loss of BE/MT so I'd imagine some incentives may be offered. As for long haul I'd imagine it would mainly be from MAN,BHX and STN. I could see MCO/SFB doing well (Maybe SFB would try to get them now that BY is moving to MLB) and maybe seasonal BGI/MBJ flights to start.
Things have changed in the Southwest & Wales now. Whilst TUI have moderately filled the gap left from TCX, as have EZY at BRS, it's likely EZY will be reducing their offering at BRS. No signs yet of what TUI will be doing at CWL and BRS. BRS was going to be full when TCX were around, but there's still some slack been created. If EZY do reduce then there's plenty of capacity for Jet2 to turn up at BRS. Prior to TCX and COVID19 it was often said that BRS was full with regards to stand capacity and it's night slot quota, something that would restrict Jet2 from wanting to base as they would want to base at least a couple of aircraft at first then expand on that. With a reduction of flying Jet2 could jump in now and take up those available stands and night slots, but would be a risk if the demand is still weak. If they wait, they may not get what they want. BRS is by far the stronger Airport for the Southwest and South Wales market, but CWL has the spare capacity.
OMAAbound wrote:JannEejit wrote:OMAAbound wrote:
The usual holiday destinations were spoken of in the Caribbean & Florida from 3 UK airports.
As with most decisions made by Jet2, I’d imagine a lot of time and thought went into them. They’ve most likely been put on the top shelf at the very back, given the current situation.
OMAA
Which three UK airports where they ? I presume MAN to be one of them ?
It never got mentioned in conversation, but, if I had to take a wild guess, MAN would be a certainty, STN as well I think and then perhaps GLA. That way they’ve got a vast majority of the U.K. covered apart from the South West, but Jet2 haven’t really entered the South West market which has been mentioned earlier.
OMAA
jomur wrote:caaardiff wrote:If Jet2 were to look in to Long Haul, they would need to introduce a new type to the fleet whether purchased or lease, set up all kinds of operations on the ground, move in to a market that they don't really know and then would need to find use for those aircraft out of season, which would mean some kind of Caribbean operation, expanding the NY trips or only having the aircraft for summer season on short term lease, adding to costs. I'm sure IF VS went under, which is now looking unlikely, things would be different, but for now, especially with COVID 19 affecting demand, it doesn't seem worth making the risk.
Jet2 know short haul, it's what they are good at and have proven if done properly they can make it work. The demise of Thomas Cook left a huge void that the likes of Jet2 and TUI were looking to fill, both desperately trying to bring new aircraft in to provide the capacity needed. Now the need of those aircraft has been wiped out and it's likely going to take a couple of years for that demand to return. With much weaker demand and even Airlines going under, there will likely be more used aircraft on the market, so the ideal opportunity for Jet2 to continue updating the fleet. They still have 9x 733's and 11x 757s in the fleet. The sensible option would be retire these over the next few months and dependant on demand, start looking at some more used 738's ready for Summer 2021, or even 2022.CWL757 wrote:I think in the distant future they will open a base in either BRS or CWL. Its probably the biggest gap in their UK network with the nearest base being BHX. BRS is already at near full capacity and LS tend to base more aircraft per base so I'd imagine CWL may be better choice as they will only be competing with TUI and VY/FR to a lesser extent. CWL will really struggle with the loss of BE/MT so I'd imagine some incentives may be offered. As for long haul I'd imagine it would mainly be from MAN,BHX and STN. I could see MCO/SFB doing well (Maybe SFB would try to get them now that BY is moving to MLB) and maybe seasonal BGI/MBJ flights to start.
Things have changed in the Southwest & Wales now. Whilst TUI have moderately filled the gap left from TCX, as have EZY at BRS, it's likely EZY will be reducing their offering at BRS. No signs yet of what TUI will be doing at CWL and BRS. BRS was going to be full when TCX were around, but there's still some slack been created. If EZY do reduce then there's plenty of capacity for Jet2 to turn up at BRS. Prior to TCX and COVID19 it was often said that BRS was full with regards to stand capacity and it's night slot quota, something that would restrict Jet2 from wanting to base as they would want to base at least a couple of aircraft at first then expand on that. With a reduction of flying Jet2 could jump in now and take up those available stands and night slots, but would be a risk if the demand is still weak. If they wait, they may not get what they want. BRS is by far the stronger Airport for the Southwest and South Wales market, but CWL has the spare capacity.
As Jet2 has experience of operating the A330 it won't be that much to bring back again.
As to redundancies nothing planned but they cannot rule any out in the future.
marcogr12 wrote:Could Jet2 replace their old 752s with..newer ones that could be in the market? Newer in the sense that they have some 10yrs left in them? American retired them all..Were they really 30yrs old all of them or could they have some used ones in good condition? On the other hand if Jet2 wants to go ahead with TATL, even the occasional EWR trip, a non-stop option would be the 321LR..Like the ones Primera would use..
jmc757 wrote:marcogr12 wrote:Could Jet2 replace their old 752s with..newer ones that could be in the market? Newer in the sense that they have some 10yrs left in them? American retired them all..Were they really 30yrs old all of them or could they have some used ones in good condition? On the other hand if Jet2 wants to go ahead with TATL, even the occasional EWR trip, a non-stop option would be the 321LR..Like the ones Primera would use..
I would expect not. Last year after Thomas Cook failed, Jet2 quite rightly looked to expand quickly into the void. They couldn't expand quickly with used B738s, due to the MAX situation decent frames just weren't available. So they went with A321s. Even with the set-up costs for a new type, it made sense. Aircraft were available, as were crew and engineering (ex-TCX). For Jet2 the A321 could do nearly everything the 757 can, and fills that gap of a larger frame over the 738. These days, decent used 757s are going to freight, it's a great aircraft but it's pax hauling days are rapidly coming to an end.
OMAAbound wrote:There was rumours before all of the current C19 pandemic, that some long haul flights were planned for 2021 onwards with 5 A333’s were rumoured to be arriving.
The usual holiday destinations were spoken of in the Caribbean & Florida from 3 UK airports.
As with most decisions made by Jet2, I’d imagine a lot of time and thought went into them. They’ve most likely been put on the top shelf at the very back, given the current situation.
OMAA
Nickd92 wrote:OMAAbound wrote:Italy seems an obvious one which they don't operate into yet.There was rumours before all of the current C19 pandemic, that some long haul flights were planned for 2021 onwards with 5 A333’s were rumoured to be arriving.
The usual holiday destinations were spoken of in the Caribbean & Florida from 3 UK airports.
As with most decisions made by Jet2, I’d imagine a lot of time and thought went into them. They’ve most likely been put on the top shelf at the very back, given the current situation.
OMAA
AirBourne wrote:Nickd92 wrote:OMAAbound wrote:Italy seems an obvious one which they don't operate into yet.There was rumours before all of the current C19 pandemic, that some long haul flights were planned for 2021 onwards with 5 A333’s were rumoured to be arriving.
The usual holiday destinations were spoken of in the Caribbean & Florida from 3 UK airports.
As with most decisions made by Jet2, I’d imagine a lot of time and thought went into them. They’ve most likely been put on the top shelf at the very back, given the current situation.
OMAA
Jet2 fly to Rome, Venice, Pisa, Naples, Verona and Turin. There are a few more places they could go in the future though - Scilly, Sardinia, Bergamo and Lamezia Terme all spring to mind.
OA260 wrote:I think it will be a while before they think about any expansion even if others close bases. Demand just is not there and Jet2 are starting to cancel flights and reduce schedules for Aug and Sept. with more to come it seems.
danipawa wrote:Boeing 737 -33A 25743 2206 G-GDFB Jet2 ferried 26jun20 LBA-QLA, for part-out & scrap ex SX-BBU
CarbonFibre wrote:A few aircraft have been scrapped at QLA over the years. The most recent being a former FedEx 727.
https://flic.kr/p/2hE6F6N
Maintenance is their thing though.
B757236GT wrote:CarbonFibre wrote:A few aircraft have been scrapped at QLA over the years. The most recent being a former FedEx 727.
https://flic.kr/p/2hE6F6N
Maintenance is their thing though.
Thanks for that, i know most Jet2 ones ended up at Kemble so was surprised to see Lasham mentioned. It will be interesting to see when their remaining 733s leave the fleet where they end up as in a normal situation i would expect them to have good life left as package freighters. At the moment who knows!! Also Ive been looking for info on the A321s and different sites say different things. Some suggest 3 have been delivered, others only 1. Anyone got any hard gen on those?
Thanks
TheWorm123 wrote:None seem to be in use yet looks like all of Jet2’s flights are 737-800’s as of now, shame I was hoping to catch the A321.
bennett123 wrote:B757 G-LSAH (arrived Kemble 09/06/2020)
sdbelgium wrote:TheWorm123 wrote:None seem to be in use yet looks like all of Jet2’s flights are 737-800’s as of now, shame I was hoping to catch the A321.
One A321 will be operating out of MAN initially (starting on 15JUL20 when the flights resume), mainly on Spanish routes - ALC morning, TFS afternoon rotation seem to happen fairly often and the occasional PMI in between.
And while jet2 may not have ANNOUNCED any redundancies, don’t assume they aren’t planned
APYu wrote:The market is currently virtually non existent and will stay small for years. All airlines will be consolidating on key markets to survive. Any talks of expansion is a bit silly.
There is no Thomas cook gap, as the market has shrunk by more than any capacity TCX ever provided.
Similarly, there’s no VS gap to fill.
And while jet2 may not have ANNOUNCED any redundancies, don’t assume they aren’t planned.
sdbelgium wrote:Both MAN-TFS on the 18th will see B738 operating, the A321 is planned to do the route on the 17th though. A321 plan on the 18th is MAN-ALC-MAN-DLM-MAN.
B777LRF wrote:The biggest problem any UK carrier* faces right now, is that the UK haven't gotten the infection rate down to a level where its residents are welcome in countries to which they might like to travel.
This means the actual gap is a big fat zero, which is about the same size as the travelling market from the UK at the moment.
I'm fairly convinced that the UK will get things under control, question is how long that's going to take and whether it'll be soon enough to save Jet2. Having built a business almost exclusively on ferrying people from the UK to sandy destinations and back again, a market which currently is either non-existent or at the most a mere fraction of it's former self, survival is by no means assured.
So all this talk about filling in a gap left by TCX or Easy is baloney; the markets they served have quite simply ceased to exist for the time being, and it's anyone's guess when they will reemerge. It's way outside the control of Jet2, as it's decisions taken by various governments on when and under which circumstances to allow visitors from the UK.
* BA's got a bigger problem, in that their bread & butter is ferrying people across the Atlantic to the US. The trans-Atlantic market is extremely hard hit, and it doesn't help one bit that neither the US nor the UK are governed by people who seem able to do what it takes to get things under control.