Also the more I think about it, EWR-MYR with 3x daily from NK and 3x weekly from F9 is going to be flying very empty. As a comparison, ACK, a much more popular destination for New Yorkers, is only getting 1 middle seat capped E90 a day in July.
Cheap fares from F9 and NK can stimulate demand to MYR (although it's not LAS or MCO). ACK is a very poor comparison as it's greatly limited by hotel infrastructure.
I have not heard of anyone going to MYR in all my time in NYC. Booking out of NYC is down over 90% YoY. UA sees no demand MYR. And now because F9 got into hte market with 3x weekly, NK is going from 1 to 3x daily.
Another way to think about it, EWR-MYR has more capacity than EWR-RDU. In fact NK is offering more seats on EWR/LGA-MYR (5 x 178??) than UA/DL/AA/B6 (8 x 75 + 150 * 0.6) offers out of EWR/LGA/JFK-RDU combined. I don't see how MYR has even close to the leisure demand out of NYC that RDU does.
There seems to be a huge battle going on right now between NK/F9 in the same markets.
The New York MSA was #4 based on Visa credit card spend in 2018. The MSA's ahead of it... Charlotte, Washington DC and Wilmington.
318, 319, 320, 321, 332, 333, 388, 707, 717, 722, 732, 733, 734, 73Q, 735, 73G, 738, 7M8, 739, 752, 753, 742, 74L, 744, 762, 763, 772, 77L, 77W, 789, 142, CN1, CR2, CR7, DC8, DH2, DH8, D8Q, D10, D95, EM2, ER3, ER4, E70, 100, J31, M11, M83, M88, M90, SF3